Escalation
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A Time-Lapse Map of Every Nuclear Explosion Since 1945 - by Isao Hashimoto
Is it the TRUTH?
Is it FAIR to all concerned?
Will it build GOODWILL and BETTER FRIENDSHIPS?
Will it be BENEFICIAL to all concerned?
(Source)
Psychologists tell us that people often project on to others what they donÕt want to face in themselves. Others carry our ÒshadowÓ when we refuse to own it. We confer on others the very traits that we are horrified to acknowledge in ourselves. Could this apply to nations as well? Is this why we constantly find fault with Putin and Russia? Could it be that we
Could we be accusing Russia of election-meddling because we do this ourselves?
(Source: Sharon Tennison (Center for Citizen Initiatives), Understanding Russia, Un-Demonizing Putin, Feb. 6, 2016)
John Perry Barlow: Prinzipien erwachsenen Verhaltens (Quelle: Wikipedia)
Am 15. August 2013 nahm Barlow an einem AMA (ãAsk Me AnythingÒ) auf Reddit teil, wobei er auf seine Principles of Adult Behavior (ãPrinzipien erwachsenen VerhaltensÒ) hinwies, die er 1977 am Vorabend seines drei§igsten Geburtstags aufgeschrieben hatte. Sie zirkulierten seither im Internet:
A Plea for Caution From Russia
By VLADIMIR V. PUTIN, SEPT. 11, 2013 (in cache)
WikiLeaks figure says ÔdisgustedÕ Democrat leaked Clinton campaign emails
By Dave Boyer - The Washington Times, Wednesday, December 14, 2016 (in cache)
A WikiLeaks figure is claiming that he received leaked Clinton campaign emails from a ÒdisgustedÓ Democratic whistleblower, while the White House continued to blame Russian hackers Wednesday for meddling in the presidential election and asserted that Donald Trump was Òobviously awareÓ of MoscowÕs efforts on his behalf.
Craig Murray, a former British ambassador to Uzbekistan and a close associate of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange, said in the report by the Daily Mail that he flew to Washington for a clandestine handoff with one of the email sources in September.
He said he received a package in a wooded area near American University.
ÒNeither of [the leaks] came from the Russians,Ó Mr. Murray told the British newspaper. ÒThe source had legal access to the information. The documents came from inside leaks, not hacks.Ó
...
The White House still wonÕt say whether the U.S. has retaliated against what it describes as Russian efforts to influence the election of Donald Trump. ÒIt merits a proportional response. I am not in a position to confirm whether we have initiated it or not,Ó [White House press secretary Josh] Earnest said.
He said Òthe United States is particularly vulnerableÓ to cyberattacks because of its heavy reliance on the internet.
ÒGiven the interconnected nature of our society and our economy, the United States is in a unique position, vis-a-vis the rest of the world, because we rely on 21st-century communications technology for just about everything, in a way that lots of other societies and economies and countries donÕt,Ó he said.
Trump Quiets Some Russian Doubts
Gilbert Doctorow, January 30, 2017 (in cache)
President TrumpÕs weekend phone call to President Putin seems to have quieted some of RussiaÕs concerns about the unpredictability of the real-estate-mogul-turned-politician, reports Gilbert Doctorow.
Below are the translaions of some select comments by the panelists
Vyacheslav Nikonov
The second important aspect IÕd note is in the Russian press release, namely the agreement to the establish partnership on an equal basis The United States has not had partnership relations of equals not only with Russia but with no one else as well in the years following the end of the Cold War. They dealt with Russia as the side that had lost the Cold War and towards whom you can carry out any policy line without regard to our concerns. Then another very important word we noted was ÒrestorationÓ Ð used to characterize our future trade and economic relations. Restoration of trade and economic relations is a rather transparent reference to the idea that one way or another the sanctions will be reexamined. This is so although the word ÒsanctionsÓ itself was not mentioned. IÕd also note that they reviewed a wide range of issues. Syria, Ukraine, Iran, the Korean peninsula, and non-proliferation of nuclear weapons. This presupposes, at a minimum, that in this rather short conversation there were no serious disagreements or differences of opinion. They discussed what they wanted to discuss. The questions were prepared and the participants in the discussion afterwards were satisfied. Therefore, I consider this a very good, encouraging start in Russian-American relations. Let us not tempt fate and let us knock wood..Let us hope this continues in the same way in the future. We could not hope for better than this.Ó
Alexei Pushkov
ÒWe have just heard the phrase that ÔEurope has been sleeping.Õ The discussion today is between Trump and Putin. É.Merkel and Hollande are stuck in the old formulasÉ..They have an old agenda. They donÕt have anything in particular to offerÉ..Europe is off the highway and sidelined. This is another point that comes out of the [Trump-Putin] conversation.Ó
Andrei Sidorov
ÒIÕd like to start with agreeing terms. World order is precisely the agreements between victorious powers after a global war. That is what was done at Yalta, Teheran, Potsdam. Helsinki was not on that level. When the Yalta arrangements collapsed the West, and the USA in particular took this to mean its victory. And it was not accidental that we had all those discussions about the unipolar world. And it was the dissatisfaction of Russia and others with this unipolar world led to the fact that now Trump will set up a new world order by reaching agreement with those powers who did not accept globalization from the 1990s which was supposed to set up a new world order. É.Russia can now be a participant in the creation of the new world order. Putting aside the list of issues, the main item on the conversation was when do we meet and in what formatÉ
Dangers of Democratic Putin-Bashing
Robert Parry, February 1, 2017 (in cache)
Exclusive: As national Democratic leaders continue to blame Russian President Putin for their 2016 defeat, theyÕre leading their party into a realignment with the neocons and other war hawks, reports Robert Parry.
... in another way, what weÕre seeing is not new. It is a replay of other Ògroup thinksÓ in which some foreign leader is demonized beyond all reason allowing any accusation to be lodged against him with virtually no pushback from anyone interested in maintaining a U.S. mainstream career.
We saw this pattern, for instance, in the run-up to the Iraq War when Saddam Hussein was demonized to such a degree that any accusation against him was accepted without question, such as him hiding WMDs and colluding with Al Qaeda. In that context, some individuals supposedly with Òfirst-hand knowledgeÓ Ð ÒIraqi defectorsÓ Ð showed up to elaborate on and personalize the anti-Saddam propaganda message. We learned only later that many were scripted by the U.S.-government-funded Iraqi National Congress.
Since 2011, we saw the same demonization treatment applied to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad who was depicted as a ruthless monster opposed by a Òmoderate oppositionÓ which, in turn, was embraced by Òhuman rightsÓ groups, touted by Western media and applauded even by citizen Òpeace groupsÓ around the United States and Europe. The Assad demonization obscured the fact that many ÒoppositionÓ groups were part of an externally funded Òregime changeÓ project spearheaded by radical jihadists connected to Al Qaeda.
A Reagan Strategy
For me, this pattern goes back even further. I have witnessed these techniques since the 1980s when the Reagan administration tapped into CIA psychological warfare methods to rally the American people around a more interventionist foreign policy Ð to Òkick the Vietnam Syndrome,Ó the public skepticism toward war that followed the Vietnam debacle.
Back then, senior CIA propagandist Walter Raymond Jr. was assigned to the National Security Council staff where he tutored young neocons, the likes of Elliott Abrams and Robert Kagan, drumming into them that the key was to personalize the propaganda by demonizing a particular leader, making him eminently worthy of hate.
Raymond counseled his acolytes that the goal was always to ÒglueÓ black hats on the side in WashingtonÕs crosshairs and white hats on the side that Washington favored. The grays of the real world were to be avoided and any politician or journalist who sought to deal in nuance was disparaged as a fill-in-the-blank Òapologist.Ó
So, in the 1980s, the Reagan administration targeted NicaraguaÕs President Daniel Ortega, Òthe dictator in designer glasses,Ó as President Reagan dubbed him.
In 1989, before the invasion of Panama, Gen. Manuel Noriega got the treatment. In 1990, it was Saddam HusseinÕs turn, deemed Òworse than HitlerÓ by President George H.W. Bush. During the Clinton administration, the demon du jour was SerbiaÕs Slobodan Milosevic. In all these cases, there were legitimate criticisms of these leaders, but their evils were inflated to fantastical proportions to justify bloody military interventions by the U.S. government and its allies.
Regime Change in Moscow?
The main difference in recent years is that Official WashingtonÕs neocons and liberal interventionists have taken aim at Russia with the goal of Òregime changeÓ in Moscow, a strategy that risks the worldÕs nuclear annihilation. But except for the stakes, the old script is still being followed.
Hans M. Kristensen, Matthew McKinzie, Theodore A. Postol
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, 1 MARCH 2017
(in cache)
The US nuclear forces modernization program has been portrayed to the public as an effort to ensure the reliability and safety of warheads in the US nuclear arsenal, rather than to enhance their military capabilities. In reality, however, that program has implemented revolutionary new technologies that will vastly increase the targeting capability of the US ballistic missile arsenal. This increase in capability is astonishingÑboosting the overall killing power of existing US ballistic missile forces by a factor of roughly threeÑand it creates exactly what one would expect to see, if a nuclear-armed state were planning to have the capacity to fight and win a nuclear war by disarming enemies with a surprise first strike.
... Russian planners will almost surely see the advance in fuzing capability as empowering an increasingly feasible US preemptive nuclear strike capabilityÑa capability that would require Russia to undertake countermeasures that would further increase the already dangerously high readiness of Russian nuclear forces. Tense nuclear postures based on worst-case planning assumptions already pose the possibility of a nuclear response to false warning of attack. The new kill capability created by super-fuzing increases the tension and the risk that US or Russian nuclear forces will be used in response to early warning of an attackÑeven when an attack has not occurred.
The increased capability of the US submarine force will likely be seen as even more threatening because Russia does not have a functioning space-based infrared early warning system but relies primarily on ground-based early warning radars to detect a US missile attack. Since these radars cannot see over the horizon, Russia has less than half as much early-warning time as the United States. (The United States has about 30 minutes, Russia 15 minutes or less.)
The inability of Russia to globally monitor missile launches from space means that Russian military and political leaders would have no Òsituational awarenessÓ to help them assess whether an early-warning radar indication of a surprise attack is real or the result of a technical error.
The combination of this lack of Russian situational awareness, dangerously short warning times, high-readiness alert postures, and the increasing US strike capacity has created a deeply destabilizing and dangerous strategic nuclear situation.
When viewed in the alarming context of deteriorating political relations between Russia and the West, and the threats and counter-threats that are now becoming the norm for both sides in this evolving standoff, it may well be that the danger of an accident leading to nuclear war is as high now as it was in periods of peak crisis during the Cold War.
The Silent Slaughter of the US Air War
By Nicolas J S Davies, May 9, 2017 (in cache)
Exclusive: The U.S. mainstream media voiced moral outrage when Russian warplanes killed civilians in Aleppo but has gone silent as U.S. warplanes slaughter innocents in Mosul and Raqqa, notes Nicolas J S Davies.
April 2017 was another month of mass slaughter and unimaginable terror for the people of Mosul in Iraq and the areas around Raqqa and Tabqa in Syria, as the heaviest, most sustained U.S.-led bombing campaign since the American War in Vietnam entered its 33rd month.
The Airwars monitoring group has compiled reports of 1,280 to 1,744 civilians killed by at least 2,237 bombs and missiles that rained down from U.S. and allied warplanes in April (1,609 on Iraq and 628 on Syria). The heaviest casualties were in and around Old Mosul and West Mosul, where 784 to 1,074 civilians were reported killed, but the area around Tabqa in Syria also suffered heavy civilian casualties.
In other war zones, as I have explained in previous articles (here and here), the kind of ÒpassiveÓ reports of civilian deaths compiled by Airwars have only ever captured between 5 percent and 20 percent of the actual civilian war deaths revealed by comprehensive mortality studies. Iraqbodycount, which used a similar methodology to Airwars, had only counted 8 percent of the deaths discovered by a mortality study in occupied Iraq in 2006.
Airwars appears to be collecting reports of civilian deaths more thoroughly than Iraqbodycount 11 years ago, but it classifies large numbers of them as ÒcontestedÓ or Òweakly reported,Ó and is deliberately conservative in its counting. For instance, in some cases, it has counted local media reports of Òmany deathsÓ as a minimum of one death, with no maximum figure. This is not to fault AirwarsÕ methods, but to recognize its limitations in contributing to an actual estimate of civilian deaths.
Allowing for various interpretations of AirwarsÕ data, and assuming that, like such efforts in the past, it is capturing between 5 percent and 20 percent of actual deaths, a serious estimate of the number of civilians killed by the U.S.-led bombing campaign since 2014 would by now have to be somewhere between 25,000 and 190,000.
The Pentagon recently revised its own facetious estimate of the number of civilians it has killed in Iraq and Syria since 2014 to 352. That is less than a quarter of the 1,446 victims whom Airwars has positively identified by name.
Airwars has also collected reports of civilians killed by Russian bombing in Syria, which outnumbered its reports of civilians killed by U.S.-led bombing for most of 2016. However, since the U.S.-led bombing escalated to over 10,918 bombs and missiles dropped in the first three months of 2017, the heaviest bombardment since the campaign began in 2014, AirwarsÕ reports of civilians killed by U.S.-led bombing have surpassed reports of deaths from Russian bombing.
Because of the fragmentary nature of all AirwarsÕ reports, this pattern may or may not accurately reflect whether the U.S. or Russia has really killed more civilians in each of these periods. There are many factors that could affect that.
For example, Western governments and NGOs have funded and supported the White Helmets and other groups who report civilian casualties caused by Russian bombing, but there is no equivalent Western support for the reporting of civilian casualties from the Islamic State-held areas that the U.S. and its allies are bombing. If AirwarsÕ reporting is capturing a greater proportion of actual deaths in one area than another due to factors like this, it could lead to differences in the numbers of reported deaths that do not reflect differences in actual deaths.
Shock, Awe É and Silence
To put the 79,000 bombs and missiles with which the U.S. and its allies have bombarded Iraq and Syria since 2014 in perspective, it is worth reflecting back to the Òmore innocentÓ days of ÒShock and AweÓ in March 2003. As NPR reporter Sandy Tolan reported in 2003, one of the architects of that campaign predicted that dropping 29,200 bombs and missiles on Iraq would have, Òthe non-nuclear equivalent of the impact that the atomic weapons dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki had on Japan.Ó
At the start of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, President George W. Bush ordered the U.S. military to conduct a devastating aerial assault on Baghdad, known as Òshock and awe.Ó
When ÒShock and AweÓ was unleashed on Iraq in 2003, it dominated the news all over the world. But after eight years of Òdisguised, quiet, media-freeÓ war under President Obama, the U.S. mass media donÕt even treat the daily slaughter from this heavier, more sustained bombardment of Iraq and Syria as news. They cover single mass casualty events for a few days, but quickly resume normal ÒTrump ShowÓ programming.
As in George OrwellÕs 1984, the public knows that our military forces are at war with somebody somewhere, but the details are sketchy. ÒIs that still a thing?Ó ÒIsnÕt North Korea the big issue now?Ó
There is almost no political debate in the U.S. over the rights and wrongs of the U.S. bombing campaign in Iraq and Syria. Never mind that bombing Syria without authorization from its internationally recognized government is a crime of aggression and a violation of the U.N. Charter. The freedom of the United States to violate the U.N. Charter at will has already been politically (not legally!) normalized by 17 years of serial aggression, from the bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999 to the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, to drone strikes in Pakistan and Yemen.
So who will enforce the Charter now to protect civilians in Syria, who already face violence and death from all sides in a bloody civil and proxy war, in which the U.S. was already deeply complicit well before it began bombing Syria in 2014?
In terms of U.S. law, three successive U.S. regimes have claimed that their unconstrained violence is legally justified by the Authorization for the Use of Military Force passed by the U.S. Congress in 2001. But sweeping as it was, that bill said only,
ÒThat the President is authorized to use all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned, authorized, committed or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11th, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons.Ó
How many of the thousands of civilians the U.S. has killed in Mosul in the past few months played any such role in the September 11th terrorist attacks? Every person reading this knows the answer to that question: probably not one of them. If one of them was involved, it would be by sheer coincidence.
Any impartial judge would reject a claim that this legislation authorized 16 years of war in at least eight countries, the overthrow of governments that had nothing to do with 9/11, the killing of about 2 million people and the destabilization of country after country Ð just as surely as the judges at Nuremberg rejected the German defendantsÕ claims that they invaded Poland, Norway and the U.S.S.R. to prevent or ÒpreemptÓ imminent attacks on Germany.
U.S. officials may claim that the 2002 Iraq AUMF legitimizes the bombardment of Mosul. That law at least refers to the same country. But while it is also still on the books, the whole world knew within months of its passage that it used false premises and outright lies to justify overthrowing a government that the U.S. has since destroyed.
The U.S. war in Iraq officially ended with the withdrawal of the last U.S. occupation forces in 2011. The AUMF did not and could not possibly have approved allying with a new regime in Iraq 14 years later to attack one of its cities and kill thousands of its people.
Caught in a Web of War Propaganda
Do we really not know what war is? Has it been too long since Americans experienced war on our own soil? Perhaps. But as thankfully distant as war may be from most of our daily lives, we cannot pretend that we do not know what it is or what horrors it brings.
This month, two friends and I visited our CongresswomanÕs office representing our local Peace Action affiliate, Peace Justice Sustainability Florida, to ask her to cosponsor legislation to prohibit a U.S. nuclear first strike; to repeal the 2001 AUMF; to vote against the military budget; to cut off funding for the deployment of U.S. ground troops to Syria; and to support diplomacy, not war, with North Korea.
When one of my friends explained that heÕd fought in Vietnam and started to talk about what heÕd witnessed there, he had to stop to keep from crying. But the staffer didnÕt need him to go on. She knew what he was talking about. We all do.
But if we all have to see dead and wounded children in the flesh before we can grasp the horror of war and take serious action to stop it and prevent it, then we face a bleak and bloody future. As my friend and too many like him have learned at incalculable cost, the best time to stop a war is before it starts, and the main lesson to learn from every war is: ÒNever again!Ó
Both Barack Obama and Donald Trump won the presidency partly by presenting themselves as ÒpeaceÓ candidates. This was a carefully calculated and calibrated element in both their campaigns, given the pro-war records of their main opponents, John McCain and Hillary Clinton. The American publicÕs aversion to war is a factor that every U.S. president and politician has to deal with, and promising peace before spinning us into war is an American political tradition that dates back to Woodrow Wilson and Franklin Roosevelt.
As Reichsmarschall Hermann Goering admitted to American military psychologist Gustave Gilbert in his cell at Nuremberg, ÒNaturally, the common people donÕt want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship.Ó
ÒThere is one difference,Ó Gilbert insisted, ÒIn a democracy, the people have some say in the matter through their elected representatives, and in the United States only Congress can declare wars.Ó
Goering was unimpressed by MadisonÔs and HamiltonÕs cherished constitutional safeguards. ÒOh, that is all well and good,Ó he replied, Òbut, voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them that they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country.Ó
Our commitment to peace and our abhorrence of war are too easily undermined by the simple but timeless techniques Goering described. In the U.S. today, they are enhanced by several other factors, most of which also had parallels in World War Two Germany:
ÐMass media that suppress public awareness of the human costs of war, especially when U.S. policy or U.S. forces are responsible.
ÐA media blackout on voices of reason who advocate alternative policies based on peace, diplomacy or the rule of international law.
ÐIn the ensuing silence regarding rational alternatives, politicians and media present Òdoing something,Ó meaning war, as the only alternative to the perennial straw man of Òdoing nothing.Ó
ÐThe normalization of war by stealth and deception, especially by public figures otherwise seen as trustworthy, like President Obama.
ÐThe dependence of progressive politicians and organizations on funding from labor unions that have become junior partners in the military industrial complex.
ÐThe political framing of U.S. disputes with other countries as entirely the result of actions by the other side, and the demonization of foreign leaders to dramatize and popularize these false narratives.
ÐThe pretense that the U.S. role in overseas wars and global military occupation stems from a well-meaning desire to help people, not from U.S. strategic ambitions and business interests.
Taken altogether, this amounts to a system of war propaganda, in which the heads of TV networks bear a share of responsibility for the resulting atrocities along with political and military leaders. Trotting out retired generals to bombard the home front with euphemistic jargon, without disclosing the hefty directorsÕ and consultantsÕ fees they collect from weapons manufacturers, is only one side of this coin.
The equally important flip-side is the mediaÕs failure to even cover wars or the U.S. role in them, and their systematic marginalization of anyone who suggests there is anything morally or legally wrong with AmericaÕs wars.
The Pope and Gorbachev
Pope Francis recently suggested that a third party could act as a mediator to help resolve our countryÕs nearly 70-year-old conflict with North Korea. The Pope suggested Norway. Even more importantly, the Pope framed the problem as a dispute between the United States and North Korea, not, as U.S. officials do, as North Korea posing a problem or a threat to the rest of the world.
This is how diplomacy works best, by correctly and honestly identifying the roles that different parties are playing in a dispute or a conflict, and then working to resolve their disagreements and conflicting interests in a way that both sides can live with or even benefit from. The JCPOA that resolved the U.S. dispute with Iran over its civilian nuclear program is a good example of how this can work.
This kind of real diplomacy is a far cry from the brinksmanship, threats and aggressive alliances that have masqueraded as diplomacy under a succession of U.S. presidents and secretaries of state since Truman and Acheson, with few exceptions. The persistent desire of much of the U.S. political class to undermine the JCPOA with Iran is a measure of how U.S. officials cling to the use of threats and brinksmanship and are offended that the ÒexceptionalÓ United States should have to come down from its high horse and negotiate in good faith with other countries.
At the root of these dangerous policies, as historian William Appleman Williams wrote in The Tragedy of American Diplomacy in 1959, lies the mirage of supreme military power that seduced U.S. leaders after the allied victory in the Second World War and the invention of nuclear weapons. After running headlong into the reality of an unconquerable post-colonial world in Vietnam, this American Dream of ultimate power faded briefly, only to be reborn with a vengeance after the end of the Cold War.
Much as its defeat in the First World War was not decisive enough to convince Germany that its military ambitions were doomed, a new generation of U.S. leaders saw the end of the Cold War as their chance to Òkick the Vietnam syndromeÓ and revive AmericaÕs tragic bid for Òfull spectrum dominance.Ó
As Mikhail Gorbachev lamented in a speech in Berlin on the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall in 2014, Òthe West, and particularly the United States, declared victory in the Cold War. Euphoria and triumphalism went to the heads of Western leaders. Taking advantage of RussiaÕs weakening and the lack of a counterweight, they claimed monopoly leadership and domination of the world, refusing to heed words of caution from many of those present here.Ó
This post-Cold War triumphalism has predictably led us into an even more convoluted maze of delusions, disasters and dangers than the Cold War itself. The folly of our leadersÕ insatiable ambitions and recurrent flirtations with mass extinction are best symbolized by the Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsÕ Doomsday Clock, whose hands once again stand at two and a half minutes to midnight.
The inability of the costliest war machine ever assembled to defeat lightly-armed resistance forces in country after country, or to restore stability to any of the countries it has destroyed, has barely dented the domestic power of the U.S. military-industrial complex over our political institutions and our national resources. Neither millions of deaths, trillions of dollars wasted, nor abject failure on its own terms has slowed the mindless spread and escalation of the Òglobal war on terror.Ó
Futurists debate whether robotic technology and artificial intelligence will one day lead to a world in which autonomous robots could launch a war to enslave and destroy the human race, maybe even incorporating humans as components of the machines that will bring about our extinction. In the U.S. armed forces and military industrial complex, have we already created exactly such a semi-human, semi-technological organism that will not stop bombing, killing and destroying unless and until we stop it in its tracks and dismantle it?
Nicolas J S Davies is the author of Blood On Our Hands: the American Invasion and Destruction of Iraq. He also wrote the chapters on ÒObama at WarÓ in Grading the 44th President: a Report Card on Barack ObamaÕs First Term as a Progressive Leader.
Watergate Redux or ÔDeep StateÕ Coup?
May 10, 2017
By Robert Parry
(in cache)
Exclusive: Official Washington is abuzz, comparing President TrumpÕs ouster of FBI Director Comey to President NixonÕs Watergate cover-up, but there is a darker Òdeep stateÓ interpretation of these events, says Robert Parry.
President TrumpÕs firing of FBI Director James Comey on Tuesday reflected a growing concern inside the White House that the long-rumored scheme by Òdeep stateÓ operatives to overturn the results of the 2016 election may have been more than just rumors.
The fear grew that Comey and other senior officials in the U.S. intelligence community had concluded last year that neither Hillary Clinton nor Donald Trump was a suitable future president, albeit for different reasons. IÕm told that Clinton was seen as dangerously hawkish and Trump as dangerously unqualified, opinions privately shared by then-President Barack Obama.
So, according to this account, plans were made last summer to damage both Clinton and Trump, with the hope of putting a more stable and less risky person in the Oval Office Ð with key roles in this scheme played by Comey, CIA Director John Brennan and Director of National Intelligence James Clapper.
When I first heard about this supposed cabal in the middle of last year, I dismissed it as something more fitting a Jason Bourne movie than the real world. But Ð to my amazement Ð the U.S. intelligence community then began intervening in the presidential campaign in unprecedented ways.
On July 5, 2016, Director Comey dealt a severe blow to Clinton by holding a press conference to denounce her use of a private email server while Secretary of State as Òextremely careless,Ó yet he announced that no legal action would follow, opening her to a damaging line of attack that she jeopardized national security but that her political status gave her special protection.
Then, on Oct. 28, just ten days before the election, Comey reopened the investigation because of emails found on the laptop of disgraced former Rep. Anthony Weiner, the husband of ClintonÕs close aide Huma Abedin. That move re-injected ClintonÕs email controversy into the campaign, along with the unsavory issues surrounding WeinerÕs sexting scandal, and reminded voters about the sex-related scandals that have swirled around Bill Clinton for years.
To make matters worse, Comey closed the investigation again just two days before the election, once more putting the Clinton email controversy in front of voters. That also reaffirmed the idea that Clinton got special treatment because of her political clout, arguably the most damaging image possible in an election year dominated by voter anger at Òelites.Ó
Clinton herself has said that if the election had been held on Oct. 27 Ð the day before Comey reopened the email inquiry Ð she would have won. In other words, whether ComeyÕs actions were simply clumsy or possibly calculated, the reality is that he had an outsized hand in drowning ClintonÕs candidacy, a point that TrumpÕs Justice Department also noted on Tuesday in justifying ComeyÕs firing.
Russia-gate Probe
And, we now know that Comey was leading a parallel investigation into possible Russian collusion with the Trump campaign, instigated at least in part by a dossier prepared by ex-British spy Christopher Steele, paid for by Clinton supporters and containing allegations about secret meetings between Trump aides and influential Russians.
Last July, the FBI reportedly secured a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act warrant against former Trump foreign policy adviser Carter Page. Page was mentioned in the Steele dossier and gave an academic speech in Moscow on July 7 mildly critical of U.S. policies toward Russia and other nations of the former Soviet Union, two apparent factors in justifying the FISA warrant.
Before the election, people close to Clinton also tried to get the U.S. media to publicize the Steele dossier and particularly its anonymous claims about Trump cavorting with prostitutes in a Moscow hotel while Russian intelligence agents supposedly filmed him. However, because media outlets could not confirm SteeleÕs allegations and because some details turned out to be wrong, the dossier remained mostly under wraps prior to the election.
However, after TrumpÕs surprising victory on Nov. 8, President Obama and his intelligence chiefs escalated their efforts to undermine TrumpÕs legitimacy. The Obama administration leaked an intelligence assessment that Russian President Vladimir Putin had orchestrated the hacking of Democratic emails and their publication by WikiLeaks to undermine Clinton and help Trump.
The intelligence communityÕs assessment set the stage for what could have been a revolt by the Electoral College in which enough Trump delegates might have refused to vote for him to send the election into the House of Representatives, where the states would choose the President from one of the top three vote-getters in the Electoral College.
The third-place finisher turned out to be former Secretary of State Colin Powell who got three votes from Clinton delegates in Washington State. The idea of giving votes to Powell was that he might be an acceptable alternative to House members over either Clinton or Trump, a position that IÕm told ObamaÕs intelligence chiefs shared. But the Electoral College ploy failed when TrumpÕs delegates proved overwhelmingly faithful to the GOP candidate on Dec. 19.
Expanding Russia-gate
Still, the effort to undermine Trump did not stop. President Obama reportedly authorized an extraordinary scheme to spread information about RussiaÕs purported assistance to Trump across the federal bureaucracy and even overseas.
Comey, Brennan and Clapper also set in motion a hasty intelligence assessment by hand-picked analysts at the CIA, the FBI and the National Security Agency, producing a report on alleged Russian electoral interference that was released on Jan. 6.
Though Clapper had promised to release a great deal of the evidence, the declassified version of the report amounted mostly to Òtrust usÓ along with a one-sided analysis of PutinÕs alleged motive, citing his well-known disdain for Clinton.
But the report failed to note the other side of that coin, that Putin would be taking a great risk by trying to hurt Clinton and failing, given ClintonÕs odds as the prohibitive favorite to defeat Trump. Putin would have to assume that the NSA with its powerful surveillance capabilities would pick up a Russian initiative and inform an irate President Hillary Clinton.
In other words, the Jan. 6 report was not some careful analysis of the pros and cons for believing or doubting that Russia was behind the WikiLeaks disclosures. It amounted to a prosecutorÕs brief, albeit without any public evidence to support the Russia-did-it charge.
We learned later that the reportÕs classified appendix included a summary of SteeleÕs dossier that was then briefed to President Obama, President-elect Trump and to members of Congress, guaranteeing that its damaging but unproven allegations would finally get widely circulated in the mainstream media, as indeed promptly happened.
Hobbling TrumpÕs Presidency
So, going into the Inauguration, Russia-gate was dominating the front pages of newspapers as well as the endless chat shows on cable TV despite the fact that no real evidence was presented proving Russia was responsible for the WikiLeaksÕ posts Ð and WikiLeaks denied getting the material from Russia. There was also no evidence that TrumpÕs campaign had colluded with the Russians in this endeavor.
But those suspicions quickly hardened into a groupthink among many Democrats, liberals and progressives. Their hatred of Trump and their dread about his policies convinced some that the ends of removing Trump justified whatever means were employed, even if those means had more than a whiff of McCarthyism.
On Inauguration Day, many anti-Trump protesters carried signs accusing Trump of being PutinÕs boy. Sensing a political opportunity, congressional Democrats joined the #Resistance and escalated their demands for a sweeping investigation of any connections between TrumpÕs team and Russia. Their clear hope was something might turn up that could be exploited in an impeachment proceeding.
As the principal intelligence holdover from the Obama administration, Comey assumed an essential role in this operation. It would be up to the FBI to secure the financial records from Trump and his associates that could provide a foundation for at least suspicions of a sinister relationship between them and Russia.
Trump may have thought that he bought some political space by complying with political pressure to fire National Security Adviser Michael Flynn on Feb. 13 over what exactly was said in a pre-Inauguration phone conversation between Flynn and the Russian Ambassador. Trump also got the Russia-gate pressure to lessen when, on April 6, he fired 59 Tomahawk missiles at Syria over an alleged chemical attack. But he soon came to realize that those respites from Russia-gate were brief and that an incipient constitutional coup might be underway with him as the target.
However, if those coup suspicions have any truth Ð and I realize many Americans do not want to accept the notion that their country has a Òdeep stateÓ Ð firing Comey may fuel TrumpÕs troubles rather than end them.
Trump clearly is unpopular not only among Democrats but many Republicans who see him as an unprincipled interloper with a nasty Twitter finger. The Comey firing is sure to spark new demands for a special prosecutor or at least more aggressive investigations by Congress and the press.
Watergate Comparisons
Although Democrats had condemned Comey for his interference in the Clinton campaign, they now are rallying to ComeyÕs side because they viewed him as a key instrument for removing Trump from office. After ComeyÕs firing, from The New York Times to CNN, the mainstream media was filled with comparisons to Richard NixonÕs Watergate cover-up.
One of the few voices commending Trump for his action, not surprisingly, came from Carter Page, who briefly served as a Trump foreign policy adviser and has found himself in the crosshairs of a high-powered counterintelligence investigation as a result.
ÒIt is encouraging that further steps toward restoring justice in America have been taken with the termination and removal from office of FBI Director James Comey,Ó Page said in a statement.
ÒAlthough I have never met President Trump, his strength and judgment in holding senior officials accountable for wrongdoing stands in stark contrast to last year when ordinary private citizens outside of Washington like myself were targeted for exercising their Constitutional rights.
ÒUnder James ComeyÕs leadership in 2016, I was allegedly the subject of an intensive domestic political intelligence operation instigated by the FBI and based on completely false allegations in a FISA warrant application.Ó
Yet, despite what Page and other Trump advisers caught up in the Russia-gate probe may hope, the prospects that ComeyÕs firing will end their ordeal are dim. The near certainty is that whatever Obama and his intelligence chiefs set in motion last year is just beginning.
The Scandal Hidden Behind Russia-gate
By Daniel Lazare,
May 11, 2017
(in cache)
Exclusive: Official Washington has the Russia-gate scandal almost 180-degrees wrong; it is not about protecting democracy, but about pushing Americans into more wars, the true scandal that is being missed.
[There are differences between Watergate and Russia-Gate]
Difference No.1: Watergate was about a real event, the June 17, 1972.
... the burglars turned out to be part of a special security operation known as the White House Plumbers
.... Since the FBI has never conducted an independent investigation Ð for as-yet-unexplained reasons, the DNC refused to grant it access to its servers despite multiple requests Ð the only evidence that a break-in even occurred comes from a private cyber-security firm, CrowdStrike Inc. of Irvine, California, that the DNC hired to look into the breach.
Since when do the cops rely on a private eye to look into a murder rather than performing an investigation of their own? CrowdStrike, moreover, turns out to be highly suspect. Not only is Dmitri Alperovich, its chief technical officer, a Russian ŽmigrŽ with a pronounced anti-Putin tilt, but he is also an associate of a virulently anti-Russian outfit known as the Atlantic Council, a Washington think tank funded by the Saudis, the United Arab Emirates, the Ukrainian World Congress, the U.S. State Department and a variety of other individuals and groups that have an interest in isolating or discrediting Russia.
... But CrowdStrike then said it was able to pin it on the Russians because the hackers had made certain elementary mistakes, most notably uploading a document in a Russian-language format under the name ÒFelix Edmundovich,Ó an obvious reference to Felix E. Dzerzhinsky, founder of the Cheka, as the Soviet political police were originally known. It was the equivalent of American intelligence agents uploading a Russian document under the name ÒJ. Edgar.Ó Since this was obviously very careless of them, it raised an elementary question: how could the hackers be super-sophisticated yet at the same time guilty of an error that was unbearably dumb?
The skeptics promptly pounced. Referring to RussiaÕs two top intelligence agencies, a well-known cyber-security expert named Jeffrey Carr was unable to restrain his sarcasm: ÒOK. Raise your hand if you think that a GRU or FSB officer would add Iron FelixÕs name to the metadata of a stolen document before he released it to the world while pretending to be a Romanian hacker. Someone clearly had a wicked sense of humor.Ó
Since scattering such false leads is childÕs play for even a novice hacker, it was left to John McAfee, founder of McAfee Associates and developer of the first commercial anti-virus software, to draw the ultimate conclusion. ÒIf it looks like the Russians did it,Ó he told TV interviewer Larry King, Òthen I can guarantee you: it was not the Russians.Ó
Difference No. 2: Russia-gate is not about democracy but about neo-McCarthyism and war.
For all the self-serving hoopla and mythology surrounding Watergate, the scandal was ultimately about something important: the dirty tricks and lawless authoritarianism that were advancing smartly under the Nixon administration. But Russia-gate is not about democracy. Rather, it is about an inside-the-beltway battle over the direction of U.S.-Russian relations.
The battle is deadly serious. Since roughly 2008, Cold War II has expanded steadily to the point where it now extends along a 1,300-mile front from Estonia to the Crimea plus the Caucasus and major portions of the Middle East. It has intensified as well and would likely have reached a flashpoint if the hawkish Hillary Clinton had been elected.
... In other words, Page [,an academic and energy entrepreneur and former Trump foreign policy adviser] drew official notice because he dared to differ with the orthodox view of Putin as a latter-day Lucifer. As a consequence, he now finds himself at the center of what the Times describes as Òa wide-ranging investigation, now accompanied by two congressional inquiries, that has cast a shadow over the early months of the Trump administration.Ó So, out of nothing (or at least very little) has grown something very, very large, an absurd pseudo-scandal that now has Democrats gobbling on about special prosecutors and impeachment.
... As Consortium NewsÕ Robert Parry has pointed out (see ÒThe McCarthyism of Russia-gate,Ó May 7), the Senate Intelligence Committee hit Page with a sweeping order on April 28 to turn over anything and everything having to do with his extensive list of Russian business, personal and casual contacts for the 18 months prior to TrumpÕs Inauguration.
The order thus informs Page that he must turn over Ò[a] list of all meetings between you and any Russian official or representative of Russian business interests which took place between June 16, 2015, and January 20, 2017 É all meetings of which you are aware between any individual with the Trump campaign and any Russian official or representative of Russian business interests É [a]ll communications records, including electronic communications records such as e-mail or text messages, written correspondence, and phone records of communications É to which you and any Russian official or representative of Russian business interests was a party,Ó and so on and so forth.
Considering that Page lived in Russia for several years, the request is virtually impossible. It thus Òamounts to a perjury trap,Ó Parry notes, Òbecause even if Page tried his best to supply all the personal, phone, and email contacts, he would be sure to miss something or someone, thus setting him up for prosecution for obstructing an investigation or lying to investigators.Ó
Dems crippling TrumpÕs plans to cooperate with Russia out of own ambitions Ð Stephen Cohen
SophieCo, Russia Today, 19 May, 2017 10:00
(in cache)
Stephen Cohen: ... you would have to ask why are all these, I think, false allegations being made against President Trump? Because the narrative that Trump somehow is Kremlin agent is what broke out after Lavrov and Trump met in the White House, in the Oval office. Because it was a normal meeting, it was an important meeting, it was part of trying to build, between Trump and Putin, an alliance against international terrorism, particularly in Syria. So that wouldÕve been a good thing, and it is a good thing, but the enemies of that, and the enemies of Trump, turned it into a scandal that does not exist.
... Moreover, the Israelis have said Ònothing was revealedÓ - this is just part of the narrative against either Trump personally or the attempt to build a new relationship with Russia based on cooperation. But Sophie, please understand, this is a unique moment - thereÕs never been anything like it in my lifetime, in American-Russian relations, and itÕs exceedingly dangerous.
... have they been running an operation which involves this leaking you mentioned, against Trump, which is now going on for almost a year. If so, it began last July, with these charges about TrumpÕs illicit relations with the Kremlin. Now, bear in mind, Sophie, that all of these allegations are based on leaks, intelligence leaks. ThereÕs no evidence theyÕre coming from TrumpÕs people. But Trump doesn't control the intelligence services. WeÕre not sure who does, and therefore, we are now asking, some of us: who is doing this leaking and for what purpose? But it doesnÕt stop, it continues, and it has continued since Trump became president. So, youÕve posed a big question, but I want to add - itÕs only a question, we donÕt have an answer. It needs to be discussed in the United States, thatÕs for sure.
... he said repeatedly, and I quote: ÒWouldnÕt it be great to cooperate with Russia?Ó He meant, in the war against international terrorism. And I thought, and many others thought here - ÒYes, it would be great!Ó, despite everything thatÕs happened, and think about this, Sophie - Trump has not stopped trying to negotiate with President Putin of Russia. There have been conversations between Trump and Putin, your foreign minister, Lavrov, and our Secretary of State Tillerson have met, they appeared to be talking regularly, thereÕs a plan, but it may be sabotaged, for Trump and Putin to meet in July.
... Again, thereÕs no conspiracy with Russia, but it dominates the media.
... international terrorismÓ sounds bland, but if these terrorists get ahold of radioactive material or chemical weapons, we are talking about a catastrophe like Chernobyl. This is not some secondary issue. This is existential.
... Because they donÕt tell us everything theyÕre doing and they should not. We know that between Trump and Putin there have been conversations both at the level of the Russian foreign minister Lavrov and the American Secretary of State Tillerson, but also, with other people playing a role. I would guess that Henry Kissinger has played a role. But there are official and non-official people, but nonetheless, the enemies of this cooperation are so powerful in the United States, and there are enemies of it in Moscow too, letÕs be candid - the question is, whether these leaders can do it. And Trump is crippled, but heÕs not fully crippled, and heÕs pushing ahead, best we can know, but every time he does, we get a new fake scandal, like what happened in the Oval office about the intelligence. ItÕs completely bogus, Sophie, thereÕs nothing to it.
Sophie Shevardnadze: Why is this idea not taken at face value - why is it that whoever says ÒMaybe we should change our attitude towards RussiaÓ is immediately suspected or branded as being the KremlinÕs spy?
SC: This has happened before in our history, but itÕs been kind of in bars and in minor newspapers, gossip. ItÕs never become the national narrative, as it is today. Part of it, I think, is the absolute hatred of Trump on the part of the Democratic party and its allies. Part of it is very strong opposition in Washington. Not only in the intelligence agencies, but in the United States Senate, on the part of people like Senator McCain and his allies in the Democratic party, against any cooperation with Moscow. Part of it is a lack of high political culture in our kind of international, diplomatic discourse here. We are not terribly informed nation about foreign affairs. Sometimes, when American journalist call me up and ask me a question, itÕs clear to me they donÕt even understand their own question. WeÕre a provincial nation, Sophie, weÕre not part of Europe, and many young people and old people, who do journalism in this country, have very little experience. So the discourse becomes primitive and crude, but there are a lot of factors working into this. I would say, the loathing for Trump and the opposition to any PresidentÕs - they sabotaged Obama too, at one one point - cooperation with Russia.
... I just saw, what I think is the cover of the new Time magazine - used to be a very-very popular magazine, less so today - and the cover has a drawing of a White House that has been turned half into the Kremlin. So, theyÕve merged Kremlin and the White House, and this is the motif, that thereÕs some kind of Putin-Trump access in the White House which New York Times columnists write about all the time. So whatÕs published in Foreign Policy magazine ought not to be taken seriously. Scarcely anything in the mainstream media today can be taken at face value. Everybody has to study for his or herself in America today.
... And the Democratic party, particularly the Hillary Clinton wing of the Democratic party, has already made it clear that itÕs going to push this Trump-Russia story, at least until the Congressional elections in 2018. They think itÕs a winning issue, and I think itÕs fairly clear, that this is Mrs. ClintonÕs hope to run again, because she will say: ÒI did not run a bad campaign, I did not lose - Putin stole my election from me and gave it to TrumpÓ. And theyÕre going to push this at the grassroots, itÕs already there at the town meetings, at Democratic grassroots, and theyÕre going to push it and push it at least until the elections, off-year elections, we call them, in 2018. So this is a given. No matter what facts emerge, the Democratic party is going to push this as they are now every day.
US Report Still Lacks Proof on Russia ÔHackÕ
By Robert Parry, January 7, 2017
(in cache)
Despite mainstream media acceptance, the U.S. intelligence communityÕs assessment on alleged Russian ÒhackingÓ still lacks hard public evidence, a case of Òtrust-usÓ by politicized spy agencies.
Open Letter to Trump
from leading artists, politicians, journalists: drop charges and investigation into WikiLeaks
1:20 PM - 15 May 2017
(in cache)
... We call on you as President of the United States to close the Grand Jury investigation into WikiLeaks and drop any charges planned against any member of WikiLeaks. It was a free and robust press that provided you with a platform on which to run for president. Defending a truly free press requires freedom from fear and favour and the support of journalists and citizens everywhere; for the kind of threat now facing WikiLeaks Ñ and all publishers and journalists Ñ is a step into the darkness.
Alfonso S‡nchez, Andrej Hunko (Member of German Parliament (DIE LINKE), member of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe), Andrew Bartlett (Former Senator in the Australian Parliament - 1997-2008), Andrew Fowler (Journalist/author), Andy MŸller-Maguhn (Member of the Board, Wau Holland Foundation (WHS) / Centre for Investigative Journalism (CIJ)), Angela Richter (Director), Ann Wright (Col., US Army (ret.); Foreign Service Officer (zurŸckgetreten)), Annegret Falter (Whistleblower-Network), Annie Machon (Former British intelligence officer), Brandon Bryant (Recipient of the 2015 Whistleblower of the Year Award, former drone pilot), Coleen Rowley (FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)), ...Diani Barreto (Journalist, researcher, campaigner, coordinator at ExposeFacts), ... Edward Snowden (President, Freedom of the Press Foundation), ... Friedrich Moser (director A GOOD AMERICAN), GŸnter Wallraff (Investigative journalist), ... JŽrŽmie Zimmermann (La Quadrature du Net, co-founder), ...John Kiriakou (Former CIA Counterterrorism Officer), John Pilger (journalist, Courage Trustee), ... Kirk Wiebe (NSA Whistleblower and Retired Senior Intelligence Analyst), , ... Oliver Stone (filmmaker), ... Patti Smith(artist), , ... Ray McGovern (Former US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA analyst (ret.) and founder of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity as well as Sam Adams Associates for Integrity in Intelligence), , ... Thomas Drake (Former Senior Executive, NSA), ... William Binney (Technical Director, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)), Yanis Varoufakis (economist and co-founder of DiEM25), more
Russia-gateÕs Shaky Foundation
By Daniel Herman, September 29, 2017 (in cache)
Special Report: The Russia-gate hysteria now routinely includes rhetoric about the U.S. being at ÒwarÓ with nuclear-armed Russia, but the shaky factual foundation continues to show more cracks, as historian Daniel Herman describes.
John F. Kennedy, 399 - White House Statement Following the Return of a Special Mission to South Viet-Nam. October 2, 1963
(im Cache)
....
3. Major U.S. assistance in support of this military effort is needed only until the insurgency has been suppressed or until the national security forces of the Government of South Viet-Nam are capable of suppressing it.
Secretary McNamara and General Taylor reported their judgement that the major part of the U.S. military task can be completed by the end of 1965, although there may be a continuing requirement for a limited number of U.S. training personnel. They reported that by the end of this year, the U.S. program for training Vietnamese should have progressed to the point where 1,000 U.S. military personnel assigned to South Viet-Nam can be withdrawn.
5. It remains the policy of the United States, in South Viet-Nam as in other parts of the world, to support the efforts of the people of that country to defeat aggression and to build a peaceful and free society
Hillary ClintonÕs Deceptive Blame-Shifting
Robert Parry, June 1, 2017
(in cache)
... Referring to a report (in cache) ...
[this report titled Background to ÒAssessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US ElectionsÓ: The Analytic Process and Cyber Incident Attribution ÒAssessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US ElectionsÓ is a declassified version of a highly classified assessment that has been provided to the President and to recipients approved by the President]
... released by President ObamaÕs Director of National Intelligence (DNI) on Jan. 6, Clinton asserted that Ò17 agencies, all in agreement, which I know from my experience as a Senator and Secretary of State, is hard to get. They concluded with high confidence that the Russians ran an extensive information war campaign against my campaign, to influence voters in the election. They did it through
So that was the conclusion.Ó
But ClintonÕs statement is false regarding the unanimity of the 17 agencies and misleading regarding her other claims. Both former DNI James Clapper and former CIA Director John Brennan acknowledged in sworn testimony last month that the Jan. 6 report alleging Russian ÒmeddlingÓ did not involve all 17 agencies.
Clapper and Brennan stated that the report was actually the work of hand-picked analysts from only three agencies Ð the Central Intelligence Agency, National Security Agency and Federal Bureau of Investigation Ð under the oversight of the DNIÕs office. In other words, there was no consensus among the 17 agencies, a process that would have involved some form of a National Intelligence Estimate (or NIE), a community-wide effort that would have included footnotes citing any dissenting views.
Instead, as Clapper testified before a Senate Judiciary subcommittee on May 8, the Russia-hacking claim came from a Òspecial intelligence community assessmentÓ (or ICA) produced by selected analysts from the CIA, NSA and FBI, Òa coordinated product from three agencies Ð CIA, NSA, and the FBI Ð not all 17 components of the intelligence community,Ó the former DNI said.
... ÒIt wasnÕt a full inter-agency community assessment that was coordinated among the 17 agencies, and for good reason because of the nature and the sensitivity of the information trying, once again, to keep that tightly compartmented,Ó Brennan said.
... Her reference to the 1,000 Russian ÒagentsÓ is not contained in the Jan. 6 report, either. It apparently derived from unconfirmed speculation from Sen. Mark Warner, D-Virginia, who mentioned this claim at a news conference on March 30, admitting that he didnÕt know if it was true.
... the reality is that U.S. intelligence agencies, their allies and U.S.-government-funded Ònon-governmental organizationsÓ have mounted similar operations against Russia and other targets.
... Neither, of course, are Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party eager to engage in a serious self-criticism about how they managed to blow an extremely winnable race against an extraordinarily flawed candidate in Donald Trump. Rather than look at their own missteps and misjudgments, they are presenting themselves as innocent victims.
In WednesdayÕs interview Ð after misrepresenting what the Jan. 6 report actually said Ð Clinton suggested that the Trump campaign must have colluded with the Russians in ÒweaponizingÓ the data.
[The Russians] were conveying this weaponized information and the content of it. É So the Russians Ñ in my opinion and based on the intel and the counterintel people IÕve talked to Ñ could not have known how best to weaponize that information unless they had been guided. É Guided by Americans and guided by people who had polling and data information.Ó
... Clinton lacked any proof of this convoluted accusation ...
... while the Democrats dig themselves deeper into the so-far empty pit of blaming Russia for their electoral disaster, the Russia-gate investigation continues to take on other curious aspects, such as an unwillingness to hear from some of Donald TrumpÕs advisers who have been named in accusations and who have volunteered to testify publicly.
The US Hand in the Libyan/Syrian Tragedies
By Jonathan Marshall
June 9, 2017
(in cache)
Exclusive: The Obama administrationÕs Òregime changeÓ debacles in Libya and Syria are spreading terrorist violence into Europe, but they have inflicted vastly more bloodshed in those two tragic nations.
... A decade ago, Libya was a leading foe of radical jihadis, not a sanctuary for their international operations. A 2008 State Department memo [see below] noted that ÒLibya has been a strong partner in the war against terrorism.Ó It gave the Gaddafi regime credit for Òaggressively pursuing operations to disrupt foreign fighter flows,Ó particularly by veterans of jihadist wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
All that came to an end in 2011, when armed rebels, including disciplined members of al-Qaeda and Islamic State, enlisted NATOÕs help to topple GaddafiÕs regime. Western leaders ignored the prescient warnings of GaddafiÕs son Seif that ÒLibya may become the Somalia of North Africa, of the Mediterranean. . . .You will see millions of illegal immigrants. The terror will be next door.Ó Gaddafi himself similarly predicted that once the jihadis Òcontrol the Mediterranean . . . then they will attack Europe.Ó
... In April 2012, Lebanese authorities confiscated a ship carrying more than 150 tons of arms and ammunition originating in Misrata, Libya. A U.N.-authorized panel inspected the weapons and reported finding SA-24 and SA-7 surface-to-air missiles, anti-tank guided missiles, and a variety of other light and heavy weapons.
By that August, according to Time magazine, Òhundreds of LibyansÓ had flocked to Syria to Òexport their revolution,Ó bringing with them weapons, expertise in making bombs, and experience in battlefield tactics.
ÒWithin weeks of the successful conclusion of their revolution, Libyan fighters began trickling into Syria,Ó the magazine noted. ÒBut in recent months, that trickle has allegedly become a torrent, as many more have traveled to the mountains straddling Syria and Turkey, where the rebels have established their bases.Ó
A Syrian rebel told the newsweekly, ÒThey have heavier weapons than we do,Ó including surface-to-air missiles. ÒThey brought these weapons to Syria, and they are being used on the front lines.Ó
A month later, the London Times reported that a Libyan ship carrying more than 400 tons of weapons bound for Syria, including SAM-7 anti-aircraft missiles and rocket-propelled grenades, had docked in Turkey. Such weapons particularly compounded the suffering of civilians caught up in the war.
As FranceÕs foreign minister told reporters that October, rebel-held anti-aircraft missiles were Òforcing (Syrian government) planes to fly extremely high, and so the strikes are less accurate.Ó
According to later reporting by journalist Seymour Hersh, most such Libyan weapons made their way to Syria via covert routes supervised by the CIA, under a program authorized by the Obama administration in early 2012. Funding and logistics support came from Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar. The CIA supposedly avoided disclosing the program to Congress by classifying it as a liaison operation with a foreign intelligence partner, BritainÕs MI6.
Word of the operation began leaking to the London media by December 2012. The CIA was said to be sending in more advisers to help ensure that the Libyan weapons did not reach radical Islamist forces.
Of course, their efforts came too late; U.S. intelligence officials knew by that time that Òthe Salafist(s), the Muslim Brotherhood, and (al-Qaeda)Ó were Òthe major forces driving the insurgency.Ó The influx of new arms simply compounded SyriaÕs suffering and raised its profile as a dangerous arena of international power competition.
LibyaÕs arms and fighters helped transform the Syrian conflict from a nasty struggle into a bloodbath. As Middle East scholar Omar Dahi noted, Òthe year 2012 was decisive in creating the present catastrophe. There were foreign elements embroiled in Syria before that date . . . but until early 2012 the dynamics of the Syrian conflict were largely internal. . . . Partly in . . . appropriation of weapons pumped in from the outside and partly in anticipation of still greater military assistance, namely from the West, the opposition decided to take up arms.
ÒThe decisionÑmilitarizationÑhad three main effects. First, it dramatically increased the rate of death and destruction throughout the country. . . . By mid-2012, the monthly casualties were almost in excess of the total in the entire first year of the uprising. Militarization gave the Syrian regime a free hand to unleash its full arsenal of indiscriminate weaponry. . . Perhaps most fatefully, the advent of armed rebellion placed much of the oppositionÕs chances in the hands of those who would fund and arm the fighters. . . . It was then that the jihadi groups were unleashed.Ó
The collateral victims of NATOÕs intervention in Libya now include 6 million Libyans attempting to survive in a failed state, millions of people across North Africa afflicted by Islamist terrorism, 20 million Syrians yearning for an end to war, and millions of innocent Europeans who wonder when they might become targets of suicidal terrorists. There is nothing ÒhumanitarianÓ about wars that unleash such killing and chaos, with no end in sight.
2008 State Department Memo
SUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR SECRETARY RICE'S VISIT TO LIBYA
Source: Wikileaks Document
(in cache)
Embassy Tripoli and the Government of Libya are looking forward to your [Condoleezza Rice's] historic visit to Tripoli September 5. Coming on the heels of NEA A/S Welch's successful finalization of a comprehensive claims settlement agreement in Tripoli August 14, the GOL views your visit as a signature event in its decade-long effort to achieve reintegration into the international community, and as a tangible benefit of its strategic decision in 2003 to abandon its WMD programs and renounce terrorism. Key issues for your visit include:
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Warfare State at War with Trump as he Plans Warfare Against Iran - RAI with Norman Solomon (2/4) |
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Paul Jay, Reality Asserts Itself, May 22, 2017 (in cache) Norman Solomon joins Paul Jay on Reality Asserts Itself discussing the Trump/Russia affair and plans to isolate & perhaps attack Iran
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Paul Jay: I think this relates to the first segment of our interview. We were talking about the fight within the Democratic Party and the fight against the oligarchy that represents the control of the DNC and the Democratic Party. It comes very much to this question of what you make of Chuck Schumer and his allies. The anti-Russia kick is being used as a way to wound the Trump presidency, and for good reason many people all of whom consider themselves progressive would like to wound the Trump presidency, and for good reason. I mean, I personally think this Trump/Pence presidency will be in terms of foreign policy as or more dangerous as the Bush/Cheney administration. Domestically, they'll be clearly far worse. You can see from the Cabinet appointments and Supreme Court and such. Opposition to that Trump camp that merges with the Schumer camp means merges with the oligarchy within the Democrat Party. Actually winds up just strengthening the people that are really behind the scenes that benefit from an oligarchy domestic policy and oligarchy foreign policy.
...
Paul Jay: At the heart of this issue of Comey and the elections and such is an underlying assumption in the media, in the political world, that Russia is America's adversary, antagonistic adversary. You hear this word over and over again. I mean, if Trump had been sitting down with the Canadians and gave them some intelligence about ISIS, nobody would have cared. If he had been sitting down with Germany, nobody would have cared because they're our allies. What is a progressive view do you think on this whole demonization of Putin and the Russians?
Norman Solomon: Well, at RootsAction.org which I co-founded with Jeff Cohen, we're unfortunately somewhat unusual in that as a large online action group, and we have one and a half million active people now. We refuse to jump on the anti-Russia bandwagon. It's absolutely tragic that so many people who I believe should know better are jumping in to fueling what amounts to a new cold war. We've got to ask ourselves, where does that lead? This anti-Russia hoopla, this bandwagon. Where is it headed? It's headed toward increased tension with another huge nuclear power. There are 4,000 nuclear weapons pointed from Russia, mostly in U.S. direction and vice versa. What's the end game here? Do we want to conflict in eastern Europe or elsewhere, Ukraine that could escalate into nuclear war? Is it really worth it to score some political points real or imagined against Republicans and heighten the chance that the world will end up with nuclear holocaust? I think the irresponsibility of so many left liberal groups in jumping on the anti-Russia bandwagon is mind-blowing. The idea-
Paul Jay: Only because it damages Trump. If Obama had been proposing exactly the same thing, they all about have been for it.
Norman Solomon: Well, it's seen as a tool, a club to hit Trump over the head with. I believe that there are certainly other impeachable offenses. ... I think from the standpoint of world security, the idea that the juggernaut of rhetoric against Russia should be fueled by Democrats, I think it's similar to the CEOs of the corporations who will look at the next two quarters and they think it's to their advantage to do a poisonous dump into the river because they're going to make a profit. People like Pelosi and Schumer and their acolytes in the media and among Democratic Party groups, they are poisoning our future because they think they're going to make headway.
Paul Jay: Well, literally because what they're telling us is that Russia is a greater threat to America than climate change.
Norman Solomon: Yeah, [crosstalk 00:11:27].
Paul Jay: They don't talk about climate change at all and they never shut up about Russia.
Norman Solomon: It's also a way to displace reality about what happened in 2016. They want to pretend that the election of Trump and the anti-Democratic factors in the U.S. came primarily or largely from Kremlin. I think that is absolutely absurd.
Paul Jay: Not talk at all about the substance of what was released in Wikileaks, which is if the DNC hadn't been plodding against Sanders, there never would have been an issue in the first place.
Norman Solomon: It wasn't fake news. It was accurate. We can argue about whether it should have been released or not, but was totally accurate. There was nothing fake about it, and there's no focus at all then on the caging of the hundreds of thousands of registered voters, the way structurally in state after state people of color or poor people were discouraged from or sometimes prevented from voting. The death of a thousand cuts to democracy, that is a panoply of self-inflicted wounds. The absurdity of Democrats or anyone else pointing to the Kremlin when we have a lack of democracy in our own country that is fully homegrown, I think that is a real abdication or moral and political responsibility.
Paul Jay: I mean, as a news organization, we report on Putin's autocracy. We report on the suppression of civil rights and human rights in Russia. We reported on the killing of journalists in Russia. The oligarchs of Russia are ... People have called it a kleptocracy. One of our guests often calls capitalism in Russia Jurassic Park capitalism because it's so barbaric. All of that being said, Russia's done nothing on a global scale that compares with the crimes of U.S. foreign policy. How do these liberals, progressives, whatever they want to call themselves, keep forgetting that?
Norman Solomon: Well, FAIR, the media watch group that I've been an associate with has pointed out that in 1996 Time magazine did a cover story bragging about how the U.S. had gotten Boris Yeltsin re-elected. Direct interference. If we're going to look at the realities, the geopolitical realities, the fact that the U.S. has expanded NATO up to the borders of Russia and therefore greatly increase ... I mean, can you imagine the Warsaw Pact expanding to Mexico or Canada? That action which is contravention of what the first President Bush promised to Gorbachev that this would not happen after the Berlin Wall fell. This is an example where we've got to look at the world from other vantage points, not just the myopic, jingoistic, red, white and blue lenses that we're encouraged to look through.
Paul Jay: The core of the narrative of the military industrial complex, the core of the narrative that justifies an almost trillion dollar military intelligence, security budget and perhaps more than a trillion dollars. Is Russia the existential threat? They have what? 60 and more years invested in that narrative, and along comes with Trump, and he wants to undo the narrative. It's very interesting that he only lost the popular vote by three million. He wins the Electoral College. Most Americans, they don't need this Russia is the boogieman story. We're very open to have a more rational policy towards Russia, but it takes out. You don't need aircraft carriers if you're only fighting ISIS.
Norman Solomon: One of the insidious things is that when somebody opens his or her mouth and points out some of these factors, increasingly they're being accused of being some sort of symp for flunky or ideological ally with the Kremlin. When you look at the impact of that, it is calculated to have impact on Trump as well. A broken clock is correct once in a while, and broken as he is politically and psychologically, when Trump says it would be good to get along with Russia, that is what one president after another in his saner moments has said when you got these two huge super powers. Aa a matter of fact, we're coming up very close to the 50th anniversary of the Spirit of Glassboro meeting where Kosygin from Russia and President Lyndon Johnson met to further dŽtente. If people want to win their jingoistic, nationalistic, ideological war, and blow up the world with nuclear weapons, that's going to be a very small comfort that they stuck to their pride in America as they perceive it.
This is a calculated pressure. I'll give this one other example. A calculated pressure to push Trump away from any rational relationship with the Kremlin. You know that the Center for American Progress, the Podesta outfits, still closely intertwined and aligned with the Clinton wing of the party; they in recent months have launched something called the Moscow Project. They're crowdsourcing explicitly any bit of information that can tie any Trump associate or Trump himself to Russia. They've got a huge amount of money. They explicitly are trying to bring Trump down on the basis of Russia, and I think that's very dangerous.
Paul Jay: I do not personally trust Trump's intent for wanting to reconcile with Russia. I think there's abundance of evidence that it's a fossil fuel play. This is why Tillerson got this Friendship Award when he was at Exxon. They want to lift sanctions on Russia because they want to have ... Putin seems to be willing to make a deal where they're going to let western capital, western fossil fuel companies come in and make a lot more money out of Russian oil, but who cares about the intent? Maybe that's his intent, but the policy of having a more normalized relationship with Russia and reducing the tensions, that has to be good for people. It also seems so bloody obvious.
...
Paul Jay: It goes another step, which I think is even more dangerous, because in spite of all the rhetoric against Russia, I don't think any of these forces are planning a real war against Russia. The military industrial complex love it, love an almost-war because it justifies these massive expenditures. The Democratic Party liberal establishment loves it because they're drawing some blood in terms of partisan politics. ...
Lied To Death: Conversations With Daniel Ellsberg On Why We Go To War
By Arn Menconi, 2015
(in cache)
Excerpts from Chapter 1 (transcript)
time: 10:30
Now, what I'm saying is: The US had a covert foreign policy. The foreign policy is not what the President or the State Department says it is. It is not ever what a public affairs officer says it is. The policy is always different from that. But I'm saying much more than the fact that I used to think (I've learnt much more than that) that it has a covert component. That's well known. They don't generally know what covert means the way I just described it. They don't understand that it means not just secret but lying, and explicitely lying. Anything secret, if it's very secret, has to be protected by some lies, such as if somebody asks you "Do you know of this report?", which you just read or wrote, and you have to say "No.", because the existence of that report is secret. So to keep that secret you have to lie about what you know and what you think and so forth. But I'm saying more than that: A covert policy is not merely secret, is lying from start to finish
I conceive of the American foreign policy as being in the service of covert empire. Covert in two senses.
And, first, let me say that the word "covert" means not only "secret" or sometimes synomymously "clandestine". But clandestine in particular situations sounds like secret operations, operations that you keep secret from the public. And that includes some military planning for example, which has to be secret from the enemy. But covert implies: it's not merely secret, but it is accompanied by a cover story, a false account of every aspect of the policy, which is meant to deceive the domestic public, not merely foreigners, not merely adversaries, and may or may not be known to allies on a secret basis. But to deceive them as to what the policy is, what the targets are, what you are trying to achieve, what the interests are, the (?) of the policy, and what the means are. And above all to conceal who is running this.. ...
time: 18:22
We don't have a foreign policy that uses in part covert operations in peacetime as in wartime. ... The purposes of our covert operations, the purposes of our foreign policy in general are different from what we say. They are not to improve our national security. To a large extent they endanger our national security by tolerating or provocing or promoting threats literally to our existence. Without our foreign policy there would not be five thousand Soviet missiles aimed at us that could destroy the world including us any day. Those wouldn't exist if our foreign policy was different. If our foreign policy was aimed primarily at preventing the United States from facing an existential -by which I mean survival, physical survival to the last human- if it were aimed at preventing threats to our physical survival, it could easily have been oriented toward preventing the existence of what at one point was about 30 000 Soviet weapons. But that existence is a collateral accepted by our policy, it's a price of our foreign policy which is for our own benefit, not based on our security.
(more about US foreign policy in Daniel Ellsberg, "The Doomsday Machine - Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner", 2017, Excerpts)
In this context see also:
Ben Norton in Loud and Clear "After NYC Attack: A Deeper Look Into the Origins of Modern Terrorism"
On the Nov. 2nd 2017 episode of Loud & Clear, Brian Becker and John Kiriakou are joined by journalist Ben Norton,
... these [terrorists] groups of today have their origins in the Cold War on the opposite side. In the 1980s the most infamous example is the US in partnership with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. They supported extremists groups (Mujaheddin) inside Afghanistan to fight the USSR-backed socialist government in Afghanistan. Mujahedin are the ideological and political forefathers for many of the groups we see today. So, the Taliban and Al-Qaeda directly have their origin in Afghanistan in the 1980s. And at that moment they were supported by the CIA.
Far right, facists groups do not distinguish between government and civilians The US supported extremely brutal groups (e.g. the Contras in Nicaragua) in the 1980s in Central America. This kind of violence is rooted in empires. And because the resistance groups have all been crushed, all that's left are these extremists groups that have turned on their former imperial sponsors.
US policy has effectively empowered Al-Qaeda in Yemen, Libya and Syria, Taliban in Afghanistan, ISIS in Iraq.
Democrats Face Failing Russia-gate Scheme
By Norman Solomon, June 26, 2017
(in cache)
"The plan for Democrats to run against Russia may be falling apart.
After
now Democrats in Congress and other party leaders are starting to face an emerging reality: The Òwinning issueÓ of Russia is a losing issue.
... A major poll has just reached conclusions that indicate party leaders have been operating under political illusions. Conducted last week, the Harvard-Harris national poll found a big disconnect between the Russia obsession of Democratic Party elites in Washington and voters around the country.
... The [Harvard-Harris national] poll Òreveals the risks inherent for the Democrats, who are hoping to make big gains Ñ or even win back the House Ñ in 2018,Ó The Hill reported. ÒThe survey found that
... Yes, a truly independent investigation is needed to probe charges that the Russian government interfered with the U.S. election. And investigators should also dig to find out if thereÕs actual evidence that Trump or his campaign operatives engaged in nefarious activities before or after the election. At the same time, letÕs get a grip. The partisan grandstanding on Capitol Hill, by leading Republicans and Democrats, hardly qualifies as Òindependent.Ó
In the top strata of the national Democratic Party, and especially for the Clinton wing of the party, blaming Russia has been of visceral importance. A recent book about Hillary ClintonÕs latest presidential campaign Ñ Shattered by journalists Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes Ñ includes a revealing passage. ÒWithin 24 hours of her concession speech,Ó the authors report, campaign manager Robby Mook and campaign chair John Podesta Òassembled her communications team at the Brooklyn headquarters to engineer the case that the election wasnÕt entirely on the up-and-up.Ó At that meeting, Òthey went over the script they would pitch to the press and the public. Already, Russian hacking was the centerpiece of the argument.Ó
... In early spring, the former communications director of the 2016 Clinton presidential campaign, Jennifer Palmieri, summarized the post-election approach in a Washington Post opinion piece: ÒIf we make plain that what Russia has done is nothing less than an attack on our republic, the public will be with us. And the more we talk about it, the more theyÕll be with us.Ó
... I warned ("Democrats are playing with fire on Russia", 1/9/2017) that Òthe most cohesive message from congressional Democrats is: blame Russia. The party leaders have doubled down on an approach that got nowhere during the presidential campaign Ñ trying to tie the Kremlin around Donald TrumpÕs neck.Ó
And I added: ÒStill more interested in playing to the press gallery than speaking directly to the economic distress of voters in the Rust Belt and elsewhere who handed the presidency to Trump, top Democrats would much rather scapegoat Vladimir Putin than scrutinize how theyÕve lost touch with working-class voters.Ó
But my main emphasis in that Jan. 9 article was that Òthe emerging incendiary rhetoric against Russia is extremely dangerous. It could lead to a military confrontation between two countries that each has thousands of nuclear weapons.ÓI noted that Òenthusiasm for banging the drum against Putin is fast becoming a big part of the Democratic PartyÕs public identity in 2017. And Ñ insidiously Ñ thatÕs apt to give the party a long-term political stake in further demonizing the Russian government.Ó My article pointed out: ÒThe reality is grim, and potentially catastrophic beyond comprehension. By pushing to further polarize with the Kremlin, congressional Democrats are increasing the chances of a military confrontation with Russia.Ó ..."
Democrats are playing with fire on Russia
BY NORMAN SOLOMON, CONTRIBUTOR - 01/09/17
(in cache)
"... Meanwhile, the emerging incendiary rhetoric against Russia is extremely dangerous. It could lead to a military confrontation between two countries that each have thousands of nuclear weapons. At the Senate Armed Services Committee hearing last Thursday on foreign cyber threats, ranking member Jack Reed (D-RI) denounced ÒRussiaÕs rejection of the post-Cold War international order and aggressive actions against its neighbors,Ó and he condemned Òa regime with values and interests so antithetical to our own.Ó ...
... At the same time, enthusiasm for banging the drum against Putin is fast becoming a big part of the Democratic PartyÕs public identity in 2017. And Ñ insidiously Ñ thatÕs apt to give the party a long-term political stake in further demonizing the Russian government. The reality is grim, and potentially catastrophic beyond comprehension. By pushing to further polarize with the Kremlin, congressional Democrats are increasing the chances of a military confrontation with Russia. By teaming up with the likes of Republican senators John McCain and Lindsey Graham to exert bipartisan pressure for escalation, Democrats could help stampede the Trump administration in reckless directions.
This approach is already underway. It is worse than irresponsible. It is madness that could lead to a nuclear holocaust."
What Trump Can Expect from Putin
By Ray McGovern, July 1, 2017
(in cache)
... For decades, the Russians have viewed an invulnerable nuclear-tipped strategic missile force as a deterrent to a U.S. attack though they have never displayed an inclination to commit suicide by actually firing them.
From this perspective, Putin wonders why the U.S. might seek to upset the nuclear balance by deploying ABM systems around RussiaÕs borders, making RussiaÕs ICBM force vulnerable.
PutinÕs generals, like yours, are required to impute the most provocative intentions to military capabilities; that is what military intelligence is all about. Thus, they cannot avoid seeing the ABM deployments as giving the U.S. the capability for a first strike to decapitate RussiaÕs ICBM force and, by doing so, protecting the U.S. from Russian nuclear retaliation.
And, as Putin has made clear, the Kremlin sees U.S. claims that the deployments are needed to thwart a strategic strike from Iran as insultingly disingenuous Ð all the more so in light of the 2015 multilateral agreement handcuffing IranÕs development of a nuclear bomb for the foreseeable future.
Yet, the U.S.-Russia strategic balance becomes more and more precarious with the deployment of each new ABM site or warship, together with rising concerns at the possibility of a U.S. technological breakthrough. With the time window for Russian leaders to evaluate data indicating a possible U.S. nuclear strike closing, launch-on-warning becomes more likely Ð and so does World War III.
It is no secret that Russian leaders feel double-crossed by NATOÕs steady creep eastward, but RussiaÕs strategic planners seemed to believe they could handle that Ð up to a point. That point was reached with the Feb. 22, 2014 coup dÕetat in Ukraine, which Moscow viewed as one U.S.-backed regime change too many and one that installed a virulently anti-Russian government along a route historically used by foreign invaders.
On April 17, 2014, the day before Crimea was re-incorporated into Russia, Putin spoke of what motivated RussiaÕs strong reaction. The Òmore importantÓ reason he gave was the need to thwart plans to incorporate Ukraine and Crimea into the anti-ballistic missile deployment encircling Russia.
... In his interviews with Oliver Stone (aired on Showtime as ÒThe Putin InterviewsÓ), Putin made the same distinction between the NATO buildup (bad enough) and ABM deployment (more dangerous still), telling Stone the ABM challenge is Òa separate issue which no doubt is going to require a response from Russia.Ó
Putin blames your predecessors for his mistrust of Washington on this important issue. He has branded a huge mistake President BushÕs 2001 decision to exit the ABM Treaty Ð an agreement that sharply limited the number of permitted anti-ballistic missile sites Ð noting that the Treaty had been for three decades the Òcornerstone of the system of national security as a whole.Ó
PutinÕs misgivings were hardly allayed by President ObamaÕs ten-second pas de deux five years ago with Dmitry Medvedev in South Korea. An ABC open mike picked up their private conversation on March 26, 2012, at a summit on nuclear security in Seoul.
Obama is heard assuring then-Russian President Dmitry Medvedev that the missile defense issue Òcan be solved,Ó but that it was Òimportant for him (Putin) to give me space.Ó President Obama asked Medvedev to tell Putin that Obama would have Òmore flexibilityÓ after being re-elected. More flexibility or no, the missile defense program proceeded unabated, with Washington shunning bilateral talks.
... on Sept. 11, 2013, Putin placed an op-ed in The New York Times, titled ÒA plea for caution from Russia,Ó the last part of which he is said to have drafted himself:
ÒMy working and personal relationship with President Obama is marked by growing trust. I appreciate this. I carefully studied his address to the nation on Tuesday. And I would rather disagree with a case he made on American exceptionalism É
ÒIt is extremely dangerous to encourage people to see themselves as exceptional É There are big countries and small countries, rich and poor, those with long democratic traditions and those still finding their way to democracy. É We are all different, but when we ask for the LordÕs blessings, we must not forget that God created us equal.Ó
Russia then played a central role in facilitating IranÕs concessions regarding the nuclear accord that President Obama considered perhaps his greatest diplomatic achievement, with the key interim agreement reached on Nov. 24, 2013. But Putin felt betrayed when ObamaÕs State Department helped organize the coup in Ukraine just three months later.
Since the Ukraine crisis, U.S. media and political circles have subjected Putin to an unrelenting demonization, including comparisons of him to Adolf Hitler and an over-the-top campaign to blame him for Hillary ClintonÕs defeat and the Trump presidency.
Yet, while the tone of the Russia-bashing in Washington has reached hysterical levels, the Defense Intelligence Agency has just published a balanced assessment of ÒRussiaÕs Threat Perceptions,Ó which offers a view from MoscowÕs vantage point:
ÒSince returning to power in 2012, Russian President Putin has sought to reassert Russia as a great power on the global stage and to restructure an international order that the Kremlin believes is tilted too heavily in favor of the United States at RussiaÕs expense.
ÒMoscow seeks to promote a multipolar world predicated on the principles of respect for state sovereignty and non-interference in other stateÕs internal affairs, the primacy of the UN, and a careful balance of power preventing one state or group of states from dominating the international order. É
ÒMoscow has sought to build a robust military able to project power, add credibility to Russian diplomacy, and ensure that Russian interests can no longer be summarily dismissed without consequence.Ó
'The Putin Interviews' - Oliver Stone Speaks Out!
'The Putin Interviews' - Oliver Stone Speaks Out! RonPaulLibertyReport
(in cache on INTENSO#8)
Insane militarization of US politics toward Russia. Putin would be hailed as a great politician if he wasn't the Russian president.
Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity
A Former CIA Analyst Explains Why Denuclearization Is Crucial to Stabilizing U.S.-Russia Relations
Melvin Goodman, Robert Scheer
Posted by Emma Niles on Jul 7, 2017
In a new episode of ÒScheer IntelligenceÓ, host and Truthdig Editor in Chief Robert Scheer talks with Melvin Goodman [former CIA analyst] about agency failures and the future of U.S.-Russia ties.
There are too many areas of mutual interest that are much more important than most of the differences we have with Russia,Ó Goodman tells Scheer. ÒWhen you look at arms control, disarmament, counterterrorism, nonproliferation of strategic weaponry, the Iran situation, the North Korean situationÑthe United States and Russia are completely in agreement in those areas.Ó
ÒTrump is clueless about major areas of strategic substance,Ó Goodman continues, adding that many key members of TrumpÕs administration also are unfit to start a dialogue with Russia. ÒThis is an administration with no institutional memory whatsoever. ItÕs incredibly pathetic.Ó
Rush transcript of parts with time marks:
¥ 9:30: Melvyn Goodman: "To the Kennedy administration and the Eisenhowwer administration anything left of center was bad. Kennedy was no different than Eisenhower on that regard. The way they looked at the Third World was: If you couldn't control the leader of a Third World country, then you have to oppose that leader. It didn;t matter if he was left or right. This was true for Eisenhower and Kennedy."
The Syrian Test of Trump-Putin Accord
By Ray McGovern, July 8, 2017
The U.S. mainstream media remains obsessed over RussiaÕs alleged ÒmeddlingÓ in last fallÕs election, but the real test of bilateral cooperation may come on the cease-fire in Syria, writes ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern.
Admitting Deep-State Pre-eminence
Only in December 2016, in an interview with Matt Viser of the Boston Globe, did Kerry admit that his efforts to deal with the Russians had been thwarted by then-Defense Secretary Ashton Carter Ð as well as all those forces he found so difficult to align.
ÒUnfortunately we had divisions within our own ranks that made the implementation [of the ceasefire agreement] extremely hard to accomplish,Ó Kerry said. ÒBut it É could have worked. É The fact is we had an agreement with Russia É a joint cooperative effort.
ÒNow we had people in our government who were bitterly opposed to doing that,Ó he said. ÒI regret that. I think that was a mistake. I think youÕd have a different situation there conceivably now if weÕd been able to do that.Ó
The GlobeÕs Viser described Kerry as frustrated. Indeed, it was a tough way for Kerry to end nearly 34 years in public office.
After FridayÕs [July 7, 2017] discussions with President Trump, Kremlin eyes will be focused on Secretary of State Tillerson, watching to see if he has better luck than Kerry did in getting Ashton CarterÕs successor, James ÒMad DogÓ Mattis and CIAÕs latest captive-director Pompeo into line behind what President Trump wants to do.
As the new U.S.-Russia agreed-upon ceasefire goes into effect on Sunday, Putin will be eager to see if this time Trump, unlike Obama, can make a ceasefire in Syria stick; or whether, like Obama, Trump will be unable to prevent it from being sabotaged by WashingtonÕs deep-state actors.
Atomwaffenverbot: "Bundesregierung macht sich unglaubwŸrdig"
Stefan Korinth, 27. MŠrz 2017
Friedensforscher Sascha Hach zu Deutschlands Weigerung, an UN-Verhandlungen zum Verbot von Atomwaffen teilzunehmen.
... Dahinter steckt eine grš§ere Bewegung, die schon seit mehreren Jahren gewachsen ist. Also einerseits auf Regierungsseite, vor allem getragen durch atomwaffenfreie Staaten, die seit 2013 mehrere internationale Konferenzen veranstaltet haben zu den humanitŠren Auswirkung von Atomwaffen, zur Krisenreaktion in solchen FŠllen und zur Frage, wie Atomwaffen všlkerrechtlich geregelt sind. Auf der anderen Seite wird sie von einem breiten zivilgesellschaftlichen BŸndnis unterstŸtzt. Die atomwaffenfreien Staaten sind bei diesen Konferenzen zu dem Schluss gekommen, dass nicht nur die Atomwaffenstaaten selber von den Auswirkungen betroffen wŠren und dass es keine angemessenen Krisenreaktionsmechanismen gibt. Atomwaffen sind aus ihrer Sicht mit dem humanitŠren Všlkerrecht nicht vereinbar und es besteht fŸr sie deshalb dringender Handlungsbedarf, hier eine všlkerrechtliche LŸcke zu schlie§en, um Atomwaffen als letzte noch nicht verbotene Massenvernichtungswaffe zu Šchten.
... Die grundlegenden Ziele sind herausgebildet: dass das Verbot eben nicht nur die Weitergabe von Atomwaffen beinhalten soll, so wie es der Atomwaffensperrvertrag tut, sondern auch die Entwicklung, die Herstellung, den Besitz und den Einsatz delegitimiert.
... Zum einen wŸrde es einen Gegenpol zur aktuellen Debatte schaffen. Denn momentan geht es ja stark in Richtung AufrŸstung und Modernisierung. Die Atomwaffenstaaten fahren die Investitionen rauf, aber auch die Rhetorik, auch die Drohung mit ihren Atomwaffenarsenalen. Das hei§t, wenn es die anderen Staaten schaffen, einen €chtungsvertrag zu beschlie§en, dann zeigen sie in dieser Debatte um Atomwaffen nochmal in eine ganz andere Richtung. Und kšnnen damit auch die aktuelle AufrŸstungs- und Eskalationsdynamik bremsen. Das ist unsere Erwartung.
DarŸber hinaus ist so eine všlkerrechtliche €chtungsnorm hilfreich, um diplomatischen und politischen Druck fŸr nukleare AbrŸstung auszuŸben. Das hei§t, die Atomwaffenstaaten, wenn sie nicht beim Vertrag dabei sind, davon gehen wir jetzt mal aus, wŠren als solche delegitimiert. Wenn eine UN-Konferenz einen Verbotsvertrag macht, dann ist das natŸrlich ein spŸrbarer Angriff auf die Reputation und die LegitimitŠt der Atomwaffenstaaten und ihren privilegierten Status. ...
... Klar hingegen ist, dass Deutschland offiziell an der Abschreckungspolitik der NATO teilnimmt und Mitglied der nuklearen Planungsgruppe innerhalb der Nato ist. Au§erdem stellt Deutschland Ÿber die einfache Stationierung der US-Atomwaffen auf deutschem Staatsgebiet hinaus auch TrŠgersysteme bereit - Tornados - sowie Personal der Bundeswehr fŸr die Wartung, aber auch fŸr den Fall eines Einsatzes. Deutschland nimmt also sehr aktiv an der Abschreckungs- und Nuklearpolitik der Nato teil. Deutschlands Rolle im Gesamtprozess und die jetzige Verweigerung, bei einem Atomwaffenverbot mit zu verhandeln, erklŠrt sich natŸrlich auch durch diese Beteiligung an der Nato-Abschreckungspolitik. ... Durch den Nato-Vertrag ist kein Staat verpflichtet, an der Abschreckungspolitik teilzunehmen oder gar die Stationierung von Atomwaffen auf seinem Territorium zu akzeptieren. Das ist tatsŠchlich eine Frage des politischen Willens.
... Es gab politischen Druck vonseiten der USA [auf Deutschland, sich an der Nato-Atomwaffenpolitik zu beteiligen]. Im Vorfeld der Abstimmung in der Generalversammlung im letzten Jahr hat sich die US-Regierung an alle Nato-Mitgliedstaaten gewandt und sie sehr eindringlich dazu aufgefordert, im Sicherheitsinteresse der Allianz einstimmig gegen Verhandlungen und gegen ein Atomwaffenverbot zu stimmen. Diesem Druck hat sich die Bundesregierung gebeugt - und, das kann man so sagen, sich hier zum Vasallen der USA gemacht (Offener Brief (Cache) an den neuen Au§enminister Gabriel).
...†ber Lšsungsstrategien oder Akteure, die sich fŸr AbrŸstungs- und Entspannungspolitik einsetzen, wird hingegen [in der Presse] kaum berichtet.
Dass auch Ÿber diese Verhandlungen, die jetzt in New York beginnen und Ÿber diese politische Bewegung, die im Schatten der westlichen …ffentlichkeit in Gang gesetzt wurde, so wenig informiert wird, zeigt, dass die Berichterstattung zum Thema Atomwaffen gerade sehr unausgeglichen ist.
... Atomwaffen bedeuten eben Macht, †berlegenheit, Status, Wettbewerb - das sind anscheinend die GrŸnde. Wenn man sich anschaut, wie die Weltordnung durch Atomwaffen untermauert wird, merkt man, dass Atomwaffen eine ganz andere macht- und geopolitische Rolle haben als es die anderen Massenvernichtungswaffen hatten.
... Die jŸngsten Zahlen stammen aus einer Umfrage von 2016. Laut einer Forsa-Erhebung stimmen 93 Prozent der BundesbŸrger fŸr ein Atomwaffenverbot. 85 Prozent haben sich fŸr einen Abzug der Atomwaffen aus Deutschland ausgesprochen. Und 88 Prozent waren gegen eine Modernisierung der Atomwaffen, die in Deutschland stationiert sind. Das ist eine ganz klare Haltung der deutschen …ffentlichkeit. Auch wenn wir mit BŸrgern in Kontakt kommen, bin ich noch keinem begegnet, der es fŸr gut hielte, dass sich Deutschland nuklear bewaffnet.
Trotzdem gab es in der jŸngsten Debatte einzelne Stimmen, darunter auch Politiker, die sich dafŸr aussprachen. Ich glaube, die haben keine gro§e Chance, in der deutschen Bevšlkerung auf positive Resonanz zu sto§en. Es ist traurig, mitanzusehen, dass sich auch solche Institutionen wie die Bundesakademie fŸr Sicherheitspolitik, ein sicherheitspolitischer Think-Tank der Bundesregierung, an dieser Debatte beteiligt und das mit einer sehr unkritischen Haltung gegenŸber Atomwaffen.
... Die FederfŸhrung fŸr die Teilnahme der Bundesregierung an [den UN-]Verhandlungen [zum Verbot von Atomwaffen] hat der Au§enminister. Und die Entscheidung hat unserer Kenntnis nach auch Bundesau§enminister Steinmeier kurz vor der abschlie§enden Abstimmung im Dezember getroffen. Aber wir wissen auch, dass er vonseiten des Verteidigungsministeriums und des Bundeskanzleramtes hierfŸr UnterstŸtzung erhalten hat. Das Bundeskanzleramt soll sich eindeutig gegen eine Teilnahme an Verhandlungen ausgesprochen haben.
Diese Haltung steht im Widerspruch zur AbrŸstungsrhetorik des aktuellen Au§enministers und der Bundesregierung. Sie versucht sich gerade abzugrenzen gegenŸber den Muskelspielen bestimmter StaatenfŸhrer in den USA oder in der TŸrkei und will sich als besonnener Akteur in der Weltpolitik profilieren, der sich Frieden, Entspannung und AbrŸstung verpflichtet fŸhlt. Das ist natŸrlich Ÿberhaupt nicht glaubwŸrdig, wenn sie in der Frage von Atomwaffen nicht mal bereit ist, an GesprŠchen zur AbrŸstung teilzunehmen.
Celebration as UN adopts historic nuclear weapons ban
Tim Wright, 10 JULY 2017
.... The treaty prohibits its state parties from
nuclear weapons.
It also prohibits them from
A nation that possesses nuclear weapons may join the treaty, so long as it agrees to remove them from operational status immediately and destroy them in accordance with a legally binding, time-bound plan. One that hosts another nationÕs nuclear weapons on its territory may also join the treaty on condition that it will remove them by a specified deadline.
With close to 15,000 nuclear weapons remaining in the worldÑand efforts underway in all nuclear-armed nations to bolster their arsenalsÑthe ultimate goal of eliminating this paramount threat to humanity is far from being realized. But now, the United Nations has established the foundations for making a nuclear-weapon-free world possible.
The treaty establishes a powerful norm that, many expect, will prove transformative. It closes a major gap in international law. Nuclear weaponsÑlike other indiscriminate weapons, including biological and chemical weapons, anti-personnel landmines and cluster munitionsÑare now categorically and permanently banned.
After the nuclear weapons ban treaty: A new disarmament politics
Zia Mian, 7 JULY 2017
Article I of the treaty states that each state party undertakes never under any circumstances to:
Hiroshima survivor speaks as U.N delegates vote to prohibit nuclear weapons
Published on Jul 8, 2017
Setsuko Thurlow, an A-bomb survivor who lives in Canada, speaks at the United Nations headquarters in New York on July 7, where a conference voted to adopt a legally binding instrument to prohibit nuclear weapons, leading towards their total elimination. The video was taken by Ryuichi Kanari of The Asahi Shimbun
The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), or the Nuclear Weapon Ban Treaty, is the first legally binding international agreement to comprehensively prohibit nuclear weapons, with the goal of leading towards their total elimination. It was passed on 7 July 2017.[2][3] In order to come into effect, signature and ratification by at least 50 countries is required. For those nations that are party to it, the treaty prohibits the
of nuclear weapons, as well as assistance and encouragement to the prohibited activities. For nuclear armed states joining the treaty, it provides for a time-bound framework for negotiations leading to the verified and irreversible elimination of its nuclear weapons programme.
On 7 July 2017 Ð following a decade of advocacy by ICAN and its partners Ð an overwhelming majority of the worldÕs nations adopted a landmark global agreement to ban nuclear weapons, known officially as the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. It will enter into legal force once 50 nations have signed and ratified it.
Prior to the treatyÕs adoption, nuclear weapons were the only weapons of mass destruction not subject to a comprehensive ban, despite their catastrophic, widespread and persistent humanitarian and environmental consequences. The new agreement fills a significant gap in international law.
It prohibits nations from developing, testing, producing, manufacturing, transferring, possessing, stockpiling, using or threatening to use nuclear weapons, or allowing nuclear weapons to be stationed on their territory. It also prohibits them from assisting, encouraging or inducing anyone to engage in any of these activities.
A nation that possesses nuclear weapons may join the treaty, so long as it agrees to destroy them in accordance with a legally binding, time-bound plan. Similarly, a nation that hosts another nationÕs nuclear weapons on its territory may join, so long as it agrees to remove them by a specified deadline.
Nations are obliged to provide assistance to all victims of the use and testing of nuclear weapons and to take measures for the remediation of contaminated environments. The preamble acknowledges the harm suffered as a result of nuclear weapons, including the disproportionate impact on women and girls, and on indigenous peoples around the world.
The treaty was negotiated at the United Nations headquarters in New York in March, June and July 2017, with the participation of more than 135 nations, as well as members of civil society. It opened for signature on 20 September 2017. It is permanent in nature, and will be legally binding on those nations that join it.
------------------------------------------
As [the Trump administrationÕs UN ambassador Nikki] Haley put it, ÒWe have to be realistic, is there anyone who thinks that North Korea would ban nuclear weapons?Ó Fortunately, more than 3,700 scientists, including 30 Nobel Laureates and a former Secretary of Defense, ignored her and signed an open letter supporting the negotiations. [Lawrence J. Korb, The nuclear ban treaty: A missed US opportunity that can be redeemed in September, The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 10 July 2017].
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons
... The German section of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) highlighted Article 1, 2a prohibiting any stationing of nuclear weapons on their own territory. Hence, several NATO states Ð Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and Turkey Ð would have to end contracts on nuclear sharing with the USA before they possibly could sign the negotiated ban treaty.[28] Already in 2010, the German Bundestag had decided with large majority to withdraw nuclear bombs from Germany, but it was never realized.[29] By contrast, in June 2017 foreign minister Sigmar Gabriel confirmed again nuclear stationing in Germany as well as the principle of equilibrium nuclear deterrence against Russia. He stated that consequently Germany could not support the ban process.[3]
The Stalemate Machine: A Schematic Summary
Pages 132 - 135 in Papers on the War
by Daniel Ellsberg, Simon and Schuster, New York, 1972
The following imputed Presidential decision guidelines (A, below) will, under crisis conditions of the Vietnam conflict as perceived by Washington decision-makers, lead to policy choices and Executive performance conforming in some detail to those actually obtaining at major escalation points (not necessarily to behavior in between them) between 1950 - 68. (Presidential choices significantly escalating U.S. involvement have occurred, in fact, only in crisis situations of impending failure.)
Together with decisions between major escalations, institutional consequences (including consequences for expectations), and external factors - mainly, GVN and DRV/VC behavior operating over time - these rules will generate an evolution of policy, involvement, and conflict very close to that observed over that period (B, C, and D below).
A. Presidential Decision Rules in Crisis
Rule 1
Do not lose South Vietnam to Communist control - or appear likely to do so - before the next election.
Rule 2
Do not, unless essential to satisfy Rule 1 in the immediate crisis or an earlier one:
Rule 3
Do choose actions that will:
(¡) roughly in order shown under Rule 2, though, for example, any adjacent pair may be reversed, depending on judgement and circumstances.
EU erkennt Ÿberraschend ãGrundlage der KooperationÒ mit Russland
Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten | Veršffentlicht: 12.07.17 01:45 Uhr
Russland und die EuropŠische Union wollen einen neuen Anlauf starten, um ihre au§enpolitische Zusammenarbeit zu stŠrken. Obwohl beide Seiten nicht bei allen Themen dieselben Positionen teilten, sei eine ãGrundlage zur KooperationÒ zu erkennen, sagte die EU-Au§enbeauftragte Federica Mogherini nach einem Treffen mit Russlands Au§enminister Sergej Lawrow am Dienstag in BrŸssel. Es sei notwendig, regelmŠ§ige Kontakte zu unterhalten.
Es sei aus Sicht der EU ãunerlŠsslichÒ, wo immer dies mšglich sei, zusammenzuarbeiten, sagte die EU-Au§enbeauftragte nach mehrstŸndigen GesprŠchen mit Lawrow. Dabei ging es Mogherini zufolge neben Syrien auch um die Krise in Libyen, die Vereinbarung mit dem Iran, die Spannungen in der Golf-Region, den Friedensprozess im Nahen Osten und die Lage in Nordkorea und in der Ukraine.
Lawrow sagte laut TASS, er hoffe, dass sich die Beziehungen zwischen Russland und der EU wieder normalisieren wŸrden. Als Nachbarn hŠtten beide Seiten ein Interesse an guten Beziehungen. Er habe daher der Bitte Mogherinis zu einem Treffen sofort entsprochen. Lawrow hielt sich in Belgien auf, wodurch das GesprŠch mšglich geworden sei. Auch Lawrow unterstŸtzte die Idee von regelmŠ§igen Kontakten.
OSZE-Treffen: Sebastian Kurz fordert AnnŠherung zwischen Russland und EU
Quelle: Reuters © Reuters, 11.07.2017 ¥ 19:29 Uhr
Der OSZE-Vorsitzende Sebastian Kurz empfŠngt den russischen Au§enminister Sergej Lawrow. Bei einem informellen Treffen der OSZE am Dienstag in …sterreich sprachen sich Vertreter der Organisation fŸr eine AnnŠherung zwischen Russland und der EU aus. In Europa kšnne es Frieden nur mit Russland geben. Das Blockdenken mŸsse Ÿberwunden werden.
Intel Vets Challenge ÔRussia HackÕ Evidence
July 24, 2017 (in cache)
In a memo to President Trump, a group of former U.S. intelligence officers, including NSA specialists, cite new forensic studies to challenge the claim of the key Jan. 6 ÒassessmentÓ that Russia ÒhackedÓ Democratic emails last year.
MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)
SUBJECT: Was the ÒRussian HackÓ an Inside Job?
Executive Summary
Forensic studies of ÒRussian hackingÓ into Democratic National Committee computers last year reveal that on July 5, 2016, data was leaked (not hacked) by a person with physical access to DNC computers, and then doctored to incriminate Russia.
... Independent analyst Skip Folden, a retired IBM Program Manager for Information Technology US, who examined the recent forensic findings, is a co-author of this Memorandum. He has drafted a more detailed technical report titled ÒCyber-Forensic Investigation of ÔRussian HackÕ and Missing Intelligence Community Disclaimers,Ó and sent it to the offices of the Special Counsel and the Attorney General. VIPS member William Binney, a former Technical Director at the National Security Agency, and other senior NSA ÒalumniÓ in VIPS attest to the professionalism of the independent forensic findings.
The recent forensic studies fill in a critical gap. Why the FBI neglected to perform any independent forensics on the original ÒGuccifer 2.0Ó material remains a mystery Ð as does the lack of any sign that the Òhand-picked analystsÓ from the FBI, CIA, and NSA, who wrote the ÒIntelligence Community AssessmentÓ dated January 6, 2017, gave any attention to forensics.
NOTE: There has been so much conflation of charges about hacking that we wish to make very clear the primary focus of this Memorandum. We focus specifically on the July 5, 2016 alleged Guccifer 2.0 ÒhackÓ of the DNC server. In earlier VIPS memoranda we addressed the lack of any evidence connecting the Guccifer 2.0 alleged hacks and WikiLeaks, and we asked President Obama specifically to disclose any evidence that WikiLeaks received DNC data from the Russians [see here and here].
Addressing this point at his last press conference (January 18), he described Òthe conclusions of the intelligence communityÓ as Ònot conclusive,Ó even though the Intelligence Community Assessment of January 6 expressed Òhigh confidenceÓ that Russian intelligence Òrelayed material it acquired from the DNC É to WikiLeaks.Ó
ObamaÕs admission came as no surprise to us. It has long been clear to us that the reason the U.S. government lacks conclusive evidence of a transfer of a ÒRussian hackÓ to WikiLeaks is because there was no such transfer. Based mostly on the cumulatively unique technical experience of our ex-NSA colleagues, we have been saying for almost a year that the DNC data reached WikiLeaks via a copy/leak by a DNC insider (but almost certainly not the same person who copied DNC data on July 5, 2016).
From the information available, we conclude that the same inside-DNC, copy/leak process was used at two different times, by two different entities, for two distinctly different purposes:
...
The Time Sequence
June 12, 2016: Assange announces WikiLeaks is about to publish Òemails related to Hillary Clinton.Ó
June 15, 2016: DNC contractor Crowdstrike, (with a dubious professional record and multiple conflicts of interest) announces that malware has been found on the DNC server and claims there is evidence it was injected by Russians.
June 15, 2016: On the same day, ÒGuccifer 2.0Ó affirms the DNC statement; claims responsibility for the Òhack;Ó claims to be a WikiLeaks source; and posts a document that the forensics show was synthetically tainted with ÒRussian fingerprints.Ó
We do not think that the June 12 & 15 timing was pure coincidence. Rather, it suggests the start of a pre-emptive move to associate Russia with anything WikiLeaks might have been about to publish and to ÒshowÓ that it came from a Russian hack.
The Key Event
July 5, 2016: In the early evening, Eastern Daylight Time, someone working in the EDT time zone with a computer directly connected to the DNC server or DNC Local Area Network, copied 1,976 MegaBytes of data in 87 seconds onto an external storage device. That speed is many times faster than what is physically possible with a hack.
It thus appears that the purported ÒhackÓ of the DNC by Guccifer 2.0 (the self-proclaimed WikiLeaks source) was not a hack by Russia or anyone else, but was rather a copy of DNC data onto an external storage device. Moreover, the forensics performed on the metadata reveal there was a subsequent synthetic insertion Ð a cut-and-paste job using a Russian template, with the clear aim of attributing the data to a ÒRussian hack.Ó This was all performed in the East Coast time zone. ...
FOR THE STEERING GROUP, VETERAN INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS FOR SANITY
William Binney, former NSA Technical Director for World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; Co-founder of NSAÕs Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center
Skip Folden, independent analyst, retired IBM Program Manager for Information Technology US (Associate VIPS)
Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)
Larry C Johnson, CIA & State Department (ret.)
Michael S. Kearns, Air Force Intelligence Officer (Ret.), Master SERE Resistance to Interrogation Instructor
John Kiriakou, Former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.)
Lisa Ling, TSgt USAF (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Edward Loomis, Jr., former NSA Technical Director for the Office of Signals Processing
David MacMichael, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Ray McGovern, former U.S. Army Infantry/Intelligence officer and CIA analyst
Elizabeth Murray, former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Middle East, CIA
Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)
Cian Westmoreland, former USAF Radio Frequency Transmission Systems Technician and Unmanned Aircraft Systems whistleblower (Associate VIPS)
Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA
Sarah G. Wilton, Intelligence Officer, DIA (ret.); Commander, US Naval Reserve (ret.)
Ann Wright, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat
ÔZero evidenceÕ that Russia hacked DNC, says NSA whistleblower (VIDEO)
Published time: 8 Nov, 2017 18:07
Edited time: 9 Nov, 2017 11:34
(in cache)
Videos:
NSA whistleblower William Binney spoke to RT about his recent meeting with CIA director Mike Pompeo, where they discussed accusations that Russia meddled in 2016 US presidential election by hacking the Democrats.
In an interview with RT America host Ed Schultz on Wednesday, Binney said tests have Òclearly showedÓ the DNC was not hacked by Russia before the 2016 presidential election, but that the data was downloaded locally.
Binney met with CIA director Mike Pompeo on Wednesday to review analysis by the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS), which challenged the notion that the Democratic National Committee (DNC) was hacked by Russia. In a letter to President Donald Trump, the group claims the Òdata was leaked (not hacked) by a person with physical access to DNC computers.Ó
After analyzing the data, VIPS concluded that the transfer simply does not support the claim the documents were hacked by Russian agents, as leaders of the US intelligence community claimed in a January report.
Binney also spoke with RT's Neil Harvey on Wednesday.
During the meeting, Binney shared test findings gleaned on the transfer rate of data, which he said Òclearly showed that it was a local download and not an international hack.Ó
ÒIt was very clear it was a local download, because of the speeds and all,Ó Binney said, explaining how his colleagues set up a test between a data center in New Jersey and another in the UK, and could not reproduce the download that took place on July 5, 2016.
The approximately 16Gbits [1,976 Megabytes] of data was downloaded in two bursts, totaling 87 seconds, with a 12-minute pause between them.
ÒIt had to be done locally,Ó Binney told RT America.
The data logs and the speed test were the only concrete evidence available for examination, he pointed out. ÒEverything else is speculation, and agenda- and emotionally-driven assertions.Ó
NSA whistleblower told CIA director DNC leak was inside job, not Russian hack
If the intelligence community had some factual evidence proving Russian hacking, that would be another matter, the NSA whistleblower said, but Òso far theyÕve produced nothing.Ó
When asked who could have been behind the leak, Binney said it may have been an Òinside job,Ó but he couldnÕt attribute it to anybody in particular, because Òwe never knew who did the download, or whether or not it went anywhere else.Ó
President John F. Kennedy presented aerial surveillance photos of Soviet missiles in Cuba during the 1962 missile crisis, Binney pointed out. Reagan presented Japanese radio intercepts of orders to shoot down the Korean airliner in 1983. No such evidence has been offered for the hacking accusation, though many lawmakers have described it as an act of war.
ÒThey need to put up or shut up,Ó said Binney. He said he does not buy into such claims without any factual evidence, Òand thatÕs basically what their situation is. They have zero evidence.Ó
However, if there was an agency who would be able to detect if the DNC was hacked, it would be the NSA, Binney said.
ÒIf anybody did anything across the net, NSA has so many taps on the fiber network inside the US and around the world and so many traceroute programs embedded by the hundreds around the network, they would know where these packets went,Ó Binney told RT America.
The NSA and FBI Òknow a lot more than they're telling the president,Ó Binney added.
The analysis from VIPS implies the intelligence community is not telling the Trump administration what really happened, Binney said. They donÕt want the American people to hear the truth either, he added.
ÒTheyÕre hiding this. They keep the population ignorant, uninformed so they can manipulate them any way they want,Ó Binney said. ÒThis is the same thing the mainstream media is doing.Ó
Mainstream media outlets have branded the VIPS analysis as Òdisputed,Ó Òfringe,Ó or a Òconspiracy theoryÓ (Washington Post, NBC, and CNN respectively) while failing to apply the same level of skepticism to the US intelligence community narrative.
On Wednesday, the NSA whistleblower was repeatedly called Binney a Òconspiracy theoristÓ in a CNN article about the meeting.
ÒThatÕs basically showing the shallow weakness of their argument,Ó Binney said. ÒThey produce no facts whatsoever and simply throw labels at people to do character assassination.Ó
NSA whistleblower told CIA director DNC leak was inside job, not Russian hack
Published time: 8 Nov, 2017 14:51 Edited time: 9 Nov, 2017 11:33
(in cache)
A Leak or a Hack? A Forum on the VIPS Memo
A letter from dissenting members of VIPS, a reply from VIPS, and the results of our independent review
By Various Contributors, SEPTEMBER 1, 2017
(in cache)
Quoted below are the first 3 paragraphs of the reply (in cache) from William Binney, Skip Folden, Ed Loomis, Ray McGovern, Kirk Wiebe
on the dissenting memo (in cache) written by Thomas Drake, Lisa Ling, Cian Westmoreland, Philip M. Giraldi, and Jesselyn Radack
WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT
BY WILLIAM BINNEY, SKIP FOLDEN, ED LOOMIS, RAY MCGOVERN, AND KIRK WIEBE
We Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS) scientists make our technical judgments based on given facts and do not speculate without a factual basis. The main issue here is: Who gave the DNC e-mails to WikiLeaks? ÒHandpickedÓ analysts from three intelligence agencies ÒassessÓ that the Russians hacked into the DNC, but provide no hard evidence for this.
We think back to the evidence-free ÒassessmentsÓ 15 years ago before the attack on Iraq. Several Òhigh-confidenceÓ intelligence judgments had been fraudulently ÒfixedÓ to dovetail with the Bush/Cheney agenda for war. In June 2008, the chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee released a bipartisan report five years in the making. Mincing no words, he wrote: ÒIn making the case for war, the Administration repeatedly presented intelligence as fact when in reality it was unsubstantiated, contradicted, or even non-existent.Ó
We worry that this may be happening again. Adding to our concern, in recent years we have seen Òfalse-flagÓ attacks carried out to undergird a political narrative and objectiveÑto blame the Syrian government for chemical attacks, for example. Forensic evidence suggests that this tried-and-tested technique (in this instance, simply pasting in a Russian template with Òtelltale signsÓ) may have been used to ÒshowÓ that Russia hacked into the DNC computers last June.
For more than a year, we have been pointing out that any data acquired by a hack would have had to come across the Internet. The blanket coverage of the Internet by the NSA, its UK counterpart GCHQ, and others would be able to produce copies of that data and show where the data originated and where it went. But US intelligence has produced no evidence that hacking by Russia led to it acquiring the DNC e-mails and passing them on to WikiLeaks. ...
William Binney was a civilian employee of the National Security Agency from 1970 to 2001. He held numerous positions, including technical director of the World Geopolitical and Military Analysis Reporting Group; Operations Directorate analysis skill field leader; member of the NSA Senior Technical Review Panel; chair of the Technical Advisory Panel to the Foreign Relations Council; co-founder of the SIGINT Automation Research Center; NSA representative to the National Technology Alliance Executive Board; and technical director of the Office of Russia, as well as working as a senior analyst for Warning for over 20 years. After retiring, Binney blew the whistle on the unconstitutional surveillance programs run by the NSA. His outspoken criticism led to an early-morning FBI raid on his home in 2007. Even before Edward SnowdenÕs whistle-blowing, Binney publicly revealed that the NSA had access to telecommunications companiesÕ domestic and international billing records, and that since 9/11 the agency has intercepted some 15 to 20 trillion domestic communications. The documents released by Edward Snowden confirmed many of the surveillance dangers about which Binney had been warning under both the Bush and Obama administrations.
Skip Folden (Associate VIPS) retired from IBM after 25 years. His last position there was as IBM program manager for information technology, US.
Ed Loomis is a former NSA technical director for the Office of Signals Processing. From 1996 to 2001, he led the SIGINT Automation Research Center. He retired in 2001 as senior cryptologic computer scientist after 37 years at the agency. He worked for the NSA as an enterprise senior system architect from 2002 to 2007 following retirement, and he was professionally certified in multiple fields at the NSA: mathematician, computer systems analyst, operations research analyst, and system acquisition manager. Loomis applied technical knowledge and experience in developing automated systems focused on producing intelligence supporting military operations and top US decision-makers from 1964 to 2001.
Ray McGovern worked as a CIA analyst under seven presidents and nine CIA directors after serving as a US Army infantry/intelligence officer in the 1960s, McGovern. His concentration was on Russia, one of the foreign posts in which he served. He was chief of the CIAÕs Foreign Policy Branch in the 1970s and acting national intelligence officer for Western Europe in the Õ80s. He prepared the PresidentÕs Daily Brief for Presidents Nixon, Ford, and Reagan. During ReaganÕs first term, McGovern conducted the early-morning CIA substantive briefings, one-on-one, to the presidentÕs five most senior foreign-policy advisers. At retirement, he was awarded the Intelligence Commendation Medallion for Òespecially meritorious service,Ó but gave it back in March 2006 to dissociate himself from an agency engaged in torture. After retirement, he co-founded Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity.
Kirk Wiebe is a former senior analyst at the SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA. He led the centerÕs response to National Security Decision Directive 178, ordering the NSA to develop a program to counter the threat posed by foreign relocatable targets, which earned him the DCIÕs National Meritorious Unit Citation. Wiebe was awarded the NSAÕs second-highest honor, the Meritorious Civilian Service Award, together with numerous other awards for work on the challenges of digital-age strategic planning. He held the NSAÕs professional certification as a Russian linguist.
Live links to VIPS memos can be found at consortiumnews.com/vips-memos.
CIA DIRECTOR MET ADVOCATE OF DISPUTED DNC HACK THEORY Ñ AT TRUMPÕS REQUEST
Duncan Campbell, James Risen
November 7 2017, 3:11 p.m.
(in cache)
Guccifer 2.0 NGP/VAN Metadata Analysis
August 24, 2017
Based on the analysis that is detailed below, the following key findings are presented:
MacronÕs Maneuvers on the New Cold War
by Dennis J Bernstein, July 26, 2017
Official WashingtonÕs hawks are blocking President TrumpÕs desired detente with Russia, but that has opened a path for FranceÕs new President Macron to mediate the New Cold War, Diana Johnstone tells Dennis J Bernstein.
PBSÕ Anti-Russia Propaganda Series
by Rick Sterling, July 27, 2017 (in cache)
PBS has joined the anti-Russia propaganda stampede with a five-part documentary series that recycles the false and deceptive claims that have become Official WashingtonÕs dangerous new groupthink, reports Rick Sterling.
Episode 1: ÒHow Putin Redefined what it means to be RussianÓ
In this episode, the documentary:
Episode 2: ÒInside RussiaÕs Propaganda Machine.Ó
In this episode, the documentary:
Episode 3: ÒWhy are so many from this Russian republic fighting for Isis?Ó
In this episode, the documentary:
Episode 4: ÒThe Deadly Risk of Standing up to PutinÓ
In this episode, the documentary:
Episode 5: ÒWhat Russians think about Trump and the U.S.Ó
Based on the content, the final episode should be titled ÒWhat the U.S. establishment and media thinks of Putin and Russia.Ó In this episode, the documentary:
The PBS documentary ÒInside PutinÕs RussiaÓ aims to expose Russian repression, aggression and disinformation. As shown in the many examples above, the five-part documentary is highly biased and inaccurate. While it shows some features of Russia, it also demonstrates American propaganda in the current tumultuous times.
The Dawn of an Orwellian Future
by Robert Parry, July 28, 2017
Exclusive: The U.S. mainstream media continues to spread its own Òfake news,Ó like the falsehood about an intelligence community ÒconsensusÓ on Russia-gate Òhacking,Ó as algorithms begin to marginalize dissent, reports Robert Parry.
A report by the World Socialist Web Site found that Òin the three months since Internet monopoly Google announced plans to keep users from accessing Ôfake news,Õ the global traffic rankings of a broad range of left-wing, progressive, anti-war and democratic rights organizations have fallen significantly.Ó
GoogleÕs strategy is to downgrade search results for targeted Web sites based on a supposed desire to limit reader access to Òlow-qualityÓ information, but the targets reportedly include some of the highest-quality alternative news sites on the Internet, such as Ð according to the report Ð Consortiumnews.com.
Google sponsors the First Draft Coalition, which was created to counter alleged Òfake newsÓ and consists of mainstream news outlets, including the Times and The Washington Post, as well as establishment-approved Web sites, such as Bellingcat, which has a close association with the anti-Russia and pro-NATO Atlantic Council.
This creation of a modern-day Ministry of Truth occurred under the cover of a mainstream-driven hysteria about Òfake newsÓ and ÒRussian propagandaÓ in the wake of Donald TrumpÕs election.
Last Thanksgiving Day, the Post ran a front-page article citing accusations from an anonymous Web site, PropOrNot, that identified 200 Web sites Ñ including such Internet stalwarts as Truthdig, Counterpunch and Consortiumnews Ñ as purveyors of ÒRussian propaganda.Ó
Apparently, PropOrNotÕs standard was to smear any news outlet that questioned the State DepartmentÕs Official Narrative on the Ukraine crisis or some other global hot spot, but the Post didnÕt offer any actual specifics of what these Web sites had done to earn their place on a McCarthyistic blacklist.
Speech and the Following Discussion at the Munich Conference on Security Policy (2007)
by Vladimir Putin, February 10, 2007 (in cache)
... I consider that the unipolar model is not only unacceptable but also impossible in todayÕs world. And this is not only because if there was individual leadership in todayÕs Ð and precisely in todayÕs Ð world, then the military, political and economic resources would not suffice. What is even more important is that the model itself is flawed because at its basis there is and can be no moral foundations for modern civilisation. ...
Today we are witnessing an almost uncontained hyper use of force Ð military force Ð in international relations, force that is plunging the world into an abyss of permanent conflicts. As a result we do not have sufficient strength to find a comprehensive solution to any one of these conflicts. Finding a political settlement also becomes impossible.
We are seeing a greater and greater disdain for the basic principles of international law. And independent legal norms are, as a matter of fact, coming increasingly closer to one stateÕs legal system. One state and, of course, first and foremost the United States, has overstepped its national borders in every way. This is visible in the economic, political, cultural and educational policies it imposes on other nations. Well, who likes this? Who is happy about this?
In international relations we increasingly see the desire to resolve a given question according to so-called issues of political expediency, based on the current political climate.
And of course this is extremely dangerous. It results in the fact that no one feels safe. I want to emphasise this Ð no one feels safe! Because no one can feel that international law is like a stone wall that will protect them. Of course such a policy stimulates an arms race.
The forceÕs dominance inevitably encourages a number of countries to acquire weapons of mass destruction. Moreover, significantly new threats Ð though they were also well-known before Ð have appeared, and today threats such as terrorism have taken on a global character.
I am convinced that we have reached that decisive moment when we must seriously think about the architecture of global security.
And we must proceed by searching for a reasonable balance between the interests of all participants in the international dialogue. Especially since the international landscape is so varied and changes so quickly Ð changes in light of the dynamic development in a whole number of countries and regions.
Madam Federal Chancellor already mentioned this. The combined GDP measured in purchasing power parity of countries such as India and China is already greater than that of the United States. And a similar calculation with the GDP of the BRIC countries Ð Brazil, Russia, India and China Ð surpasses the cumulative GDP of the EU. And according to experts this gap will only increase in the future.
There is no reason to doubt that the economic potential of the new centres of global economic growth will inevitably be converted into political influence and will strengthen multipolarity.
In connection with this the role of multilateral diplomacy is significantly increasing. The need for principles such as openness, transparency and predictability in politics is uncontested and the use of force should be a really exceptional measure, comparable to using the death penalty in the judicial systems of certain states. ...
Oliver Stone Defends His Putin Interviews
By Dennis J Bernstein, July 31, 2017
Director Oliver Stone saw his four-part interviews with Russian President Putin as a way to give Americans a better understanding of a leader who has been demonized in the mainstream media, reports Dennis J Bernstein.
Dennis Bernstein: The corporate mainstream reporting on the Ukraine has been amazing.
Oliver Stone: It is an historical inaccuracy. If you read the accounts at the time in the Washington Post and the New York Times, there was zero coverage from the other side. Reporters were dismissing these stories as conspiracy theories and this was Òon the day of.Ó It was so evidently a coup, the Europeans knew it. Yet, in the United States, we seemed, as we often do, to be blissfully ignorant of the other side of the story.
We are looking for some justification for restarting the Cold War. It was almost as if we were back to confronting the Soviet Union again. We have been stalking Putin since he starting putting the economy back together again. Around 2004 you start to see the earliest criticism of him as a dictator and an embezzler, and so on.
And talk about meddling in elections, Putin was understated when he said that the United States was all over the Russian election in 2012. We have a clip of [Assistant] Secretary of State Victoria Nuland saying how we were trying to do all this good work in Russia, etc. We were blatantly interfering in their election. In 1996 we completely rigged the election for Yeltsin. He was so unpopular after four years in office that the communists were poised to take back the government. We arranged for him to get a gigantic loan from the IMF, among other things.
... Putin talked with me at length about nuclear parity. I donÕt think most Americans realize that when Bush abrogated the non-proliferation treaty in 2001 we were removing one of the principal cornerstones of our national security. And then we put the ABM [Anti-Ballistic Missile] in Poland and more recently in Romania.
In 2009 Obama announced that we would be spending trillions of dollars to modernize our nuclear arsenal, and now Trump declares that we are going to win the next war. It is frightening as hell to the Russians. Putin pointed out that they currently have one-tenth of our military budget. All kinds of horrors could be in store if the United States tries to press its advantage with nuclear weapons.
... Putin is well aware that the media in this country never really brings across what he is trying to say. I have been very impressed with his speeches. For example, the theme of his 2007 Munich [Security Conference] speech is still very relevant. He saw what was going on in the world, with our invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. That speech was never really reported here in the United States. It is disgraceful that we cannot take an important foreign leader seriously and report his own words.
Endangering a Landmark Nuclear Treaty
By Jonathan Marshall, August 6, 2017
Official WashingtonÕs political game of heightening tensions with nuclear-armed Russia to get better control of President Trump could destroy a landmark nuclear arms control treaty, as Jonathan Marshall explains.
Playing Politics with the WorldÕs Future
By Alastair Crooke, August 6, 2017
The strategy of neutering President Trump in his dealings with Russia Ð and his administrationÕs own ignorance about complex Mideast issues Ð are combining to create grave dangers, writes ex-British diplomat Alastair Crooke
... Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev wrote in response:
ÒThe signing of new sanctions against Russia into law by the U.S. president leads to several consequences.
ÒWhat does this mean for the U.S.? The American establishment completely outplayed Trump. The President is not happy with the new sanctions, but he could not avoid signing the new law. The purpose of the new sanctions was to put Trump in his place. Their ultimate goal is to remove Trump from power.Ó .
... Polls indicate
The point here is that the Republican support for TrumpÕs desire for dŽtente with Russia has not eroded one jot, whereas the ÒconcernÓ of the Independents and even among Democrats is eroding somewhat.
Neocons Leverage Trump-Hate for More Wars
By Robert Parry, August 5, 2017
Exclusive: The enactment of new sanctions against Russia and Iran Ð with the support of nearly all Democrats and Republicans in Congress Ð shows how the warmongering neocons again have come out on top, reports Robert Parry.
By John Pilger, August 4, 2017
Republicans and Democrats Ð along with a complicit mainstream media Ð are plunging ahead toward war with Russia, a mad groupthink that could end life on the planet, observes John Pilger.
The War on WikiLeaks and Assange
August 4, 2017
Helping government authorities discredit Julian Assange and destroy WikiLeaks, mainstream media outlets twisted a recent interview to make Assange look like a Donald Trump backer, write Randy Credico and Dennis J Bernstein.
ÔAmerican public doesnÕt share establishmentÕs hostility towards RussiaÕ Ð Reagan's adviser
by SophieCo, Published time: 13 Mar, 2017 07:24 (in cache, cached video of interview: INTENSO#8)
We ask a former adviser to President Ronald Reagan on Russian affairs, Russia scholar and author Ð Suzanne Massie.
... I happen to care a great deal for Russia and I have for many years, and I have always maintained the exact position from the beginning and that is you have a lot to give us and we have a lot to give you. We should be together, because together we could do a great deal more than we can do apart for the rest of the world. That's been my position. If they [the Trump adminsitration] ever wanted to talk to me about that, I would be happy.
The American public is very-very different from what is now being heard in the U.S. It comes from Washington and it comes from some of the media. Much good stuff exists on the Internet if you want to look for it, but the great public and I say that, basically, sometimes, even Russia forgets that Washington is not the U.S. any more than Paris is the whole France. We have other places and I have been saying: instead of trying to concentrate all the time on Washington you should be concentrating on other places in the United States. Now, I have given lectures in every state of the United States except Alaska and Hawaii, and I have seen the same thing and I've done it now for about 20 years - the same thing. The American people, the public, is always very curious about you, they always want to know, they always say to me: why Russia, why did I go and study Russia? They ask questions, they are always curious and they are not hostile. Americans, even up in Maine, not even Maine, which is a state of fishermen and boat-builders and you know, even the men who came to plough our snow the night before I left - said exactly the same thing as I'm saying to you: "We should be together". "You know" - he kept saying - "You know, I don't like what they're saying, the press". And that is the fact. So I wouldn't take too seriously the things that are said now in limited ways, and say that the public feels that way. No American I have ever met would like to have a war with you.
...
ein Artikel in DIE ZEIT von Matthias Na§ | 29. Oktober 2016 (im Cache)
The NYTÕs Yellow Journalism on Russia
By Robert Parry, September 15, 2017 (in cache)
Exclusive: The New York TimesÕ descent into yellow journalism over Russia recalls the sensationalism of Hearst and Pulitzer leading to the Spanish-American War, but the risks to humanity are much greater now.
For one, even if the U.S. government were to succeed in destabilizing nuclear-armed Russia sufficiently to force out President Putin, the neocon dream of another malleable Boris Yeltsin in the Kremlin is far less likely than the emergence of an extreme Russian nationalist who might be ready to push the nuclear button rather than accept further humiliation of Mother Russia.
The truth is that the world has much less to fear from the calculating Vladimir Putin than from the guy who might follow a deposed Vladimir Putin amid economic desperation and political chaos in Russia. But the possibility of nuclear Armageddon doesnÕt seem to bother the neocon/liberal-interventionist New York Times. Nor apparently does the principle of fair and honest journalism.
The Times and rest of the mainstream media are just having too much fun hating Russia and Putin to worry about the possible extermination of life on planet Earth.
Did Manning Help Avert War in Iran?
By Robert Parry (Originally published on Aug. 19, 2013), January 25, 2017 (in cache)
From the Archive: Though President Obama commuted Chelsea ManningÕs prison sentence, he showed no appreciation for her brave disclosures, including one that undercut war plans with Iran, Robert Parry reported in 2013.
Clinton, Assange and the War on Truth
By John Pilger, October 20, 2017
AustraliaÕs public broadcasting network gave Hillary Clinton an open mike to defame WikiLeaksÕ Julian Assange as Òa tool of Russian intelligenceÓ without giving him a chance to respond.
FERGUSON: How much of that was a personal vendetta by Vladimir Putin against you?
CLINTON: É I mean he wants to destabilize democracy. He wants to undermine America, he wants to go after the Atlantic Alliance and we consider Australia kind of a É an extension of that É
(The opposite is true. It is a combination of Western armies massing on RussiaÕs border for the first time since the Russian Revolution 100 years ago.)
...
(What Clinton fails to say Ð and her interviewer fails to remind her Ð is that in 2010, WikiLeaks revealed that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had ordered a secret intelligence campaign targeted at the United Nations leadership, including the Secretary General, Ban Ki-Moon and the permanent Security Council representatives from China, Russia, France and the U.K. A classified directive, signed by Clinton, was issued to U.S. diplomats in July 2009, demanding forensic technical details about the communications systems used by top U.N. officials, including passwords and personal encryption keys used in private and commercial networks. This was known as Cablegate. It was lawless spying.)
CLINTON: He [Assange] is very clearly a tool of Russian intelligence. And, ah, he has done their bidding.
(Clinton offered no evidence to back up this serious accusation, nor did Ferguson challenge her.)
CLINTON: You donÕt see damaging negative information coming out about the Kremlin on WikiLeaks. You didnÕt see any of that published.
(This was false. WikiLeaks has published a massive number of documents on Russia Ð more than 800,000, most of them critical, many of them used in books and as evidence in court cases.)
...
ÒLibya was Hillary ClintonÕs war,Ó Julian Assange said in a filmed interview with me last year. ÒBarack Obama initially opposed it. Who was the person championing it? Hillary Clinton. ThatÕs documented throughout her emails É thereÕs more than 1,700 emails out of the 33,000 Hillary Clinton emails that weÕve published, just about Libya. ItÕs not that Libya has cheap oil. She perceived the removal of Gaddafi and the overthrow of the Libyan state Ñ something that she would use in her run-up to the general election for President.
ÒSo in late 2011 there is an internal document called the Libya Tick Tock that was produced for Hillary Clinton, and itÕs the chronological description of how she was the central figure in the destruction of the Libyan state, which resulted in around 40,000 deaths within Libya; jihadists moved in, ISIS moved in, leading to the European refugee and migrant crisis.
Getting the Left to Embrace US ÔExceptionalismÕ
By James W. Carden, October 24, 2017
Exclusive: Neocons have deftly used the LeftÕs hatred of President Trump and the demonizing of Russia to lure liberals and progressives into an interventionist mindset to defend ÒAmerican exceptionalism".
... In the end, the ideology of American Exceptionalism feeds delusions of American Innocence and prepares the ground for military intervention the world over. Is that really the right way to oppose Donald Trump?
von Prof. Dr. Axel Schšnberger, Deutschland, 27. Okt. 2017 (im Cache)
Am 27. Oktober 2017 hat der ungesetzliche und verfassungswidrige Staatsstreich des spanischen MinisterprŠsidenten Mariano Rajoy und des Partido Popular begonnen. Nicht mit qualifizierter, sondern mit einfacher Mehrheit legt der Partido Popular und der spanische Senat Artikel 155 der spanischen Verfassung gegen dessen Wortlaut zu einem ErmŠchtigungsartikel aus und erweitert ihn ohne Rechtsgrundlage zu einem Instrument fŸr einen Staatsstreich von oben, um massiv gegen bestehendes spanisches Recht zu versto§en. Die VerkŸndung der Absetzung der katalanischen Regierung und des katalanischen Parlaments, die ÇAuslšschungÈ einer Reihe von katalanischen Regierungsinstitutionen sowie die Ausschreibung von Neuwahlen in Katalonien fallen nicht in die Kompetenz des spanischen MinisterprŠsidenten und sind auch nicht durch die Verfassung gedeckt, sondern versto§en im Gegenteil eklatant gegen die spanische Verfassung und gegen spanische Gesetze, insbesondere gegen das Autonomiestatut Kataloniens, das geltendes spanisches Recht ist.
Seit Jahren hat der Partido Popular unter FŸhrung von Mariano Rajoy darauf hingearbeitet, eine UnabhŠngigkeitserklŠrung Kataloniens geradezu zu erzwingen, um so endlich die ihm und seiner postfranquistischen Partei unliebsamen katalanischen Institutionen ausschalten zu kšnnen. Wie kaum ein anderer hat er die Lage polarisiert und Katalonien geradezu herausgefordert. Schon sind aus seiner Partei die ersten Rufe zu vernehmen, die Anwendung des Artikels 155 auch auf das Baskenland anzuwenden. Nicht ohne Eigeninteresse versuchte daher der PrŠsident des Baskenlandes am 26. Oktober 2017 noch ein letztes Mal zwischen Madrid und Barcelona zu vermitteln. Der katalanische PrŠsident Carles Puigdemont, der sich stets dialogbereit zeigte, wŠre hierzu trotz Widerstands in den eigenen Reihen offenbar auch bereit gewesen und hŠtte Neuwahlen in Katalonien fŸr den Dezember des Jahres 2017 ausgeschrieben Ð wozu nach spanischem Recht nur er und keinesfalls die Zentralregierung in Madrid befugt ist Ð, wenn denn die spanische Regierung und der spanische Senat im Gegenzug von der beabsichtigten Anwendung des Artikels 155 der spanischen Verfassung auf Katalonien abgesehen hŠtten. Die spanische Regierung war dazu jedoch nicht bereit, sondern erklŠrte sogar, da§ der Artikel 155 in jedem Fall auf Katalonien angewandt wŸrde. Damit lie§ sie Katalonien keinen anderen Weg, als die vom katalanischen Volk beschlossene UnabhŠngigkeit am 27. Oktober 2017 feierlich zu verkŸnden. Seit dem 27. Oktober 2017 existiert nunmehr Katalonien kraft Všlker- und Naturrecht als eigenes všlkerrechtliches Subjekt. Damit endete die von Franco eingefŸhrte Monarchie in Katalonien. ...
Nach Verhšr von Twitter durch US-Kongress: Keine Hinweise auf russische Wahleinmischung
Russia Today, 30.09.2017 (im Cache)
Nicht "faschistisches Russland", sondern Twitter hat US-Wahlkampf manipuliert
Russia Today, 3.11.2017 (im Cache)
IsraelÕs Ploy Selling a Syrian Nuke Strike
By Gareth Porter, November 18, 2017 (in cache)
Exclusive: The Iraq WMD fiasco wasnÕt the only time political pressure twisted U.S. intelligence judgments. In 2007, Israel sold the CIA on a dubious claim about a North Korean nuclear reactor in the Syrian desert.
Technical Evidence against a Reactor
Egyptian national Yousry Abushady was a PhD in nuclear engineering and 23-year veteran of the IAEA who had been promoted to section head for Western Europe in the operations division of agencyÕs Safeguards Department, meaning that he was in charge of all inspections of nuclear facilities in the region. He had been a trusted adviser to Bruno Pellaud, IAEA Deputy Director General for Safeguards from 1993 to 1999, who told this writer in an interview that he had Òrelied on Abushady frequently.Ó
Abushady recalled in an interview that, after spending many hours reviewing the video released by the CIA in April 2008 frame by frame, he was certain that the CIA case for a nuclear reactor at al-Kibar in the desert in eastern Syria was not plausible for multiple technical reasons. The Israelis and the CIA had claimed the alleged reactor was modeled on the type of reactor the North Koreans had installed at Yongbyon called a gas-cooled graphite- moderated (GCGM) reactor.
But Abushady knew that kind of reactor better than anyone else at the IAEA. He had designed a GCGM reactor for his doctoral student in nuclear engineering, had begun evaluating the Yongbyon reactor in 1993, and from 1999 to 2003 had headed the Safeguards Department unit responsible for North Korea.
Abushady had traveled to North Korea 15 times and conducted extensive technical discussions with the North Korean nuclear engineers who had designed and operated the Yongbyon reactor. And the evidence he saw in the video convinced him that no such reactor could have been under construction at al-Kibar.
On April 26, 2008, Abushady sent a Òpreliminary technical assessmentÓ of the video to IAEA Deputy Director General for Safeguards Olli Heinonen, with a copy to Director General Mohamed ElBaradei. Abushady observed in his memorandum that the person responsible for assembling the CIA video was obviously unfamiliar with either the North Korean reactor or with GCGM reactors in general.
The first thing that struck Abushady about the CIAÕs claims was that the building was too short to hold a reactor like the one in Yongbyon, North Korea.
ÒIt is obvious,Ó he wrote in his Òtechnical assessmentÓ memo to Heinonen, Òthat the Syrian building with no UG [underground] construction, can not hold a [reactor] similar [to] NK GCR [North Korean gas-cooled reactor].Ó Abushady estimated the height of the North Korean reactor building in Yongbyon at a 50 meters (165 feet) and estimated that the building at al-Kibar at a little more than a third as tall.
Abushady also found the observable characteristics of the al-Kibar site inconsistent with the most basic technical requirements for a GCGM reactor. He pointed out that the Yongbyon reactor had no less than 20 supporting buildings on the site, whereas the satellite imagery shows that the Syrian site did not have a single significant supporting structure.
The most telling indication of all for Abushady that the building could not have been a GCGM reactor was the absence of a cooling tower to reduce the temperature of the carbon dioxide gas coolant in such a reactor.
... Yet another critical piece that Abushady found missing from the site was a cooling pond facility for spent fuel. The CIA had theorized that the reactor building itself contained a Òspent fuel pond,Ó based on nothing more than an ambiguous shape in an aerial photograph of the bombed building.
But the North Korean reactor at Yongbyon and all 28 other GCGM reactors that had been built in the world all have the spent fuel pond in a separate building, Abushady said. The reason, he explained, was that the magnox cladding surrounding the fuel rods would react to any contact with moisture to produce hydrogen that could explode.
But the definitive and irrefutable proof that no GCGM reactor had been present at al-Kibar came from the environmental samples taken by the IAEA at the site in June 2008. Such a reactor would have contained nuclear-grade graphite, Abushady explained, and if the Israelis had actually bombed a GCGM reactor, it would have spread particles of nuclear-grade graphite all over the site.
Behrad Nakhai, a nuclear engineer at Oak Ridge National Laboratory for many years, confirmed AbshuadyÕs observation in an interview. ÒYou would have had hundreds of tons of nuclear-grade graphite scattered around the site,Ó he said, Òand it would have been impossible to clean it up.Ó
Manipulated and Misleading Photographs: ....
by Robert S. McNamara and James G. Blight, 2001 (excerpts)
The FBI Hand Behind Russia-gate
By Ray McGovern, January 11, 2018
Special Report: In the Watergate era, liberals warned about U.S. intelligence agencies manipulating U.S. politics, but now Trump-hatred has blinded many of them to this danger becoming real, as ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern notes.
Thanks to the almost 10,000 text messages between Strzok and Page, only a small fraction of which were given to Congress four weeks ago, there is now real evidentiary meat on the bones of the suspicions that there indeed was a Òdeep-state coupÓ to ÒcorrectÓ the outcome of the 2016 election. We now know that the supposedly apolitical FBI officials had huge political axes to grind.
... the official release of unguarded text messages between FBI counterintelligence official Peter Strzok (former chief of the FBIÕs counterintelligence section) and his girlfriend, FBI lawyer Lisa Page ...
The Department of Justice Inspector General reportedly has additional damaging texts from others on the team that Special Counsel Robert Mueller selected to help him investigate Russia-gate.
Besides forcing the removal of Strzok and Page, the text exposures also sounded the death knell for the career of FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe, in whose office some of the plotting took place and who has already announced his plans to retire soon.
the FBI text messages provid[e] documentary evidence that key FBI officials involved in the Russia-gate investigation were indeed deeply biased and out to get Trump ..
... Peter Strzok (pronounced ÒstruckÓ) has an interesting pedigree with multiple tasks regarding both Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Trump. As the FBIÕs chief of counterespionage during the investigation into then-Secretary of State Hillary ClintonÕs unauthorized use of a personal email server for classified information, Strzok reportedly changed the words Ògrossly negligentÓ (which could have triggered legal prosecution) to the far less serious Òextremely carelessÓ in FBI Director James ComeyÕs depiction of ClintonÕs actions. This semantic shift cleared the way for Comey to conclude just 20 days before the Democratic National Convention began in July 2016, that Òno reasonable prosecutorÓ would bring charges against Mrs. Clinton.
Then, as Deputy Assistant Director of the Counterintelligence Division, Strzok led the FBIÕs investigation into alleged Russian interference in the U.S. election of 2016. It is a safe bet that he took a strong hand in hand-picking the FBI contingent of analysts that joined Òhand-pickedÓ counterparts from CIA and NSA in preparing the evidence-free, Jan. 6, 2017 assessment accusing Russian President Vladimir Putin of interfering in the election of 2016.
... In June and July 2017 Strzok was the top FBI official working on Special Counsel Robert MuellerÕs investigation into possible links between the Trump campaign and Russia, but was taken off that job when the Justice Department IG learned of the Strzok-Page text-message exchange and told Mueller.
... Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-New York, with almost four decades of membership in the House and Senate, openly warned incoming President Trump in January 2017 against criticizing the U.S. intelligence community because U.S. intelligence officials have Òsix ways from Sunday to get back at youÓ if you are ÒdumbÓ enough to take them on.
The Strzok-Page exchanges drip with disdain for Trump and those deemed his smelly deplorable supporters. In one text message, Strzok expressed visceral contempt for those working-class Trump voters, writing on Aug. 26, 2016, ÒJust went to a southern Virginia Walmart. I could SMELL the Trump support. É itÕs scary real down here.Ó
The FBI Lost 5 Months Worth of Text Messages Between Anti-Trump Agents
By Timothy Meads, Townhall.com, Jan 21, 2018 3:40 PM
The Daily Caller [an extreme right wing news website, according to John Kiriakou] reports that the FBI Òfailed to preserve five months of text messages" exchanged between two anti-Trump FBI employees who may have compromised on going investigations such as the Clinton e-mail scandal and the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election.
The Daily CallerÕs Chuck Ross reports that ÒThe disclosure was made Friday in a letter sent by the Justice Department to the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee (HSGAC).
'The Department wants to bring to your attention that the FBIÕs technical system for retaining text messages sent and received on FBI mobile devices failed to preserve text messages for Mr. Strzok and Ms. Page,' Stephen Boyd, the assistant attorney general for legislative affairs at the Justice Department, wrote to Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson, the chairman of HSGAC
He said that texts are missing for the period between Dec. 14, 2016 and May 17, 2017.Ó
Comment by William Binney (in Brian Becker, John Kiriakou, "Democrats Surrender to Trump; Gov't Reopens, No Action for Immigrants", time mark 66:40 - 69:00 LOUD & CLEAR, SputnikNews, 23.01.2018): "I'd say the random probability [of this being an accidental technical system failure, which the FBI is insinuating] is zero, simply because if they are going to delete the evidence within the FBI they also, since it's text messenges, it's going across the net, they also have to delete it [a duplicate of the text message] in NSA, in both those agencies. Since in both cases it's data relevant to an investigation that kind [of accidental technical system failure] is virtually impossible randomly. ... It's a conspiracy to cover up the crime, which ... John Kiriakou: which at the very, very least is obstruction of justice ... William Binney: Yeah, that's right, and also it [the deletion] is a criminal act by violating the Records Act. They should never have had that data, and if they took our ThinThread program they would never have had it to begin with. So they couldn't have violated it [the Records Act, by deleting the data in several independent places].
John Kiriakou: What we are talking about here is government oversight. We're talking about the Congressional Oversight Committee. ...The Oversight Committee should have been so deeply involved in this issue that it would have been impossible to delete the information, because they would have been all over it, let alone to delete it 3 or 4 separate times.
Von Konstantin von Hammerstein, Christiane Hoffmann, Peter MŸller, Otfried Nassauer, Christoph Schult und Klaus Wiegrefe,
Der Spiegel 50/2016, 10.12.2016 (im Cache)
english verson: Konstantin von Hammerstein, Christiane Hoffmann, Peter MŸller, Otfried Nassauer, Christoph Schult and Klaus Wiegrefe, "Elephant in the Room - Europeans Debate Nuclear Self-Defense after Trump Win", Spiegel-Online International, 9 Dec. 2016 (im Cache)
US-Atomwaffen sind der ultimative Garant fŸr Europas Sicherheit. Doch was, wenn Trump den Nuklearschirm infrage stellt? In Berlin und BrŸssel hat das Nachdenken begonnen.
Seit Jahrzehnten wird der Schutz gegen eine mšgliche russische Aggression in letzter Instanz durch das amerikanische Atomwaffenarsenal garantiert. Doch seit der Wahl Donald Trumps zum 45. PrŠsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten ist man sich in BrŸssel und Berlin nicht mehr sicher, ob Washington auch kŸnftig seine schŸtzende Hand Ÿber Europa halten wird.
... Doch was, wenn dem kŸnftigen PrŠsidenten eine viel grundlegendere Wende der amerikanischen Sicherheitspolitik vorschwebt? Was, wenn er den Nuklearschirm infrage stellt, der wŠhrend des Kalten Krieges Europas Sicherheit garantierte?
Mehr als 60 Jahre lang hat Deutschland seine Sicherheit der Nato und ihrer FŸhrungsmacht, den Vereinigten Staaten, anvertraut. Ohne glaubwŸrdige Abschreckung wŠren die europŠischen Nato-Staaten einer mšglichen russischen Bedrohung ausgeliefert. Es wŠre das Ende des transatlantischen BŸndnisses.
... In europŠischen HauptstŠdten hat seit dem Wahlsieg Trumps das Nachdenken Ÿber eine europŠische nukleare Abschreckung begonnen. Die militŠrischen, politischen und všlkerrechtlichen HŸrden sind riesig, konkrete Absichten oder gar PlŠne gibt es nicht. Doch in BrŸssel tauschten sich bereits franzšsische Diplomaten mit ihren Kollegen aus anderen Mitgliedstaaten aus: Kšnnten Franzosen und EnglŠnder mit ihren Nukleararsenalen einspringen, um LŠnder wie Deutschland zu schŸtzen?
"Gut, dass darŸber endlich gesprochen wird", sagt Jan Techau, Direktor des Holbrooke Forum an der American Academy in Berlin. "Die Frage des kŸnftigen nuklearen Schutzes Europas ist der wei§e Elefant im Raum der europŠischen Sicherheitsdebatte. Wenn die nukleare Sicherheitsgarantie der USA wegfŠllt, ist es wichtig zu klŠren: Wer schŸtzt uns kŸnftig? Und: Wie vermeiden wir, dass wir kŸnftig nuklear erpressbar sind?"
Falls Trump ernstlich die amerikanischen Garantien infrage stelle, mŸsse Berlin Ÿberlegen, auf der Basis der franzšsischen und britischen KapazitŠten einen europŠischen Nuklearschirm zu entwickeln, hei§t es in einem Aufsatz in der November-Ausgabe von "Foreign Affairs". Und die "FAZ" rŠsonierte in einem Leitartikel sogar Ÿber das "Undenkbare": die deutsche Bombe.
... Doch die Debatte hat die geschŸtzten Zirkel von Thinktanks und Fachzeitschriften lŠngst verlassen. Der Obmann der Unionsfraktion im AuswŠrtigen Ausschuss des Bundestags Roderich Kiesewetter schlug in einem international beachteten Interview schon Mitte November einen franzšsisch-britischen Nuklearschirm vor, falls Trump den amerikanischen Schutz fŸr Europa infrage stellen sollte. "Wenn die USA keine nuklearen Sicherheitsgarantien mehr fŸr Europa abgeben wollen, braucht Europa trotzdem einen nuklearen Schirm", so Kiesewetter. ... Man mŸsse sich, so Kiesewetter, auf alle EventualitŠten vorbereiten. "Es darf fŸr unsere Sicherheit keine Denkverbote geben." Der CDU-Sicherheitspolitiker ist Oberst a. D. und diente unter anderem in der Nato-Zentrale in BrŸssel und im militŠrischen Hauptquartier der Allianz im belgischen Mons. Nach der Trump-Wahl fŸhrte er nicht nur GesprŠche mit franzšsischen und britischen Diplomaten. Er fŸhlte auch in der Bundesregierung vor.
Kiesewetter sagt, er habe mit Merkels Sicherheitsberater Christoph Heusgen und mit dem Politischen Direktor im Verteidigungsministerium, GŽsa von Geyr, geredet. FŸr die Regierung sei das kein Thema, hei§t es aus beiden HŠusern. Kiesewetter hatte allerdings nicht den Eindruck, dass seine Ideen als Fantastereien abgetan wurden.
European nuclear deterrence in the era of Putin and Trump
Felix Wimmer, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, 8 JANUARY 2018 (in cache)
... Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has called the collapse of the Soviet Union Òthe greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century,Ó now takes any measure available to him to reverse the European order created after 1989. He perceives the extension of Western values and security through the European Union and NATO as a direct threat to RussiaÕs position on the continent. Putin seeks to destabilize the European community through propaganda and the financial support of illiberal, anti-European, and pro-Russian parties. In Eastern Europe, he is also increasingly comfortable with using force to achieve his goals, such as preventing Ukraine from developing closer ties with the European Union.
Putin will not be satisfied anytime soon. He Òis intent on showing the world [that] Russia is a great power and that he respects strength and takes advantage of perceived weakness. He pushes forward until there is pushback,Ó writes Robert A. Manning, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council.
At a July 2017 forum on Capitol Hill, Brad Roberts, director of the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, explained how PutinÕs Òtheory of victoryÓ against the United States and its allies is built on his perception of Western weakness and hesitation. In 2014, Putin was convinced that the West would let him get away with annexing Crimea and practically invading eastern Ukraine, and he remains convinced that he will not encounter any significant pushback in the future. This belief is rooted in PutinÕs view of what Roberts calls the Òasymmetry of stakeÓ: Because the Russians have more at stake, Russian threats look more credible than American threats. While Putin is fighting for RussiaÕs position in the world and, more importantly, his position as the legitimate leader of Russia, all that is at stake for the West is the preservation of liberal values. While the Americans might be willing to defend freedom and democracy with sanctions, they will not resort to bullets and bombs.
In PutinÕs mind, the Russian nuclear arsenal ensures that the West stays out of his affairs. According to Alexey Arbatov, a Russian expert on international security and arms control, Putin is largely ignoring the nuclear lessons of the Cold War, and views arms control more critically than the Soviet leadership did. While Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev agreed with US President Ronald Reagan that Ònuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought,Ó Putin does not voice similar reservations. In ArbatovÕs formulation, as Roberts described it at last yearÕs forum, Putin and a small cadre of fellow Russian elites are ready to use the Western fear of a nuclear confrontation to their benefit. Putin is absolutely confident that, should things get serious, the Americans would back down first.
... Advocates of the Eurodeterrent, such as the German politician Roderich Kiesewetter, propose that French and perhaps British nuclear weapons should replace the American bombs currently stationed in Europe. The new system would either function similarly to the existing nuclear-sharing program, or a new European military organization would be established to oversee the weapons. In either case, the Eurodeterrent is thought to rely mainly on French weapons and German funding. All this could supposedly be done without proliferation, since the current nuclear arsenals of France and the UK Òwould likely be sufficient for defending Germany,Ó according to Jan Techau at the American Academy in Berlin. Although the European arsenal would be dwarfed by Russia in numbers, France possesses the second-strike capability that is crucial for deterrence.
... However, European leaders have to plan for the worst. They have to be prepared to deal with possible further fractures, or even an end of the alliance; they have to be prepared for an even more belligerent Russia. Anything else would be na•ve.
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The US is Arming and Assisting Neo-Nazis in Ukraine, While Congress Debates Prohibition By Max Blumenthal, The Real News Network, Jan. 18, 2018
Known as a bastion of neo-Nazism, the Azov Battalion has received teams of American military advisors and high powered US-made weapons |
...
Made in Texas, tested by Azov
The story of how American arms began flowing towards the Nazi-inspired militia began in October 2016, when the Texas-based AirTronic company announced a contract to deliver $5.5 million dollars worth of PSRL-1 rocket propelled grenade launchers to Òan Allied European military customer.Ó In June 2017, photos turned up on AzovÕs website showing its fighters testing PSRL-1 grenade launchers in the field. The images raised questions about whether Ukraine was AirTronicÕs unnamed Òcustomer.Ó
Two months later, the pro-Russian military analysis site Southfront published a leaked contract indicating that 100 PSRL-1 Launchers worth $554,575 Ñ about 1/10th of the total deal Ñ had been produced in partnership with a Ukrainian arms company for distribution to the countryÕs fighting units.
In an interview last December with the US-backed Voice of America, AirTronic Chief Operating Officer Richard Vandiver emphasized that the sale of grenade launchers was authorized through Òvery close coordination with the U.S. Embassy, with the U.S. State Department, with the U.S. Pentagon and with the Ukrainian government.Ó
Finally, this January, the transfer of the lethal weapons to Azov was confirmed by the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRL). Aric Toler, a DFRL researcher, asserted that Òthe US Embassy did absolutely help facilitate this transfer, and I'm not sure if they were aware that Azov would be the first to train with them.Ó
As NATOÕs de facto lobbyist in Washington, and one of the most fervent advocates in Washington for arming the Ukrainian military, the Atlantic Council was an extremely unlikely source for such a disclosure. While the think tankÕs motives for exposing AzovÕs use of American arms remains unclear, its researchers wound up highlighting a truly scandalous episode of semi-covert American support for neo-Nazis.
...
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Recent News Media
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Greg Mello (Secretary and Executive Director, co-founder, Los Alamos Study Group, led LSG since 1989) in Dr. Strangelove Returns: Analyzing the New US Nuclear Policy, Radio Sputnik, Brian Becker and John Kiriakou hosts, Washington, 6 February 2018 (06:05 - 08:00)
"A lot what is in this review has already been US policy for a long time. It just wasn't emphasized. So, Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) was not the idea behind a lot of US nuclear arsenal - that was kind of a myth. ... People have been beavering all the time trying to figure out how to win nuclear wars, and that is how our arsenal is structured. There has always been the threat to use nuclear weapons in response to say a cyberattack, an attack on the [electric] grid. All of that was there under Obama - it just wasn't emphasized much, but it was discussed a lot. And that is what we mean by not forswearing a first strike with nuclear weapons. There is always some reason to have a first strike whether it's a non-nuclear perceived attack on the United States or -more likely- a potential defeat of US forces abroad somewhere. So, the idea that we would use nuclear weapons first in a conflict or because of some other circimstancces has a lot of detail behind it that has always been there. So, I'm a little concerned right now that a lot of the people who are most critical of the Trump Nuclear Posture Review were actually in favor of ... Former officials who are critical of the Trump Nuclear Posture Review were actually in favor of most of those policies in the recent past."
(Greg Mello (Secretary and Executive Director) is a co-founder of the Study Group and has led its varied activities since 1989, which have included policy research, environmental analysis, congressional education and lobbying, community organizing, litigation, advertising, and the nuts and bolts of running a small nonprofit. From time to time Greg has served as a consulting analyst and writer for other nuclear policy organizations. Greg was originally educated as an engineer (Harvey Mudd College, 1971) and regional planner (Harvard, 1975). Greg led the first environmental enforcement at Los Alamos National Laboratory. He was a hydrogeologist for the New Mexico Environment Department and later a consultant to industry. In 2002 Greg was a Visiting Research Fellow at Princeton's Program on Science and Global Security. Greg's research, analysis, and opinions have been published in the New York Times, Washington Post, The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Issues in Science and Technology, in the New Mexico press, and elsewhere. Source: Los Alamos Study Group)
Understanding Russia, Un-Demonizing Putin
By Sharon Tennison, February 6, 2018 (in cache)
... IÕve been in country [Russia] long enough to reflect deeply on Russian history and culture, to study their psychology and conditioning, and to understand the marked differences between American and Russian mentalities which so complicate our political relations with their leaders.
As with personalities in a family or a civic club or in a city hall, it takes understanding and compromise to be able to create workable relationships when basic conditionings are different. Washington has been notoriously disinterested in understanding these differences and attempting to meet Russia halfway.
In addition to my personal experience with Putin, IÕve had discussions with numerous U.S. officials and American businessmen who have had years of experience working with him ÐÐ I believe it is safe to say that none would describe him as ÒbrutalÓ or Òthuggish,Ó or the other slanderous terms used to describe him in Western media.
I met Putin years before he ever dreamed of being president of Russia, as did many of us working in St. Petersburg during the 1990s. Since the anti-Putin vilification started, IÕve become nearly obsessed with understanding his character. I think IÕve read every major speech he has given (including the full texts of his annual hours-long telephone Òtalk-insÓ with Russian citizens).
IÕve been trying to ascertain whether he has changed for the worse since being elevated to the presidency, or whether he is a straight character cast into a role of villain that he never anticipated ÐÐ and is using sheer wits to try to do the best he can to deal with Washington under extremely difficult circumstances. ...
Psychologists tell us that people often project on to others what they donÕt want to face in themselves. Others carry our ÒshadowÓ when we refuse to own it. We confer on others the very traits that we are horrified to acknowledge in ourselves.
Whether we can answer these questions with any certainty, one thing I am quite sure of is that 99% of those who excoriate Putin in mainstream media have had no personal contact with him at all. They write articles on hearsay, rumors and fabrication, or they read scripts others have written on their tele-prompters. This is how our nation gets its Ònews,Ó such as it is.
There is a well-known code of ethics worth bearing in mind:
It seems to me that if our nationÕs leaders would commit to using these four principles in international relations, the world would operate in a completely different manner, and human beings across this planet would live in better conditions than they do today.
The author can be contacted at sharon@ccisf.org.
What you need to know about the Nuclear Posture Review
Newsletter of The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, 7 February 2018
The experts on the new Nuclear Posture Review
On February 2, the Pentagon rolled out the unclassified version of the Trump administrationÕs Nuclear Posture Review. The 2018 document contains significant changes over the last NPR, which was completed in 2010. The Bulletin will be publishing analyses of the NPR document itself and how it might be implemented.
It is anticipated that the United States will generally seek to increase the accuracy of its nuclear weapons in order to lower the yield of modified warheads with improved performance margins.
The most significant change is what appears to be a shift away from seeking to reduce the number and role of nuclear weapons in US military strategy. Instead, the Trump NPR has a more confrontational tone and presents an assertive posture that seeks to increase reliance on nuclear weapons. This includes
To achieve that, the NPR declares that Òthe United States will enhance the flexibility and range of its tailored deterrence optionsÉ Expanding flexible U.S. nuclear options now, to include low-yield options, is important for the preservation of credible deterrence against regional aggression,Ó the NPR claims.
The new tailored capabilities include, in the short term, modifying Òa small numberÓ of W76-1 warheads on the Trident II D5LE submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) to Òensure a prompt response option that is able to penetrate adversary defenses.Ó This new capability, the NPR claims, is necessary to Òhelp counter any mistaken perception of an exploitable ÔgapÕ in U.S. regional deterrence capabilities.Ó The authors of the NPR appear to be under the mistaken impression that Russia believes the United States would not use nuclear weapons if Russia did.
Read the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review
Pentagon press briefing of the 2018 NPR rollout
Further reading:
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
Since 1987, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the Nuclear Notebook, an authoritative accounting of world nuclear arsenals compiled by top experts from the Federation of American Scientists. Today, it is prepared by Hans M. Kristensen and Robert S. Norris of FAS. The Nuclear Notebook is housed at Taylor & Francis Online, home of our digital journal. Because of its importance to researchers, governments, and citizens around the world, the Nuclear Notebook is always free-to-access. Click on the individual links below to read the corresponding link at tandfonline.
4 MAY 2018, NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
Russia is in the second half of a decades-long modernization of its strategic and non-strategic nuclear forces to replace Soviet-era weapons with newer systems. These modernizations, combined with an increase in the number and size of military exercises and occasional explicit nuclear threats against other countries, contribute to uncertainty about RussiaÕs long-term intentions and growing international debate about the nature of its nuclear strategy. These concerns, in turn, drive increased defense spending, nuclear modernization programs, and political opposition to further nuclear-weapon reductions in Western Europe and the United States.
As of early 2018, we estimate that Russia has a stockpile of roughly 4,350 nuclear warheads assigned for use by long-range strategic launchers and shorter-range tactical nuclear forces. Of these,
4 MARCH 2018, NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
United States nuclear forces, 2018
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
The US nuclear arsenal remained roughly unchanged in the last year, with the Defense Department maintaining an estimated stockpile of some 4,000 warheads to be delivered via ballistic missiles and aircraft. Most of these warheads are not deployed but stored, and many are destined to be retired.
Nuclear Posture Review:
... The most significant change is what appears to be a shift away from seeking to reduce the number of US nuclear weapons and their role in US military strategy. Instead, the Trumps review
2 JANUARY 2018, NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
North Korean nuclear capabilities, 2018
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
The authors cautiously estimate that North Korea
2 NOVEMBER 2017, NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
A history of US nuclear weapons in South Korea
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
During the Cold War, the United States deployed nuclear weapons in South Korea continuously for 33 years, from 1958 to 1991. The South Korean-based nuclear arsenal peaked at an all-time high of approximately 950 warheads in 1967.
3 SEPTEMBER 2017, NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
Worldwide deployments of nuclear weapons, 2017
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
The authors estimate that as of mid-2017, there are nearly 15,000 nuclear weapons in the world, located at some 107 sites in 14 countries. Roughly, 9400 of these weapons are in military arsenals; the remaining weapons are retired and awaiting dismantlement.
4 JULY 2017, ASIA NUCLEAR NOTEBOOK
Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris
India continues to modernize its nuclear arsenal, with at least four new weapon systems now under development to complement or replace existing nuclear-capable aircraft, land-based delivery systems, and sea-based systems.
The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner
Daniel Ellsberg, 2017 (excerpts)
page 344:
The danger that either a false alarm or a terrorist attack on Washington or Moscow would lead to a preemptive attack derived almost entirely from the existence on both sides of land-based missile forces, each vulnerable to attack by the other: each, therefore, kept on a high state of alert, ready to launch within minutes of warning.
The easiest and fastest way to reduce that risk -and indeed, the overall danger of nuclear war- is to dismantle entirely (not merely "de-alert") the Minuteman III missile force (currently scheduled to "refurbishment"), the U.S. land-based leg of the nuclear "triad".Former secretary of defense William Perry has argued precisely that, as has James E. Cartwright, former commander of the Strategic Command and vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCF).
A second stage would be to reduce the Trident submarine-based ballistic missile (SLBM) force to give up its capability to target and destroy the entire Russian land-based missile force (on which the Russians choose to rely far more than does the United States.) Having first deprived the Russians of their high-priority, time-urgent targets for those forces by dismantling the U.S. Minuteman silos and their control centers, the remaining incentive for the Russians to launch their ICBMs on warning -to avert their being destroyed by U.S. SLBMs- would be eliminated. Launch on warning would no longer be susceptible of being rationalized strategically on either side.....
... To suggest that these are relatively simple steps for the superpowers and others neglects the challenge of fundamentally altering the doctrine and strategy that have shaped the buildup of our strategic forces over the past 65 years. Contrary to public understanding, that strategy has not been a matter of deterrence of nuclear attack on the United States, but rather the illusionary one of improving first-strike capability. Specifically, this has involved the goal of "damage-limiting" to the United States in the event of a U.S. preemptive strike against Soviet/Russian nuclear capabilities, triggered by a warning of impending attack, possibly in the context of escalation of a conventional or limited nuclear war.
page 345
That strategy remains in force, although, as noted, the objective of limiting damage to the United States in large-scale nuclear war, or of keeping such a war with a nuclear state limited, has been essentially a hoax, infeasible to achieve for about 50 of those years -ever since the Soviets acquired SLBMs and a large force of hardened ICBMs. Even striking first, it has not been feasible to avoid the effective total destruction of U.S. society (even earlier, that was not feasible for Western Europe), by blast, heat, radiation, and fallout alone from Soviet/Russian retaliation.
Now, in light of the phenomenon of nuclear winter precipitated from cities burning from our U.S. attacks alone (aside from Soviet retaliation) there can no longer be any fig leaf of pretense that a "damage limiting" first strike by either side would be anything less than suicidal -as Alan Robock and Brian Toon have put it, "self-Assured Destruction" (SAD)- or, in fact, omnicidal. The chages I am describing mean giving up the pretense, and the supposed political and alliance advantages of maintaining the pretense, that it is possible for either auperpower to limit damage to anyone or the everyone by attacking the other with nuclear weapons, wheter first or second or in any circumstances or manner whatever.
The sole purpose of U.S. nuclear weapons should be to deter nuclear attack on the United States and its allies.That sole purpose can and should be accomplished with radically lowered numbers of U.S. nuclear weapons, almost entirely Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBWs), Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles(ICBMs) having been dismantled as they should have been generations ago. This shift would not totally eliminate the dangers of nuclear war, but it would abolish the threat of nuclear winter.
Reality Asserts Itself - Daniel Ellsberg
Paul Jay, The Real News Network, 8 Interviews, Oct. 29 - Nov. , 2018
Once Fired, ThereÕs No Calling a Nuke Back Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (8/12)
November 15, 2018 (transcript in cache)
There are many fingers on the nuclear missiles trigger and once an attack begins, even the President canÕt order it reversed, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
U.S. Refuses to Adopt a Nuclear Weapon No First Use Pledge Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (7/12)
November 12, 2018 (transcript in cache)
Every President since Truman has used a nuclear first strike threat as leverage in U.S. foreign policy; itÕs institutional insanity says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
U.S. Planned Nuclear First Strike to Destroy Soviets and China Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (6/12)
November 9, 2018 (transcript in cache)
U.S. cold-war nuclear plan called for all out attack on China, even if it was not involved in the war, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Itself with Paul Jay
Russian ÒDoomsday MachineÓ an Answer to U.S. Decapitation Strategy Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (5/12)
November 4, 2018 (transcript in cache)
The U.S. military still thinks that a nuclear war can be won by targeting Russian leadership in a bizarre Dr. Strangelove logic; itÕs a recipe for unmitigated catastrophe, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
The Largest Act of Terrorism in Human History Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (4/12)
November 4, 2018 (transcript in cache)
The British bombing of Hamburg in 1942, and the American firebombing of Japan in March 1945 that killed as many as 120,000 people in one night, created the conditions for the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki which were considered mere extensions of the firebombing tactics, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
Truman Delayed End of WWII to Demonstrate Nuclear Weapons Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (3/12)
November 2, 2018 (transcript in cache)
To intimidate the Soviet Union and prove to Congress the nuclear program should be funded, Truman dropped nuclear weapons on Japan to end the war; no scientist came forward to warn of the dangers to life on earth, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
Hitler WouldnÕt Risk Doomsday, But The United States Did ÊÐ Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (2/12)
October 31, 2018 (transcript in cache)
Hitler ended the German nuclear weapons program in 1942 when told it could end life on EarthÑthe Americans were willing to take the risk; since the end of WWII the Cold War was to a very large extent, from beginning to end, a marketing campaign for subsidization of the aerospace industry, says Daniel Ellsberg on Reality Asserts Itself with Paul Jay
The Doomsday Machine: The Big Lie of the Cold War Ð Daniel Ellsberg on RAI (1/12)
October 29, 2018 (transcript in cache)
On Reality Asserts Itself, Daniel Ellsberg tells host Paul Jay that US intelligence agencies knew that Stalin was not planning to invade Western Europe or seek world domination, but based on the myth, the world came close to nuclear war Ð and itÕs all happening again.
Daniel EllsbergÕs message to us, and to future generations
By Martin E. Hellman,
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June 16, 2023 (in cache)
... My guess is that there is not a high likelihood of nuclear war in the current stalemate in Ukraine, so long as Putin is not confronted with losing Crimea or all of the Donbas.
And another thing that IÕve learned, Marty, and that I think is not sufficiently appreciated, is that
Our presidents have that power every hour of every day.
... there are those who would say that it [the doomsday machine] makes it less likely to have the overall cataclysm if you have the ability to blow things up; that will make it less likely that it will ever go off at all.Ó
And he [my father] said something very interesting to me that I havenÕt seen reproduced; it gave me something to think about, which IÕve never fully finished thinking about to this day. He said,
ÒYes, but there is a moral cost to having this capability at all. ItÕs not just a matter of a risk and a cost of blowing the world up. There is a moral cost in telling yourself and teaching your children that there are circumstances that would justify killing everything and therefore that would justify having this capability.Ó
I would say, from a reasonable ethics, there is no such objective.
...12 months into this Ukraine war ... the people inside perceive themselves as in a stalemate for at least the next 12 months. So what will the effort to break through the stalemate in the 12 months be likely to accomplish? Very little. And whatÕs the possible downside? The end of everything, essentially. ... [We are] not a species to be trusted with nuclear weapons.
Dan has information that was unavailable to any American at the time [of the Cuban missile crisis].
On the Inevitability and Prevention of Nuclear War
Martin Hellman, New York Epsilon '66
The Bent of Tau Beta Pi, 1985 (in cache)
An existential discussion: What is the probability of nuclear war?
Martin E. Hellman, Vinton G. Cerf
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, March 18, 2021
Martin Hellman
When the risk is highly uncertain, how do you determine whoÕs right?
I have two questions:
Vinton Cerf
... any positive risk of a global nuclear exchange is simply unacceptable.
NBC News, Feb 2, 2018 (in cache)
This is the 3.5-page memo prepared by House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes. It is derived from the FBI's application for surveillance authority before the Federal Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) Court.
(excerpts, [additions] and formating by J. Gruber)
This memorandum provides Members an update on significant facts relating to the Committee's ongoing investigation into
during the 2016 presidential election cycle.
Our findings, which are detailed below,
On October 21, 2016, DOJ and FBI sought and received a FISA probable cause order (not under Title VII) authorizing electronic surveillance on Carter Page from the FISC. Page is a U.S. citizen who served as a volunteer advisor to the Trump presidential campaign. Consistent with requirements under FISA, the application
The FBI and DOJ obtained one initial FISA warrant targeting Carter Page and 3 FISA renewals from the FISC.
As required by statute (50 U.S.C. ¤ 1805(d)(1)), a FISA order on an American citizen must be renewed by the FISC every 90 days and each renewal requires a separate finding of probable cause.
Due to the sensitive nature of foreign intelligence activity, FISA submissions (including renewals) before the FISC are classified. As such, the public's confidence in the integrity of the FISA process depends on the court's ability to hold the government to the highest standard Ñ particularly as it relates to the surveillance of American citizens. However, the FISC's rigor in protecting the rights of Americans, which is reinforced by 90-day renewals of surveillance orders, is necessarily dependent on the government's production to the court of all material and relevant facts. This should include information potentially favorable to the target of the FISA application that is known by the government. In the case of Carter Page, the government had at least four independent opportunities before the FISC to accurately provide an accounting of the relevant facts. However, our findings indicate that, as described below, material and relevant information was omitted.
Bedingungsfaktoren, Wirkungsbedingungen und Auswirkungen der Ostermarsch-Bewegung
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Christoph Butterwegge Auszug aus: 30 Jahre Ostermarsch, Ein Beitrag zur politischen Kultur der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und ein StŸck Bremer Stadtgeschichte, Butterwegge, Christoph, Jochen Dressel und Ulla Voigt (Herausgeber), Bremen, Steinstor Verlag, 1990 (im Cache) |
Toward a World without Nuclear Weapons
by George P. Shultz William J. Perry Henry A. Kissinger, Sam Nunn, 2007
(in cache)
ÒReliance on nuclear weapons...is becoming increasingly hazardous and decreasingly effective.Ó
The Nuclear Security Project does more than just call for a world without nuclear weapons, it tackles the challenging process for getting there. in their Wall Street Journal op-eds, the 4 principals outlined the urgent and practical steps:
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[Compare this with the Introduction and chapter 21 of
Daniel Ellsberg, Doomsday Machine - Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner, 2017
(excerpts)]
page 12
The declared official rationale for such a system has always been primarily the supposed need to deter -or if necessary respond to- an agressive Russian nuclear first strike against the United States. That widely believed public rationale is a deliberate deception. Deterring a surprise Soviet nuclear attack -or responding to such an attack- has never been the only or even the primary purpose of our nuclear plans and preparations. " [location of phrase]
page 344
... To suggest that these are relatively simple steps for the superpowers and others neglects the challenge of fundamentally altering the doctrine and strategy that have shaped the buildup of our strategic forces over the past 65 years. Contrary to public understanding, that strategy has not been a matter of deterrence of nuclear attack on the United States, but rather the illusionary one of improving first-strike capability. Specifically, this has involved the goal of "damage-limiting" to the United States in the event of a U.S. preemptive strike against Soviet/Russian nuclear capabilities, triggered by a warning of impending attack, possibly in the context of escalation of a conventional or limited nuclear war." [location of paragraph]
page 349
I well know that it is entirely unrealistic to hope that the present Congress (not to speak of the present president), dominated by the current Republican Party, or for that matter a Congress returned to the control of Democratic members mainly of the sort we have seen in the last generation, would respond to demands for any one of the measures I have proposed above:
Both parties as currently constituted oppose every one of these measures. This mortal predicament did not begin with Donald J. Trump, and it will not end with his departure. The obstacles to achieving these necessary changes are posed not so much by the majority of the American public Ð though many in recent years have shown dismaying manipulability Ð but by officials and elites in both parties and by major institutions that consciously support militarism, American hegemony, and arms production and sales.
Tragically, the news is equally bad when it comes to the prospects of reversing American energy policy in time and on a scale to avert catastropic climate change. Much the same institutions and elites tenaciously obstruct solution to this other existential challenge; they are, indeed, inordinately powerful. And yet, as demonstrated by the downfall of the Berlin Wall, the nonviolent dissolution of the Soviet empire, and the shift to majority rule in South Africa, all unimaginable just thirty years ago, such forces for sustaining an unjust and dangerous status quo are not all-powerful.
It is simply quixotic to hope to preserve human civilization from either the effects of burning fossil fuels or preparing for nuclear war? As Martin Luther King Jr. warned us, one year to the day before his death, ãThere is such a thing as being to late.Ò In challenging us on April 4, 1967, to recognize ãthe fierce urgency of nowÒ he was speaking of the ãmadness of Vietnam,Ò but he also alluded on that same occasion to nuclear weapons and to the even larger madness that has been the subject of this book: ãWe still have a choice today: nonviolent coexistence or violent coanniliation.Ò
He went on:
We must move past indecision to action. É If we do not act, we shal surely be dragged down the long, dark, and shameful corridors of time reserved for those, who possess power without compassion, might without morality, and strength without sight. É Now let us begin. Now let us rededicate ourselves to the long and bitter, but beautiful, struggle for a new world.
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Daniel Ellsberg on dismantling the doomsday machine
A discussion with John Mecklin, 26 February 2018
(in cache)
I drafted the first part of the book really 40 years ago, just after the [Vietnam] war ended in 1975. My publisher then said they would sell 1,400 copies, which meant that they would not publish it. Really, I tried a couple of other times. There was no interest in publishing.
I spent all my time trying to help build an anti-nuclear movement, like the anti-war movement. My full-time job was in work on the bilateral nuclear weapons freeze and various other things. I was getting arrested in civil disobedience actions, 87 times up till now. I was doing that and getting interviewed a lot and speaking on this subject all the time but with no national attention, whatever, to either the arrests or the lectures or the interviews or anything like that.
Then, I actually worked on a project called Manhattan Project II. The idea was that between 1992 and 1995, the 50th anniversary of the Manhattan Project, we would do something to undo the Manhattan Project and at least develop a program for dismantling the doomsday machines. Actually, we did get a pretty good program, but almost none of it has come close to being enacted. That was back in 1995.
Then, I wrote my book Secrets: A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon Papers. Then, I turned to this book, essentially. Actually, finally, to cap that story off, this book was rejected by, I think it was 17 other publishers and finally seized on by Bloomsbury enthusiastically. That's how it came about now.
It's not as though there have been no books. There have been marvelous books, like Eric Schlosser's Command and Control, a wonderful book. It did, in fact, get a lot of attention, but unfortunately, I think most of the attention went to how to make it a little less likely that nuclear accidents will occur, which is indeed a problem. But the big problem is sending off the entire arsenal of either the US or Russia, which, again, with nuclear winter, which we know about now, has the potential for ending most human life, if not all of it.
Why no media attention?
My speculative answer [to why the major media tend to almost never actually confront or describe the actual effects of a major nuclear war] would have to be that the major media have always supported basicallyÑuntil quite recently perhapsÑour basic nuclear arsenals. Insane as they are; they're unjustifiable, if you really look at them critically. And yet they're treated as though they are reasonable responses to the nuclear era, which they are not. Nothing reasonable about them at all.
You would not have these arsenals, in the US or elsewhere, if it were not the case that it was highly profitable to the military-industrial complex, to the aerospace industry, to the electronics industry, and to the weapons design labs to keep modernizing these weapons, improving accuracy, improving launch time, all that. The militaryÐindustrial complex that Eisenhower talked about is a very powerful influence. WeÕve talked about unwarranted influence. We've had that for more than half a century.
Nuclear planners inside the US government have to know that a few hundred nuclear warheads would deter anyone from attacking.
Yes, they have said that. It's a radical statement from the point of view of our actual arsenal. Yet, when you think about it, if you talk about deterring attack, think hard. Hundreds of weapons? Are we kidding here? Would it take hundreds of operational weapons to deter a US attack using thermonuclear weapons in North Korea or Iraq or IranÑor would it take one? One might not be so reliable in terms of the possibility of eliminating it in a first strike, but how about 10, or could we get up to 30? But hundreds? Hundreds of US cities on retaliation, let's say, or dozens, scores? That's absurd. What I've been saying here and what hasn't been brought up in the past is these radical proposals of going down to 300 or 200 [nuclear warheads]Ñthe US government doesnÕt get close to supporting themÑbut [the proposals] themselves are enormously greater than could be justified by the one objective of deterring nuclear attack.
Hundreds of weaponsÑfirst of all, unless they're somehow all managed to be far from cities to burn, give you nuclear winter or a form of nuclear winter or nuclear famine. Even aside from that, the blast and the fallout and the radiation are of continental scale, basically, in their exterminating effects.
How then do we get to the thousands? I'll go all the way back now to 1949 and '50, when the Russians first got nuclear weapons. Suddenly, we acquired all of their possible airfields as possible targets, and then the Russian missiles [were made part of the US nuclear targeting plan]. If you want to have reliabilityÑbecause our early missiles were far from reliableÑyou get at least two warheads for every warhead you're going after over there. Then, more [warheads] than that, if it's hard targets you're talking about.
There's only one little caveat on this process of targeting: How are you really going to keep them from having dozens, scores, or even hundreds of warheads left, as in sub-launched missiles, for example? You're not, which means that this first-strike effort, this disarming effort, is itself a real hoax when it comes to the goal of limiting damage. You're not going to limit damage. It's been infeasible for the US since the Russians had a significant number of sub-launched missiles, as I say in the book, and that was the mid Ô60s. That was half a century ago.
No promising damage limiting approach
I would say that our damage-limiting, counterforce-decapitating, highly accurate, fast-launched weaponsÑair-launched weapons and ICBMs and increasingly accurate sub-launched missiles, but particularly the ICBMs, which are themselves vulnerable to attackÑhave been totally anachronistic from a military point of view for over half a century. They can hit Soviet ICBMs or Russians ICBMs and command and control. Wonderful! Does the US survive that attack? No. It doesnÕt survive attack from even a fraction of the Soviet or Russian sub-launched missiles.
Systemic failure
... By the way, Chalmers Johnson, just before he died, who had written three books now on our empire of bases, said to me, "It's impossible to change that. It's too widely spread. It's too embedded in our political and economic systems."
... What I get from a book like
what I realize here is that year after year and decade after decade, people who have access to these plans have the same reaction that I did in '61. Which is: "Ye gods, we can do better than this. We don't have to have a plan that hits every city in Russia and China," which it was then and remained for quite a while, by the way. I've always felt that it was not really in humanity's interest to destroy the command and control, centralized, of a major nuclear power, if that left the world with scores, dozens, hundreds, even of surviving nuclear weapons that are under decentralized control. How do you ever stop the nuclear war under those conditions?
My point is, yes, people who've looked at [nuclear targeting plans], they make the same changes in the plans that I did. They never had any effect on the actual prospects of a war. You can't really get the Air Force, or for that matter probably now the Navy, from targeting what they think of as military targets in the cities. The cities do burn anyway. They can't take seriously at all the idea of not destroying the centralized command control of Moscow. By the way, Russia, it turns out, has always had the same point of view as our [military] services.
... I was participating in plansÑit's true for my plans as wellÑfor something that is only euphemistically called mass murder. ÒMassÓ doesn't entirely convey that we're not talking about a massacre in a historic sense here, but we're talking about the annihilation of tens, hundreds of millions of people. And really billions of people. That's not an exaggeration; even aside from the smoke [that causes nuclear winter], you're talking billions of people. Mass murder doesn't quite convey that, because there is no human language that conveys it.
Nuclear genocid rather than nuclear mass murder
We don't have language, and we don't have concepts. I think going back to your earlier question of why doesn't the media or the public get this? In a way, I'm not sure humans are able to absorb emotionally or even cognitively what our current [nuclear targeting] plans would actually do, if they're carried out.
I think what one aspect here is that hardly any informed analysis of these situations has conveyed how insane and immoral this planning actually is. That's what I wanted to try to convey in my book.
A way out without risk: unilaterally dismantling all ICBMs
By the way, I notice that you have an article in the current issue on eliminating the land-based missiles, which should have been done half a century ago and every year since and hasn't been done and isn't about to be done, even though former Secretary of Defense [Bill] Perry has strongly called for that, as has General James Cartwright, former head of Strategic Command, and I think General Lee Butler, former of the first head of Strategic Command, last head of SAC, has also called for that, getting rid of the ICBMs.
Curbing a president's nuclear authority
by Janice Sinclaire, 28 FEBRUARY 2018
How a nuclear attack order is carried out now
Lisbeth Gronlund, David Wright
How to limit presidential authority to order the use of nuclear weapons
Lisbeth Gronlund, David Wright, Steve Fetter
A reminder from Hawaii
Lauren Borja, M.V. Ramana
What America can learn from HawaiiÕs mistake
Karthika Sasikumar
What WeÕre Reading:
Duke University's Peter Feaver on the president and US nuclear command and control
Reconsidering the nuclear demigod called Mr. President
A Republican senator calls a hearing on a Republican presidentÕs nuclear weapons authority
Eric Schlosser on Trump's tweets and nuclear war
Can Congress stop a president waging nuclear war?
Bulletin editor John Mecklin with a Reuters op/ed
Rocket men
Science and Security board member Jon Wolfsthal in the New Republic
Bonus reads:
What you need to know about the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review
The 2018 Doomsday Clock Statement.
Presidential First Use of Nuclear Weapons: Is it Legal? Is it Constitutional? Is it Just? The Bulletin's Kennette Benedict and Hugh Gusterson participated in a November 4th conference at Harvard University. Watch a 6-minute video summary, and read the transcript of the day's remarks at Public Books.
VIRTUAL ROUNDTABLE ON PRESIDENTIAL FIRST USE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS, BY JIM MCGOVERN, WILLIAM J. PERRY, BRUCE G. BLAIR, ROSA BROOKS, KENNETTE BENEDICT, JOHN BURROUGHS, BRUCE ACKERMAN, ZIA MIAN, HUGH GUSTERSON, & SISSELA BOK, Feb. 26.2018
(in cache)
Ending AmericaÕs Disastrous Role in Syria
by Jeffrey Sachs, 19 Feb 2018 (in cache)
Faced with an alarming risk of a renewed escalation of fighting, itÕs time for the United Nations Security Council to step in and end the bloodshed.
AmericaÕs official narrative has sought to conceal the scale and calamitous consequences of US efforts to overthrow Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. That is understandable, because US efforts are in blatant violation of international law, which bars UN member states from supporting military action to overthrow other membersÕ governments.
Much of the carnage that has ravaged Syria during the past seven years is due to the actions of the United States and its allies in the Middle East. Now, faced with an alarming risk of a renewed escalation of fighting, itÕs time for the United Nations Security Council to step in to end the bloodshed, based on a new framework agreed by the CouncilÕs permanent members. ...
Missile-gate: U.S. Intel Misses RussiaÕs Big Advances in Nuclear Parity
By Gilbert Doctorow, March 2, 2018
Russian President Vladimir PutinÕs announcement on Thursday of major technological advances in nuclear weapons delivery systems appears to have caught the U.S. intelligence community unawares.
... And it is not only blindness to things Russian. It is a fundamental failure to grasp that state power anywhere is not dependent only on GDP and demographic trends but also on grit, patriotic determination and the intelligence of thousands of researchers, engineers and production personnel. ...
... I refer the reader to an outstanding and well documented article dating from March 2007 that was published by the European Strategic Intelligence Security Center (ESISC) entitled ÒOutsourcing Intelligence: The Example of the United States.Ó
The author, ESISC Research Associate Raphael Ramos, tells us that at the time
"Hire and Fire" im Wei§en Haus
1. MŠrz 2018, 16:20 Uhr
Graphik "Hire and Fire" im Wei§en Haus"
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Anthony Scaramucci (entlassen) |
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Sally Yates (entlassen) |
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Travis Kalanick (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Mike Flynn (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Craig Deare (entlassen) |
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Katie Walsh (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Mike Dubke (ausgeschieden) |
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Angella Reid (entlassen) |
106 days |
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James Comey (entlassen) |
110 days |
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Kathleen T. McFarland (versetzt) |
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Robert Iger (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Elon Musk (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Walter Shaub (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Sean Spicer (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Reince Priebus (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Hope Hicks (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Kenneth C. Frazier (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Brenda Fitzgerald (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Sebastian Gorka (Amt verloren) |
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Stephen Bannon (Im Einvernehmen entlassen) |
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Carl Icahn (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Tom Price (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Keith Schiller (zurŸckgetreten) |
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David Sorensen (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Rachel Brand (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Omarosa Newman (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Taylor Weyeneth (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Andrew McCabe (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Rob Porter (zurŸckgetreten) |
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Gary Cohn (zurŸckgetreten) |
411 days |
Einige der Genannten arbeiteten bereits vor dem Amtsantritt Trumps fŸr ihn. In diesen FŠllen beziehen sich die zeitlichen Angaben dennoch auf den 20. Januar 2017, den Tag der Vereidigung. In vier FŠllen kann die Zahl der Tage nicht eindeutig bestimmt werden. Hier handelt es sich deshalb um NŠherungswerte, die allerdings maximal um wenige Tage von der tatsŠchlich Zahl abweichen kšnnen. Sie sind mit * gekennzeichnet. Fotos: Afp, dpa, Reuters, Taylor Weyeneth/LinkedIn
Details zu den Personen aus: SŸddeutsche Zeitung (im Cache)
US Envoy for Ukraine Says Minsk Deal Not Working Efficiently
Sputnik International, 06.10.2017
MOSCOW, October 6 (Sputnik) Ñ US Special Representative for Ukraine Negotiations Kurt Volker believes that the Minsk agreements on the de-escalation of the Ukrainian crisis are not efficient. The US special representative for Ukraine has commented on the extension of a law on the special status of Donbass, as well as the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
Volker told Gazeta.Ru news outlet that the Minsk accords had failed to put an end to armed clashes in Donbass, where people still die every week. The parties have not made any sufficient progress in enforcing the ceasefire and making concrete political steps, including holding elections in the region, Washington's representative said.
'Entirely Defensive in Nature': US Agrees to Provide Lethal Aid to Ukraine
Sputnik International, 23.12.2017 (updated 21:20 10.01.2018)
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - The US State Department said Friday that the United States plans to give Ukraine military assistance to help protect its territorial integrity, in a move that is purely defensive and will not violate Minsk accords "The United States has decided to provide Ukraine enhanced defensive capabilities as part of our effort to help Ukraine build its long-term defense capacity, to defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to deter further aggression," spokeswoman Heather Nauert said in a statement.
Earlier this week, the US State Department has approved a licensed commercial export of particular light weapons and small arms from the US manufacturers to Ukraine.
"U.S. assistance is entirely defensive in nature, and as we have always said, Ukraine is a sovereign country and has a right to defend itself. The United States remains committed to the Minsk agreements as the way forward in eastern Ukraine," the statement read.
Meantime, the United States has withdrawn favored trading status from Ukraine because Kiev authorities have failed to act vigorously enough to enforce intellectual property rights, the White House said in a press release on Friday.
Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump signed the country's defense bill, authorizing $350 million in military aid to Ukraine, half of which is conditioned on military reforms.
Meanwhile, a senior State Department official told ABC News that Washington planned to sell 210 anti-tank missiles and 35 launchers to Ukraine.
Ukraine, which has been engaged in a military conflict in the southeastern region of Donbass for three years, has repeatedly asked the United States for lethal and non-lethal weapons.
Russia has objected to this, warning that arms deliveries to Ukraine would only escalate the conflict. The move is likely to escalate the three-year crisis in the county's east. The warring parties signed a truce in February 2015 in the Belarusian capital of Minsk, brokered by Russia, Germany, France, and Ukraine. The Minsk Agreements charted a roadmap toward deescalating the fighting. Frants Klintsevich, a deputy chair of the defense and security committee at the upper house of the Russian parliament warned last month that US military aid to Ukraine could start an all-out war.
Swiss Paper Blows the Lid Off Alleged Ukraine's Secret NATO-Backed Base
Sputnik International, 04.03.2018 (updated 19:29 06.03.2018)
While Washington ostensibly supports the peaceful resolution of the Ukraine-Donbass conflict, new revelations - if true - do not add to these claims and on the contrary seem to be in sync with the approval of sending US weapons to Kiev. The Swiss newspaper Le Temps has reported about scores of US and Canadian instructors training Ukrainian servicemen at the former Soviet firing range Yavorov in western Ukraine.
The newspaper described a 26 kilometer (16 mile)-long and 19 kilometer (11,8 mile)-wide firing range as one of the most secret places in Ukraine, where the country's soldiers have been trained by foreign instructors since 2015.
The main goal of training is to significantly improve the qualification of Ukrainian army personnel, which will allow them to adapt more quickly to NATO standards and learn how to fight better, according to Le Temps.
Conducted on a permanent basis, training is based on the principle of permanent drills, which continue until the Ukrainian servicemen will be able to handle a mission against a simulated enemy.
The newspaper cited one of the Canadian instructors as saying that right now, Ukraine is not ready to join NATO and that it is unlikely to do so in the next fifteen years.
In the past three years, the Yavorov firing range has become a permanent base for about 200 American and 250 Canadian servicemen for whom barracks, dining rooms and gyms were specially built.
About 6,000 Ukrainian servicemen, including those who took part in the armed conflict in eastern Ukraine's Donbass region, have been trained at Yavorov since 2015.
The military conflict in Ukraine has been in place since 2014, after Donbass residents refused to recognize the new Ukrainian government, which had come to power following the forceful ouster of the country's elected president.
Earlier this week, the Pentagon's arms exporting agency announced that the US State Department has approved the sale of hundreds of Javelin anti-tank missiles and missile launch units to Kiev, in a deal worth at least 47 million dollars.
In late December, US State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert said Washington planned to provide Kiev with military assistance, which she claimed would not violate the Minsk peace accords on the ceasefire in eastern Ukraine.
No More Mr. Nice Guy: Putin Unveils Next Gen Russian Nukes
John Wight, 03.03.2018(updated 20:23 04.03.2018)
In one short, simple sentence written some years ago, US scholar and Russia expert Stephen F Cohen got to the heart of the matter: ÒThe Cold War ended in Moscow, but not in Washington.Ó
This indispensable context is how the section of Russian President Vladimir Putin's March 1, 2018, address to the Russian Federal Assembly, dealing with foreign policy and security, has to be understood. In what arguably stands as the most significant public address of the Russian president's tenure in the Kremlin, the world, particularly Washington, was left in no doubt that Moscow possesses the ability and willingness to meet any threat to its security that the US and its allies may seek to impose.
Putin identified the decision of the Bush administration to withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002 as the point when the US moved from a stance of mutual trust and respect in its relations with Russia to one of disregard and disrespect, exploiting Russia's internal problems during this period to assert its dominance as a unipolar power. "We did our best to dissuade the Americans from withdrawing from the treaty," the Russian leader announced. "All in vain. The US pulled out of the treaty in 2002. Even after that we tried to develop constructive dialogue with the Americans. We proposed working together in this area to ease concerns and maintain the atmosphere of trust. At one point, I thought that a compromise was possible, but this was not to be. All our proposals, absolutely all of them, were rejected."
In a dramatic video presentation, the Russian president went on to unveil the next generation of the country's nuclear missiles, developed with the objective of circumventing and overcoming Washington's missile defenses and existing nuclear capability.
President Putin Reveals Two Cases When Russia Can Use Nuclear Weapons
© Sputnik/ Grigoriy Sisoev, 02.03.2018 (updated 11:58 07.03.2018)
Russia may potentially use nuclear weapons only in the event of an impending nuclear attack, or if there is a threat to the country's existence, Russian President Vladimir Putin said in an interview with the NBC broadcaster.
Putin: Russia Creates Advanced Weapons Responding to US Scrapping Missile Treaty
© Sputnik/ Michael Klimentyev, 01.03.2018 (updated 02.03.2018)
On March 1, President Vladimir Putin gave his annual state-of-the-nation address to the bicameral parliament, the Federal Assembly, in which he outlined the countryÕs domestic and foreign policy priorities. Here are the highlights of his speech: from missile defense to artificial intelligence and beyond.
Russia 'Has Long Persuaded US Not to Violate ABM Treaty, Everything Was in Vain'
President Putin announced that Russia was creating new defense systems in response to the United States' deployment of anti-missile defense systems "both in the US and outside its borders." He proceeded to say that all of Russia's suggestions on joint work have been rejected by the US, explaining that Moscow has tried to convince Washington not to violate the anti-missile defense treaty, but all this has been in vain.
According to Putin, the US military build-up will eventually render Russia's nuclear arsenal pointless unless Moscow acts, specifying that all agreements under the New Start Treaty are gradually being undermined and devalued.
"The implementation of plans on global missile defense system, which is currently ongoing, nullify all agreements within the framework of the SNV-III treaty [New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, START signed in 2009] since together with the reduction of number of warheads and their carriers one of the parties, the United States, is increasing the number of interceptors, improving their characteristics, creating new positioning spots, which, if we do not take action, will lead to full nullification of Russia's nuclear potential, [all missiles] will be intercepted."
"A uniform radar location field for a missile attack alert system has been deployed along the perimeter of Russia's borders, which is very important. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, large holes had emerged in it, but everything has now been fixed," Putin said.
'Nobody Listened to Russia Before We Created New Weapons Systems, They Will Listen Now'
"We have started development of new strategic arms that do not use ballistic flight paths, while moving to targets, which means that the missile defense systems are useless in struggle against them."
"No one listened to Russia before we created new armament systems, so listen to Russia now," said President Putin, saying that the country is one step ahead of other states.
Putin underscored that he hadn't revealed all the weapons Russia was working on, but this was "enough" for one day.
At the same time, the president clarified that all the work to enhance Russia's defense capability has been conducted within the framework of international agreements, and does not violate any deals. Putin noted that the country was not threatening anyone and had no intention of attacking anyone despite the creation of a new array of arms, including high-precision strategic weapons, which purely serve Russia's defensive needs.
Putin also noted the "enormous work" in strengthening the Russian army and fleet, which had been conducted over the past several years.
"The whole world now knows the names of Russia's modern weapons," he stated.
Russia Cannot Avoid Lagging Behind in Development of Modern Technology, AI
According to the President, the next few years will be crucial for technological changes in Russia, regardless of who wins the upcoming presidential election.
"The world is accumulating enormous technological potential which allows us to make a huge breakthroughs in improving people's standard of living, modernization of economy, infrastructure and state governanceÉ The efficiency of how we use the great potential of the technological revolutionÉ depends on us only. In this context, the next few years will be decisive for the future of the country," Putin said.
Having stressed that lagging behind was a serious problem that should be overcome, President Putin stated that Russia was ready for a technological breakthrough. Putin called for removing all barriers hindering the development of robotics and artificial intelligence in Russia, adding that the legal framework for the work of foreign scientists and IT specialists should be formed in the country.
"Russia should become not only a key logistics hub of the planet, but, let me stress, one of the global centers of storage, processing, transmitting and protecting large information blocks, the so-called big data," Putin stated, underscoring the urgent need to take into consideration global technological changes when developing the country's infrastructure, the importance of adding such solutions as digital navigation, drones, artificial intelligence.
Positionspapier,
DIE LINKE, 06. MŠrz 2018
...
5. Wir setzen auf Ab- statt AufrŸstung und wollen Waffenexporte verbieten: Der Koalitionsvertrag dagegen enthŠlt eine AufrŸstungsverpflichtung, die zu einer Verdopplung der RŸstungsausgaben auf Ÿber 70 Milliarden Euro fŸhren wŸrde. Wir wollen eine neue Entspannungspolitik in Europa. Frieden und Sicherheit ohne Russland kann es in Europa nicht geben. Wir setzen uns deshalb fŸr die Ersetzung der NATO durch ein kollektives Sicherheitssystem unter Einschluss Russlands ein. Und wir wollen aus den militŠrischen Strukturen von NATO und EU austreten. Wir stehen auch weiterhin fŸr eine konsequente Friedenspolitik und wollen die Bundeswehr aus den AuslandseinsŠtzen zurŸckholen. Wir wollen Fluchtursachen bekŠmpfen, das Sterben im Mittelmeer beenden und stehen fŸr eine humane FlŸchtlingspolitik.
...
The National Endowment for (Meddling in) Democracy
By Daniel Lazare. March 8, 2018 (in cache)
The unwritten rule governing the NEDÕs activities is that the U.S. has an unqualified right to do unto others what others may not do unto the U.S.
... meddling in other countries has been a favorite Washington pastime ever since William McKinley vowed to ÒChristianizeÓ the Philippines in 1899, despite the fact that most Filipinos were already Catholic. Today, an alphabet soup of U.S. agencies engage in political interference virtually around the clock, everyone from U.S. Agency for International Development [USAID] to the Voice of America [VOA], Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty [RFE/RL] to the Department of Homeland Security [DHS]. The last maintains some 2,000 U.S. employees in 70 countries to ensure that no one even thinks of doing anything bad to anyone over here.
Then there is the National Endowment for Democracy, a $180-million-a-year government-funded outfit that is a byword for American intrusiveness. The NED is an example of what might be called Òspeckism,Ó the tendency to go on about the speck in your neighborÕs eye without ever considering the plank in your own (see Matthew 7 for further details). Prohibited by law from interfering in domestic politics, the endowment devotes endless energy to the democratic shortcomings of other countries, especially when they threaten American interests.
... Others who helped lay the groundwork were:
Gang of Four: Senators Call for Tillerson to Enter into Arms Control Talks with the Kremlin
By Gilbert Doctorow and Ray McGovern, March 10, 2018
Four United States senators are urging a new approach to U.S.-Russian relations based on renewed arms control efforts, but you probably havenÕt heard about it from the mainstream media ....
As posted on the website of Senator Merkley
March 8, 2018
The Honorable Rex W. Tillerson
Secretary of State
U.S. Department of State
Washington, DC
Dear Secretary Tillerson:
We write to urge the State Department to convene the next U.S.-Russia Strategic Dialogue as soon as possible.
A U.S.-Russia Strategic Dialogue is more urgent following President PutinÕs public address on March 1st when he referred to several new nuclear weapons Russia is reportedly developing including a cruise missile and a nuclear underwater drone, which are not currently limited by the New START treaty, and would be destabilizing if deployed. ...
...
... There is no guarantee that we can make progress with Russia on these issues. However, even at the height of Cold War tensions, the United States and the Soviet Union were able to engage on matters of strategic stability. Leaders from both countries believed, as we should today, that the incredible destructive force of nuclear weapons is reason enough to make any and all efforts to lessen the chance that they can never be used again.
Sincerely,
Senators Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.), Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont)
ÔDR. STRANGELOVEÕ IS BASICALLY A DOCUMENTARY
GEEK'S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY CULTURE
DATE OF PUBLICATION: 03.03.18. TIME OF PUBLICATION: 8:50 AM. (im Cache)
STANLEY KUBRICKs Film Dr. Strangelove von 1964 ist eine schwarze Komšdie, die damit endet, dass die Welt in einem Atomkrieg všllig zerstšrt wird. Viele Aspekte des Films mšgen absurd erscheinen, aber laut Daniel Ellsberg, der in den 60er Jahren als [hochrangiger] Nuklearkriegsplaner gearbeitet hat, ist er der RealitŠt ziemlich nahe. [Ellsberg hat im Dezember 2017 sein neues Buch "The Doomesday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner" veršffentlicht. Darin beschreibt er, wie er im Rahmen seiner Arbeit bei der RAND Corporation hšchste Ebenen der amerikanischen Regierung und des MilitŠrs beraten hat.]
"Das war ein Dokumentarfilm", sagt Ellsberg in Episode 297 des Podcasts Geeks Guide to the Galaxy. "Alles in diesem Film existierte zu dieser Zeit als operative RealitŠt."
Er sagt, wŠhrend die spezielle Doomsday Maschine, die in Dr. Seltsam ist, fiktiv ist, fungieren die russischen und amerikanischen Atomarsenale als de facto Doomsday Machines, da ein erster Schlag einer Macht gegen die andere mehr als genug wŠre, um die Welt in einen [mehrere Jahrzehnte dauernden] nuklearen Winter zu stŸrzen.
"Wenn [die USA] ihren tatsŠchlichen PlŠnen gefolgt wŠren und sie getan hŠtten, was sie unter Kriegsbedingungen zu tun beabsichtigten, hŠtte es fast das gesamte menschliche Leben [auf unserem Planeten] zerstšrt", sagt Ellsberg.
Nicht nur das, auch die Idee fŸr die Doomsday Machine in Dr. Strangelove wurde inspiriert von dem realen Denken von Herman Kahn, einem von Ellsbergs Kollegen bei RAND. "Kahns Worte werden tatsŠchlich im Film zitiert, und Kahn selbst wollte darin auftreten. Er dachte, er sollte so ein paar Tantiemen dafŸr bekommen", sagt Ellsberg. "Und Kubrick musste ihm versichern, dass das nicht so funktionierte."
Leider hat sich seit 1964 nichts wirklich verŠndert, und die Chancen auf einen Unfall oder ein MissverstŠndnis, das zu einem nuklearen Holocaust fŸhrt, bleiben erschreckend hoch. "Es ist Zeit fŸr einen anderen Dr. Seltsam, oder zumindest eine Wiederbelebung davon", sagt Ellsberg. "Und ich wŸrde mich sehr fŸr die Reaktionen im Pentagon auf eine VorfŸhrung dieses Films interessieren."
When dealing with a bear, hubris is suicidal
The Saker, March 15, 2018
... the four following characteristics as some of its core features:
To illustrate my point I will use the recent ÒSkripal nerve-gas assassinationÓ story as it really encompasses all of these characteristics.
...the gas allegedly used in the attack, ÒNovichokÓ, was manufactured in Uzbekistan and the cleanup of the factory producing it was made by, you guessed it, a US company
ãDie Bilanz nach 25 Jahre Ende UdSSR ist ernŸchterndÒ
Horst Teltschik im Interview mit Jens Wendland, Russlandkontrovers, 15. Juni 2016
ãRussland stand und steht nach der Auflšsung der UdSSR vor gigantischen Aufgaben, die im Westen bis heute unterschŠtzt werden. (É) Von der gro§artigen Vision eines ãGemeinsamen EuropŠischen HausesÒ mit gleicher Sicherheit fŸr alle blieb fast nichts Ÿbrig. Die Bilanz nach 25 Jahren ist mehr als ernŸchternd, wobei Europa und die USA dazu beigetragen habenÒ
... Nach Jahrhunderten autokratischer Zarenherrschaft und nach 70 Jahren kommunistischer Diktatur muss die russische Politik eine Vielzahl von tiefgreifenden strukturellen Reformen in Angriff nehmen:
Der Reformprozess ist praktisch zum Stillstand gekommen.
Gleichzeitig herrschte ein blutiger BŸrgerkrieg in Tschetschenien, der nach dem Zerfall der Sowjetunion sogar den Zusammenhalt des Vielvšlkerstaates Russland bedrohte.
Die Bilanz nach 25 Jahren ist mehr als ernŸchternd, wobei Europa und die USA dazu beigetragen haben.
Die Erweiterung der EU und der NATO bis an die Grenzen Russlands unter Einbeziehung ehemaliger Sowjetrepubliken ist von Russland zunehmend als potentielle Bedrohung verstanden worden. Das ist unverstŠndlich. Die NATO ist ein DefensivbŸndnis und hat bereits auf dem Sondergipfel im Juli 1990 den Warschauer Pakt Ð Staaten ãdie Hand zur FreundschaftÒ gereicht. Russland ist 1994 der Partnership for Peace Ð Initiative von PrŠsident Clinton zur militŠrischen Zusammenarbeit beigetreten. Dieser hatte sogar Jelzin mŸndlich und schriftlich den Beitritt zur NATO angeboten. Selbst PrŠsident Putin hat anfŠnglich eine Mitgliedschaft in der politischen Organisation der NATO nicht grundsŠtzlich ausgeschlossen.
Im Mai 1997 unterzeichneten die NATO und Russland die ãGrundakte Ÿber Gegenseitige Beziehungen, Zusammenarbeit und SicherheitÒ mit dem Ziel, eine starke, stabile und dauerhafte Zusammenarbeit zu entwickeln. Wšrtlich hei§t es darin: ãDie NATO und Russland betrachten einander nicht als GegnerÒ. Um die Ziele der Grundakte durchzusetzen, wurde im Mai 2002 der ãGemeinsame StŠndige NATO-Russland-RatÒ eingerichtet. Doch er wurde weder wŠhrend des Georgienkrieges 2008 noch in der Ukrainekrise einberufen. Vor wenigen Wochen gab es endlich wieder ein Zusammentreffen.
€hnliches gilt fŸr die EU. Sie hat mit Russland 1997 ein Partnerschafts- und Kooperationsabkommen geschlossen, das 2007 auslief und bis heute nicht erneuert wurde. Auch der Vorschlag einer gesamteuropŠischen Freihandelszone von Lissabon bis Wladiwostok von EU-KommissionsprŠsidenten Prodi wurde nicht weiterverfolgt. Das sind nur einige Initiativen und VorschlŠge, die auf dem Tisch lagen. EnttŠuschend ist, dass keine Seite die Chancen genutzt hat, sondern mangelndes Vertrauen bzw. altes Misstrauen vorherrschend blieben. Die russische Annexion der Krim und die andauernde Aggression in der Ostukraine haben die Beziehungen gegenwŠrtig fast zum Erliegen gebracht.
... Die grš§te FehleinschŠtzung [der deutschen Politik] besteht darin, die erklŠrten, wenn auch Ÿbertriebenen Sicherheitsinteressen Russlands nicht ernst genug genommen zu haben. Die im November 1990 von allen 35 Staats- und Regierungschefs der KSZE- Staaten unterschriebene ãCharta fŸr ein neues EuropaÒ ist von Anbeginn nicht entschlossen in konkrete Entscheidungen umgesetzt worden. Die vereinbarten jŠhrlichen Au§enministerkonferenzen blieben ohne Wirkung. Das beschlossene KonfliktverhŸtungszentrum trat auch in Krisensituationen nach au§en nie in Erscheinung. Die OSZE versucht erst jetzt in der Ukrainekrise ihrer Rolle des Krisenmanagements gerecht zu werden.
PrŠsident Medwedew hatte in seiner Rede im Juni 2008 in Berlin vorgeschlagen, einen Vertrag Ÿber eine gesamteuropŠische Sicherheitsordnung zu verhandeln. Sein Vorschlag blieb im Westen ohne Echo. Im Grundsatz hat sich Russland auf Themen der Sicherheit versteift, der Westen dagegen auf Menschenrechte, Wahlbeobachtung u.a., fŸr Russland der Versuch, sich in seine inneren Angelegenheiten einzumischen.
To prevent nuclear war, borrow from 1973
ADAM M. SCHEINMAN, 14 March 2018
Adam M. Scheinman was special representative of the president for nuclear nonproliferation, with rank of ambassador, from 2014 to 2016.
North KoreaÕs nuclear build-up continues. Vladimir Putin announced on March 1 that Russia had developed new nuclear weaponsÑan announcement timed, no doubt, to one-up the US Nuclear Posture Review, which was released in February. Amid developments such as these, some observers worry that nuclear weapons are back, big time.
The truth is that they never really left. Yes, total stockpile numbers have come way down from their Cold War high. But the strategic rationale for retaining nuclear weapons remains. ThatÕs unlikely to change any time soonÑso what can realistically be done to stop nuclear wars before they start?
Some disarmament advocates, reflecting a human tendency to seek simple solutions to highly complex problems, favor a moonshot approachÑthey want, as a first step toward abolition, to prohibit nuclear weapons by treaty. For the United States, a nation with significant military responsibilities, the equation works in reverse: Nuclear weapons will be needed for deterrence as long as WashingtonÕs military competitors possess them. It is an uncomfortable fact of life in the United States that nuclear weapons are both protagonist and antagonist. They are both a safeguard for US security and a massive threat to it. Resolving this tension has been the mŽtier of policy makers and scholars for the entirety of the nuclear age, and the tension is sure to persist until the major powers all but eliminate their differencesÑand until the regional competitions that give rise to nuclear proliferation are resolved.
No such resolution appears imminent. Reductions in the US and Russian arsenals, beyond those stipulated under New START, seem a distant prospect. Russia waved off President ObamaÕs offer in June 2013 to negotiate a new round of nuclear cuts and then proceeded to persist in violating the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. As for multilateral pacts that would bring a broader set of players into the disarmament process, this prospect seems distant as wellÑand the reality in any event is that China, France, and the United Kingdom maintain much smaller nuclear arsenals than do the big two.
What then? Well, a 1973 agreement between the United States and the Soviet UnionÑlittle noticed when signed and largely forgotten sinceÑholds some promise in the current environment. The US-Soviet Agreement on the Prevention of Nuclear War, signed during a period of US-Soviet dŽtenteÑand, admittedly, more symbolic than substantialÑcalled on the two states Òto remove the danger of nuclear war and of the use of nuclear weaponsÓ and Òto prevent the development of situations capable of causing a dangerous exacerbation of their relations,Ó which might lead to a nuclear war.
Arms control advocates understandably focus their efforts on reducing numbers of warheads and missiles. But until nuclear reductions are back on the table, revisiting or updating the 1973 agreement could provide an alternative framework for discussions across a broad range of strategic nuclear issues and concerns.
Wise goal, great hopes. In the 1960s, US policy makers began to seek a wise goal: ensuring that fewer fingers gripped the nuclear trigger. They worked to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. They lowered risks by pursuing arms control agreements with the Soviet Union.
For Defense Secretary Robert McNamara and other Americans who participated in the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, the principal lesson learned was that American cities, because of the potential fog of miscalculation, misjudgment, or miscommunication, faced an intolerable risk of absorbing a nuclear strike during a crisis. The nuclear war scare over Cuba generated new imperatives for policy makers. Crises must be avoided. Strategic stabilityÑa situation in which neither the United States nor the Soviet Union would have reason to fear a nuclear first strikeÑmust be established. Rough nuclear parity must set the bar for nuclear use as high as possible.
Comment by J. Gruber
Comment by John Kiriakou (former CIA analyst and case officer, senior investigator for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee)
time: 15:57 - 17:31 - details on the Novichok attack on the Skripals
"The first thing that you do when you first sit down to begin planning a clandestine operation, is that you address the possibility of what's called "blowback". Blowback is unintended consequences of the operation. You go through plan A, B, C, D, every possible scenario that you and anybody else around the table can think of. Well, this is an easy one: Blowback is obvious in an operation like this. So, the easy answer is: No professional intelligence officer in his right mind in Russia would want to do an operation like this because there is no upside to it. If the Russians wanted to kill Mr. Skripal they could have done it any number of times over the last decade and a half or two decades. They didn't. And so it makes zero sense that they would do it now.
We don't know anything about this guy. Did he owe money to the Russian mafia? Maybe he did. May be he is a degenerate (?) gambler. We don't have any idea. But those notions don't fit in the Theresa May - Boris Johnson narrative. There was a rush to judgement here, because that's what helps move UK foreign policy forward. If Theresa May would have come out and say "Well, it wasn't the Russians." well, she's going to look stupid. And she has nothing to gain by coming out and saying that.
by Dmitry Orlov, Patreon, 6 Sept. 2018
The Brits have just provided my previous article, The Truthers and The Fakers, with a tidy little case study: the very next day after I published it Theresa MayÕs government stepped into its role as one of the worldÕs premier Fakers and unleashed the next installment of fake news on the Skripal poisoning. We can use this as training material in learning how to spot and discard fakes.
The fake story that May has been pushing is that it is Òhighly likelyÓ that the Kremlin ordered a hit on the former British spy Sergei Skripal (and his daughter) using a ÒRussian-madeÓ chemical weapon called ÒNovichok.Ó In turn, from what we already knew, it is highly likely that this story is a complete and utter fake. As I explained in the previous article, it is not our job to establish what really happened. We would be unable to do so with any degree of certainty without gaining access to state secrets. But we donÕt need to; all we need to do is establish with a reasonable degree of certainty that the British governmentÕs story is a foolishly, incompetently concocted fabrication. Doing so will then allow us to properly classify the British press, which repeats this nonsense as fact, and the British public, which accepts it unquestioningly at face value. Then we can drop the erroneous appellation ÒgreatÓÑbecause great nations donÕt act so stupidly.
First, applying the usual investigative technique of identifying means, motive and opportunity, we find that the Russian government had none of them while Theresa MayÕs government had all of them.
Means: Russia had given up its chemical weapons, submitted to international inspections and no longer has a chemical weapons program, while Britain, along with the US, has been ignoring its treaty obligations. It has not given up its chemical weapons, has not submitted to international inspections and maintains a chemical weapons program at Porton Down, a few miles from where the poisonings took place. Experts at Porton Down claim to have identified the chemical agent that was supposedly used, and this implies that they had some of it on hand.
Motive: Russia had handed Skripal over to Britain in a spy swap a few years ago and had no reason to pursue him. Gratuitously causing an international scandal right before the World Cup was to be held in Russia would have been considered a career-ending move for any Russian official. On the other hand, Theresa MayÕs government badly needed a distraction from its disastrous Brexit negotiations, flagging support and other woes and would have been eager to please its masters in Washington by staging a provocation against Russia.
Opportunity: The poisoning took place on British soil, down the street from a British chemical weapons facility, and the person poisoned was living under the watchful eye of British special services. Clearly, the British had ample opportunity; whether the Russians had any at all remains to be shown.
Thus, applying the now traditional British legal standard of Òhighly likely,Ó it seems highly likely that that the Kremlin had nothing to do with it. But this still leaves open the question of what precisely it was that the Kremlin had nothing to do with because it is highly likely that what the British government claims to have happened didnÕt happen.
The British claim that two Russian government agents (John Kiriakou stated in Loud & Clear, 6 Sept. 2018, that secret agents having the same target never travel together), Alexander Petrov and Ruslan Boshirov (sic) flew to Britain from Moscow on an Aeroflot flight, went to Salisbury, sprayed some Novichok on the doorknob of SkripalÕs front door, then flew back. They transported Novichok in a perfume bottle, which they then discarded in a park. Skripal and his daughter touched the doorknob, then went out for lunch and a stroll, and some hours later synchronously succumbed to the poison, also contaminating a policeman who came to their rescue. All three eventually recovered. Weeks later a local drug addict found the perfume bottle in a park and gave it to his girlfriend, who sprayed herself with the substance and died while he fell ill and recovered.
Novichok is a chemical weapon designed to kill on contact and instantaneously wipe out entire cities. It is known to have been synthesized by labs in several countries, including one in the Former Soviet Union. It isnÕt known to have ever been synthesized in Russia. It is known to be far too deadly to have been used in the manner described and to have produced such mild effects.
First, if Petrov and Boshirov had indeed tried transporting this volatile substance in an ordinary perfume bottle rather than a military-grade hermetically sealed container, they wouldnÕt have made it to their destination but would have died along the way. Second, if they attempted to spray Novichok on a doorknob without wearing protective gear, they would have been found dead on SkripalÕs doorstep. Third, if Skripal and his daughter touched a doorknob contaminated with Novichok, they would likewise have been found dead on that same doorstep. Based on just this information, we can be quite certain that the poison in question wasnÕt Novichok and that whatever it was wasnÕt administered in the manner described.
What remains of the British story? That two people flew in from Moscow to spray a defective poison on a doorknob, then discard it? (It only killed one out of five people.) The British claimed that their names were fake, as were their documents, expecting us to believe that who they are isnÕt known but that it is known that they are Russian agents. Well, one of their names is certainly fake on examination: itÕs Bashirov (a very common last name in the Russian Republic of Tatarstan) not Boshirov. Why would a Russian agent put a typo in his alias? It seems Òhighly likelyÓ that this typo was British in origin.
Then, we are told that these two flew in directly from Moscow with Russian passports, meaning that they had to have obtained visas at the British Embassy in Moscow in a process that involves fingerprinting and other biometric data. This should make them easy to identify and to find out their real names, but it has been five months and the British authorities still havenÕt bothered to do so. This makes it Òhighly likelyÓ that these are not real Russian agents but amateurish British concoctions.
And then we have this real gem of incompetence: the British showed surveillance video stills of these two characters walking separately through the same place at the airport precisely at the same time: 02/03/2018 16:22:43.
Apparently, the British government expects everyone to believe that the Russians have perfected time travel. We, on the other hand, should find it much more believable that the British government has been stocked with feeble-minded, incompetent degenerates. This brings up a question: WhatÕs so great about Britain? Perhaps the appellation ÒgreatÓ needs to be updated to some more fitting, less flattering adjective? You be the judge.
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London: Hauptstadt friedensgefŠhrdender LŸgen.
Willy Wimmer, 27. MŠrz 2018 (im Cache)
Der Westen dreht an der Eskalationsschraube. Russland ist in einer Art und Weise gefordert, wie wir es sogar wŠhrend des ersten Kalten Krieges nicht erlebt haben. Die Menschen in Europa sind eigentlich auf Zusammenarbeit aus. Sie wollen nach Jahrzehnten der westlichen KriegszŸge endlich einmal Frieden und keinesfalls den nŠchsten Gro§konflikt. Deshalb ist die Frage berechtigt, als was der ÒBlitzÓ aus London wahrgenommen wird, wenigstens bei denen, die in den Staaten der EuropŠischen Union leben?
Die Frage ist zu beantworten, wenn man sich die westliche Politik gegenŸber Russland seit dem Regierungs-Revirement Genscher/Kinkel im FrŸhjahr 1992 ansieht. Bis zu diesem Zeitpunkt war in Europa Zusammenarbeit mit Russland auf der Basis der gegen Ende des ersten Kalten Krieges vereinbarten Regeln Ÿber das Ògemeinsame Haus EuropaÓ angesagt. Dazu zŠhlte vor allem die ÒCharta von ParisÓ aus dem November 1990. Mit dieser Charta sollte die konstruktive Phase der Zusammenarbeit in Europa eingelŠutet und der Krieg aus Europa endgŸltig verbannt werden. Das war nicht im angelsŠchsischen Interesse, wie sich ab diesem Zeitpunkt in dem BemŸhen der US-dominierten NATO zeigte, sich an die Westgrenze der Russischen Fšderation vorzuschieben.
... Es ist schockierend und friedensgefŠhrdend, wie sich die deutsche Bundesregierung verhŠlt. Gro§britannien hat den Anspruch auf ÒBŸndnissolidaritŠtÓ nur, wenn es sich an die weltweit anerkannten Regeln hŠlt und die verlangen nun einmal ÒBeweiseÓ. Die Schweiz, die sich in immer stŠrkerem Ma§e an ihre alte Rolle der Òstreitschlichtenden Gro§machtÓ erinnert, macht es Berlin geradezu vor, auf was es jetzt ankommt: AufklŠrung eines Kriminalfalls in Gro§britannien und Beweise. Sonst geht gar nichts.
Statt London wegen andauernder kriegstreibender AktivitŠten in den Arm zu fallen, dackelt Frau Dr. Merkel als Kanzlerin hinter der britischen Premierministerin her.
Wie der Westen die Welt ins Chaos stŸrzte
ãDer Tod kommt aus AmerikaÒ und die BestŠtigung durch den Chef von STRATFOR
Albrecht MŸller, 13. 3.2015 (im Cache) mit Abdruck des Wimmer-Briefs Ÿber die Bratislava-Konferenz an G. Schršder vom 2.5.2000
Under Trump's Leadership, US Ratchets Up Confrontation With Russia
Brian Becker, John Kiriakou, LOUD & CLEAR, 27.03.2018 (in cache: INTENSO#9/interviews&discussion/loud&clear/27.3.2018-skripal_escalation_diplomats_expulsion.mp3")
President Trump today expelled 60 Russian diplomats from the United States and closed the Russian consulate in Seattle in reaction to the poisoning of a spy in the UK, which accuses Russia of the act. 16 EU members in addition to Britain have also followed suit and expelled Russian diplomats. The move is a major step up in the worsening of relations between the US and Russia.
Appell Eugen Drewermanns vor Schloss Bellevue: ãWir wollen Frieden und keinen Krieg"
RT Deutsch, 19.12.2014 ¥ 16:53 Uhr
(Video von KenFM)
Wir dokumentieren die bewegende Abschlussrede des Theologen und Publizisten Eugen Drewermann, anlŠsslich der Demonstration der Friedensbewegung im Rahmen des sogenannten Friedenswinters, vor dem Amtssitz des BundesprŠsidenten Joachim Gauck am 13. Dezember 2014.
Er kritisiert in seinem Appell den ãgrenzenlosen Zynismus GaucksÒ, dessen Militarismus, die Waffenexporte der BRD und die menschenverachtende Abschottung Europas durch quasi-militŠrische VerbŠnde wie Frontex. Ebenfalls Theologe wie Gauck setzt er aber ganz andere Akzente. Dem gauckschen VerstŠndnis von ãAuge um Auge, Zahn um ZahnÒ setzt er ein ãLiebe deinen NŠchsten wie dich selbstÒ und ãDu sollst nicht tštenÒ entgegen.
Vorwurf "Querfront": Wie die Friedensbewegung in Deutschland sabotiert wurde
Meinung, RT Deutsch, 3.04.2018
... Eine ganz gro§e Koalition aus Medien, Politikern und "Initiativen" hat seit dem Jahr 2014 den um den Frieden besorgten Menschen die Label "Querfront" und "Verschwšrungstheoretiker" angehŠngt, was bis heute zu einer Spaltung der Bewegung fŸhrt. Damals gab es zaghafte Versuche, die traditionelle Friedensbewegung mit den zur Ukraine-Krise entstandenen "Mahnwachen fŸr den Frieden" zu verbinden - Stichwort "Friedenswinter". In den wŸtenden Presse-Kampagnen gegen diese Versuche muss man den Ursprung der heutigen SchwŠche der pazifistischen Bewegung in Deutschland suchen.
Die Zeit fabulierte (Cache) damals von "Altkommunisten, Neu-Rechten, linken Abgeordneten und Gewerkschaftern", die gegen "alle Politiker" demonstrieren wŸrden - "au§er Putin". Der Spiegel verbreitete (Cache), beim Friedenswinter wŸrden sich "Putin-Fans, Pazifisten und Verschwšrungstheoretiker" versammeln, der Tagesspiegel sah (Cache) bei den pazifistischen Demos vor allem "Verschwšrungstheoretiker, Linke und Neonazis".
Dass die zitierten Zeitungen sich so Šu§ern, mag man noch als natŸrliches Verhalten gro§er deutscher Privatmedien empfinden. Besonders schockierend war aber, dass sich 2014 auch angeblich linke Publikationen und Personen geradezu hasserfŸllt gegenŸber den Friedensbewegten positionierten. Ohne diese SchŸtzenhilfe von "links" hŠtte die Hetzkampagne der gro§en Medien gegen Friedensdemos niemals diese Wucht entfaltet. Die taz beleidigte (paywall) die Demo-Teilnehmer pauschal als von Russland verfŸhrte "Wirrkšpfe". Das Neue Deutschland bezeichnete (paywall) die Teilnehmer der Mahnwachen fŸr den Frieden als "gŸnstigstenfalls verwirrte, schlimmstenfalls von ihrem Wahn Ÿberzeugte" Menschen.
Auch "Linke" hetzten gegen Friedenswinter
Die schrŠge Argumentationslinie "Pazifismus gleich Wahnsinn" wurde nicht nur von gro§en, kleinen, bŸrgerlichen und "linken" Medien massenhaft verbreitet, sondern auch von prominenten pseudolinken Einzelpersonen wie Jutta Dittfurth. Die GrŸne der ersten Stunde richtet ihre abnehmende BerŸhmtheit und ihre politische Energie schon lange vor allem gegen links. Im Jahr 2014 deckte (Cache) auch sie auf, "welcher neurechte Plan hinter dem scheinbar friedlichen Gerede" der Pazifisten lauere. Seither erlebt die damals fast vergessene Politikerin einen zweiten FrŸhling als TorwŠchterin der "linken" Szene und wirft mit den Antisemitismus-VorwŸrfen nur so um sich.
Eine sehr destruktive Rolle gegen eine starke Friedensbewegung in Deutschland haben auch Teile der Linkspartei eingenommen - ganz vorne in der Reihe der Gegner des Friedenswinters hat sich damals erwartungsgemŠ§ der heutige Berliner Kultursenator Klaus Lederer positioniert (paywall): Die Mahnwachen fŸr den Frieden wŸrden "den Boden fŸr Rechtspopulismus, Antisemitismus und Rassismus" bereiten. Er sehe das alles "mit Gruseln". ...
Mehr lesen:Schlammschlacht 2.0: Die "Querfront"-Kampagne gegen die Friedensbewegung
13 Mar, 2018 in Uncategorized by craig (Murray)
... From PutinÕs point of view, to assassinate Skripal now seems to have very little motivation. If the Russians have waited eight years to do this, they could have waited until after their World Cup. The Russians have never killed a swapped spy before. Just as diplomats, British and otherwise, are the most ardent upholders of the principle of diplomatic immunity, so security service personnel everywhere are the least likely to wish to destroy a system which can be a key aspect of their own personal security; quite literally spy swaps are their ÒGet Out of Jail FreeÓ card. You donÕt undermine that system Ð probably terminally Ð without very good reason.
It is worth noting that the ÒwickedÓ Russians gave Skripal a far lighter jail sentence than an American equivalent would have received. If a member of US Military Intelligence had sold, for cash to the Russians, the names of hundreds of US agents and officers operating abroad, the Americans would at the very least jail the person for life, and I strongly suspect would execute them. Skripal just received a jail sentence of 18 years, which is hard to square with the narrative of implacable vindictiveness against him. If the Russians had wanted to make an example, that was the time.
... I am alarmed by the security, spying and armaments industriesÕ frenetic efforts to stoke Russophobia and heat up the new cold war. I am especially alarmed at the stream of cold war warrior ÒexpertsÓ dominating the news cycles. I write as someone who believes that agents of the Russian state did assassinate Litvinenko, and that the Russian security services carried out at least some of the apartment bombings that provided the pretext for the brutal assault on Chechnya. I believe the Russian occupation of Crimea and parts of Georgia is illegal. On the other hand, in Syria Russia has saved the Middle East from domination by a new wave of US and Saudi sponsored extreme jihadists.
The naive view of the world as ÒgoodiesÓ and ÒbaddiesÓ, with our own ruling class as the good guys, is for the birds. I witnessed personally in Uzbekistan the willingness of the UK and US security services to accept and validate intelligence they knew to be false in order to pursue their policy objectives. We should be extremely sceptical of their current anti-Russian narrative. There are many possible suspects in this attack.
Blog by Craig Murray, 5 Apr, 2018 (in cache)
What is left of the governmentÕs definitive identification of Russia as the culprit in the Salisbury attack? It is a simple truth that Russia is not the only state that could have made the nerve agent: dozens of them could. It could also have been made by many non-state actors.
Motorola sales agent Gary Aitkenhead Ð inexplicably since January, Chief Executive of Porton Down chemical weapons establishment Ð said in his Sky interview that ÒprobablyÓ only a state actor could create the nerve agent. That is to admit the possibility that a non state actor could. David Collum, Professor of Organo-Chemistry at Cornell University, infinitely more qualified than a Motorola salesman, has stated that his senior students could do it. Professor Collum tweeted me this morning.
Dave Collum - 5 April 2018
... I see major problems with the notion that the Skripals were poisoned by their doorknob.
The first is this. After what Dame Sally Davis, Chief Medical officer for England, called Òrigorous scientific analysisÓ of the substance used on the Skripals, the government advised those who may have been in contact to wash their clothes and wipe surfaces with warm water and wet wipes. Suspect locations were hosed down by the fire brigade.
But if the substance was in a form that could be washed away, why was it placed on an external door knob? It was in point of fact raining heavily in Salisbury that day, and indeed had been for some time.
Can somebody explain to me the scenario in which two people both touch the exterior door handle in exiting and closing the door? And if it transferred from one to the other, why did it not also transfer to the doctor who gave extensive aid that brought her in close bodily contact, including with fluids?
The second problem is that the Novichok family of nerve agents are instant acting. There is no such thing as a delayed reaction nerve agent. Remember we have been specifically told by Theresa May that this nerve agent is up to ten times more powerful than VX, the Porton Down developed nerve agent that killed KimÕs brother in 15 minutes.
But if it was on the doorknob, the last contact they could possibly have had with the nerve agent was a full three hours before it took effect. Not only that, they were well enough to drive, to walk around a shopping centre, visit a pub, and then Ð and this is the truly unbelievable bit Ð their central nervous systems felt in such good fettle, and their digestive systems so in balance, they were able to sit down and eat a full restaurant meal. Only after all that were they Ð both at precisely the same time despite their substantially different weights Ð suddenly struck down by the nerve agent, which went from no effects at all, to deadly, on an alarm clock basis.
This narrative simply is not remotely credible. Nerve agents Ð above all Òmilitary grade nerve agentsÓ Ð were designed as battlefield weapons. They do not leave opponents fighting fit for hours. There is no description in the scientific literature of a nerve agent having this extraordinary time bomb effect. ... If the nerve agent was on the door handle and they touched it, the onset of these symptoms would have occurred before they reached the car. They would certainly have not felt like sitting down to a good lunch two hours later.
Of A Type Developed By Liars 739
Blog by Craig Murray, 16 March 2018
I have now received confirmation from a well placed FCO source that Porton Down scientists are not able to identify the nerve agent as being of Russian manufacture, and have been resentful of the pressure being placed on them to do so. Porton Down would only sign up to the formulation Òof a type developed by RussiaÓ after a rather difficult meeting where this was agreed as a compromise formulation. The Russians were allegedly researching, in the ÒNovichokÓ programme a generation of nerve agents which could be produced from commercially available precursors such as insecticides and fertilisers. This substance is a ÒnovichokÓ in that sense. It is of that type. Just as I am typing on a laptop of a type developed by the United States, though this one was made in China.
To anybody with a Whitehall background this has been obvious for several days. The government has never said the nerve agent was made in Russia, or that it can only be made in Russia. The exact formulation Òof a type developed by RussiaÓ was used by Theresa May in parliament, used by the UK at the UN Security Council, used by Boris Johnson on the BBC yesterday and, most tellingly of all, Òof a type developed by RussiaÓ is the precise phrase used in the joint communique issued by the UK, USA, France and Germany yesterday:
This use of a military-grade nerve agent, of a type developed by Russia, constitutes the first offensive use of a nerve agent in Europe since the Second World War.
When the same extremely careful phrasing is never deviated from, you know it is the result of a very delicate Whitehall compromise. My FCO source, like me, remembers the extreme pressure put on FCO staff and other civil servants to sign off the dirty dossier on Iraqi WMD, some of which pressure I recount in my memoir Murder in Samarkand. She volunteered the comparison to what is happening now, particularly at Porton Down, with no prompting from me.
Separately I have written to the media office at OPCW to ask them to confirm that there has never been any physical evidence of the existence of Russian Novichoks, and the programme of inspection and destruction of Russian chemical weapons was completed last year.
Did you know these interesting facts?
OPCW inspectors have had full access to all known Russian chemical weapons facilities for over a decade Ð including those identified by the ÒNovichokÓ alleged whistleblower Mirzayanov Ð and last year OPCW inspectors completed the destruction of the last of 40,000 tonnes of Russian chemical weapons
By contrast the programme of destruction of US chemical weapons stocks still has five years to run
Israel has extensive stocks of chemical weapons but has always refused to declare any of them to the OPCW. Israel is not a state party to the Chemical Weapons Convention nor a member of the OPCW. Israel signed in 1993 but refused to ratify as this would mean inspection and destruction of its chemical weapons. Israel undoubtedly has as much technical capacity as any state to synthesise ÒNovichoksÓ.
Until this week, the near universal belief among chemical weapons experts, and the official position of the OPCW, was that ÒNovichoksÓ were at most a theoretical research programme which the Russians had never succeeded in actually synthesising and manufacturing. That is why they are not on the OPCW list of banned chemical weapons.
Porton Down is still not certain it is the Russians who have apparently synthesised a ÒNovichokÓ. Hence ÒOf a type developed by RussiaÓ. Note developed, not made, produced or manufactured.
It is very carefully worded propaganda. Of a type developed by liars. ....
nachdenkseiten.de, 8. April 2018
Skripal - Der Westen tštet im Orient 329 Menschen. Jeden Tag. Seit 27 Jahren.
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BEYOND NUCLEAR - working for a world free from nuclear power and nuclear weapons
Risk of "dirty shutdown" at Paducah gaseous diffusion uranium enrichment plant
... In September 1999, Joby Warrick of the Washington Post [In Harms Way, But in the Dark, August 8, 1999) broke the story that post-reprocessing uranium from Hanford Nuclear Reservation, containing fission products and transuranics, had been secretively run through Paducah. Local residents, such as Ron Lamb, had already been long protesting Technetium-99 in his drinking well water, however. Paducah whistleblower Al Puckett helped expose a secret dumping ground for radioactive and hazardous wastes on site. Such revelations help to explain the high cancer rate amongst Paducah workers and area residents. ...
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Was Ÿber die Luftangriffe in Syrien bekannt ist
Spiegel, 14.4.2018
Why the Arabs donÕt want us in Syria - Warum die Araber uns in Syrien nicht wollen
By ROBERT F. KENNEDY, JR, 2/23/16, 8:50 AM CET, Updated 9/16/16 (in cache: english - german)
They donÕt hate Ôour freedoms.Õ They hate that weÕve betrayed our ideals in their own countries Ñ for oil.
Campact sollte diskutieren, ob sie sich kŸnftigen Friedensappellen anschlie§en mšgen
Eine Anregung von Joachim Gruber, 19.4.2018
The following videos are referenced in surveillance@acamedia (index2.html)
NSA Genius Debunks Russiagate Once & For All
William Binney on The Jimmy Dore Show, January 2018
William Binney Warning Surveillance Turning Inside
William Binney on InfoWars, December 2017
How NSA Tracks You (Bill Binney)
From the SHA2017 conference in Netherlands, August 12, 2017
VIPS Call on Trump Not to Pull Out of Iran Nuclear Deal
May 7, 2018 ¥ 12 Comments
NOTE: The evidence presented by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on April 30 alleging a covert Iranian nuclear weapons program shows blatant signs of fabrication. That evidence is linked to documents presented by the Bush Administration more a decade earlier as proof of a covert Iran nuclear weapons program. Those documents were clearly fabricated as well.
We sent President Bush a similar warning about bogus intelligence Ñ much of it fabricated by Israel Ñsix weeks before the U.S./UK attack on Iraq, but Bush paid us no heed. This time, we hope you will take note before things spin even further out of control in the Middle East. In short, IsraelÕs ÒnewÓ damaging documents on Iran were fabricated by the Israelis themselves.
Executive Summary
The Bush administration account of how the documents on Iran got into the hands of the CIA is not true. We can prove that the actual documents originally came not from Iran but from Israel. And the documents were never authenticated by the CIA or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Two former Directors-General of the IAEA, Hans Blix and Mohamed ElBaradei, have publicly expressed suspicion that the documents were fabricated. And forensic examination of the documents yielded multiple signs that they are fraudulent.
We urge you to insist on an independent inquiry into the actual origins of these documents. We believe that the renewed attention being given to claims that Iran is secretly working to develop nuclear weapons betokens a transparent attempt to stoke hostility toward Iran, with an eye toward helping ÒjustifyÓ pulling out of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran.
... Completely absent from the usual discussion of this general problem is the reality that Israel already has a secret nuclear arsenal of more than a hundred nuclear weapons. To the extent IsraelÕs formidable deterrent is more widely understood, arguments that Israel genuinely fears an Iranian nuclear threat any time soon lose much of their power. Only an extreme few suggest that IranÕs leaders are bent on risking national suicide. What the Israelis are after is regime change in Tehran. And they have powerful allies with similar aims.
For the Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)
Richard H. Black, Senator of Virginia, 13th District; Colonel US Army (ret.); Former Chief, Criminal Law Division, Office of the Judge Advocate General, the Pentagon (associate VIPS)
Kathleen Christison, Senior Analyst on Middle East, CIA (ret.)
Philip Giraldi, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)
Michael S. Kearns, Captain,Wing Commander, RAAF (ret.); Intelligence Officer & ex-Master SERE Instructor
John Kiriakou, former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and former senior investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Edward Loomis, NSA Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)
David MacMichael, Ph.D., former senior estimates officer, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Ray McGovern, former US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA analyst; CIA Presidential briefer (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray,former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East, National Intelligence Council & CIA political analyst (ret.)
Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)
Gareth Porter, author/journalist (associate VIPS)
Scott Ritter, former MAJ., USMC, former UN Weapon Inspector, Iraq
Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)
Robert Wing, former Foreign Service Officer (associate VIPS)
Ann Wright, Colonel, US Army (ret.); also Foreign Service Officer who resigned in opposition to the US war on Iraq
50.000 Unterschriften, SIPRI, internationaler Aufruf "Disarm! Don't Arm!" und 1. Mai
Newsletter Nummer 7 - AbrŸsten statt AufrŸsten, Mai 2018
... Anton Hofreiter (MdB, GrŸne): Deutschland ist der viertgrš§te RŸstungsexporteur weltweit. Der Bundesregierung scheint esÐ trotz gegenteiliger Bekundungen - ziemlich egal zu sein, wohin deutsche Waffen gelangen - in Spannungsgebiete und Krisenregionen, zum Beispiel nach Saudi-Arabien, €gypten oder in die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate - und wie sie die Situation dort anheizen.
Neue Entspannungspolitik - Jetzt
By James Carden, American Affairs Journal 29 May 2018 (in cache, deutsche AuszŸge)
AmericaÕs growing animus towards all things Russian is also characterized by the hostility borne of a frustrated project of liberal cultural imperialism. In the years following the end of the Soviet Union, the idea that Russia was Òours to loseÓ gained wide currency in American foreign policy circles.
The Clinton administration sought to dismantle the remaining state apparatus of Soviet-era Russia and replace it with a new liberal civil society that took its cues from Washington. In that way, it was believed, Russia could never again pose a challenge to the West.
Of course, such efforts did not succeed, but our Òculture warÓ approach to foreign policy has only intensified since then. The failure of this project has contributed significantly to the present animus towards Russia and continues to hinder more reasonable diplomatic relations.
PostÐCold War Dreams and Disappointments
Shaping and defining the acceptable confines of Russian Òcivil societyÓ has been an ongoing American project for much of the past quarter century. Writing for The Nation in 1999, David Rieff observed that, at the time, Òmost well-intentioned people now view the rise of civil society as the most promising political development of the postÐCold War era.Ó 3 That was certainly the case with the undoubtedly well-intentioned planners in the Clinton White House, who sought to harness the latent energy of Russian civil society (or at least those segments of it that were deemed to be consistent with the project of ÒWesternizingÓ the former Soviet state).
[compare this with Jeffrey Sachs's "What I did in Russia"
"I also harbored hopes that the incoming Clinton Administration would be different from the outgoing Bush Administration with regard to assistance and to formulating a broad policy of Western engagement.
My hopes were soon dashed. The year 1993 was even more dreadful than 1992. When the incoming Clinton Administration declared ÒItÕs the Economy, Stupid,Ó they meant it. Foreign policy issues were remarkably low on the radar screen. There was absolutely no interest in a significant assistance plan for Russia, nor did key officials on Russian policy have any knowledge of economics. "
]
As Strobe Talbott, the Clinton administrationÕs primary Russia hand, admitted in 2002, Ò . . . we invested a lot of our bilateral aid program in trying to help Russian NGOs, independent media outlets, and local reformers change the bad habits of the past and put in place the institutions of a modern society, economy, and political culture.Ó 4
In this way, the U.S. State Department, rather than acting as the governmentÕs lead agent of diplomatic engagement with another sovereign country, instead acted more in the manner of an NGO, picking winners and losers from among a countryÕs political, social, and religious life, with predictably dismal results.
Needless to say, the project of trying to remake RussiaÑeconomically, culturally, politicallyÑin AmericaÕs image went terribly awry.
... Das Scheitern des Projekts, Russland in den 1990er Jahren neu zu gestalten, hat die amerikanischen Wirtschafts-, Medien- und politischen Eliten, die darauf unklugerweise gebaut hatten, in Schrecken versetzt. Zu gegebener Zeit fŸhrte diese EnttŠuschung nicht zu einer neuen Einsicht Ÿber die Weisheit solcher BemŸhungen, sondern motivierte zu einer Suche nach jemandem oder etwas, dem man die Schuld geben konnte. ...
... In seiner Rede vor der MŸnchner Sicherheitskonferenz im Februar 2007 gei§elte Putin die Vereinigten Staaten wegen wiederholter Verletzungen des Všlkerrechts. Diese Rede kšnnte der point of no return gewesen sein. im folgenden Jahrzehnt wird das amerikanische politische Establishment, Putin zu isolieren, zu untergraben und zu verfluchen. Der Grund dafŸr ist einfach: Die Èunipolare VorstellungÇ des amerikanischen Establishments, die unmittelbar nach dem Ende des Kalten Krieges entstand und von der Bush-Regierung nach dem 11. September absurd in die LŠnge gezogen wurde, hatte keinen Platz fŸr einen russischen PrŠsidenten wie Putin, der in MŸnchen erklŠrte: ãRussland ist ein Land mit einer mehr als tausendjŠhrigen Geschichte. Es hat immer das Privileg einer unabhŠngigen Au§enpolitik genutzt. Wir werden diese Tradition auch heute nicht Šndern.Ò ...
Sophie & Co., rt, Published time: 8 Jun, 2018 (transcript in cache)
... IÕm actually opposed to the sanctions against Russia entirely for the reason that I donÕt think sanctions work. Look at Cuba. Over the last 50 years the sanctions had no impact whatsoever in changing the policy of the leadership of Cuba. Sanctions are useful in terms of bringing people to the negotiating table. But thereÕs no sign that the West has any desire to bring Russia to the negotiating table to discuss anything.
And if you look at the sanctions as well, if you look at it European-wide, the EU countries have something like 14 times more trade with Russia than the United States. For the United States to impose sanctions against Russia is pretty much an economically light decision. It doesnÕt really have impact on their economy. It has a big impact upon the European economy as a whole. And you have countries like Germany that is reliant on Russian imports of gas and do a lot of business with Russia, who are very concerned about the sanctions. Indeed, the new government in Italy who are frankly saying that sanctions against Russia should be dropped. So, again, the world is changing.
The days when the United States could just turn around and say ÒWeÕre going to impose the sanctions and everyone else needs to followÓ, those days are coming to a close. You even had the French Minister saying that Europeans are not fossil states to the United States, thereÕs a different mood. Particularly with the Trump administration itÕs becoming more difficult for western powers to follow the United States blindly. YouÕve had the United States pulling out of the Paris Climate Accord, youÕve had him imposing tariffs against EU nations and youÕve also had the United States pulling out of the Iran nuclear deal. In the past Britain always followed, as I said, since the Second World War (with one exception - the Vietnam War) the United States. But itÕs becoming increasingly difficult even for the UK to follow the U.S. in all these issues because the UK saying ÒHold on, we donÕt actually agreeÓ. And it may well come to a point with the sanctions when itÕs the Europeans who say: ÒLook, weÕre not going along with these sanctions anymoreÓ.
The Eerie Silence Surrounding the Assange Case
By Dennis J Bernstein, Consortiumnews.com, June 11, 2018 (cache)
PilgerÕs Statement
ÒThere is a silence among many who call themselves left. The silence is Julian Assange. As every false accusation has fallen away, every bogus smear shown to be the work of political enemies, Julian stands vindicated as one who has exposed a system that threatens humanity. The Collateral Damage video, the war logs of Afghanistan and Iraq, the Cablegate revelations, the Venezuela revelations, the Podesta email revelations É these are just a few of the storms of raw truth that have blown through the capitals of rapacious power. The fakery of Russia-gate, the collusion of a corrupt media and the shame of a legal system that pursues truth-tellers have not been able to hold back the raw truth of WikiLeaks revelations. They have not won, not yet, and they have not destroyed the man. Only the silence of good people will allow them to win. Julian Assange has never been more isolated. He needs your support and your voice. Now more than ever is the time to demand justice and free speech for Julian. Thank you.Ó
John Pilger:
I have never known anything like it. There is a kind of eerie silence around the Julian Assange case. Julian has been vindicated in every possible way and yet he is isolated as few people are these days. He is cut off from the very tools of his trade, visitors arenÕt allowed. I was in London recently and I couldnÕt see him, although I spoke to people who had seen him. Rafael Correa, the former president of Ecuador, said recently that he regarded what they are doing to Julian now as torture. It was CorreaÕs government that gave Julian political refuge, which has been betrayed now by his successor, the government led by Lenin Moreno, which is back to sucking up to the United States in the time-honored way, with Julian as the pawn and victim.
But really it comes down to the British government. Although he is still in a foreign embassy and actually has Ecuadorian nationality, his right of passage out of that embassy should be guaranteed by the British government. The United Nations Working Party on Unlawful Detentions has made that clear. Britain took part in an investigation which determined that Julian was a political refugee and that a great miscarriage of justice had been imposed on him. It is very good that you are doing this, Dennis, because even in the media outside the mainstream, there is this silence about Julian. The streets outside the embassy are virtually empty, whereas they should be full of people saying that we are with you. The principles involved in this case are absolutely clear-cut. Number one is justice. The injustice done to this man is legion, both in terms of the bogus Swedish case and now the fact that he must remain in the embassy and canÕt leave without being arrested, extradited to the United States and ending up in a hell hole. But it is also about freedom of speech, about our right to know, which is enshrined in the United States Constitution. If the Constitution were taken literally, Julian would be a constitutional hero, actually. Instead, I understand the indictment they are trying to concoct reads like a charge of espionage! ItÕs so ridiculous.That is the situation as I see it, Dennis. It is not a happy one but it is one that people should rally to quickly.
The Gaping Holes of Russia-gate
By Ray McGovern and William Binney, May 20, 2017 ¥ 98 Comments
Between Russia-gate and President TrumpÕs potential impeachment, Washington is blending the thrill of McCarthyism and the excitement of Watergate, as ex-U.S. intelligence officials Ray McGovern and William Binney explain.
But what about the ÒRussian hacking,Ó the centerpiece of the accusations about Kremlin ÒinterferenceÓ to help Trump? Surely, we know that happened. Or do we?
... On March 31, 2017, WikiLeaks released original CIA documents Ñ almost completely ignored by the mainstream media Ñ showing that the agency had created a program allowing it to break into computers and servers and make it look like others did it by leaving telltale signs (like Cyrillic markings, for example). The capabilities shown in what WikiLeaks calls the ÒVault 7Ó trove of CIA documents required the creation of hundreds of millions of lines of source code. At $25 per line of code, that amounts to about $2.5 billion for each 100 million code lines. But the Deep State has that kind of money and would probably consider the expenditure a good return on investment for ÒprovingÓ the Russians hacked into Democratic Party emails.
In other words, it is altogether possible that the hacking attributed to Russia was actually one of several Òactive measuresÓ undertaken by a cabal consisting of the CIA, FBI, NSA and Clapper Ñ the same agencies responsible for the lame, evidence-free report of Jan. 6. ...
Still Waiting for Evidence of a Russian Hack
By Ray McGovern Special to Consortium News, June 7, 2018 ¥ 111 Comments
More than two years after the allegation of Russian hacking of the 2016 U.S. presidential election was first made, conclusive proof is still lacking and may never be produced, says Ray McGovern.
... ÒThe WikiLeaks release indicated that Marble was designed for flexible and easy-to-use Ôobfuscation,Õ and that Marble source code includes a Òde-obfuscatorÓ to reverse CIA text obfuscation.
ÒMore important, the CIA reportedly used Marble during 2016. In her Washington Post report, Nakashima left that out, but did include another significant point made by WikiLeaks; namely, that the obfuscation tool could be used to conduct a Ôforensic attribution double gameÕ or false-flag operation because it included test samples in Chinese, Russian, Korean, Arabic and Farsi.Ó
A few weeks later William Binney, a former NSA technical director, and I commented on Vault 7 Marble, and were able to get a shortened op-ed version published in The Baltimore Sun.
The CIAÕs reaction to the WikiLeaks disclosure of the Marble Framework tool was neuralgic. Then Director Mike Pompeo lashed out two weeks later, calling Assange and his associates Òdemons,Ó and insisting; ÒItÕs time to call out WikiLeaks for what it really is, a non-state hostile intelligence service, often abetted by state actors like Russia.Ó
Our July 24 Memorandum continued: ÒMr. President, we do not know if CIAÕs Marble Framework, or tools like it, played some kind of role in the campaign to blame Russia for hacking the DNC. Nor do we know how candid the denizens of CIAÕs Digital Innovation Directorate have been with you and with Director Pompeo. These are areas that might profit from early White House review. [ President Trump then directed Pompeo to invite Binney, one of the authors of the July 24, 2017 VIPS Memorandum to the President, to discuss all this. Binney and Pompeo spent an hour together at CIA Headquarters on October 24, 2017, during which Binney briefed Pompeo with his customary straightforwardness. ]
ÒWe also do not know if you have discussed cyber issues in any detail with President Putin. In his interview with NBCÕs Megyn Kelly he seemed quite willing Ð perhaps even eager Ð to address issues related to the kind of cyber tools revealed in the Vault 7 disclosures, if only to indicate he has been briefed on them. Putin pointed out that todayÕs technology enables hacking to be Ômasked and camouflaged to an extent that no one can understand the originÕ [of the hack] É And, vice versa, it is possible to set up any entity or any individual that everyone will think that they are the exact source of that attack.
ÒÔHackers may be anywhere,Õ he said. ÔThere may be hackers, by the way, in the United States who very craftily and professionally passed the buck to Russia. CanÕt you imagine such a scenario? É I can.Õ
New attention has been drawn to these issues after I discussed them in a widely published 16-minute interview last Friday.
In view of the highly politicized environment surrounding these issues, I believe I must append here the same notice that VIPS felt compelled to add to our key Memorandum of July 24, 2017:
ÒFull Disclosure: Over recent decades the ethos of our intelligence profession has eroded in the public mind to the point that agenda-free analysis is deemed well nigh impossible. Thus, we add this disclaimer, which applies to everything we in VIPS say and do: We have no political agenda; our sole purpose is to spread truth around and, when necessary, hold to account our former intelligence colleagues.
ÒWe speak and write without fear or favor. Consequently, any resemblance between what we say and what presidents, politicians and pundits say is purely coincidental.Ó The fact we find it is necessary to include that reminder speaks volumes about these highly politicized times. ...
Missile Defense, around the world and, perhaps, in space
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, Volume 74, 2018 - Issue 4: Special issue: Missile Defense, around the world and, perhaps, in space
US Ground-based midcourse missile defense: Expensive and unreliable
Laura Grego, Pages 220-226 | Published online: 28 Jun 2018
By Thomas G. Roberts, June 28, 2018
By James E. Goodby, Theodore A. Postol, June 28, 2018
By George Lewis, Frank von Hippel, June 28, 2018
Paul Craig Roberts (Institute for Political Economy), September 4, 2018 (in cache)
Andrei Martyanov has answered my question
... I think something needs to be done to halt WashingtonÕs provocations before they become so extreme that matters get out of hand.
... I donÕt think Washington has yet lost its hubris. My reference to Napoleon and Hitler is meant only as examples of the extraordinary mistakes that people lost in their hubris can make. Ordinary peoples probably do not perceive the limitations on American power that Martyanov describes. What they hear are belligerent US accusations and threats against Russia and the presentation of their own president as a traitor who has to be impeached because he wants peace with Russia and is involved in a conspiracy with Putin against America. With their own perceptions influenced by WashingtonÕs propaganda, populations in the US and Europe cannot serve as constraints on their governmentsÕ belligerence toward Russia. When we read in the British press that the militarily impotent UK is preparing for war with Russia, where is there realization of the real correlation of forces? To say that the UK is preparing for war against Russia is like saying that the local Boy Scout troop is preparing for war against Russia. It makes no sense, and this absence of sense is a big concern.
... My concern is that there are many ways to end up in war. Unanswered provocations and unaddressed open wounds are two ways of getting there. All that I am suggesting is that some thought be given to these possibilities. If provocations produce an unintended showdown, a mistake made with nuclear weapons would be the last mistake of the human race. ...
Facing the central questions of nuclear disarmament
By Aaron Miles, September 10, 2018 (in cache)
UNAC Statement on the War Against Syria
United National Antiwar Coalition (UNAC), 9/19/2018 (in cache)
... The US had been intervening in Syria for several years before the Syrian government asked for Russian help.Ê The US an US allies provide arms, training and even payroll to both local ÒrebelsÓ in Syria and foreign fighters.Ê Russia has provided training, advice and airpower to back up the Syrians, and also supported their reconciliation ministry, formed in early 2012. They have provided desperately needed civilian aid and used their air force to deliver it.Ê Unlike Russia, the US has not been invited into the country, and its presence is a violation of international law.Ê The US has been a proponent of regime change and social divisiveness within Syria, while blocking the delivery of aid that the Syrian people desperately need.Ê Moreover, the US occupies nearly a third of Syrian land, which is lightly populated but is the location of significant resources the Syrians need to rebuild.
As Syria rids its country of imperialist supported ÒrebelsÓ and foreign terrorists, we demand:
U.S. would destroy banned Russian warheads if necessary: NATO envoy
Robin Emmott, October 2, 2018,
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Russia must halt its covert development of a banned cruise missile system or the United States will seek to destroy it before it becomes operational, WashingtonÕs envoy to NATO said on Tuesday.
By Geoffrey Robertson, April 19, 2017 BrazilCorruption (in cache)
Downloads, 11.10.2018 (im Cache)
seit 1992 lt. Bundesverteidigungsministerium
Deutschand fŸr AuslandseinsŠtze: 21 Mrd. Euro
2016
Deutschland: 37 Mrd.Euro RŸstungshaushalt (seit 2013) - 14 Mrd. Euro fŸr alternative Energien
weltweit (NATO): 1700 (921) Mrd. US-Dollar fŸr RŸstungausgaben - 242 Mrd. US-Dollar fŸr eneuerbare Energien
2017
Deutschland: 21 Mrd. Euro Harz IV, 6.5 Mrd. Euro Wohngeld und Heizung
Deutschland: Elektrifizierung des Bahn-Schienenetzes: > 20 Mrd. Euro
The Shaky Case That Russia Manipulated Social Media to Tip the 2016 Election
by Gareth Porter, October 10, 2018Ê¥Ê161 Comments
Gareth Porter is an independent investigative journalist and historian writing on US national security policy. His latest book,ÊManufactured Crisis: The Untold Story of the Iran Nuclear Scare, was published in February of 2014. Follow him on Twitter:Ê@GarethPorter.
Special to Consortium News
The idea promoted by the NYTÕs Shane & Mazzetti that the Russian government seriously threatened to determine the 2016 election does not hold up when the larger social media context is examined more closely, reports Gareth Porter.
In their long recapitulation of the case that Russia subverted the 2016 election, Scott Shane and Mark Mazzetti of The New York Times painted a picture of highly effective Russian government exploitation of social media for that purpose. Shane and Mazzetti asserted that Òanti-Clinton, pro-Trump messages shared with millions of voters by Russia could have made the differenceÓ in the election.
ÒWhat we now knowÊwith certainty:ÊThe Russians carried out a landmark intervention that will be examined for decades to come,Ó they write elsewhere in the 10,000-word article.
But an investigation of the data they cite to show that the Russian campaigns on Facebook and Twitter were highly effective reveals a gross betrayal of journalistic responsibility. Shane and Mazzetti have constructed a case that is fundamentally false and misleading with statistics that exaggerate the real effectiveness of social media efforts by orders of magnitude.
ÔReachingÕ 129 Million Americans
The Internet Research Agency (IRA), is a privately-owned company run by entrepreneur Vevgeny V. Prigozhin, who has ties with President Vladimir Putin. Its employees poured out large numbers of social media postings apparently aimed at stoking racial and cultural tensions in the United States and trying to influence U.S. voters in regard to the presidential election, as Shane and Mazzetti suggest. They even adopted false U.S. personas online to get people to attend rallies and conduct other political activities. (An alternative explanation is that IRA is a purely commercial, and not political, operation.)
.... Their most dramatic assertions came in reporting the alleged results of the IRAÕs efforts on Facebook. ÒEven by the vertiginous standards of social media,Ó they wrote, Òthe reach of their effort was impressive: 2,700 fake Facebook accounts, 80,000 posts, many of them elaborate images with catchy slogans, and an eventual audience ofÊ126 million AmericansÊon Facebook alone.Ó
Then, to dramatize that Òeventual audienceÓ figure, they observed, ÒThat was not far short of the 137 million people who would vote in the 2016 presidential elections.Ó
But as impressive as these figures may appear at first glance, they donÕt really indicate an effective attack on the U.S. election process at all. In fact, without deeper inquiry into their meaning, those figures were grossly misleading.
A Theoretical Possibility
What Facebook general counsel Colin Stretch actually said in testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee last October was quite different from what the Times reporters claimed. ÒOur best estimate is that approximately 126,000 million people may have been served one of these [IRA-generated] stories at some time during the two year period,Ó Stretch said.
Stretch was expressing a theoretical possibility rather than an established accomplishment. Facebook was saying
That is an extremely important finding, because, as FacebookÕs Vice President for News Feed, Adam Moseri, acknowledged in 2016, Facebook subscribers actually read only about 10 percent of the stories Facebook puts in their News Feed every day. That means that very few of the IRA stories that actually make it into a subscriberÕs news feed on any given day are actually read.
Facebook did conduct research on what it calls Òcivic engagementÓ during the election period, and the researchers concluded that the ÒreachÓ of the content shared by what they called Òfake amplifiersÓ was Òmarginal compared to the volume of civic content shared during the U.S. elections.Ó That reach, they said, was Òstatistically very smallÓ in relation to Òoverall engagement on political issues.Ó
Shane and Mazzaetti thus failed to report any of the several significant caveats and disclaimers from Facebook itself that make their claim that Russian election propaganda ÒreachedÓ 126 million Americans extremely misleading.
Tiny IRA Twitter Footprint
Shane and MazzettiÕs treatment of the role of Twitter in the alleged Russian involvement in the election focuses on 3,814 Twitter accounts said to be associated with the IRA, which supposedly Òinteracted with 1.4 million Americans.Ó Although that number looks impressive without any further explanation, more disaggregated data provide a different picture:
Research by Darren Linvill and Patrick Warren of Clemson University on 2.9 million Tweets from those same 3,814 IRA accounts over a two year period has revealed
The Mysterious 50,000 ÔRussia-LinkedÕ Accounts
Twitter also determined that another 50,258 automated Twitter accounts that tweeted about the election were associated with Russia and that they have generated a total to 2.1 million Tweets Ñ about 1 % of the total of number election-related tweets during the period.
But despite media coverage of those Tweets suggesting that they originated with the Russian government, the evidence doesnÕt indicate that at all. TwitterÕs Sean Edgett told the Senate Intelligence Committee last November that Twitter had used an Òexpansive approach to defining what qualifies as a Russian-linked account.Ó Twitter considered an account to be ÒRussianÓ if any of the following was found:
Edgett admitted in a statement in January, however, that there were limitations on its ability to determine the origins of the users of these accounts. And a past log-in from a Russian IP address does not mean the Russian government controls an account.
[Summary]
The idea promoted by Shane and Mazzetti that the Russian government seriously threatened to determine the winner of the election does not hold up when the larger social media context is examined more closely. Contrary to what the TimesÕ reporters and the corporate media in general would have us believe, the Russian private sector effort accounted for a minuscule proportion of the election-related output of social media. The threat to the U.S. political system in general and its electoral system in particular is not Russian influence; itÕs in part a mainstream news media that has lost perspective on the truth.
Cyber warfare is considered preferable to nuclear warfare.
SWITCHING OFF: The UK is practicing cyberattacks that could black out Moscow
By John Detrixhe October 7, 2018
British defense officials say they have practiced cyber war games that could shut off electricity in RussiaÕs capital, the Sunday TimesÊ(paywall) reports.
The measures are part of a wider range of strategies to hit back at an increasingly assertive RussiaÑaccused of interfering with US elections, cyberattacks on Western targets, and poisoning a former spy on UK soilÑwithout resorting to a full-blown nuclear attack.
ÒIf they sank our aircraft carrier with a nuclear-tipped torpedo, what is our response? ThereÕs nothing between sinking their submarine and dropping a nuclear weapon on northern Kamchatka,Ó one senior source told the Sunday Times. ÒThis is why cyber is so important; you can go on the offensive and turn off the lights in Moscow to tell them that they are not doing the right things.Ó
Military planners are looking for options if Russian president Vladimir Putin tests NATOÕs resolve byÊseizing small islands belonging to Estonia, taking control of LibyaÕs oil reserves, or usingÊÓirregular forcesÓ to attack troops, according to the report.
British troops also recently held their biggest military exercise in 10 years, which included six navy ships and more than 5,000 troops in the Omani desert, to prepare for a confrontation with unconventional Russian forces like those used in Crimea. Cyber weapons are seen as a potential deterrent and a way to avoid a direct militaryÊ confrontation.
UK defense chiefs are talking up their cyber prowess after a string of alleged Russian hacker exploits, including revelations last week of a Russian computer attack on theÊinternational chemical weapons watchdog. The attempted hack was disrupted by Dutch military intelligence with the help from British officials. Also last week, US authorities charged RussianÊintelligence officers with seeking to hack the nuclear energy company Westinghouse Electric and anti-doping watchdogs.
The announcements suggest world leaders are pushing back against PutinÕs increasing aggressive cyber operations, which allegedly includes breaking into the control rooms of vital US electric gridsÊ(paywall).ÊRussia, after all, has hammered smaller nations with its cyber weapons in the past. The country disabled computer systems for the EstoniaÕs parliament, broadcasters, and banks in 2007, according to the Times, and regularly disrupts Ukrainian banking and electrical systems.
The US is expected to announce that it will use its cyber capabilities on behalf of NATO if asked, Reuters reported last week. The US announcement is aimed squarely at Russia, according to a senior defense official, and is part of aÊBritish-led effort to stiffen NATOÕs cyber capacity. The 29-nation alliance has recognizedÊcyberÊas a domain of warfare since 2014, but the precise implications havenÕt been formalized.
AmericanÊintelligence shows that Russian hackers broke into the Democratic National Committee and leaked information in the lead-up to the US presidential election. The White House recently warned foreign entities that it would use more offensive measures as part of its revised cyber security strategy. US intelligence reportedly expects a series of hacker attacks before congressional elections next month.
UK war-games cyber attack on Moscow
7 October, 2018,
Troops train for clashes against the Russians
Senior secuity sources have told The Sunday Times they are concerned that Britain has a capability gap that has left commanders withtoo few weapons to meet Kremlins aggression short of firing a Trident nuclear missile. Planning exercises on the threat posed by Russia have left officials "ashen-faced" at the speed with which confrontationwit Moscow could escalate. Whitehall officials have vowed to step up offensive cyber-capabilities including the ability to "turn out the lights" in the Kremlin. ...
Andreas Haggman: A few reactive comments
12 October 2018
... Having recently submitted my thesis on cyber wargaming, I feel it prudent to offer a few reactive comments on the piece ...
1. The military, security and intelligence services, emergency response agencies, and senior political leaders regularly wargame and exercise a whole range of possible scenarios, including cyber attacks. That such games include offensive cyber capabilities should not surprise anyone who follows this topic, and that offensive capabilities target Moscow should not even surprise lay readers who have been following the news: the current geopolitical climate places Russia firmly at the top of the UKÕs state-based threats. What, therefore, is different about the current wargames? There is nothing in the article to suggest that these wargames are out of the ordinary for military planners.
2. Without commenting on the character of the UKÕs capability gap, I want to stress that using cyber and nuclear rhetoric in the same breath is misplaced. The thinking which has underpinned nuclear doctrine since the 1960s does not readily translate to cyber strategy. Where strategic nuclear weapons were built around assumptions of mutually assured destruction, cyber capabilities are ideally more surgical and specifically targeted. I say ideally because examples like WannaCry and NotPetya have demonstrated how cyber attacks can cause indiscriminate damage across wide geographical areas, though this damage is likely to have been an unintended consequence. Nonetheless, to publicly state, as the senior UK officials in the article do, that nuclear is the next step up from cyber, with no intermediaries, is unnecessarily escalatory and does not consider the full DIME (diplomatic, information, military, economic) spectrum of responses. ...
An Initial Set of Sites That Reliably Echo Russian Propaganda
Is It Propaganda Or Not? , November 30, 2016
... We would ... like to be clear: We strongly believe in the First Amendment rights to freedom of expression and freedom of the press. Diverse and independent media are vital to the health of free society. Non-profit and commercial, alternative and mainstream - all are critical to our democracy. Americans have the right to echo, repeat, be used by, and refer their audiences to Russian official and semi-official state media, including Òfake newsÓ propaganda - just as we have the right to analyze and highlight that, without fear or favor. This list was never intended to be ÒblackÓ. This is NOT a list of ÊÒpaidÓ or ÒknowingÓ propaganda sources. It is NOT an attempt to censor, blacklist, or tar anyone.
We highlight them because we believe that the public should be able to know that very disparate kinds of online sources frequently display a consistent bias towards Russia in ways that echo, repeat, are used by, and redirect their audiences to Russian official and semi-official state media. We also highlight them to encourage readers to think critically about the media they encounter, especially when it might confirm their ideological preconceptions. We highlight. Unlike the Russian government, we do not censor.
An outlet must consistently and over time meet the full range of our criteria in order to qualify. We are happy to remove any that do not, and we welcome the opportunity to engage with anyone involved in order to constructively move forward.Ê
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
PropOrNot is a website that seeks to expose what it calls Russian propaganda and groups that use material from Russian sources. It was featured in a Washington Post article about Russian propaganda and the spread of "fake news". After receiving intense criticism, the Post added a note to the article distancing itself from the website's claims.[2] PropOrNot's methods and anonymity have received criticism from publications such as The New Yorker, Harper's, Fortune, The Intercept, and Rolling Stone.
With a sketchy past in the counterterror swamp, Watts has suggested media censorship as a remedy to Russian interference.
By Max Blumenthal / AlterNet
November 8, 2017, 2:16 PM GMT (in cache)
Revelations about Russia's use of social media in the 2016 elections are being used as a pretext for suppressing dissent by some dubious characters.
By Max Blumenthal / AlterNet
November 10, 2017, 2:26 PM GMT (in cache)
By Max Blumenthal and Jeb Sprague, October 23, 2018 (Summary)
This October, Facebook and Twitter deleted the accounts of hundreds of users, including many alternative media outlets maintained by American users. Among those wiped out in the coordinated purge were popular sites that scrutinized police brutality and U.S. interventionism, like The Free Thought Project, Anti-Media, and Cop Block, along with the pages of journalists like Rachel Blevins.
For the first time since the Cuban crisis, nuclear war threat is real
Stephen Cohen, Sophie & Co, Russia Today, Published time: 5 Nov, 2018
... What was done in 1987, signed and then implemented, abolishing these weapons was absolutely historic - a precedent that gave us hope for the future. Now, I agree with one thing that Bolton said, because itÕs true. When Gorbachev and Reagan and your grandfather participated in that decision in 1987, we were in a bilateral nuclear world. And today weÕre in a multilateral nuclear world. Back then only two nuclear superpowers had this kind of weapons. Now a lot of countries - maybe as many as six, seven or eight - have these so-called intermediate range weapons. So the treaty only affected two countries. But if something needs repair but itÕs good, you try to fix it. ...
IÕm publishing a new book this month called ÒWar with Russia?Ó, and the theme of the book and I put in personal terms, is that the first time in my long life, at least since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962
... because of the politics, not the security thinking, but the politics in Washington today in one word - IÕm publishing a new book this month called ÒWar with Russia?Ó, and the theme of the book and I put in personal terms, is that the first time in my long life, at least since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, I think thereÕs a real chance of war between the United States and Russia. And we canÕt assume that if that happens it wonÕt end in a nuclear war. ThatÕs why this moment you and I are discussing, Sophie, is so important.
UN-Migrationspakt
Jennifer Rankin in Brussels, Tue 13 Nov 2018
ChancellorÕs remarks come after Trump steps up attack on French leader over same idea
... Angela Merkel has said EU leaders should one day consider Òa real, true European armyÓ shortly after Donald Trump ramped up a Twitter attack on Emmanuel Macron over the same idea.
Speaking to the European parliament in Strasbourg, the German chancellor backed the bold step in European defence policy, as part of a speech extolling the need for EU cooperation in migration, climate change and counter-terrorism. ÒThe times when we could rely on others is past,Ó she said.
To a mix of applause and jeers from Eurosceptic MEPs, she said: ÒWe have to look at the vision of one day creating a real, true European army.Ó The chancellor said the idea would complement Nato, but gave no details on when the ambitious idea could become reality.
Angry with Trump, Macron Calls for European Army: Real or Theater?
Brian Becker, John Kiriakou,Ê14.11.2018
On today's episode of Loud & Clear, Brian Becker and John Kiriakou are joined by Peter Kuznick, a professor of history and director of the Nuclear Studies Institute at American University and the co-author with Oliver Stone of the book and TV show ÒThe Untold History of the United States,Ó and Alexander Mercouris, the editor-in-chief of The Duran.
listen to time slot: 4:34 - 28:57
Confessions of a Rogue Nuclear Regulator
by Gregory B. Jaczko, Jan. 15, 2019
A shocking exposŽ from the most powerful insider in nuclear regulation about how the nuclear energy industry endangers our livesÑand why Congress does nothing to stop it.
Greg Jaczko never planned things to turn out this way. A Birkenstocks-wearing physics PhD, he had never heard of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) when he came to Washington andÑthanks to the determination of a powerful senatorÑfound himself at the agencyÕs head. He felt like Dorothy invited behind the curtain at Oz.
The problem was that Jaczko wasnÕt the kind of leader the NRC had seen before: he had no ties to the nuclear industry, few connections in Washington, and no agenda other than to ensure that nuclear technology was deployed safely. And so he witnessed what outsiders like him were never meant to see, including an agency overpowered by the industry it was meant to regulate and a political system determined to keep it that way. After the shocking nuclear disaster at Fukushima in Japan, and the American nuclear industryÕs refusal to make the changes necessary to prevent a catastrophe like that from happening here, Jaczko started saying something aloud that no one else had dared: nuclear power has fatal flaws.
Written in a tone thatÕs equal parts self-deprecating, puzzled, and passionate, Confessions of a Rogue Nuclear Regulator tells the story of a man who got pushed from his high perch for fighting to keep Americans safe. Never before has the chairman of the worldÕs foremost nuclear regulatory agency challenged the nuclear industry to expose how these companies put us at risk. Because if we (and they) donÕt act now, there will be another Fukushima. Only this time, it could happen here.
ãChemiewaffen-EinsŠtze in Syrien Ð AufklŠrung der Fakten und všlkerrechtliche KonsequenzenÒ
Zuletzt aktualisiert: 14. November 2018
Einladung zur šffentlichen Veranstaltung der IALANAÊ am 23.11.2018 von 19:30-21:30 UhrHumboldt UniversitŠt, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, HauptgebŠude, Raum 2094
Mit Sorge Blicken wir auf den Konflikt in Syrien. Nach dem Giftgasangriff mit Sarin auf Ghouta vom 21.8.2013 hatte US-PrŠsident Obama einen Gro§angriff auf Assad vorbereitet, der nur durch den Beitritt Syriens zur Chemiewaffenkonvention und die Vernichtung der syrischen BestŠnde und Produktionseinrichtungen unter Kontrolle der Organisation fŸr das Verbot von Chemiewaffen (OPCW) abgewendet werden konnte. Allerdings kommt es seit dem in Syrien weiterhin zu EinsŠtzen von Chemiewaffen. Die Kriegsparteien schieben sich regelmŠ§ig gegenseitig die Verantwortung hierfŸr zu.
Im April 2017 nahm die Regierung der USA einen solchen Chemiewaffeneinsatz zum Anlass fŸr einen massiven Luftangriff auf Stellungen und Einrichtungen der Syrischen Nationalarmee ohne die Ergebnisse der angelaufenen Untersuchungen abzuwarten. Schon im Vorfeld der angekŸndigten RŸckeroberung von Idlib, der letzten gro§en von islamistischen KrŠften gehaltenen Region durch die Syrische Regierung wurden auch im Deutschen Bundestag Optionen militŠrischen Eingreifens eršrtert, falls es dort erneut zum Einsatz von Chemiewaffen kommen sollte. Dabei wird unterstellt, dass Urheber fŸr eine solche všlkerrechtswidrige KriegsfŸhrung allein die syrische Regierung sein kšnne. Eine Eskalation des Konflikts mit deutscher militŠrischer Beteiligung ist somit nicht ausgeschlossen.
Wir mšchten aus diesem Anlass der Frage nachgehen, welche Mšglichkeiten der Organisation fŸr das Verbot von Chemiewaffen (OPCW) und der UNO zur VerfŸgung stehen, um einen Chemiewaffeneinsatz zuverlŠssig zu untersuchen und welche všlkerrechtlichen Konsequenzen aus den Untersuchungs-ergebnissen zu ziehen sind.
Andererseits wird eine rechtliche Darstellung und Bewertung der Geschehnisse vorgenommen.
Zur Diskussion dieser Fragen haben wir folgende Experten eingeladen:
28. August 2018 um 9:09 Uhr | Verantwortlich: Redaktion (im Cache)
OPCW-Bericht vom 6. Juli 2018 zu Douma
Jan van Aken, 7 Juli.2018
Nein, die OPCW hat kein Chlorgas in Douma gefunden und geht nicht davon aus, dass Giftgas eingesetzt wurde. Noch ist alles offen. Anbei eine kurze Zusammenfassung - aber eine Frage an
Woher kommen diese Falschmeldungen? Ich kann nicht verstehen, wie leichtfertig deutsche Medien mit einem derart wichtigen -weil kriegsrelevanten- Thema umgehen. Mich wŸrde ineressieren, wo diese gleichlautenden Falschmeldungen ihren Ursprung haben, und wie es sein kann, dass fŸhrende deutsche Medien hier derart unsauber recherchiren.
Related Information from OPCW
AmericaÕs Permanent-War Complex
By GARETH PORTER ¥ November 15, 2018
Eisenhower's worst nightmare has come true, as defense mega-contractors climb into the cockpit to ensure we stay overextended.
.... The dependence on the private sector in the Pentagon and the intelligence community had reached such a point that it raised a serious question about whether the workforce was now Òobligated to shareholders rather than to the public interest,Ó as [Washington Post reporters] Priest and Arkin reported. And both Gates and Panetta acknowledged to them their concerns about that issue. ...
Contractors could pay much higher salaries and consulting fees than government agencies, so experienced Pentagon and CIA officers soon left their civil service jobs by the tens of thousands for plum positions with firms that often paid twice as much as the government for the same work.
... A 2010 Boston Globe investigation showed that the percentage of 3- and 4-star generals who left the Pentagon to take jobs as consultants or executives with defense contractors, which was already at 45 percent in 1993, had climbed to 80 percent by 2005 ..."The Department of Defense is no longer a war-fighting organization, itÕs a business enterprise."
... In the first half of 2013 alone, four major drone contractorsÑGeneral Atomics, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, and BoeingÑspent $26.2 million lobbying Congress .. In the first quarter of 2016 Air Force data showed that 61 percent of the weapons dropped in Afghanistan were from the drones.
In the new permanent-war complex the interests of the arms contractors have increasingly dominated over the interests of the civilian Pentagon and the military services, and dominance has became a new driving force for continued war. Even though those bureaucracies, along with the CIA, seized the opportunity to openly conduct military operations in one country after another, the drone war has introduced a new political dynamic into the war system: the drone makers who have powerful clout in Congress can use their influence to block or discourage an end to the permanent warÑespecially in AfghanistanÑwhich would sharply curtail the demand for drones.
... that original complex, organized merely to maximize the production of arms to enhance the power and resources of both the Pentagon and their contractor allies, has become a much more serious menace to the security of the American people than even Eisenhower could have anticipated. Now it is a system of war that powerful arms contractors and their bureaucratic allies may have the ability to maintain indefinitely.
RT-News - November 27, 2018 (17:00 MSK)
Published time: 29 Nov, 2018 07:45 Edited time: 29 Nov, 2018 07:56
Sunday's (Nov. 25, 2018) clash in the Kerch Strait
Testimony of Vladimir Lesovoy, the lieutenant commander, Ukrainian Navy, of one of the Ukrainian ships detained in the Kerch Strait after [Russia] accused Kiev of masterminding a provocation:
"We entered the Kerch Strait. After crossing the Russian border, we had visual contact with the Russian border service vessels. I consciously ignored their command to stop. On our boat we had small arms and a machine gun with ammunition. I was aware that the action of the Ukrainian vessels in the Kerch Straits were roguish. I was following my orders to move our ships from the port of Odessa to Mariupol"
Three Ukrainian ships were fired upon and detained by Russia which said they illegally entered its territorial waters.
Russian security services revealed new details, chronologically, as to what happened on Sunday in the Kerch Strait. They say they detected the Ukrainian naval fotilla early on, heading into Russian territorial waters. They were warned that if they intended to cross the Strait of Kerch after they well knew -as they had done previously- that they should send notification of their intent to cross the strait. It's a busy place. There's a lot of ships, tankers, merchant men, fishing vessels waiting, queueing to cross through a narrow archway under a bridge, of safety concerns. There's queues, there's lines, and there is a procedure in place. The Ukrainians have followed it through a number of times.
Time sequence of events
Press Centre Command, Navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
"Contrary to the UN convention, Russian border ships carried out a frankly aggressive action against the vessels of the navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine"
The Federal Security Service is also in the possession of information that said the provocative actions of the Ukrainian fleet were ordered by the government in Kiev. The territorial waters in which some of this showdown, this chase took place in were Russian waters even before the re-union of Krimea and Russia. Furthermore, the Russian Federal Security Service revealed that onboard the vessels of the Ukrainian flotilla were SBU officers, that is Ukrainian Intelligence agents. This crossing seemingly wasn't just an ordinary re-stationing of naval assetts but rather a special operation, it seems, with a mission overseen by intelligence agents. If indeed the case, perhaps the mission would still give the president a reason, justification for implementation of martial law, as he has done.
Moscow Warns Kiev Against Attempts to Unilaterally Change Azov Sea's Status
© Sputnik / Georgy Zimarev, 21:02 21.11.2018(updated 10:43 22.11.2018) (in cache)
11:25 27.11.2018, Brian Becker, John Kiriakou
11:56 PM - 25 Nov 2018 from New York, USA
(cited by John Kiriakou in Loud and Clear) (in cache)
"In the wake of latest Russia military action vs. Ukraine US and Europe should
Comment
Replying to @RichardHaass
Do we really know if Russia really did this? Maybe they did maybe they did not. Wait until Russia finishes their investigation. Putin says he did not do it. Why should I not believe him. Yours truly, Donnie.
1 reply
4 retweets
59 likes
Reply
By Siegfried S. Hecker, December 4, 2018
The required actions included
it was BushÕs phone call that led to what David Hoffman in his 2009 book, The Dead Hand, called Òthe most spontaneous and dramatic reversal of the Cold War arms race.Ó
... The specter of another Chernobyl nuclear accident, of nuclear weapons and nuclear materials winding up in Iraq, Iran, or North Korea, or of a nuclear environmental disaster haunted Washington. The international community feared for
BushÕs unilateral reductions in the US nuclear arsenal would give Gorbachev the opportunity to reduce his stockpile of vulnerable nuclear weapons and materials.
... Fortunately, in the fall of 1991, both countries had visionary leadership by dedicated professionals in government, nongovernmental organizations, and academia to help usher them through these uncertain times. On December 12, 1991, President Bush signed into law the ÒSoviet Nuclear Threat Reduction Act of 1991.Ó The Nunn-Lugar program, named for its primary sponsors, Senators Sam Nunn and Richard Lugar, provided the vision, funds, and guidance for US-Soviet nuclear cooperation for the next two decades.
... As a result of the October 1986 Reagan-Gorbachev Reykjavik Summit, the nuclear laboratories were directed to conduct reciprocal nuclear tests at each otherÕs test sites and allow for on-site verification to gain the confidence needed to ratify the 1974 Threshold Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.
After the reciprocal nuclear tests on Aug. 17, 1988, at the Nevada Test Site and Sept. 14, 1988, at the Soviet Semipalatinsk Test Site, we nuclear scientists from the two countries tried to convince our governments that it was time to meet and cooperate on emerging new nuclear dangers, namely the safety and security of nuclear weapons and materials and concerns about nuclear proliferation and terrorism.
... 1992 In less than two months, John Nuckolls, director of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and I found ourselves inside the Russian closed nuclear cities. We got an unprecedented look into the Russian nuclear complex. This visit launched US-Russian lab-to-lab cooperation, and for me it was the first of 56 trips to Russia. During the first post-Soviet decade, my efforts were directed at helping the Russian nuclear complex with what we called the four loose nuke problemsÑ
In recent years, my main focus has been on collaborative efforts to continue cooperation in the never-ending quest for improved nuclear safety and nuclear security.
... The actions of Bush and Gorbachev in 1991 resulted in the largest step back from nuclear midnight ever marked on the ÒDoomsday ClockÓ of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
M. V. Ramana & Mariia Kurando, 07 Jan 2019 (in cache)
In July 2018, the Kremlin released the official transcript of a meeting between President Vladimir Putin and the nationÕs special-services employees, when he thanked them for ensuring security during the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Putin revealed in his speech that during the preceding weeks, as millions of people watched the worldÕs best players kick a soccer ball, Òalmost 25 million cyberattacks and other criminal attempts on RussiaÕs information infrastructure É were neutralizedÓ
(Cerulus 2018 Cerulus, L. 2018. ÒPutin: World Cup Triggered Millions of Cyberattacks on Russia.Ó POLITICO. July 16. https://www.politico.eu/article/putin-world-cup-triggered-millions-of-cyberattacks-on-russia/.Ê[Google Scholar]).
Millions of cyberattacks over a couple of weeks is a frightening revelation, but the attacks are of particular concern because Russia has the worldÕs largest deployed arsenal of nuclear weapons.
The Federation of American Scientists estimates that as of early 2018,
RussiaÕs nuclear arsenal has 4,350 warheads, of which about 800 are deployed on intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs)
(Kristensen and Norris 2018
Kristensen, Hans M., and Robert S. Norris. 2018. ÒRussian Nuclear Forces, 2018.Ó Bulletin Of The Atomic Scientists 74 (3): 185Ð95. https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2018.1462912.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ¨],Ê,Ê[Google Scholar]).
Russian officials have stated that these missiles are ready to be launched within Òseveral dozen secondsÓ or Òa few tens of secondsÓ
(Kristensen and McKinzie 2012
Kristensen, H. M., and M. Matthew. 2012. Reducing Alert Rates of Nuclear Weapons. Geneva, Switzerland: United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research. UNIDIR/2012/6. http://www.unidir.ch/files/publications/pdfs/reducing-alert-rates-of-nuclear-weapons-en-307.pdfÊ[Google Scholar], 4Ð5).
The United States also has hundreds of nuclear weapons in a similar posture.
Long-time nuclear policy analysts Bruce Blair, Hal Feiveson and Frank von Hippel worry about the possibility that Òone day someone will mistakenly launch nuclear-tipped missiles, either because of a technical failure or a human error Ð a mistake made, perhaps, in the rush to respond to false indications of an (enemy) attack Ó
(Blair, Feiveson, and Hippel 1997
Blair, B., H. Feiveson, and F. von Hippel. 1997. ÒTaking Nuclear Weapons off Hair-Trigger Alert.Ó Scientific American, November. doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1197-74.[Crossref], [Web of Science ¨],Ê,Ê[Google Scholar], 76).
...
There are two major steps that the two countries could take to lower the risk of inadvertent nuclear war resulting from a cyberattack.
By Robert Wiblin and Keiran Harris á September 24th, 2018 (excerpts)
We cover:
NaturwissenschaftlerInnen-Initiative fŸr Frieden und ZukunftsfŠhigkeit, Marienstr. 19/20 á 10117 Berlin 2. Februar 2019 (im Cache)
Die Politik gegenŸber Russland war und ist immer umstritten - die deutsch-russischen Beziehungen sind ein Seismograf fŸr den Friedensprozess in Europa.
Das VerhŠltnis von Russland und dem Westen ist geprŠgt durch eine lange und wechselvolle Geschichte. Die Lehren dŸrfen nicht vergessen werden und sind ein Wegweiser fŸr Gegenwart und Zukunft. FŸr Russland kam aus dem Westen meist nichts Gutes, von Napoleon Ÿber Hitler bis zur nuklearen HochrŸstung im Kalten Krieg. 27 Millionen Tote des Zweiten Weltkrieges bleiben unvergessen.
Nach
wurden die Chancen auf eine echte Partnerschaft in einem ãgemeinsamen Haus EuropaÒ vertan. Die Grundlagen dazu wurden untergraben durch Entwicklungen wie
Mit
wurde Russland zu einem Feind gemacht, der nun seine eigenen Interessen auch gegen den Westen verfolgt und damit viel Kritik auf sich zieht, nach innen der Umgang mit der Opposition, nach au§en die StŠrkung nationalistischer KrŠfte. Ein Gro§teil der westlichen Presse wirkt dabei hemmungslos am Feindbild Russland mit.
Nach dem Motto "Die Russen sind an allem schuld" wird Russland in ma§loser Weise fŸr alles Mšgliche verantwortlich gemacht, bis hin zur
...
Eine VerstŠndigung mit Russland ist dringlich, da die lšsungsorientierte BewŠltigung der globalen Herausforderungen, vom
eine gemeinsame Verantwortung und solidarische Antworten erfordern. Menschenrechte Demokratie, Gewaltenteilung und Parlamentarismus sind universelle Politikkonzepte, die als Basis fŸr VerstŠndigung und Menschlichkeit dienen sollten, und nicht als Kampfbegriffe fŸr gegenseitige Beschuldigungen.
Es geht darum,
sind unverzichtbare Bestandteile einer neuen Entspannungspolitik, die Krieg als Fortsetzung der Politik mit anderen Mitteln verhindert.
Ein Kernelement bleibt die nukleare AbrŸstung. Statt bestehende AbrŸstungsabkommen wie den INF-Vertrag aufzukŸndigen, ist das Verbot und die Abschaffung von Atomwaffen das Gebot der Stunde und die sicherste Mšglichkeit, einen Atomkrieg in einer fragilen Weltlage zu verhindern.
Das ist Russlandpolitik im 21. Jahrhundert. Geschichtliche Erfahrungen und Lšsungskonzepte wie die von Willy Brandt realisierte Entspannungspolitik mŸssen genutzt und weiterentwickelt werden statt sie immer weiter zu entleeren.
Internationale MŸnchner Friedenskonferenz
Am 9. und 15.-17.02. findet die 17. Internationale MŸnchner Friedenskonferenz statt. Die NaturwissenschaftlerInnen-Initiative gehšrt zum TrŠgerkreis
"Wissenschaft zwischen Krieg und Frieden: Was kšnnen Wissenschaftlerinnen und Wissenschaftler fŸr den Frieden tun?"
Kongress, Technische UniversitŠt Berlin, 15.-16.06.2018.
Folgende BeitrŠge als Video:
- Atomwaffen: von der Sicherheitslogik zur Friedenslogik: Alex Rosen (IPPNW)
- Die Herausforderungen unserer Zeit Ð Kriege in der globalisierten Welt: Reiner Braun (NatWiss, IPB)
- Militarisierung der Forschung in Deutschland und Europa: Claudia Haydt (IMI)
- Zivilklausel in Deutschland und in Japan: Hartwig Hummel (Uni DŸsseldorf, W&F)
- Podiumsdiskussion, Hartmut Grassl (VDW), Werner Ruf (Friedensforscher), Ernst Ulrich von WeizsŠcker (Club of Rome), Hartwig Hummel (Uni DŸsseldorf, W&F)
- Wissenschaft und Frieden (exemplarische Bsp.) | Berichte aus den GesprŠchsrunden
- Friedensforschung und ihre Ambivalenz: Werner Ruf (Friedensforscher)
- Klimakonflikte und BeitrŠge der Wissenschaft zum nachhaltigen Frieden: JŸrgen Scheffran (NatWiss)
- Was kšnnen die Gewerkschaften fŸr den Frieden tun?: Marlis Tepe (GEW)
- Verantwortung der Wissenschaft in Zeiten zunehmender Militarisierung: Sybille Brosius (NatWiss)
By Scott Ritter ¥ February 1, 2019
... The current crop of national intelligence chiefs are cut from the same cloth as their predecessors. They are careerists who have risen to the top not through their analytical or operational talents, but through their willingness to conform to a system that is designed not to challenge conventional thinkingÑespecially when such thinking sustains policies that have been given the imprimatur of the entrenched establishment. ...
... Trump is wrongÑthere never was a nuclear weapons program in IranÑbut he is right in pointing out the inconsistencies in the intelligence communityÕs position.
The same holds true on the other policy issues where the intelligence community took issue with TrumpÕs actions.
When it comes to foreign policy, Donald Trump is no Richard Nixon or George H.W. Bush. But neither is he a Bill Clinton, George W. Bush or Barack Obama, caught in a series of foreign policy traps thanks to a lack of vision and their collective willingness to accept at face value a picture painted by an intelligence community conditioned only to see threats. Trump is right to call them out. They should be informing him on foreign policy and national security matters, not dictating or critiquing his policies. The track record of these so-called professionals is not impressive. They would do well to heed the presidentÕs exhortation that they Ògo back to school.Ó
Scott Ritter is a former Marine Corps intelligence officer who served in the former Soviet Union implementing arms control treaties, in the Persian Gulf during Operation Desert Storm, and in Iraq overseeing the disarmament of WMD. He is the author of Dealbreaker: Donald Trump and the Unmaking of the Iran Nuclear Deal (2018) by Clarity Press.
America Is Not Listening
by Oliver Stone, facebook, 6. MŠrz 2018
Judging by the US MSM response to Putin's speech on Thursday (attached below at 12 minutes), it seems we have a massive breakdown in understanding nuclear issues in this country. For us it's a matter of boasting, I guess -- Trump's "fire and fury" and the end of Earth. But those paying attention should know that last Thursday, in a low-key but monumental response to American threats, and without much fanfare, Mr. Putin stated what Russia has been doing to protect itself from what they view as a dangerous bully. It surprised many of us, I believe most likely, our over-budgeted Pentagon and over-rated CIA with a pretty stark statement, if not proof, that the Russians can defend themselves quite well for about 12% of the defense budget we waste.
Gilbert Doctorow, "Missile-gate: US Intel Misses Russia's Big Advances in Nuclear Parity," Consortiumnews, http://bit.ly/2FgUy9H.
"Putin's Message Couldn't Be Clearer," Off Guardian, http://bit.ly/2tklwaE.
Tyler Durden, "Putin: 'Russia's New Hypersonic Missile Can Rip US Defenses Apart," Zero Hedge, http://bit.ly/2F4jZuJ.
Paul Craig Roberts, "Putin's State of the Union Reveals Russian Superiority in Nuclear Weapons Technology," http://bit.ly/2D1R8Bv.
Americans are equally misguided by the MSM on Syria. Here Jeffrey Sachs, who've I come to admire, presents a wise analysis of American policy in Syria and the lies floated by Hillary Clinton. This of course ties into Russia and Iran on another front. It's all part of one big mess and we keep moving towards the dogpile. Please let us turn in another direction before it's too late.
Jeffrey Sachs, "Ending America's Disastrous Role in Syria," Common Dreams, http://bit.ly/2Fgf9KW.
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By Scott Ritter, truthdig, 12 February 2019 Ñ The world is on the edge of a catastrophe, but the U.S. is whistling blithely down the path of nuclear destruction it has helped to pave. |
... William Perry, former secretary of defense under President Bill Clinton, helped unveil the 2019 iteration of the Doomsday Clock. In his remarks, he highlighted President Donald TrumpÕs declaration to withdraw from the landmark 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty as an indication of the collapsing relationship between the U.S. and Russia. ÒWhen you withdraw from treaties, you are losing this important vehicle of dialogue,Ó Perry observed. ÒMy own judgment is, relative to a year ago, we are slightly worse off.Ó
I agree with PerryÑthe world is worse off today than it was a year ago. I disagree, however, with his use of the word ÒslightlyÓ to describe the situation we face, and I dissent from the bulletinÕs decision to stay the hands of the Doomsday Clock. Humanity is sleepwalking toward global annihilation, furthered by a collective amnesia about the threat posed by nuclear weapons, especially in an environment void of meaningful arms control. On Feb. 2, the United States suspended its obligationsÊunder the INF Treaty, beginning a 180-day process that, once concluded, will lead to the abandonment of that agreement. Russia soon followed suit. The death of the INF Treaty represents far more than simply the end of an era. It is the end of a processÑa mindsetÑthat recognized nuclear weapons for their globe-killing reality and sought their reduction and eventual elimination. ...
James Blight, janet Lang, Centre for International Governance Innovation, U Waterloo
Published on Nov 5, 2012 on the occasion of the 50th anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis
The Balsillie School of International Affairs (BSIA) is the global headquarters for the observance of the fiftieth anniversary of the October 1962 Cuban missile crisis. The initiative is led by BSIA faculty members, James Blight and janet Lang, and BSIA digital scholar in residence, Koji Masutani. The "command post" for this effort is their website, www.armageddonletters.com. During this event, Jim and janet discussed their book, The Armageddon Letters, in a transmedia setting: using short films, graphic art and other platforms represented on their site. In The Armageddon Letters and in their presentation, Jim and janet invite readers and audience members into a virtual time machine that will leave you breathless at the narrowness of humanity's escape, and with a determination never to let anything so dangerous ever happen again.
Additional information
James Blight is best known for having created, refined, and applied an innovative research method called critical oral history (COH). The method involves three kinds of knowledge, which merge simultaneously in carefully choreographed, but often highly creative conferences. They are:
Jim and his collaborator, janet Lang (a research professor at Balsillie School of International Affairs (BSIA), have been the principal organizers of more than two-dozen COH conferences on several continents on a wide range of events in recent U.S. foreign policy. These include
The method evolved in the context of a systematic reexamination of the October 1962 Cuban missile crisis, involving the most senior living decision-makers from the U.S., Russia and Cuba. Beginning at HarvardÕs Kennedy School of Government (1984-1989), then at Brown UniversityÕs Watson Institute for International Studies (1990-2009), they co-organized six COH conferences on the crisis, in the U.S., Russia, Antigua and Cuba. These COH meetings, and subsequent publications based on the meetings, are widely credited with fundamentally altering our view of the crisis, which is revealed to have been more dangerous than was believed at the time, and during the quarter century following the crisis.
Links:
Jim Blight and janet Lang uncover the JFK we don't know
Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly
Vladimir Putin, February 20, 2019 13:30 Moscow (in cache)
... I would like to emphasise again that we need peace for sustainable long-term development. Our efforts to enhance our defence capability are for only one purpose: to ensure the security of this country and our citizens so that nobody would even consider pressuring us, or launching an aggression against us. ...
Ein Kommentar von Mathias Bršckers.
Kinzhal: eine Ÿberschallschnelle, luft-gefeuerte Marschrakete, die mit Mach 10 (7700 Meilen pro Stunde) fliegt und sowohl Bodenanlagen als auch Schiffe zerstšren kann.
Avangard: ein wendiges Ÿberschallschnelles NutzlastzufŸhrungssystem fŸr interkontinentale ballistische Raketen, das schneller als Mach 20 (15300 Meilen pro Stunde) fliegt. Es hat eine Reichweite von 740 Meilen und kann eine Kernladung von bis zu 300 Kilotonnen tragen.
Poseidon: ein autonomer nuklearbetriebener Torpedo mit unbegrenzter Reichweite, der sich in einer Tiefe von 3000 Fu§ bewegen kann und dabei etwas Ÿber 100 Knoten beibehŠlt.
Burevestnik: ein nuklearbetriebener Marschflugkšrper, der mit rund 270 Meilen pro Stunde fliegt und 24 Stunden lang in der Luft bleiben kann, was ihm eine Reichweite von 6000 Meilen verleiht.
Peresvet: ein mobiler Laserkomplex, der Drohnen und Satelliten blenden sowie Raumfahrt- und LuftaufklŠrungssysteme zerstšren kann.
Sarmat: eine neue schwere interkontinentale Rakete, die beliebige suborbitale Kurse fliegen kann (z.B. Ÿber dem SŸdpol) und beliebige Punkte Ÿberall auf dem Planeten trifft. Da sie keiner vorhersehbaren ballistischen Trajektorie folgt, ist es unmšglich, sie abzufangen.
Mueller Report Ends a Shameful Period for the Press
By Chris Hedges, March 25, 2019
The Mueller reportÕs categorical statement that Donald Trump and his campaign did not collude with Russia ends one of the most shameful periods in modern American journalism, one that rivals the mindless cheerleading for the Iraq War by most of the press. It further erodes and may prove fatal to the credibility of a press that has steadfastly rendered most of the country invisible and functions as little more than an array of gossiping courtiers to the elites.
Ò Ô[T]he investigation did not establish that members of the Trump Campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities,Õ Ó the report by special counsel Robert Mueller says, according to a direct quotation given in an official letter by U.S. Attorney General William Barr.
The mainstream press, owned by the corporations that have extinguished the democratic state and are fleecing the public, as well as destroying the ecosystem on which we depend for life, does not hold its employers to account. The empty chatter about Russia, including in The New York Times, exposes the bankruptcy of the U.S. media. MSNBC and CNN, which long ago abandoned journalism for entertainment, have breathlessly clogged the airwaves with ridiculous conspiracy theories and fantasies and used them to justify a faux crusade.
Consortiumnews.com, April 4, 2019Ê¥Ê41 Comments
VIPS warn that TrumpÕsÊpolicies regarding Venezuela appear to be on a slippery slope that could take us toward war in Venezuela and military confrontation with Russia.
MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM:ÊVeteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)
SUBJECT:ÊAvoiding War with Russia over Venezuela
Mr. President:
Your AdministrationÕs policies regarding Venezuela appear to be on a slippery slope that could take us toward war in Venezuela and military confrontation with Russia. As former intelligence officers and other national security practitioners with many decades of experience, we urge you not to let yourself be egged on into taking potentially catastrophic military action in response to civil unrest in Venezuela or Russian activities in the Western Hemisphere. With the recent arrival of two transport aircraft and enduring political support for the government of Venezuela, the Russians are far from crossing any Òred lineÓ emanating from the 1823 Monroe Doctrine.
Unfulfilled Objectives in Venezuela
Inside Venezuela, U.S. actions have failed to do more than plunge the country into deeper crisis, cause greater human suffering, and increase the prospects of violence on a national scale. President MaduroÕs mishandling of the economy and authoritarian reactions to provocations are impossible to defend, but they result in part from the fact that he has been under siege since he was first elected in 2013 and has faced sanctions aimed ultimately at removing him from office. In our view, the advice youÕve received from your top advisors Ð Florida Senator Marco Rubio, National Security Advisor John Bolton, Special Representative Elliott Abrams, and Secretary of State Michael Pompeo Ð was and apparently continues to be wrong. ...
For the Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
Fulton Armstrong, former National Intelligence Officer for Latin America & former National Security Council Director for Inter-American Affairs (ret.)
William Binney, former Technical Director, World Geopolitical & Military Analysis, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
Marshall Carter-Tripp, Foreign Service Officer & former Division Director in the State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research (ret.)
Bogdan Dzakovic, Former Team Leader of Federal Air Marshals and Red Team, FAA Security, (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Philip Giraldi,ÊCIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
Mike Gravel,,former Adjutant, top secret control officer, Communications Intelligence Service; special agent of the Counter Intelligence Corps and former United States Senator
Larry Johnson, former CIA Intelligence Officer & former State Department Counter-Terrorism Official, (ret.)
John Kiriakou, former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Clement J. Laniewski, LTC, U.S. Army (ret.)
Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.)
Edward Loomis, NSA Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)
David MacMichael, former Senior Estimates Officer, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Ray McGovern,Êformer US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA presidential briefer (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray,Êformer Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East & CIA political analyst (ret.)
Todd E. Pierce,ÊMAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)
Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)
Peter Van Buren,U.S. Department of State, Foreign Service Officer (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Sarah Wilton, Commander, U.S. Naval Reserve (ret.) and Defense Intelligence Agency (ret.)
Ann Wright,ÊU.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat who resigned in 2003 in opposition to the Iraq War
Wer hat Hitler gezwungen, Stalin zu Ÿberfallen?
Nikolay Starikov, †bersetzer: Wolfgang Schacht, 2017 (im Cache)
On April 4, 2018 seven Plowshare activists entered a major U.S. [TRIDENT II] nuclear submarine base to nonviolently and symbolically disarm nuclear weapons.
Insttute for Public Accuracy, October 10, 2019
On April 4, 2018 Ñ exactly 50 years after the assassination of Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. Ñ seven Plowshare activists entered a major U.S. [TRIDENT II] nuclear submarine base to nonviolently and symbolically disarm nuclear weapons.
Earlier this year, a statement was released supporting this Plowshares action which took place at Kings Bay, Georgia. See: ÒRev. Tutu Among Luminaries Backing Activists Facing 25 Years for Nuclear Weapons Action.Ó
The trial of the ÒKings Bay Plowshares 7Ó is set to begin on October 21 in Brunswick, Georgia.
Some of the Plowshare activists have been locked up for over one and a half years, though all but one are out of jail right now and available for interviews.
Insttute for Public Accuracy, October 15, 2019
Today, Daniel Ellsberg, who exposed the Pentagon Papers, said in a statement to accuracy.org: ÒI strongly endorse the action of civil resistance by the Kings Bay Plowshares 7 defendants who are now on trial for having Ônonviolently and symbolically disarmed the Trident nuclear submarine base at Kings Bay, Georgia.Õ The sign they displayed during their action on the base Ñ ÔThe Ultimate Logic of Trident is OmnicideÕ Ñ is exactly right. I believe they are definitely entitled to the legal defense, among others, of ÔJustificationÕ or ÔNecessity:Õ that an action which would under other circumstances be illegal can be justified as legal by a reasonable belief that it is necessary to avert a much greater evil: in this case, omnicide, the collateral murder of nearly every human on earth in a war in which the nuclear missiles aboard Trident submarines were launched.
ÒI lay out the argument for that defense in this case in an affidavit that has been submitted to the court. It is based on an earlier affidavit, much longer and more detailed, with legal references, that I have entered in similar trials of anti-nuclear resistance. A key point is that without the impact on myself of actions of civil resistance during the Vietnam War like those of the defendants in this case Ñ including those of Father Philip Berrigan, the late husband of the current defendant Elizabeth McAlister, and of Dorothy Day, grandmother of another defendant Martha Hennessy Ñ I would never have considered revealing the top secret Pentagon Papers: which legal scholars have described as having had, Ôarguably at least,Õ a causal effect in shortening the Vietnam War.
ÒI believe that omnicide, the end of civilization and most of humanity, will not be averted without a moral transformation and political mobilization that requires actions of civil disobedience Ñ including that of the Kings Bay Plowshares 7Ð to inspire.Ó
October 15, 2019 By journalist
I am Daniel Ellsberg.
...
14.To my knowledge, in the domain of nuclear weapons policy, there has been throughout the nuclear era an equally great divergence between public desires and beliefs, public declarations of official policy, and the demands of law and prudence, on the one hand, and actual, secret governmental policy and practice on the other: with a potential for catastrophe incomparably greater.
15. In neither of these areas have the Ònormal,Ó legal processes of democracy functioned adequately or even been permitted to operate, in terms of openness and public awareness to protect American citizens and other humans from vast, in some cases unprecedented and unlimited risks of harm.
16. Will any of these risks to our democracy and our legal system as well as to human lives be terminated or averted without such actions, to awaken the consciences of democratic citizens, as are on trial in this case?
...
21.Testifying under oath as an expert witness, the former Attorney General stated: ÒWithout the marchesÓ which, in Alabama at that time, were treated as civil disobedience Òthe Voting Rights Act of 1965 would never have passed.Ó
22. In my understanding as both a student of and participant in such campaigns, in none of these cases is the public movement, and specifically the tactic of civil disobedience, properly to be seen as an ÒalternativeÓ to, or a substitute for, the more traditional and unarguably legal processes of our political system: but as a sometimes necessary complement to such processes, stimulating and reinforcing them in a way that is not infrequently essential to achieving urgent, legitimate public ends.
23. In my own experience, participants in civil disobedience virtually never conceive of these particular actions as the sole effective means, by themselves, of averting specific harms, or as sufficient in themselves to do so. The issue, from the perspective of these actors, is not whether other approaches, unchallengeably legal, exist to further their aims, but whether these unquestionably necessary approaches, by themselves and excluding dramatic campaigns of civil disobedience, are adequately effective, whether they can ÒworkÓ or work in time to avoid great harm without the historically proven catalyst of committed, conscientious, risk taking exemplary action.
24. These considerations bear on two other elements of the necessity defense, the Òlack of legal alternativesÓ and the ÒimminenceÓ of the harms to be averted. Again, I speak from my own experience, but not only mine, in saying that it is the perceived insufficiency of other means, by themselves not their unavailability or irrelevance that impels one to add, in some circumstances, tactics that risk arrest to a program of social action. And the urgency of such means reflects the prolonged time required to mobilize political efforts perhaps measured in months or years to avert deaths and injuries that will not be averted at all without campaigns that include these dramatic elements.
OPCW Investigator Testified at UN That No Chemical Attack Took Place in Douma, Syria
by Ben Norton (The Greyzone), Consortium News, January 24, 2020
Engineering expert Ian Henderson also said findings were suppressed, Ben Norton reports.
Dennis Kucinich: The Democratic Party Has No Soul
Scheer Intelligence, Jan 31, 2020
Dennis Kucinich: ... 'The U.S. government admits itÕs spent at least $80,000 per average family of four since 2001 on the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. ThatÕs, like, over $6.4 trillion. And then the actual figure is much higher; itÕs closer, I think, closer to $150,000 per family, for just our regime-change wars in those two countries. And you know Chris Hedges; well, IÕve read some of his stuff. HeÕs pointed out that our society is going to crumble, lives will be lost, disease and despair will rise to keep the Empire afloat and the world in fear if we keep these wars going on. So weÕve got Ñ what weÕre experiencing now is the cost of a plutocratic approach blessed by both political parties, which accelerates wealth to the top, and an economic pyramid, top of the economic pyramid. And itÕll be catastrophic for our economy and our democracy unless we reverse it.'
A National Pragmatic Safety Limit for Nuclear Weapon Quantities
Joshua M. Pearce 1,2,3, and David C. Denkenberger 4,5, Received: 15 February 2018; Accepted: 6 June 2018; Published: 14 June 2018
1 Department of Electronics and Nanoengineering, School of Electrical Engineering, Aalto University, FI-00076 Espoo, Finland
2 Department of Materials Science & Engineering, Michigan Technological University, Houghton, MI 49931-1295, USA
3 Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, Michigan Technological University, Houghton, MI 49931-1295, USA
4 Tennessee State University, 3500 John A Merritt Boulevard Nashville, Nashville, TN 37209, USA; (ddenkenb@tnstate.edu)
5 Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (ALLFED), 23532 Calabasas Road, Suite A, Calabasas, CA 91302, USA (Southern California, near Los Angeles)
Correspondence: pearce@mtu.edu; Tel.: 906-487-1466
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US Stockpile: 4500 Warheads New START: 1500 US Warheads Nuclear Winter Limit: 100 Warheads Winter-safe Deterrence: 50 Warheads
Figure 1. The total number of nuclear warheads in the U.S. stockpile (deployed and stored) as a function of time shown in blue and compared against pragmatic nuclear weapons limits along with function of time shown in blue and compared against pragmatic nuclear weapons limits along with their date of origin. Note:
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Abstract: This study determines the nuclear pragmatic limit where the direct physical negative consequences of nuclear weapons use are counter to national interests, by assuming all unknowns are conservatively optimistic. The only effect considered is nuclear winter (Ònuclear autumnÓ in the low weapons limits) and the resultant effects on the aggressor nation.
The results found that 100 nuclear warheads is adequate for nuclear deterrence in the worst case scenario, while using more than 100 nuclear weapons by any aggressor nation (including the best positioned strategically to handle the unintended consequences) even with optimistic assumptions (including no retaliation) would cause unacceptable damage to their own society. Thus,
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American Empire, CN Live!, Europe, Intelligence, Russia, Ukraine
S4E2
February 25, 2022
The program looks at RussiaÕs military operation in Ukraine, its causes, its aims, and its likely aftermaths with Alexander Mercouris, Mark Sleboda, Scott Ritter and Tony Kevin.
time 49:00ff
Tony Kevin on 13000 deaths in Donetsk, Luhansk (source: UN), intensified attacks days before Russia's invasion, Putin's aims:
Tony Kevin: voices of Scholz & Macron: "no European security without Russian security", European interests differ from US interests, might be the light at the end of the tunnel, influential groups within France and Germany
Scott Ritter: NATO is not strong enough for a war.
WATCH: CN Live!ÊÑ ÔUkraine UpdateÕ
March 4, 2022
ÔUkraine UpdateÕ Ñ 8 am Friday ESTCN Live! is joined again by Mark Sleboba in Moscow and Scott Ritter in the U.S. to discuss the current situation on the ground in Ukraine, and the economic and information war that is raging along with the guns
American Empire, Biden Administration, Commentary, Military, Russia, Ukraine, United Nations
March 6, 2022
Prof. John Mearsheimer and ex-C.I.A. Russia specialist Ray McGovern discuss the Ukraine conflict and U.S. policy towards Moscow, presented by the Committee for the Republic in Washington.
The causes and consequences of the Ukraine war
A lecture by John J. Mearsheimer
Streamed live on Jun 16, 2022
Professor John J. Mearsheimer will discuss the current Russian invasion on Ukraine whilst exploring the potential causes and consequences of the crisis.
In this lecture, Prof. Mearsheimer will aim to focus on both the origins of the war in Ukraine and some of its most important consequences. He will argue that the crisis is largely the result of the WestÕs efforts to turn Ukraine into a Western bulwark on RussiaÕs border. Russian leaders viewed that outcome as an existential threat that had to be thwarted. While Vladimir Putin is certainly responsible for invading Ukraine and for RussiaÕs conduct in the war, Prof. Mearsheimer states that he does not believe he is an expansionist bent on creating a greater Russia. Regarding the warÕs consequences, the greatest danger is that the war will go on for months if not years, and that either NATO will get directly involved in the fighting or nuclear weapons will be used Ñ or both. Furthermore, enormous damage has already been inflicted on Ukraine. A prolonged war is likely to wreak even more devastation on Ukraine.
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor in the Political Science Department at the University of Chicago.
Key moments:
March 14, 2022
Tony Kevin, former Australian diplomat, and Emeritus Prof. Ramesh Thakur, Australian National University, in a deep discussion on the causes and future of the Ukraine war and its impact on the world. Presented by Pax Christi Australia.
time 0 - 17:15: Tony Kevin:
by Joe Lauria
Consortium News, March 11, 2022 (deutsche †bersetzung)
The settlement of the Ukraine war or its escalation to a NATO-Russia conflict with all that entails comes down to how far Ukraine will go to get the Western alliance involved in its war, writes Joe Lauria.
by Scott Ritter
Consortium News, February 27, 2022 (deutsche †bersetzung)
The disconnect between the Western and Russian narratives in the current conflict could prove fatal to the world, writes Scott Ritter.
Tangled Tale of NATO Expansion at the Heart of Ukraine Crisis
by Joe Laurea
Consortium News, January 28, 2022 (deutsche †bersetzung)
Special for Consortium News
The U.S. response to winning the Cold War set the stage for the current crisis with Russia, reports Joe Lauria.Ê
Overextending and Unbalancing Russia
Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options
by James Dobbins, Raphael S. Cohen, Nathan Chandler, Bryan Frederick, Edward Geist, Paul DeLuca, Forrest E. Morgan, Howard J. Shatz, Brent Williams
Document Details
Conclusions
The most-promising options to Òextend RussiaÓ are those that directly address its vulnerabilities, anxieties, and strengths, exploiting areas of weakness while undermining RussiaÕs current advantages.Ê
In that regard,Ê
Most of the options discussed, including those listed here, are in some sense escalatory, and most would likely prompt some Russian counterescalation. Thus, besides the specific risks associated with each option, there is additional risk attached to a generally intensified competition with a nuclear-armed adversary to consider.Ê
This means that every option must be deliberately planned and carefully calibrated to achieve the desired effect.Ê
Finally, although Russia will bear the cost of this increased competition less easily than the United States will, both sides will have to divert national resources from other purposes.Ê
Extending Russia for its own sake is not a sufficient basis in most cases to consider the options discussed here. Rather, the options must be considered in the broader context of national policy based onÊ
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Most-Promising Cost-Imposing Options |
Likelihood of Success in Extending Russia |
Benefits |
Costs and Risks |
|
Expand U.S. energy production |
High |
High |
Low |
|
Impose deeper trade and financial sanctions |
High |
High |
High |
|
Increase U.S. and allied naval force posture and presence |
Moderate |
Moderate |
Low |
|
Reposture bombers |
High |
Moderate |
Low |
|
Invest more in autonomous or remotely piloted aircraft |
High |
Moderate |
Moderate |
|
Invest more in long-range strike aircraft and missiles |
High |
High |
Moderate |
|
Invest more in longer-range HARMs |
High |
Moderate |
Moderate |
|
Invest more in new electronic warfare technologies |
Moderate |
Moderate |
Low |
NOTE: For all the tables in this brief, high and low rankings for costs and risks are inverted in desirability from the rest of the table; i.e., low costs are good in the same way that a high likelihood of success is. Thus, a low cost is shaded in light orange while a low likelihood of success is shaded in dark orange. All assessments listed in the tables in this brief are based on analysis by the reportÕs authors.
HARMs =ÊHigh-speed Antiradiation Missiles (eigentlich anti-RADAR Missiles)
Peter Decker, 26. MŠrz 2022
1. Mitten in unserem schšnen Europa
Peter Decker, 27. MŠrz 2022
1. Der Antrag auf Anerkennung russischer Sicherheitsinteressen: abgelehnt!
Deutsche Metallimporte aus Russland
Deutsche Rohstoffagentur (DERA), Chart des Monats, Februar 2022
Im Jahr 2019
Im Jahr 2020
Bei den prozentualen Anteilen der deutschen Importe aus der Russischen Fšderation sieht das Bild anders aus.
Damit ist das Land bei diesen beiden Gruppen der mit Abstand wichtigste Lieferant fŸr Deutschland.
Aber auch bei anderen Metallen ist das Land eine wichtige Lieferquelle fŸr Deutschland:
Hier deckt die deutsche Industrie ihren Importbedarf zu rund 20 % aus Russland.
Im globalen Ma§stab ist die Russische Fšderation bei vielen Metallrohstoffen sogar eines der bedeutendsten FšrderlŠnder.
DERA-Preismonitor
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Questions Abound About Bucha Massacre by Joe Lauria, Consortium News, April 4, 2022
SCOTT RITTER: Twitter WarsÑMy Personal Experience in TwitterÕs Ongoing Assault on Free SpeechApril 13, 2022
Many of the bodies had white cloth strips tied to their upper arm, a visual designation which indicated either loyalty to Russia or that the persons did not pose a threat to Russians. The bodies that lacked this white cloth often had their hands tied behind their backs with white cloth that appeared similar to that which marked the arms of the other bodies.
Near to many of the bodies were the green cardboard box adorned with a white star which contained Russian military dry rations that had been distributed to the civilian population of Bucha by Russian troops as part of their humanitarian operations.
In short, the evidence suggested that the bodies were of civilians friendly to, or sympathetic with, Russia. It would take a leap of faith to conclude that Russian troops gunned these unfortunate souls down in cold blood, as alleged by the Ukrainian government.
On April 2, an article appeared in an official Ukrainian government website, LB.ua, entitled ÒSpecial forces regiment ÔSAFARIÕ began to clear Bucha of saboteurs and accomplices of Russia.Ó According to the article, ÒSpecial forces began clearing the liberated by the Armed Forces of Ukraine the city of Bucha of the Kiev region from saboteurs and accomplices of Russian troops.Ó According to the article, the Safari Regiment was comprised of personnel from various special police units, including the Rapid Operational Response Unit and the Tactical Operational Response Police.
There was other informationÑa video where a Ukrainian official warns the citizens of Bucha that on April 1 a Òcleansing operationÓ was going to be conducted in Bucha, and that the citizens should remain indoors and not to panic. Another video, also from April 1, purported to show members of the Safari Regiment shooting civilians who were not wearing the blue distinguishing armbands signifying loyalty to the Ukrainian cause. ... |
A Manufactured Crisis in Ukraine is Victimizing the WorldÕs Peoples
U.S. Peace Council Statement (in cache)
May 10, 2022
... The U.S. military now consumes over half of the federal discretionary budget, which is 12 times the size of RussiaÕs defense spending. The Ukraine war has been used to justify CongressÕs most recent obscene additional $29 billion in war appropriations over what the Pentagon itself had requested, $800 millions of which will go directly to Ukraine in the form of hi-tech military weapons. ... RussiaÕs military intervention in Ukraine could have been avoided if the U.S. had not relentlessly provoked it. The U.S. provided weapons and military training to the fascist-infiltrated Ukrainian army that has targeted ethnic Russians in Ukraine since the U.S.-orchestrated coup in 2014. Some 14,000 people had died in the conflict before Russia directly intervened.
Russia repeatedly called for respecting the ceasefire outlined in the Minsk Accords. The 2015 Minsk II Agreement called for autonomy for the separatist Donbas region in eastern Ukraine, where the majority are Russian-speaking, along with release of prisoners of war and withdrawal of heavy weapons.
Instead, the Ukrainian army increased its attacks on its own citizens, although the peace agreement had been signed by representatives of Ukraine along Russia, the separatist provinces, and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) for western Europe. Then in late February, a planned full-scale assault by the Ukraine army on the separatist region immediately precipitated the Russian invasion (need citation to support this).
The conflict could not have continued without weapons and intelligence openly provided by the U.S. In a hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee, General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, reported that the U.S. and NATO had supplied 60,000 anti-tank and 25,000 anti-aircraft weapons to the Ukrainian army. In recent weeks, the Biden administration ordered another $1.6 billion of Òlethal aidÓ to Ukraine further escalating the conflict. ...
For all the reasons stated above, the U.S. government has pursued trapping Russia in the Ukraine conflict and has every incentive to prolong the conflict. UkraineÕs hands are tied, as it cannot negotiate a settlement without permission from the U.S., which is unlikely to be forthcoming.
... Climate chaos, the ongoing pandemic, and inflation are all exacerbated by the conflict. Instead of international solidarity and cooperation to combat these threats, the opposite is occurring with global fragmentation. The U.S. is threatening to sanction countries such as China and India, home to 35% of the world population if they do not cut economic ties with Russia. Pakistan recently experienced a U.S.-backed coup, in part for continuing to have a friendly relationship with Russia.
... On the basis of this assessment of the present situation in Ukraine, the U.S. Peace Council reiterates its statement of March 24 calling for rapidly de-escalating the violence and negotiating a peaceful resolution. Analysts across the political spectrum agree that never has the world been so close to nuclear holocaust.
Spezial mit
Dr. Hans-Georg Maa§en und Gerhard Schindler
tv.Berlin, Premiered on 18 May 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iVbrRnGr8R0
Zeit: 27:30
1. H.-G. Maa§en zum Ukraine-Krieg
Ich glaube, Putin wei§, dass er, das Putinsche System, mit dem RŸcken an der Wand steht. ... Er darf den Krieg, Russland darf [aus eigener Sicht] den Krieg nicht verlieren. ....
Wir mŸssen auf einen Waffenstillstand zusteuern .... Wir mŸssen jetzt zu einem Waffenstillstand kommen. ... Dazu ist nštig, dass wir als Westen Putin wieder entdŠmonisieren. Was hier Politik und Medien machen, macht mir gro§e Sorgen. ... unser Interesse ist, dass es da zu einem Waffenstillstand und zu einem Frieden kommt. Ich glaube, weil sich Putin mit dem RŸcken an der Wand sieht, wird er bis zuletzt kŠmpfen.
Da mŸssen wir uns sehr, sehr gro§e Sorgen machen. ...
Aus meiner Sicht bedeutet es, wenn wir Waffen - nicht Helme, nicht VerbandspŠckchen- liefern, laufen wir Gefahr, Partei eines Krieges zu werden. Das hat Bundeskanzler Scholz in seiner Rede am vergangenen Sonntag auch so verstanden: Wir sind jetzt Kriegspartei gegen Russland.
DarŸber hat keine šffentliche Diskussion in Deutschland stattgefunden. Ich finde es erschreckend, wie viele Menschen hier wieder Hurra rufen -weniger auf der Stra§e als in den Redaktionen. ...
Ich bin der Meinung, wir sollten keine Waffen liefern an die Ukraine, weil wir damit verfestigen, dass wir Kriegspartei sind. Damit kšnnten wir Ziel von russischen Angriffen werden. Das bedeutet, Deutschland wird in einen Krieg hineingezogen, ohne dass wir eigene Kriegsziele haben. ...
Die Ukraine ist nicht das Bollwerk fŸr Freiheit und Menschenrechte - das ist sie Ÿberhaupt nicht, auch wenn das in den Zeitungen und šffentlichen Medien so verbreitet wird. WofŸr setzen wir uns in der Ukraine ein, und warum setzen wir uns der Gefahr einer nuklearen Auseinandersetzung aus? ...
Wir sind sozusagen der grš§te amerikanische FlugzeugtrŠger mit 80 Millionen "Eingeborenen", die mit auf dem FlugzeugtrŠger leben. Warum sollten wir so etwas machen, ... ohne dass wir genŸgend Gas, Weizen, DŸngemittel haben? Wir setzen uns einer massiven Gefahr aus in einem Land, das in keiner Weise auf den Krieg vorbereitet ist, das auch mental gar nicht darauf vorbereitet ist - wann hatten wir denn die letzten Kriegserlebnisse?
Das bedeutet, dass wir hier wie Schlafwandler in einen Konflikt hineingehen, wir wissen nicht warum, wir wissen nicht, wie wir ihn bewŠltigen kšnnen, und wir wissen schon gar nicht, wie er ausgehen wird.
2.ÊH.-G. Maa§en zum Trennungsgebot zwischen Polizei und Geheimdienst
Wenn das Trennungsgebot aufgehoben wŸrde, in welche Richtung gehen dann die Aufgaben? 1933 sind die Aufgeben des Nachrichtendienstes zur Polizei gegangen - Geheime Staatspolizei. Das war eine Polizei mit nachrichtendienstlichen Befugnissen. FBI: Polizei mit nachrichtendienstlichen Befugnissen. D.h. die Polizei Ÿbernimmt die nachrichtendienstlichen Befugnisse und kann direkt danach verhaften. Das wollten wir in Deutschland nie wieder haben - genau wie die STASI ...Ich bin nach wie vor der Ansicht, dass das bestehende System gut funktionieren kšnnte, weil es viele Vorbilder gibt, die auch gut funktionieren: Gro§britannien (MI5, Scotland Yard), Frankreich, Italien. Was hier in Deutschland weniger funktioniert, ist die Zusammenarbeit mit den LŠndern - ich kann das weniger Ÿberschauen im Polizeibereich. Wir haben 18 Inlandsdienste, wir haben 16 BundeslŠnder, jedes Bundesland hat einen eigenen Inlandsdienst. Dann gibt es den militŠrischen Inlandsdienst noch, den MAD. Dann gibt es noch das Bundesamt fŸr Verfassungsschutz. Selbst ein Land wie - Bremen, hat einen Inlandsdienst. Der Verfassungsschutz ist nštig, aber er ist nicht so nštig, dass wir so viele brauchen. ... Das Problem, das wir leider haben, ist eine Politisierung des deutschen Inlandsdienstes (des Verfassungsschutzes). Das ist ein grundlegendes Problem, das wird auch von unseren auslŠndischen Partnern so gesehen. Das fŸhrt auch zu einer Belastung der Zusammenarbeit.
The War in Ukraine Is Getting Complicated, and America IsnÕt Ready
By The Editorial Board
The New York Times, May 19, 2022
The editorial board is a group of Opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
... the United States must lead its NATO allies in demonstrating to Vladimir Putin that the Atlantic alliance is willing and able to resist his revanchist ambitions.
That goal cannot shift, but in the end, it is still not in AmericaÕs best interest to plunge into an all-out war with Russia, even if a negotiated peace may require Ukraine to make some hard decisions. And the U.S. aims and strategy in this war have become harder to discern, as the parameters of the mission appear to have changed.
Without clarity on these questions, the White House
... If the conflict does lead to real negotiations, it will be Ukrainian leaders who will have to make the painful territorial decisions that any compromise will demand. ...
... But as the war continues, Mr. Biden should also make clear to President Volodymyr Zelensky and his people that there is a limit to how far the United States and NATO will go to confront Russia, and limits to the arms, money and political support they can muster. It is imperative that the Ukrainian governmentÕs decisions be based on a realistic assessment of its means and how much more destruction Ukraine can sustain.
... AmericaÕs support for Ukraine is a test of its place in the world in the 21st century, and Mr. Biden has an opportunity and an obligation to help define what that will be.
Thirteen Days: A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis
by Robert F. Kennedy, W.W. Norton, 1999
Afterword by Richard E. Neustadt and Graham T. Allison
Seite 117 (Afterword)
For Secretary of Defense McNamara ["Fog of War"), the missiles raised a specter of nuclear war. He first framed the issue as a straightforward strategic problem.
Robert S. McNamara: "The Tragedy and Lessons of Vietnam"Ê
https://youtu.be/kbJA6L-_dFs?t=461
Time: 07:41
"... Had Khrushchev on 28th October 1963 not announced to withdraw the missiles, almost certainly on the following day, Monday 29th October, the majority of President Kennedy's military and civilian advisors would have recommended him that he launch the attack on Cuba, for which contingency plans had been developed. CIA falsely thought there were no nuclear weapons on Cuba, so the attack did not include US nuclear weapons."
Michael von der Schulenburg
Der Westen macht sich in seinem Ukraine-Kurs viel zu abhŠngig von den USA. Insbesondere die FŸhrung der EU zeigt sich als erschreckend inkompetent.
Michael von der Schulenburg, Berliner Zeitung, 28.5.2022 -
Die Wirtschaft
Europa ist nur zu einem Minimalkonsensus Ÿber Sanktionen fŠhig
... Wenn Europa weiterhin gro§e Mengen an Waffen, und vor allem an schweren Waffen, liefert, ohne gleichzeitig Friedensinitiativen zu unterstŸtzen, macht es sich mitschuldig an den sinnlosen Zerstšrungen und dem schweren Blutzoll, das dieser Krieg von den Ukrainern fordert.
... †berlegungen, wie ein Frieden zu erreichen ist und wie dieser aussehen sollte, fehlen in offiziellen europŠischen Stellungnahmen.
... Dabei haben die USA in der Ukraine weder grš§ere wirtschaftliche Interessen noch werden sie durch dortige politische Entwicklungen unmittelbar bedroht. Die ŸbermŠchtige PrŠsenz der USA in diesem Konflikt und deren enormer und hochriskanter militŠrischer Einsatz lassen sich nur aus den geopolitischen Zielen der USA erklŠren. Ein Nato-Land Ukraine wŸrde den amerikanischen Einfluss in Eurasia, wie Brzezinski es einmal nannte, entscheidend vergrš§ern und so das geopolitische Gleichgewicht stark zugunsten der USA verŠndern.
... WŠhrend die amerikanische Wirtschaft wenig unter den Auswirkungen von Sanktionen leidet, ist Europa davon ungleich mehr betroffen.
Hinzu kommt noch der Versuch, sich gleichzeitig mit dem Krieg in der Ukraine wirtschaftlich vollstŠndig von Russland abzukoppeln.
Die Gefahr
TrŸgerische Option Siegfrieden
... Die grš§te Gefahr droht Europa jedoch durch eine Strategie, die auf einen Siegfrieden setzt.
Dabei scheint ein Siegfrieden recht unwahrscheinlich zu sein.
Wahrscheinlicher ist es, dass Russland sich in der šstlichen und sŸdlichen Ukraine eingraben wird und Ukraine damit eine Teilung des Landes droht.
WŠre es da nicht in Europas Interesse, einen Verhandlungsfrieden zu unterstŸtzen, ja, zu fordern?
Die Rahmenbedingen fŸr eine friedliche Lšsung hatten mutige russische und ukrainische UnterhŠndler bereits in den ersten zwei Monaten des Krieges ausgearbeitet.
Sicherlich ist das noch kein vollstŠndiger Friedensvertrag, viele schwierige Details bleiben noch ungelšst.
Versagt Europa gerade jetzt in der grš§ten Gefahr fŸr den Frieden seit dem Ende des Kalten Krieges?
Es ist deshalb Zeit, dass Europa endlich seine eigene Stimme findet.
Europa braucht eine neue Vision, keinen neuen Kalten Krieg
Europa muss im Einklang mit seinen eigenen Sicherheits- und Wirtschaftsinteressen handeln
Michael von der Schulenburg, 30 Jan. 2022
published in Wall Street International Magazine, Initiative Entspannungspolitik
engl. version in Other News
... Ein weiterer Unterschied [zu den USA] ist, dass Europa, im Gegensatz zu den USA, eines der weltweit anspruchsvollsten und teuersten Sozialsysteme hat. Es gibt keine Garantie dafŸr, dass Europa diese hohen sozialen Standards in einer globalisierten Wirtschaft aufrechterhalten kann.
fŸhren zu weiterem Druck auf sein einzigartiges Wohlfahrtssystem.
Dieses hŠngt aber in einem grš§eren Masse als in den USA von seiner Exportindustrie ab. Wenn nun noch
hinzukommen, wŸrde das zu internen Konflikten fŸhren, die Regierungen und sogar den europŠischen Gedanken hinwegfegen kšnnten. Europa wŸrde so weiter geschwŠcht.
Aber vielleicht die grš§te Gefahr fŸr Europa ist die erschreckend rasanten Entwicklungen von immer ausgefeilteren und tšdlicheren Waffensystemen wie
... Ein Atomkrieg um die Krim oder um Taiwan wŸrde auch Europa auslšschen, ganz gleich, ob es Šhnliche Waffensysteme hat oder nicht.
Europa muss daher einen vernŸnftigeren, nicht militŠrischen Weg einschlagen, um internationale politische Spannungen abzubauen.
Auf dem Hintergrund seiner eigenen Sicherheitsrisiken kann Europa sich einen weiteren Kalten Krieg nicht leisten.
Traurigerweise mag die grš§te Behinderung fŸr einen solchen neuen Zugang zu einer Weltgemeinschaft heute nicht so sehr in Moskau, Peking oder gar in Washington, sondern in BrŸssel liegen, wo die europŠische FŸhrung in gro§en Teilen immer noch in Denkmustern des Kalten Krieges gefangen bleibt.
Open letter from former UN Assistant Secretary-General on the war in Ukraine
Michael von der Schulenburg, 31. May 2022
published in Other News (no link provided)
Europe has twice missed a chance for a peace,
... Scholz and Macron
Can Europe afford a destroyed and divided Ukraine and potentially even a destabilized nuclear Russia in its immediate neighborhood?
Could Europe prosper while being cut-off for years to come from vital natural resources from Russia and Central Asia as well as from its easy land access to markets in Asia?
... in the US are signs that support for the war in Ukraine may be waning.
Wer ist bereit, den Weg zum Frieden zu weisen?
Istanbul Ende MŠrz: ãNur einen Monat nach Kriegsbeginn, gelang es ukrainischen und russischen Verhandlungsteams, einen 15-Punkte-Entwurf fŸr ein mšgliches Friedensabkommen vorzulegenÒ, schreibt von der Schuldenburg. Istanbul Ende MŠrz: ãNur einen Monat nach Kriegsbeginn, gelang es ukrainischen und russischen Verhandlungsteams, einen 15-Punkte-Entwurf fŸr ein mšgliches Friedensabkommen vorzulegenÒ, schreibt von der Schuldenburg.
FŸr den frŸheren Diplomaten Michael von der Schuldenburg ist der Weg zum Frieden klar: die NeutralitŠt der Ukraine. Er fragt: Gibt es noch FŸhrungsfiguren, die Spirale des Kriegs beenden kšnnen?
Michael von der Schulenburg, Frankfurter Rundschau, 20.10.2022, 17:02 Uhr
In der heutigen Welt, die vollgepackt ist mit Massenvernichtungswaffen, Hyperschall-TrŠgersystemen, Cyber-KriegsfŸhrung, Weltraum-KriegsfŸhrung und FŠhigkeiten der kŸnstlichen Intelligenz sowie anderen schrecklichen Dingen, riskiert jede Strategie, die darauf abzielt, einen Krieg militŠrisch zu gewinnen, in einer Katastrophe zu enden.
Dies gilt ganz besonders fŸr den Krieg in der Ukraine, wo sich zwei AtommŠchte, Russland und die Vereinigten Staaten, gegenŸberstehen und wo eine dritte Atommacht, China, dem angespannt zuschaut. Deshalb sollte der Westen einen Frieden und nicht einen militŠrischen Sieg anstreben. Das kann nicht durch Waffen, sondern nur durch Diplomatie erreicht werden.
Das SchlŸsselwort, das den Westen daran hindert, sich mit Russland an einen Tisch zu setzen, ist ãNeutralitŠtÒ. Russland mšchte, dass die Ukraine neutral bleibt, wŠhrend die USA eine feste Einbindung der Ukraine in das westliche MilitŠrbŸndnis wŸnschen. Diese gegensŠtzlichen Positionen beruhen nicht auf einer besonderen Liebe der einen oder anderen Seite zur Ukraine, sondern es ist die strategische Lage der Ukraine zwischen Asien und Europa, die die Ukraine fŸr beide Seiten geopolitisch so attraktiv macht.
Als Mitglied der Nato wŸrde die Ukraine zu einem strategischen Aktivposten fŸr den Anspruch der USA auf eine globale und unangefochtene FŸhrungsrolle werden. Sie wŸrde Russland als Gro§macht aus dem Spiel nehmen und es zu einer Regionalmacht degradieren. Sie wŸrde es den USA ermšglichen, den Handel zwischen Europa und Asien zu kontrollieren und ihre Macht bis tief nach Asien hineinzuprojizieren Ð der Hauptgrund, warum sich alle asiatischen LŠnder, mit Ausnahme von Japan und Taiwan, nicht der Nato/US-Politik der Verurteilung und Isolierung Russlands angeschlossen haben. Andererseits wŸrde eine neutrale Ukraine (und damit auch ein neutrales Georgien) Russland davon befreien, von der Nato eingekreist zu werden. Es wŸrde seinen Status als dominierende Macht in seiner unmittelbaren geografischen Nachbarschaft behalten und ein Ð wenn auch kleiner Ð internationaler Akteur bleiben.
Dass gerade die NeutralitŠt der Stolperstein ist, ist beunruhigend, denn es wŠre die NeutralitŠt der Ukraine gewesen, die die zunehmenden Spannungen zwischen Russland und den USA wegen der Nato-Erweiterung hŠtte lšsen kšnnen, und es wŠre die NeutralitŠt der Ukraine gewesen, die den Krieg im MŠrz dieses Jahres hŠtte beenden kšnnen, als sich ukrainische und russische UnterhŠndler auf einen mšglichen Friedensplan geeinigt hatten. In beiden FŠllen war es die Nato, allen voran die USA und das Vereinigte Kšnigreich, die jeden Schritt in Richtung eines neutralen Status der Ukraine torpedierten. WŠhrend Russland die Schuld fŸr den Beginn eines illegalen Angriffs auf die Ukraine trŠgt, ist es die Nato, die fŸr die VerlŠngerung des Krieges verantwortlich ist.
Das auffŠlligste Beispiel zeigte sich, als die Nato im MŠrz die ukrainisch-russischen Friedensverhandlungen torpedierte. Damals, nur einen Monat nach Kriegsbeginn, gelang es ukrainischen und russischen Verhandlungsteams, einen 15-Punkte-Entwurf fŸr ein mšgliches Friedensabkommen vorzulegen, demzufolge die Ukraine keine Nato-Mitgliedschaft anstreben und keiner auslŠndischen Macht gestatten wŸrde, MilitŠrstŸtzpunkte auf ihrem Hoheitsgebiet zu errichten. Im Gegenzug wŸrden alle russischen Besatzungstruppen abziehen und die Ukraine wŸrde ihre territoriale IntegritŠt weitgehend bewahren. Der Entwurf sah auch Zwischenlšsungen fŸr den Donbass und die Krim vor. Man hoffte, dieses Abkommen auf einer Friedenskonferenz am 29. MŠrz in Istanbul auf Au§enministerebene abschlie§en zu kšnnen. Sowohl ukrainische als auch russische Politiker hatten bereits Hoffnungen auf ein Ende des Krieges geŠu§ert.
Doch dazu kam es nicht. Angesichts der Mšglichkeit einer neutralen Ukraine berief die Nato fŸr den 23. MŠrz einen Sondergipfel in BrŸssel ein, an dem auch PrŠsident Biden teilnahm. Der einzige Zweck dieses Treffens bestand darin, die ukrainisch-russischen Friedensverhandlungen zu beenden. Anstelle eines Kompromisses zwischen ukrainischer NeutralitŠt und ukrainischer territorialer IntegritŠt forderte die Nato nun den bedingungslosen RŸckzug der russischen StreitkrŠfte aus den ukrainischen Gebieten, bevor es zu FriedensgesprŠchen kommen konnte. Die Botschaft der Nato an Russland war eindeutig: Es wŸrde keinen Verhandlungsfrieden geben, der zur NeutralitŠt der Ukraine fŸhren wŸrde.
Der Weg zum Frieden ist klar: Die BestŠtigung der ukrainischen NeutralitŠt, die Anerkennung russischer Sicherheitsinteressen und die damit verbundenen Sicherheitsvereinbarungen fŸr die Ukraine, die sich nicht mehr auf die Nato stŸtzen, wŠren erste Schritte. Aber haben wir heute Politiker vom Kaliber eines Kennedy oder Chruschtschow, eines Reagan oder Gorbatschow, oder gar einer Angela Merkel, die den Mut und Entschlossenheit hŠtten, die Spirale eines immer mehr au§er Kontrolle geratenen Krieges zu durchbrechen und stattdessen einen Frieden anzustreben?
Welche Chancen gibt es fŸr einen Frieden in der Ukraine?
07. Januar 2023 Michael von der Schulenburg
... Einen wirklichen Frieden in der Ukraine und damit auch in Europa kann es nur geben, wenn es mšglich wŸrde, eine neue, von der Nato weitestgehend unabhŠngige Sicherheitsstruktur in Europa zu errichten, um so, wie in der Paris Charter der OSZE von 1990 gefordert, ein gemeinsames Haus Europa ohne Trennlinien zu schaffen. Das ginge nur mit einer europŠischen Sicherheitsstruktur, die Russland einschlie§t. HierfŸr sind aber die aktuellen Aussichten ausgesprochen schlecht.
... eine Nato-Mitgliedschaft zum Ziel aller nachfolgenden US-PrŠsidenten wurde.
Trotz aller Proteste und Drohungen Russlands wurde diese mit zunehmender AggressivitŠt verfolgt. Dies gipfelte im Jahr 2014 in dem von den USA organisierten und mit fŸnf Milliarden Dollar finanzierten gewaltsamen (und nach internationalem Recht illegalen) Sturz des demokratisch gewŠhlten ukrainischen PrŠsidenten Janukowitsch und die Einsetzung einer prowestlichen Regierung unter Poroschenko. Die Weichen fŸr eine Einverleibung der Ukraine in die Nato waren damit gestellt.
Russland antwortete mit der Annexion der Krim und der UnterstŸtzung der UnabhŠngigkeit des Donbass. Woraufhin der Westen mit einer massiven militŠrischen AufrŸstung der ukrainischen Armee begann. Damit hatte eine Art latenter Krieg zwischen den USA und Russland um Einfluss in der Ukraine begonnen.
Nach der AnkŸndigung auf dem Nato-Gipfel im Juni 2021, die Mitgliedschaft der Ukraine nun voranzutreiben, eskalierte die Situation und fŸhrte zur militŠrischen Intervention Russlands. Bei alledem ging und geht es allein um die Nato-Erweiterung, und es wird keinen Frieden geben, bis das nicht diplomatisch gelšst wird.Das erklŠrt auch, warum sich die USA vehement gegen jede Friedenslšsung wenden, die eine NeutralitŠt der Ukraine vorsieht. Noch im Dezember 2021 weigerten sich die USA, Ÿber einen Nato-Beitritt der Ukraine mit Russland zu verhandeln, und im MŠrz 2022 torpedierte die Nato die ukrainisch-russischen FriedensgesprŠche, die eine neutrale Ukraine vorsahen.
Auch jetzt lehnen die USA FriedensgesprŠche mit Russland Ÿber den zukŸnftigen Status der Ukraine ab. ...
... Die bisherigen Versuche europŠischer Staaten im Ukraine-Konflikt zu vermitteln, sind regelmŠ§ig an europŠischer Uneinigkeit und amerikanischem Widerstand gescheitert. Ein Vermittlungsversuch der Au§enminister Deutschlands, Frankreichs und Polens bei den Unruhen auf dem Maidan-Platz im Jahr 2014 wurde ignoriert; nur Stunden spŠter kam es zum gewaltsamen Sturz des prorussischen PrŠsidenten.
... Die finanzielle UnterstŸtzung des Westens an den inzwischen fast bankrotten ukrainischen Staat werden wahrscheinlich nie den finanziellen Bedarf decken kšnnen. So hat die EU fŸr 2023 die Zahlung von 1,5 Milliarden Euro monatlich versprochen, wŠhrend die ukrainische Regierung zwischen fŸnf und neun Milliarden monatlich angefragt hatte.
Michael Derrer, 23.05.2022 Ê
Vier Kernpunkte unter der Aufsicht einer Internationalen Vermittlungsgruppe vor
Der italienische Plan schlŠgt eine nahezu vollstŠndige Autonomie der umstrittenen Gebiete und deren autonome Wahrung der Sicherheit vor. ... Zu den zu lšsenden Fragen gehšren sprachliche und kulturelle Rechte sowie der freie Personen-, Waren-, Kapital- und Dienstleistungsverkehr.
Es wird ein neues multilaterales Abkommen Ÿber Frieden und Sicherheit in Europa im Rahmen der OSZE und der Nachbarschaftspolitik der EuropŠischen Union vorgeschlagen, in dem eine Neuordnung der internationalen Gleichgewichte erfolgen soll, angefangen bei den Beziehungen zwischen der EuropŠischen Union und Moskau.
werden angestrebt. Gegenstand der Vermittlung ist auch der Abzug der russischen Truppen aus den besetzten Gebieten, mit dem Ziel, den Zustand vor dem 24. Februar 2022 wiederherzustellen.
Roms Ziel, so erklŠrte Di Maio gegenŸber Guterres, sei es, Çeine faire, gerechte und zwischen den Parteien vereinbarte Lšsung zu finden, die auf der UnabhŠngigkeit und territorialen IntegritŠt der Ukraine beruhtÈ.
A Memoir of the Cuban Missile Crisis
by Robert F. Kennedy, W.W. Norton, 1999
Afterword by Richard E. Neustadt and Graham T. Allison
Seite 117
For Secretary of Defense McNamara ["Fog of War"), the missiles raised a specter of nuclear war. He first framed the issue as a straightforward strategic problem.
The Edge of Armageddon Jimmy Akun's Mysterious World
slide at time: 1:02:50
https://youtu.be/WjBldtraR4Y?t=2031
|
By Sheldon Stern
In fact, President Kennedy's inclination to pursue the Turkish option actually hardened in response to the dogged intractability of hid advisers. The ExComm toughened JFK's determination by all but unanimously opposing his preferred course of action - a deal on the Turkish missiles
The celebrated diplomatic sleight of hand, little more than a cosmetic concession to the ExComm, ultimately served to conceal the rel greement that sevretly and peasefully resolved to Cuban missile crisis. The Tapes prove conclusively that [Defense Secretary Robert] McNamara was not JFK's principal ally in "trying to keep us out of war."
Indeed, Kennedy had no consistent ally and stood virtually alone against his ExComm advisers. The president later confided to John Kenneth Galbraith, "You will never know how much bad advice I had."
Now thanks to the ExComm recordings, we all know. |
Source: Sheldon M. Stern, The Cuban Missile Crisis in American Memory: Myths Versus Reality, Stanford University Press, 2012
Aftermath
Cuban leadership
A few weeks after the crisis, during an interview with the British communist newspaper the Daily Worker, Guevara was still fuming over the perceived Soviet betrayal and told correspondent Sam Russell that, if the missiles had been under Cuban control, they would have fired them off.[171] While expounding on the incident later, Guevara reiterated that the cause of socialist liberation against global "imperialist aggression" would ultimately have been worth the possibility of "millions of atomic war victims".[172] The missile crisis further convinced Guevara that the world's two superpowers (the United States and the Soviet Union) used Cuba as a pawn in their own global strategies. Afterward, he denounced the Soviets almost as frequently as he denounced the Americans.[173]
Khrushchev's (Chruschtschows) peace offer after end of Cuban missile crisis, Oct. 30, 1962
Soviet leadership[edit]
The enormity of how close the world came to thermonuclear war impelled Khrushchev to propose a far-reaching easing of tensions with the US.[174] In a letter to President Kennedy dated October 30, 1962, Khrushchev outlined a range of bold initiatives to forestall the possibility of a further nuclear crisis, including proposing a non-aggression treaty between the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Warsaw Pact or even disbanding these military blocs, a treaty to cease all nuclear weapons testing and even the elimination of all nuclear weapons, resolution of the hot-button issue of Germany by both East and West formally accepting the existence of West Germany and East Germany, and US recognition of the government of mainland China. The letter invited counter-proposals and further exploration of these and other issues through peaceful negotiations. Khrushchev invited Norman Cousins, the editor of a major US periodical and an anti-nuclear weapons activist, to serve as liaison with President Kennedy, and Cousins met with Khrushchev for four hours in December 1962.[175]
Kennedy's response to Khrushchev's proposals was lukewarm but Kennedy expressed to Cousins that he felt constrained in exploring these issues due to pressure from hardliners in the US national security apparatus. The US and the USSR did shortly thereafter agree on a treaty banning atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons, known as the "Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty".[176]
Further after the crisis, the US and the Soviet Union created the MoscowÐWashington hotline, a direct communications link between Moscow and Washington. The purpose was to have a way that the leaders of the two Cold War countries could communicate directly to solve such a crisis.
The compromise embarrassed Khrushchev and the Soviet Union because the withdrawal of US missiles from Italy and Turkey was a secret deal between Kennedy and Khrushchev. Khrushchev went to Kennedy as he thought that the crisis was getting out of hand, but the Soviets were seen as retreating from circumstances that they had started.
Khrushchev's fall from power two years later was in part because of the Soviet Politburo's embarrassment at both Khrushchev's eventual concessions to the US and this ineptitude in precipitating the crisis in the first place. According to Dobrynin, the top Soviet leadership took the Cuban outcome as "a blow to its prestige bordering on humiliation".[177]
US leadership[edit]
The worldwide US Forces DEFCON 3 status was returned to DEFCON 4 on November 20, 1962. General Curtis LeMay told the President that the resolution of the crisis was the "greatest defeat in our history"; his was a minority position.[76] He had pressed for an immediate invasion of Cuba as soon as the crisis began and still favored invading Cuba even after the Soviets had withdrawn their missiles.[178] Twenty-five years later, LeMay still believed that "We could have gotten not only the missiles out of Cuba, we could have gotten the Communists out of Cuba at that time."[109]
By 1962 President Kennedy faced four crisis situations: the failure of the Bay of Pigs Invasion that he had approved of,[179] settlement negotiations between the pro-Western government of Laos and the Pathet Lao communist movement ("Kennedy sidestepped Laos, whose rugged terrain was no battleground for American soldiers."[180]: 265 ), the construction of the Berlin Wall, and the Cuban Missile Crisis. Kennedy believed that yet another failure to gain control and stop communist expansion would irreparably damage U.S. credibility. He was determined to "draw a line in the sand" and prevent a communist victory in Vietnam. He told James Reston of The New York Times immediately after his Vienna summit meeting with Khrushchev, "Now we have a problem making our power credible and Vietnam looks like the place."[181][182]
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kubakrise#Folgen_der_Krise
hier im deutschen Wikipedia fehlen Chruschtschows FriedensvorschŠge vom 30.10.1962
Kennedy erklŠrte unmittelbar nach der Kubakrise, dass die Gefahr nicht darin gesehen wurde, dass die Sowjetunion von Kuba aus Raketen auf die USA schie§en kšnnte, sondern dass dem Anschein nach die balance of power zugunsten der Sowjetunion aus dem Gleichgewicht geraten wŠre.[19]
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs on how we can make peace with Russia by learning from JFK's example
June 12, 2023
RŸckblick auf die 1960er Jahre, Angebot der UdSSR an den Westen: Wie im Fall von …sterreich wird sich die UdSSR aus Deutschland zurŸckziehen, wenn Deutschland neutral wird. Statt dessen wurde Westdeutschland militarisiert und Mitglied der NATO.
Zeit 11:13: CIA-veranlasster U2-Zwischenfall verhindert US-UdSSR Gipfel unter Eisenhower. Eisenhower lied to Khrushchev about the U2 ("weather plane")
Zeit 13:13: We say, any country can choose any allies. That is not how Eisenhower regarded Castro's approach to the Soviet Union. Eisenhower gave the order to the CIA to overthrow Castro: Bay of Pigs Invasion (early 1961).
Zeit 14:40: Kennedy lied to Khrushchev about the Bay of Pigs Invasion (•t has nothing to do with the US). So the US lied twice on matters of fundamental significance to the USSR in a very short period of time.
Zeit 15:33: very tense Kennedy - Khrushchev summit in early 1961, Berlin wall, Oct. 1961 offensive nuclear weapons put into Cuba: showing the US a taste of its own medicine" (missiles in Turkey, a nuclear Germany).
Zeit 16:59: almost any advisor to Kennedy said to attack Cuba ("only military solution could work"). Among the very, very few advisors calling for a peaceful solution was Adlai Stevenson. Martin Sherwin "Gambling with Armageddon", 2021
Cuban Missile Crisis: HŠtte Wassili Archipow das Nuklear-Torpedo als Reaktion auf den US-Angriff auf sein U-Boot abgefeuert, hŠtten die USA einen "unlimited nuclear war" gegen die UdSSR und seine VerbŸndeten entfacht.
Kennedy's speech on June 10, 1963 is part of his peace campaign. It is directed to the Americans: We need to make peace.
Zeitgeschehen im Fokus
Ausgabe-Nr. 4/5, 15. MŠrz 2022
(im Cache)
ãLaufende AktivitŠten der Ressorts und Behšrden gegen Desinformation im Zusammenhang mit RUS Krieg gegen UKRÒ
27.6.2022
Dokumenten-Leak: Wie die Bundesregierung an einer ãNarrativ-GleichschaltungÒ zum Ukraine-Krieg arbeitet Ð
29. September 2022
... Ausma§ der horizontalen und vertikalen Strukturen der ... bundesdeutschen Staatspropaganda, insbesondere was die behšrdliche Einbindung von Medien (z.B. Spiegel und Stern), westlichen Social-Media-Konzernen, Bildungseinrichtungen und den sogenannten ãFaktencheckernÒ angeht.
AktivitŠten der Bundesministerien und untergeordneten Behšrden konzertierter Versuch einer Narrativ-Gleichschaltung, nur die Spitze des Eisbergs. Die deutsche …ffentlichkeit habe keine Vorstellung davon, was sonst noch im Hintergrund dazu ablaufe
Rolle des BMI (Innenministeriums),
Rolle von AuswŠrtigem Amt, Bundespresseamt, Bundskriminalamt
AuswŠrtiges Amt vernetzt sich in Fragen der Desinformation intensiv und bilateral vor allem mit Vertretern der USA
Bundespresseamt
Vize-Regierungssprecher
Beauftragte der Bundesregierung fŸr Kultur und Medien (Claudia Roth)
Deutscher Bundestag Drucksache 20/5092
20. Wahlperiode
Kleine Anfrage
der Abgeordneten Sevim Dağdelen, Andrej Hunko, Żaklin Nastić und der Fraktion DIE LINKE.
27.12.2022
Die ãstrategische KommunikationÒ der Bundesregierung und der Umgang mit ãDesinformationÒ im Ukraine-Krieg
Seit Anfang des Jahres 2022 hat die Bundesregierung ihren Einsatz gegen ãDesinformationÒ ausgeweitet. Der ressortspezifische Fokus des AuswŠrtigen Amts (AA) liegt dabei auf ãDesinformation als gezieltes Mittel fremder StaatenÒ. Ein erhšhtes Aufkommen von Desinformation beobachtet die Bundesregierung unter anderem im Zusammenhang mit dem russischen Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine (www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/themen/umgang-mit-desi nformation/gefaehrliche-falschnachrichten-1905340). Um ãDesinformationÒ zu begegnen, wurde bereits im Jahr 2016 im AA ein neuer Bereich ãStrategische KommunikationÒ geschaffen. Die ãstrategische KommunikationÒ sei ãweder Propaganda noch WerbesendungÒ. Vielmehr verfolge die Bundesregierung damit das Ziel, ãim digitalen Raum mit den eigenen au§enpolitischen Werten und Interessen sichtbar zu bleibenÒ und ãdort noch stŠrker mit der eigenen Position durchzudringenÒ (www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/aussenpolitik/themen/-/208 9138).
Die Plattform NachDenkSeiten veršffentlichte Ende September 2022 ein geleaktes internes Dokument der Bundesregierung mit dem Titel ãLaufende AktivitŠten der Ressorts und Behšrden gegen Desinformation im Zusammenhang mit RUS Krieg gegen UKRÒ (Stand: 27. Juni 2022; https://www.nachdenkseiten.de/?p=88618), dessen AuthentizitŠt die Bundesregierung bestŠtigt hat (Antwort der Bundesregierung auf die Schriftliche Frage 86 auf Bundestagsdrucksache 20/3987). Das Dokument gibt einen detaillierten Einblick in die umfassenden bis dato erfolgten und geplanten AktivitŠten der Bundesregierung im Bereich der ãstrategischen KommunikationÒ und ãDesinformationÒ im Kontext des Ukraine-Kriegs.
Ob und inwieweit die Bundesregierung Ma§nahmen ergreift, um ãDesinformationÒ weiterer Akteure im Ukraine-Krieg zu begegnen, zum Beispiel im Fall
Wir fragen die Bundesregierung:
Move Over, Jayson Blair: Meet Hamilton 68, the New King of Media Fraud
Matt Taibbi, Jan 27, 2023 (in cache)
The Twitter Files reveal that one of the most common news sources of the Trump era was a scam, making ordinary American political conversations look like Russian spywork
Ambitious media frauds Stephen Glass and Jayson Blair crippled the reputations of the New Republic and New York Times, respectively, by slipping years of invented news stories into their pages. Thanks to the Twitter Files, we can welcome a new member to their infamous club: Hamilton 68.
If one goes by volume alone,
may go down as the single greatest case of media fabulism in American history.
Virtually every major news organization in America is implicated, including
Mother Jones alone did at least 14 stories pegged to the groupÕs Òresearch.Ó
Even fact-checking sites like Politifact and Snopes cited Hamilton 68 as a source.
Hamilton 68 was and is a computerized ÒdashboardÓ designed to be used by reporters and academics to measure ÒRussian disinformation.Ó
The Twitter Files expose Hamilton 68 as a sham:
The secret ingredient in Hamilton 68Õs analytic method was a list of 644 accounts supposedly linked Òto Russian influence activities online.Ó It was hidden from the public, but Twitter was in a unique position to recreate HamiltonÕs sample by analyzing its Application Program Interface (API) requests, which is how they first Òreverse-engineeredÓ HamiltonÕs list in late 2017.
Berlin, den 8. Dezember 2022
Amira Mohamed Ali, Dr. Dietmar Bartsch und Fraktion
Die Bundesregierung entsorgt die deutsche Geschichte, um mehr Krieg fŸhren zu kšnnen
ãRussen rausÒ als Staatsdoktrin
Categories
Hintergrund | UZ vom 13. Januar 2023
... Weit wirkungsmŠchtiger aber ist der Versuch, die deutsche Geschichte zu entsorgen, indem sie antirussisch uminterpretiert wird. Wie zufŠllig entsteht dadurch dann die Legitimation fŸr die Hetze gegen Russland. Dabei kommt der Angriff nicht, wie man erwarten kšnnte, von der Rechten. Gegen die Relativierer und †bertrŠger von heute war der Historiker Ernst Nolte, der behauptete, die Vernichtungsmaschinerie des deutschen Faschismus sei nur eine Reaktion auf die Straflager Sowjetunion gewesen, ein Waisenknabe. JŸrgen Trittin (Die GrŸnen) etwa behauptet, die russische KriegsfŸhrung ãŠhnelt in vielen Orten dem Vernichtungskrieg von SS und Wehrmacht gegen die SowjetunionÒ. Sein Parteikollege Ralf FŸcks, GrŸnder des ãZentrum Liberale ModerneÒ Ð besser Zentrum fŸr Neuen Deutschen Militarismus Ð setzt noch eins drauf und twittert: ãRusslands Vernichtungskrieg gegen die Ukraine wirft die âResponsibility to ProtectÔ auf: die všlkerrechtliche Verpflichtung, einen drohenden Genozid zu verhindern.Ò Sprich: im Namen der Menschenrechte mŸsse Krieg gegen Russland gefŸhrt werden. Der CDU-Au§enpolitiker Roderich Kiesewetter tšnt: ãDas ist ein Vernichtungskrieg, wie Hitlerdeutschland ihn von 1941 bis 1944 auf sowjetischem und insbesondere auf ukrainischem Boden gefŸhrt hat.Ò Russland mŸsse ãverlieren lernen wie Deutschland 1945Ò.
Man kann es auf die einfache Formel bringen: Putin soll der neue Hitler sein. Damit werden der Faschismus und die Verbrechen des Dritten Reiches relativiert, die bislang schrankenloser AufrŸstung und Kriegsbeteiligung im Weg stehen. Zugleich wird die eigene genozidale Vergangenheit in eine russische Gegenwart transferiert und dabei historische Entlastung mit antirussischer Kriegspropaganda verbunden, die bewusst darauf setzt, auf gesicherte Fakten verzichten zu kšnnen.
Geschichtsklitterung im Bundestag
Anfang Dezember 2022 Ÿbte sich der Deutsche Bundestag dann selbst in der Rolle des Geschichtsklitterers: Auf Antrag von GrŸnen, SPD, FDP und CDU/CSU stufte das Parlament die Hungerkatastrophe in der Ukraine der 1930er Jahre als Všlkermord ein. Diese Beurteilung teilen die meisten Historiker nicht, auch die deutsch-ukrainische Historikerkommission lehnte sie zuletzt im Herbst 2019 klar ab. Der instrumentelle Charakter der Resolution ist unverkennbar: Vorne wird Ÿber Stalin geklagt, hinten Ÿber Putin Ð allesamt Všlkermšrder eben. Der industrielle Massenmord an den europŠischen Juden wird im Antragstext zum Teil einer ãListe menschenverachtender Verbrechen totalitŠrer SystemeÒ und damit auf eine Weise relativiert, die in den vergangenen Jahrzehnten auf einer solchen staatlichen Ebene kaum denkbar war.
Wenn es gegen Russland geht, gibt es kaum noch Haltelinien. Es scheint um eine fast verzweifelte Suche zu gehen, um mit dem Všlkermordvorwurf eine plausible BegrŸndung fŸr einen Kriegseintritt zu finden, der mit der Lieferung von Haubitzen, gepanzerten Fahrzeugen und der in Aussicht stehenden Bereitstellung von schweren Kampfpanzern an die Ukraine immer nŠher rŸckt.
Mit der €nderung des Strafrechtsparagraphen 130 wurde auch die Justiz fŸr eine Praxis der Relativierung eingeschworen. WŠhrend auf der einen Seite der Vergleich der Covid-Ma§nahmen mit dem Nationalsozialismus als Relativierung des Všlkermords strafbewehrt ist, gilt dies selbstverstŠndlich nicht fŸr die zahlreichen Vergleiche und Gleichsetzungen mit Russland. Mehr noch droht allen, die dieses neue Geschichtsbild, das ZŸge einer antirussischen Staatsdoktrin trŠgt, die strafrechtliche Verfolgung wegen der šffentlichen Verharmlosung von Kriegsverbrechen und Všlkermord.
Dazu passt, dass die Bundesregierung sich im vergangenen Jahr nicht wie sonst bei der von Russland eingebrachten UN-Resolution fŸr die BekŠmpfung und Verherrlichung des Nationalsozialismus, des Neonazismus und des Rassismus enthielt, sondern zum ersten Mal mit Nein votierte. Die Resolution, in der die Verherrlichung des deutschen Faschismus, das Schleifen sowjetischer DenkmŠler wie die Besorgnis Ÿber rassistische Angriffe neonazistischer Gruppen thematisiert wird, wurde mit gro§er Mehrheit in der UN-Generalversammlung angenommen.
KRIMINALISIERTER ANTIMILITARISMUS
Maulkorburteil fŸr Kriegsgegner
Friedensaktivist soll wegen Gedenkrede am Sowjetischen Ehrenmal hohe Geldstrafe zahlen
Von RŸdiger Gšbel, Junge Welt, Ausgabe vom 24.01.2023, Seite 3
... WŠhrend Protestaktionen vor dem Kanzleramt fŸr die Lieferung von ÈLeopardÇ-Kampfpanzern in die Ukraine beste Sendezeit bekommen, werden Kriegsgegner kriminalisiert. In den vergangenen Tagen hat die Justiz im rot-grŸn-rot regierten Berlin den Friedensaktivisten Heiner BŸcker, Betreiber des ÈCoop Anti- War CafŽsÇ, zur Zahlung einer Geldstrafe in Hšhe von 2.000 Euro verurteilt, ersatzweise 40 Tage Haft, plus †bernahme der Verfahrenskosten. Der Vorwurf lautet auf ÈBelohnung und Billigung von StraftatenÇ nach Paragraph 140 Strafgesetzbuch. Die BegrŸndung mit Verweis auf das Èpsychische Klima in der BevšlkerungÇ ist hanebŸchen ...
... Angesichts [des] historischen Kontextes erklŠrte BŸcker schlie§lich sein vollkommenes UnverstŠndnis darŸber, dass die Bundesregierung den Krieg mit Waffenlieferungen an die Ukraine und Sanktionen gegen Russland weiter eskaliert.
BŸcker sagte zum Ende seiner Rede:
Mir ist unbegreiflich, dass die deutsche Politik wieder dieselben russophoben Ideologien unterstŸtzt, auf deren Basis das Deutsche Reich 1941 willige Helfer vorfand, mit denen man eng kooperierte und gemeinsam mordete. Alle anstŠndigen Deutschen sollten vor dem Hintergrund der deutschen Geschichte, der Geschichte von Millionen ermordeter Juden und Abermillionen ermordeter sowjetischer BŸger im Zweiten Weltkrieg jegliche Zusammenarbeit mit diesen KrŠften in der Ukraine zurŸckweisen. Und auch die von diesen KrŠften ausgehende Kriegsrethorik mŸssen wir vehement zurŸckweisen.
Nie wieder dŸrfen wir als Deutsche an einem Krieg gegen Russland in irgendeiner Form beteiligt sein. Wir mŸssen uns zusammenschlie§en und uns diesem Irrsinn gemeinsam entgegenstellen. Wir mŸssen offen und ehrlich versuchen, die russischen GrŸnde fŸr die militŠrische Sonderoperation in der Ukraine zu verstehen und warum die Ÿberwiegende Mehrheit der Menschen in Russland die Regierung und ihren PrŠsidenten Wladimir Putin darin unterstŸtzen. Ich persšnlich will und kann die Sichtweise in Russland und die des russischen PrŠsidenten sehr gut nachvollziehen. Ich hege kein Misstrauen gegen Russland, denn der Verzicht auf Rache gegen Deutsche und Deutschland bestimmte seit 1945 die sowjetische und danach die russische Politik. Auch die Menschen in Russland hegten zumindest bis vor kurzem keinen Groll gegen uns, obwohl fast jede Familie Kriegstote zu beklagen hat. Bis vor kurzem konnten die Menschen in Russland zwischen Faschisten und der deutschen Bevšlkerung differenzieren. Aber was geschieht jetzt? Alle mŸhsam aufgebauten freundschaftlichen Beziehungen drohen jetzt abzurei§en, ja sie werden potentiell zerstšrt.Ê
Die Russen wollen ungestšrt in ihrem Land und zusammen mit anderen Všlkern leben, ohne stŠndig von westlichen Staaten bedroht zu sein. Weder durch den unablŠssigen militŠrischen Aufmarsch der NATO vor den Grenzen Russlands, noch indirekt durch den hinterhŠltigen Aufbau eines anti-Russlands in der Ukraine unter Ausnutzung historischer nationalistischer IrrtŸmer.Ê
Es geht also zum einen um die schmerzliche und beschŠmende Erinnerung an den ungeheuerlichen wie grausamen Vernichtungskrieg, den das faschistische Deutschland der gesamten Sowjetunion, der ukrainischen und der belarussischen Republik angetan hat.
Zum anderen geht es um das Gedenken der Befreiung Europas und auch Deutschlands vom Faschismus, die wir den Všlkern der UdSSR verdanken, einschlie§lich der daraus erwachsenen Verpflichtung fŸr eine gedeihliche und friedliche Nachbarschaft mit Russland in Europa einzustehen. Damit verbinde ich, Russland-Verstehen politisch wirksam zu machen.
Ein letztes Wort noch zu Wladimir Putin:Ê
Wladimir Putins Familie Ÿberlebte die Blockade Leningrads, die ab September 1941 Ÿber 900 Tage andauerte und fast eine Millionen Tote der Bevšlkerung in Leningrad kostete. Die meisten Menschen verhungerten. Dei totgeglaubte Mutter Putins wurde bereits abtransportiert, als der verletzt nach Hause zurŸckkehrende Vater bemerkt haben soll, dass seine Frau noch atmete. Er rettete sie dann vor dem Abtransport in ein Massengrab.Ê
Dies alles mŸssen wir verstehen und bedenken und uns unter gro§er Ehrerbietung vor dem gro§en sowjetischen Volk verneigen.
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Unsere Emails vom 5.2.2023 an Freunde und Verwandte
AnlŠsslich des 22. Juni 1941 organisierte die Friedenskoordination (Friko) Berlin am 22. Juni 2022 die Gedenkveranstaltung ãWir vergessen nicht!Ò am sowjetischen Ehrenmal im Treptower Park.
Auf Grund dieser seiner Rede ist vom Amtsgericht Berlin Tiergarten ein Strafbefehl gegen ihn ergangen, nachdem ein Berliner Rechtsanwalt ihn beschuldigt hatte, eine Straftat begangen zu haben.
Aus der BegrŸndung im Strafbefehl vom 3. Januar 2023: "Damit stimmten Sie dem všlkerrechtswidrigen †berfalls Russland (sic!) auf die Ukraine, um dessen Rechtswidrigkeit Sie wussten, zu.
Wir haben ihm in einer Email mit folgendem Text fŸr seine Rede am 22. Juni 2022 gedankt:
Lieber Heiner BŸcker,
Wir wŸnschen Ihnen Zuversicht, Erfolg und Freude bei Ihrer fŸr uns alle segensreichen Arbeit und freuen uns auf unseren nŠchsten Besuch im COOP-Cafe.
Ihre Marianne Steenken, Dr. Joachim Gruber
|
Friedenskoordination Berlin
Laura v. Wimmersperg, Hauptstr. 37, 10827 Berlin
¥ info@frikoberlin.de
¥ www.frikoberlin.de
¥ +4930-782 33 82 Jutta Kausch +49162-196 69 45/ +4930-251 12 9
Spendenkonto: Elisabeth Wissel, IBAN: DE70 6001 0070 0936 1837 08
Nein zur BeschrŠnkung der Meinungsfreiheit!
Kein Strafverfahren gegen Heinrich BŸcker!
Gegen den Friedensaktivisten Heinrich BŸcker wurde von der Staatsanwaltschaft beim Amtsgericht der Erlass eines Strafbefehls wegen ãBelohnung und Billigung von StraftatenÒ nach ¤ 140 Strafgesetzbuch beantragt. Der Antragsteller der Strafanzeige (ein Rechtsanwalt!) sieht den šffentlichen Frieden gestšrt durch eine Rede, die Heiner BŸcker bei einer Kundgebung der Friedenskoordination Berlin am 22. Juni 2022 anlŠsslich des Jahrestages des †berfalls auf die Sowjetunion gehalten hat, sowie durch eine Stellungnahme zum Russland-Ukraine-Konflikt auf seiner Webseite.*
Wodurch ist der šffentliche Friede gestšrt? BŸcker zeigt u.a. die historische Entwicklung zum heutigen Konflikt auf, deren Wurzeln schon im Vernichtungskrieg des faschistischen Deutschlands gegen die UdSSR und in der Kollaboration ukrainischer Faschisten mit den deutschen Besatzern liegen. Er bringt also das zur Sprache, was Politik und Medien verschweigen.
Zudem erklŠrt er sein UnverstŠndnis darŸber, dass die deutsche Regie-ung, trotz der Rolle von faschistischer Ideologie und Russophobie in der aktuellen ukrainischen Politik, den gegenwŠrtigen Konflikt mit Waffenlieferungen an die Ukraine und Sanktionen gegen Russland anheizt.
Das stšrt den šffentlichen Frieden?
-----------------------
*Beides hier dokumentiert: https://cooptv.wordpress.com/2022/12/27/stellungnahmen-zu-den- ermittlungen-wegen-gedenkrede-zum-uberfall-auf-udssr-gegen-heinrich-bucker-betreiber-des- coop-anti-war-cafe-berlin/
-----------------------
DafŸr soll er nun bestraft werden?
Seiner Forderung: ãNie wieder dŸrfen wir als Deutsche an einem Krieg gegen Russland in irgendeiner Form beteiligt sein. Wir mŸssen uns zu- sammenschlie§en und uns diesem Irrsinn gemeinsam entgegenstellenÒ stimmen wir uneingeschrŠnkt zu.
Es ist sicherlich kein Zufall, dass ein solches Verfahren sowie die Ver- schŠrfung des ¤130 mit dem Absatz 5 in einer Zeit stattfindet, in der die militŠrische Auseinandersetzung als alternativlos propagiert wird und die deutsche Bevšlkerung darauf eingeschworen werden soll.
Wir protestieren gegen dieses geplante Strafverfahren:
Weil es dazu dient, die politische Debatte immer weiter einzuengen und per Strafgesetz eine Kritik an der herrschenden Politik und den Medien unmšglich zu machen.
Weil es ein massiver Angriff auf die Meinungsfreiheit ist. Weil es verunsichern soll.
Weil es fŸr die Friedensbewegung in letzter Konsequenz bedeutet, dass sie mundtot gemacht werden kann, wenn sie sich weiterhin gegen den Kriegskurs der deutschen Politik und fŸr eine Deeskalation und fŸr Verhandlungen ausspricht.
ErklŠrung von Heinrich BŸcker zum Ermittlungsverfahren, das gegen mich eingeleitet wurde.
... In Deutschland erleben wir derzeit eine Verengung des Debattenraums und massive EinschrŠnkungen der Meinungsfreiheit Ð bedingt durch einseitige Berichterstattung der bŸrgerlichen Medien. Insbesondere auch durch gesetzliche Vorgaben, wie den neu hinzugekommenen Absatz 5 des ¤ 130 StGB (Volksverhetzung), mit dem nicht staatskonforme Auffassungen beispielsweise zum Krieg in der Ukraine kriminalisiert und strafrechtlich verfolgt und mit der Holocaustleugnung rechtlich auf eine Stufe gestellt werden kšnnen Ð ebenso wie der bereits bestehende ¤ 140 (ãBelohnung und Billigung von StraftatenÒ).
ZunŠchst zur Rede, um die es in diesem konkreten Fall und den Anschuldigungen gegen mich geht: Wir vergessen nicht! Sowjetisches Ehrenmal Berlin. Zum 22. Juni 1941
Die Rede bezieht sich direkt auf das Unternehmen Barbarossa, also auf den am 22. Juni 1941 begonnenen Raub- und Vernichtungskriegs des faschistischen Deutschlands gegen die UdSSR, in dem ungefŠhr 27 Millionen BŸrger der Sowjetunion ihr Leben verloren.
In diesem Krieg zerstšrten die Nazis entweder ganz oder teilweise (Zahlen aus dem Buch ãVŠter der VernichtungÒ von Professor Brian Easlea, London):
Freispruch fŸr Heinrich BŸcker!
Strafbefehl gegen Friedensaktivisten aufgehoben. Meinungsfreiheit muss weiter verteidigt werden
Vincent Cziesla, Blog, Neues aus den Bewegungen 27. April 2023
Unsere Zeit, 27.4.2023
... [Es] wurde [vom Gericht] noch einmal betont, dass die von BŸcker getŠtigten Aussagen falsch seien und Russland einen ãvšlkerrechtswidrigen AngriffskriegÒ fŸhre.
ErklŠrung, die Heinrich BŸcker fŸr das Gericht vorbereitet hatte (im Cache).
Von Nick Brauns, junge Welt, 28.4.2023
Freispruch fŸr Friedensaktivisten nach Rede zum Ukraine-Krieg. Verteidiger sieht ÈPyrrhussiegÇ wegen UrteilsbegrŸndung
... Er lehne Kriege grundsŠtzlich ab, bekannte der Friedensaktivist vor Gericht, ihm gehe es aber darum, den Kontext des Krieges in der Ukraine deutlich zu machen. Als BŸcker Ÿber den ÈMaidanputschÇ von 2014 sprach, ermahnte ihn die Richterin, er Èbegebe sich auf dŸnnes EisÇ und begehe unter UmstŠnden neue Straftaten.
Der Angeklagte habe zwar €u§erungen getŠtigt, Èwo einem der Atem stocktÇ, zeigte sich die Juristin [d.h. die Richterin] Ÿberzeugt, dass BŸcker Kriegsverbrechen verharmlost habe. Doch sei dies auf einer Kundgebung geschehen, wo nur BŸckers ÈFansÇ, aber Èkein einziger UkrainerÇ anwesend gewesen seien. Die Rede sei daher nicht geeignet gewesen, den durch Paragraph 140 geschŸtzten šffentlichen Frieden zu stšren, begrŸndete sie den Freispruch Èaus rechtlichen GrŸndenÇ. Von einem ÈPyrrhussiegÇ, der allein auf der Unbedeutendheit des Ortes der Rede fu§e, sprach Anwalt Tobias Krenzel gegenŸber dieser Zeitung.
Verbot der Vorbereitung eines Angriffskrieges. Die Strafbestimmung des ¤ 80 StGB wurde gestrichen.
von Wolfgang Bittner, Westend-Verlag, ohne Datum
Nach Artikel 26 Absatz 1 Grundgesetz ist schon die Vorbereitung eines Angriffskrieges verfassungswidrig. Die entsprechende Strafbestimmung, der Paragraf 80 des Strafgesetzbuches, wurde gestrichen. Der neu eingefŸgte ¤ 80a StGB stellt keinen Ersatz dar.
Artikel 80, StGB
ãWer einen Angriffskrieg (Artikel 26 Abs. 1 des Grundgesetzes), an dem die Bundesrepublik Deutschland beteiligt sein soll, vorbereitet und dadurch die Gefahr eines Krieges fŸr die Bundesrepublik Deutschland herbeifŸhrt, wird mit lebenslanger Freiheitsstrafe oder mit Freiheitsstrafe nicht unter zehn Jahren bestraft.Ò
Artikel 26, Absatz 1 GG
ãHandlungen, die geeignet sind und in der Absicht vorgenommen werden, das friedliche Zusammenleben der Všlker zu stšren, insbesondere die FŸhrung eines Angriffskrieges vorzubereiten, sind verfassungswidrig. Sie sind unter Strafe zu stellen.Ò
Artkel 80a StGB
ãWer im rŠumlichen Geltungsbereich dieses Gesetzes šffentlich, in einer Versammlung oder durch Verbreiten von Schriften (¤ 11 Abs. 3) zum Verbrechen der Aggression (¤ 13 des Všlkerstrafgesetzbuches) aufstachelt, wird mit Freiheitsstrafe von drei Monaten bis zu fŸnf Jahren bestraft.Ò
Artikel 13 Všlkerstrafgesetzbuch
(1) Wer einen Angriffskrieg fŸhrt oder eine sonstige Angriffshandlung begeht, die ihrer Art, ihrer Schwere und ihrem Umfang nach eine offenkundige Verletzung der Charta der Vereinten Nationen darstellt, wird mit lebenslanger Freiheitsstrafe bestraft.
(2) Wer einen Angriffskrieg oder eine sonstige Angriffshandlung im Sinne des Absatzes 1 plant, vorbereitet oder einleitet, wird mit lebenslanger Freiheitsstrafe oder mit Freiheitsstrafe nicht unter zehn Jahren bestraft. Die Tat nach Satz 1 ist nur dann strafbar, wenn
der Angriffskrieg gefŸhrt oder die sonstige Angriffshandlung begangen worden ist oder
durch sie die Gefahr eines Angriffskrieges oder einer sonstigen Angriffshandlung fŸr die Bundesrepublik Deutschland herbeigefŸhrt wird.
(3) Eine Angriffshandlung ist die gegen die SouverŠnitŠt, die territoriale Unversehrtheit oder die politische UnabhŠngigkeit eines Staates gerichtete oder sonst mit der Charta der Vereinten Nationen unvereinbare Anwendung von Waffengewalt durch einen Staat.Ò
MŸtter gegen den Krieg Ð Berlin-Brandenburg, 20.1.2023 Berlin/Potsdam:
... D]ie derzeitige Ampelregierung [will] zu den bereits geschickten ãVerteidigungswaffenÒ gegen die militŠrische Sonderoperation Russlands in der Ukraine seit dem 24.2.2022, die gedeckt ist durch Artikel 51 der UNO-Charta, dem Selbstverteidigungsrecht von Staaten, der Ukraine Kampfpanzer des Typs Leopard 2 zur VerfŸgung stellen.
Die Londoner Zeitung ãIndependentÒ vom 14.1.2023 bezeichnet diese als ãWaffen, die Ÿblicherweise von einer angreifenden Streitmacht eingesetzt werdenÒ (https://www.fr.de/politik/ukraine-krieg-kampfpanzer-leopard-2-lieferung-deutschland-nato-staaten-olaf-scholz-news-ticker-zr-92025106.html).
Damit wird Deutschland endgŸltig zur Kriegspartei und Russland hŠtte damit allen Grund, nach Kapitel XVII der Charta der Vereinten Nationen Artikel 106 und 107 gegenŸber Deutschland aufzutreten (https://unric.org/de/charta)....
J.G.:
Die Argumente der "MŸtter gegen den Krieg" erscheinen mir nicht ausreichend prŠzise. Hans-Georg Maa§en hat sich Šhnlich geŠu§ert.
Ampel weitet Volksverhetzungsparagrafen aus
…ffentliche Verharmlosung von Kriegsverbrechen kŸnftig strafbar
von Hasso Suliak, 21.10.2022
Wer Všlkermord oder Kriegsverbrechen šffentlich "gršblich" verharmlost, dem drohen kŸnftig bis zu drei Jahre Haft wegen Volksverhetzung. Eine entsprechende Ausweitung von ¤ 130 StGB beschloss die Ampel am Donnerstagabend im Bundestag.
... Ein neuer Absatz ¤ 130 Abs.5 StGB stellt kŸnftig das šffentliche Billigen, Leugnen und gršbliche Verharmlosen von Všlkermord, Verbrechen gegen die Menschlichkeit und Kriegsverbrechen unter Strafe, wenn die Tat in einer Weise begangen wird, die geeignet ist, zu Hass oder Gewalt aufzustacheln und den šffentlichen Frieden zu stšren.
Darunter kšnnen kŸnftig auch €u§erungen fallen, die wŠhrend einer Versammlung, etwa im Rahmen einer Demonstration, getŠtigt werden. Nach EinschŠtzung von Rechtspolitkern ist es damit nicht ausgeschlossen, dass zum Beispiel auf Pro-Putin-Versammlungen, wenn gegen Menschen aus der Ukraine gehetzt wird, Straftaten auf Grundlage der neuen Vorschrift begangen werden.
... Der Linken-Pokitikerin [Rechtspolitikerin der Linken, Clara BŸnger] zufolge ist nach dem aktuellen Wortlaut der Regelungen schon bei einer Billigung des Angriffs Russlands auf die Ukraine - je nach genauen TatumstŠnden - eine Strafbarkeit nach der neuen Vorschrift gegeben.
..."Zwar handelt es sich nach meiner festen †berzeugung um einen všlkerrechtswidrigen Angriffskrieg und vieles von dem, was wir seit Beginn des Krieges in der Ukraine sehen, ist ein Všlkerrechtsverbrechen. Inwiefern aber ¤ 130 StGB fŸr das Billigen, Leugnen und gršbliche Verharmlosen dieser Taten strafrechtliche Wirkung entfalten kann, bleibt den Gerichten vorbehalten", so der Rechtsanwalt [der zustŠndige Berichterstatter der FDP-Bundestagsfraktion Thorsten Lieb] gegenŸber LTO.
Responding to a Limited Russian Attack on NATO During the Ukraine War
by Bryan Frederick, Samuel Charap, Karl P. Mueller
RAND Corporation Expert Insight Paper, December 2022
Fig. 1: Sequence of Potential Russian and U.S. or NATO Actions
|
Move 1 |
Move 2 |
Move 3 |
|
Russian attack on NATO target |
U.S. / NATO response to Russian attack |
Potential Russian reaction to U.S. / NATO response |
Fig. 2: Illustrative Russian Limited Attack Scenarios
|
Scenario A |
Scenario B |
Scenario C |
Scenario D |
|
¥ Russian cruise missile strikes against depot in eastern Poland
|
¥ Russia destroys U.S. intelligence satellite
|
¥ Russian missile attacks against three air bases in Poland and Romania involved in assistance to Ukraine
|
¥ Coordinated Russian strikes against six key air and sea ports, including Ramstein and Rotterdam
|
|
¥ No casualties, limited effects on NATO operations
|
¥ No casualties, limited near-term effects on U.S. ISR, but long-term risks incurred because of debris
|
¥ Roughly two dozen military and civilian casualties, some effects on assistance efforts
|
¥ Roughly 200 military and civilian casualties, but limited enduring effects on opera-tions
|
|
¥ Russia publicly ties the strikes to NATO assistance to Ukraine
|
¥ Russia states attack occurred in retaliation for U.S. ISR support to Ukrainian attacks on Russian forces
|
¥ Russia promises further such attacks if NATO assistance to Ukraine does not cease
|
¥ Russia says the attacks are in response to NATO support for Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory, and it reserves the right to use any means to defend itself
|
Key Considerations
Avoiding a Long War
U.S. Policy and the Trajectory of the Russian-Ukraine Conflict
by Samuel Charap, Miranda Priebe, RAND Corporation Expert Insight Paper, December 2022
Washington Needs an Endgame in Ukraine
By Samuel Charap
Foreign Affairs, July/August 2023
June 5, 2023
(in cache)
How America Took Out The Nord Stream Pipeline
by Seymour Hersh, 8 Febr. 2023
The New York Times called it a Òmystery,Ó but the United States executed a covert sea operation that was kept secretÑuntil now
... GazpromÕs profits were shared with the Russian government, and state gas and oil revenues were estimated in some years to amount to as much as 45 percent of RussiaÕs annual budget.
... That May [2021], in a stunning turnaround, the administration waived sanctions against Nord Stream AG, with a State Department official conceding that trying to stop the pipeline through sanctions and diplomacy had Òalways been a long shot.Ó
... As long as Europe remained dependent on the pipelines for cheap natural gas, Washington was afraid that countries like Germany would be reluctant to supply Ukraine with the money and weapons it needed to defeat Russia.
... the C4 explosives would be in place by the end of BALTOPS22, with a 48-hour timer attached. The days were counting down. ÒThe clock was ticking, and we were nearing mission accomplished,Ó the source said.
And then: Washington had second thoughts. The bombs would still be planted during BALTOPS, but the White House worried that a two-day window for their detonation would be too close to the end of the exercise, and it would be obvious that America had been involved.
Instead, the White House had a new request: ÒCan the guys in the field come up with some way to blow the pipelines later on command?Ó
... Asked at a press conference last September about the consequences of the worsening energy crisis in Western Europe, Blinken described the moment as a potentially good one:
ÒItÕs a tremendous opportunity to once and for all remove the dependence on Russian energy and thus to take away from Vladimir Putin the weaponization of energy as a means of advancing his imperial designs. ThatÕs very significant and that offers tremendous strategic opportunity for the years to come, but meanwhile weÕre determined to do everything we possibly can to make sure the consequences of all of this are not borne by citizens in our countries or, for that matter, around the world.Ó
More recently, Victoria Nuland expressed satisfaction at the demise of the newest of the pipelines. Testifying at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing in late January she told Senator Ted Cruz, Ò Like you, I am, and I think the Administration is, very gratified to know that Nord Stream 2 is now, as you like to say, a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea.Ó
... Asked why he [Blinken] thought the Russians failed to respond, he said cynically, ÒMaybe they want the capability to do the same things the U.S. did.
ÒIt was a beautiful cover story,Ó he went on. ÒBehind it was a covert operation that placed experts in the field and equipment that operated on a covert signal.
(Hier ist, was die TAZ dazu sagt)
Seymour Hersh zu Nord Stream: Olaf Scholz ist an Vertuschung beteiligt
Carola Tunk, 22.03.2023 | aktualisiert am 24.03.2023 - 09:07 Uhr (in cache)
Der US-Journalist argumentiert gegen kŸrzlich erschienene Berichte von Zeit und New York Times, die seine Thesen nicht unterstŸtzen. Er verweist erneut auf anonyme Geheimdienst-Quellen.
Der Investigativjournalist Seymour Hersh hat sich erneut zur Nord-Stream-Sabotage zu Wort gemeldet. Hersh erhebt schwere VorwŸrfe gegen die Geheimdienste, US-PrŠsident Joe Biden sowie Medien. Auf seiner Website veršffentlichte er einen Artikel, in dem er die jŸngsten Berichte aus der New York Times und der Zeit kommentierte.
... Hersh wirft zudem dem deutschen Kanzler vor, bei der ãUnterstŸtzung der VertuschungÒ der angeblichen Biden-Operation zu helfen, auch wenn er womšglich nicht im Vorfeld Ÿber die Zerstšrung der Pipeline informiert worden sei.
(ãAt this point, it must be noted that Chancellor Scholz,
... Eine weitere anonyme Quelle innerhalb der amerikanischen Geheimdienstgemeinschaft soll gegenŸber dem Pulitzer-PreistrŠger gesagt haben: ãEs war eine totale Erfindung des amerikanischen Geheimdienstes, die an die Deutschen weitergegeben wurde und darauf abzielte, Ihre Geschichte zu diskreditieren.Ò
more: THE COVER-UP
The Biden Administration continues to conceal its responsibility for the destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines
Seymour Hersh. Mar 22 (in cache)
WATCH: UN Security Council on Nord Stream Attack
Consortium News, February 21, 2023
Ray McGovern and Jeffery Sachs addressed the U.N. Security Council Tuesday on the Nord Stream pipelines sabotage in light of Sy HershÕs reporting.
The Security Council meeting was called by Russia after Seymour HershÕs report pointed to the U.S. and Norway as the culprits.
Raymond McGovern addresses the UN Security Council on Nord Stream Investigations
Watch on YouTube, Consortium News, Feb. 22, 2023
Jeffrey Sachs at UNSC on Nord Stream Sabotage
Watch on YouTube, Consortium News, Feb. 22, 2023
My name is Jeffrey Sachs. I am a university professor at Columbia University. IÕm a specialist in the global economy, including global trade, finance, infrastructure and economic statecraft. I have appeared before the U.N. Security Council on my own behalf. I represent no government or organization in the testimony that I will deliver. The destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines on September 26th, 2022, constitutes an act of international terrorism and represents a threat to the peace.
It is the responsibility of the U.N. Security Council to take up the question of who might have carried out the act in order to bring the perpetrator to international justice to pursue compensation for the damaged parties and to prevent future such actions. The consequences of the destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines are enormous. They include not only the vast economic losses related to the pipelines themselves and their future potential use, but also the heightened threat to transit boundary infrastructure of all kinds submarine Internet cables, international pipelines for gas and hydrogen transboundary power transmission, offshore wind farms and more.
The global transformation to green energy will require considerable transboundary infrastructure, including in international waters. Countries need to have full confidence that their infrastructure will not be destroyed by third parties. Some European countries have recently expressed concern over the safety of their offshore infrastructure. For all of these reasons, the investigation by the U.N. Security Council of the Nord Stream explosions is a high global priority.
The destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines required a very high degree of planning, expertise and technological capacity. The Nord Stream 2 pipelines are a marvel of engineering. Each section of pipe is of steel of 4.5 centimeter thickness, and with a pipeline internal diameter of 1.15 meters. The pipe is encased in concrete of 10.9 centimeter thickness. Weight of each section of concrete encased pipe is 24 metric tons.
The Nord Stream 2 pipelines, some 1200 kilometers in length, contained around 200,000 pipes. The pipelines sit on the sea floor. Destroying a pipeline of heavy rolled steel encased in concrete at depths of 70 to 90 meters requires a highly advanced technology for transportation of the explosives. Diving to install the explosives and detonation to do so undetected in the exclusive economic zones of Denmark and Sweden adds greatly to the complexity of the operation.
As a number of senior officials have publicly confirmed, an action of this sort must have been carried out by a state level actor. Only a handful of state level actors have both the technical capacity and access to the Baltic Sea to have carried out this action, including the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, Poland, Norway, Germany, Denmark and Sweden, either individually or in some combination.
Ukraine lacks the necessary technologies, as well as access to the Baltic Sea. A recent report by the Washington Post revealed that the intelligence agencies of the NATO countries have privately concluded that there is no evidence whatsoever that Russia carried out this action. This also comports with the fact that Russia had no obvious motive to carry out this act of terrorism on its own critical infrastructure.
Indeed, Russia is likely to bear considerable expenses to repair the pipelines. Three countries have reportedly carried out investigations of the Nord Stream terrorism. Denmark, Germany and Sweden. These countries presumably know much more about the circumstances of the terrorist attack. Sweden in particular, has perhaps the most to tell the world about the crime scene, which its divers investigated. Yet instead of sharing this information globally, Sweden has kept the results of its investigation secret from the rest of the world.
Sweden has refused to share its findings with Russia and turned down a joint investigation with Denmark and Germany in the interest of global peace. The U.N. Security Council should require these countries to immediately turn over the results of their investigations to the U.N. Security Council. There is only one detailed account to date of the Nord Stream destruction. The one recently put forward by investigative journalist Seymour Hersh, ostensibly based on information leaked to Hersh by an unnamed source. Hersh attributes the Nord Stream destruction to a decision ordered by U.S. President Joe Biden and carried out by U.S. agents in a covert operation that Hersh describes in detail.
The White House has described HershÕs account as, quote, completely and utterly false, unquote, but did not offer any information contradicting HershÕs account and did not offer any alternative explanation. Senior U.S. officials made statements before and after the Nord Stream destruction that showed the U.S. animus towards the pipelines. On January 27th, 2022, Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland tweeted, quote, If Russia invades Ukraine one way or another, Nord Stream two will not move forward, end quote.
On February 7th, President Biden said, quote, If Russia invades again, then there will be no longer Nord Stream 2 We will bring an end to it. End quote. When asked by the reporter how he would do that, he responded, quote, I promise you, we will be able to do it. End quote. On September 30th, 2022, immediately following the terrorist attack on the pipeline, Secretary of State Antony Blinken declared that the destruction of the pipeline is, quote, also a tremendous opportunity.
ItÕs a tremendous opportunity to once and for all remove the dependance on Russian energy, and thatÕs to take away from Vladimir Putin the weaponization of energy as a means of advancing his imperial design. End quote. On January 28th, 2023, Undersecretary Nuland declared, in testimony to Senator Ted Cruz in the U.S. Senate, quote, I am, and I think the administration is very gratified to know that Nord Stream 2 is now, as you like to say, a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea.
End quote. Such language is not at all appropriate in the face of international terrorism. I hope that the United States, together with all other Security Council members, will condemn this act of international terrorism and join together in an urgent U.N. Security Council led investigation of this international crime in order to determine the truth. The truth is not yet known by the world, but it is knowable more than ever.
The world depends on the U.N. Security Council to do its work to stop the escalation to a new world war. The world will be safe only when the permanent members work together diplomatically to solve global crises, including the war in Ukraine and the rising tensions in East Asia. The U.N. Security Council provides the unique global venue for that peace affirming work.
More than ever, we need a healthy, functioning U.N. Security Council carrying out the mission assigned to it by the U.N. Charter. A U.N. Security Council objective investigation of the Nord Stream 2 terrorism, in which all countries contribute what they know, is important for the global confidence in this body and most importantly, for global peace and sustainable development. Thank you very much.
UN Security Council Rejects Draft Resolution Establishing CommissionÊto Investigate Sabotage of Nord Stream Pipeline
9295TH MEETING* (PM), SC/15243, 27 MARCH 2023 (in cache)
By a vote of 3 in favour (Brazil, China, Russian Federation) to none against, with 12 abstentions, the Council rejected the draft resolution, owing to a lack of sufficient votes in favour.
The resolution, if adopted, would have requested the Secretary-General to establish an international, independent investigation commission to conduct a comprehensive, transparent and impartial international investigation of all aspects of the act of sabotage on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines Ñ including identification of its perpetrators, sponsors, organizers and accomplices.
It would have outlined the commissionÕs composition, deciding that it would comprise Òimpartial and internationally respected expertsÓ selected by the Secretary-General, and be furnished with an adequate number of experienced and impartial staff.
Further by its terms, the Council would have requested the Secretary-General to report to it within 30 days on recommendations for the proposed specific modalities of the commission, and encouraged Member States Ñ including those conducting their own relevant national investigations Ñ to fully cooperate and share information with the commission.
Der Gaskrieg der USA um Europas SŸdosten
von Jens Berger, 07. Februar 2023 um 12:21
Letzte Woche begannen in Bulgarien die Bauarbeiten fŸr eine Gasverbundleitung nach Serbien. Damit wird Serbien noch in diesem Jahr als einer der letzten europŠischen Binnenstaaten an ein Verbundnetz angeschlossen, das in der Lage ist, das bisherige Versorgungsmonopol Russlands zu beenden. Nach dem Nordkorridor mit den Nord-Stream-Pipelines, dem Mittelkorridor mit den Ÿber polnisches und ukrainisches Gebiet verlaufenden Pipelines ist der SŸdkorridor das letzte umkŠmpfte Schlachtfeld im Gaskrieg der USA gegen Russland. Und wie es zurzeit aussieht, sind die USA drauf und dran, diesen Krieg zu gewinnen.
Kein Schiff wird kommen Ð Polen lŠsst PCK Schwedt austrocknen und gefŠhrdet damit die Energieversorgung Ostdeutschlands
von Jens Berger, 06. Februar 2023 um 13:19
Noch Anfang Januar hatten Bundeswirtschaftsminister Habeck und sein StaatssekretŠr Kellner stolz vermeldet, die Versorgung der ostdeutschen Gro§raffinerie PCK Schwedt sei Dank eines Abkommens mit Polen und geplanter Lieferungen aus Kasachstan sicher. Doch das war Ð wie es sich jetzt herauskristallisiert Ð eine LŸge. Kasachische Lieferungen sind offenbar weder konkret geplant noch Ÿberhaupt technisch mšglich; und Polen hŠlt laut eines Berichts des Business Insider Tanker im Hafen von Stettin davon ab, …l zu entladen, das fŸr Schwedt bestimmt ist. So lŠuft die Raffinerie nur mit 50 Prozent Auslastung Ð um Ostdeutschland reibungslos zu versorgen, wŠren mindestens 75 Prozent nštig. Und als wŠre das noch nicht schlimm genug, trat an diesem Wochenende die vorerst letzte Sanktionsstufe der EU in Kraft, die den Import russischer Kraftstoffe verbietet. All dies in Kombination kšnnte zu einer deutlichen Verteuerung von Benzin, Diesel und Erdšlprodukten im Osten Deutschlands fŸhren.
Ukraine: Russland begann den Krieg, der Westen sabotierte den Frieden
EnthŸllungen aus Israel, Gedankenspiele in London und Washington und ein vergesslicher Kanzler
PETRA ERLER, FEB 10, 2023
ãJeder Versuch, eine Katastrophe, die mit einem nuklearen Desaster enden kšnnte, zu verhindern, muss unterstŸtzt werden, warum da nicht auch der des israelischen Premiers?Ò
Deutschland kŠme wegen der Sanktionen und der Entscheidung zum Stopp von NordStream 2 nicht mehr fŸr eine solche Rolle in Frage.
Zur Erinnerung:
Deshalb, so Scholz damals weiter, sei es wichtig, mit den Sanktionen ãDruck zu machenÒ und gleichzeitig ãdiplomatische SpielrŠumeÒ zu eršffnen.
Nun gab Bennett, der damals frŸhzeitig vermitteln wollte, ein langes Interview.
Dennoch gingen damals die Verhandlungen zwischen Russland und der Ukraine zunŠchst weiter, diesmal unter tŸrkischer Vermittlung.
Wie wŸrden die Konturen eines Friedenabkommens zwischen der Ukraine und Russland aussehen, fragte FT Mitte MŠrz 2022 und interviewte dazu die ehemalige stellvertretende NATO-GeneralsekretŠrin Goettemšller. Diese beschrieb die Elemente einer Lšsung Šhnlich wie spŠter Fiona Hill in Foreign Affairs.
Anm.: Ein Artikel in Responsible Statecraft vom September 2022 enthŠlt die wesentlichen Links.
Dass diese Verhandlungen zwischen Russland und der Ukraine im April 2022 platzten, wurde mit den mutma§lichen Verbrechen in Butscha und mit dem Blitzbesuch von Boris Johnson Anfang April in Kiew in Verbindung gebracht. ZunŠchst durch ukrainische Medien.
Johnsons Botschaft sei eindeutig gewesen: Keine Kompromisse mit dem Kriegsverbrecher Putin. Falls Kiew fŸr Verhandlungen bereit sei, der Westen wŠre es nicht.
Warum war das so? Hinweise darauf finden sich in der FT, wenn man deren Berichterstattung zwischen Mitte MŠrz und Ende April noch einmal Revue passieren lŠsst. (Anm.: der Zugang zur FT ist in der Regel nur fŸr Abonnenten mšglich.)
(The writer is senior fellow at the Estonian Foreign Policy Institute)
Dass Sherr gleichzeitig der eher konservativen britischen Denkfabrik Chatham House verbunden ist, blieb unerwŠhnt.
Sherr befand, dass die neue AffinitŠt von Selenykyj fŸr eine neutrale Ukraine unverstŠndlich sei. Dieser werde sich wahrscheinlich wundern, was sein Parlament dazu zu sagen hŠtte. Sherr fragte: Wenn es zwischen der Ukraine und Russland fšrmlich Frieden gŠbe, wer wŸrde der Ukraine dann noch Waffen liefern und an den Sanktionen festhalten. Die Gegner dieser Schritte bekŠmen Oberwasser.
Der Erste, der diese unerschŸtterliche Gewissheit einer strategischen StŠrkung des Westens durch den Angriff Russlands auf die Ukraine Šu§erte, war der US-PrŠsident. In der Folge wurden die beabsichtigten NATO-Beitritte Schwedens und Finnlands als Schlag ins Gesicht von Russland begriffen (Das hat Moskau nun davon!). Das Eskalationspotential liegt allerdings nicht in der Mitgliedschaft, es liegt in der militŠrischen Positionierung Ð ob und welche Waffen dort stationiert werden.
Statt zu verhandeln, steht seither ãSiegfriedenÒ (just peace) auf der Ukraine/NATO- Agenda, solange es eben dauert. Andererseits hei§t es, dass Putin den Krieg jederzeit beenden kšnne, indem er das Feld rŠume und zwar komplett, sich mšglichst aus dem Kreml entfernen und in Den Haag zur Abrechnung einfinden sollte.
Praktisch allerdings zeigte die russische FŸhrung kein Interesse, dieser Hoffnung nachzukommen.
Stattdessen erzielte sie militŠrisch unter dem Strich betrŠchtliche GelŠndegewinne, was in der Annexion von vier ukrainischen Provinzen durch Russland mŸndete, die laut Verhandlungen im FrŸhling durch Russland als ukrainisch anerkannt worden wŠren, hŠtte die Ukraine einer NeutralitŠt zugestimmt.
(Was bei einem Verhandlungserfolg der NATO einen politischen Sieg geschenkt hŠtte: denn dieser Tausch hŠtte offenbart, dass die russische Hauptsorge nicht im Donbass lag, sondern in der NATO-Orientierung der Ukraine. Da aber das Schicksal des Donbass auch die NATO nicht interessiert, nahm sie das nicht einmal wahr.)
Sollte Putin seit dem FrŸhling 22 heimlich weiter auf Verhandlungen gesetzt haben, werden wir das nicht erfahren. Es war nur auffŠllig, dass nach der Zerstšrung von drei StrŠngen von Nordstream und dem Anschlag auf die KrimbrŸcke Russland die KriegsfŸhrung gegen die Ukraine drastisch verschŠrfte und seither auch die energetische Infrastruktur der Ukraine massiv angreifen lie§.
Und so geht es Schlag auf Schlag. Die deutsche Regierung, die nach Aussagen des ehemaligen israelischen Premiers im Februar und MŠrz 2022 zu den ãPragmatikernÒ gehšrte, also offen fŸr eine Verhandlungslšsung, verschiebt diese inzwischen auch auf den Sankt Nimmerleinstag, bzw. auf den Tag nach ãjust peaceÒ. Sie gefŠllt sich inzwischen in der Rolle, das EU-Land zu sein, dass die Ukraine am meisten unterstŸtzt.
Da Russland die nunmehr versprochene Lieferung deutscher Panzer der Raubkatzenklasse fŸr einen eskalatorischen Schritt hŠlt, ist das natŸrlich keiner.
†berdies moniert Russland die Symbolik, dass erneut in der Geschichte aus deutschen Panzern auf Russen geschossen werden wŸrde. Aber daran sieht man nur die Kreml-Propaganda. Denn in diesem Fall werden keine Deutschen die Panzer bedienen, die befreundeten Ukrainer werden es tun und zwar aus GrŸnden der Selbstverteidigung, was sie nicht tun mŸssten, hŠtte Russland die Ukraine nicht angegriffen. Diese Argumentation ist logisch, solange man vergisst, dass nicht Russland, sondern der Westen im FrŸhling 2022 den Krieg weiterfŸhren wollte.
Weil das so ist und solange das so bleibt, werden auch alle weiteren Rufe der Ukraine nach finanzieller Alimentierung und neuen Waffenlieferungen nicht ungehšrt verhallen. Deshalb ist auch der Hickhack um das Ausma§ kŸnftiger Waffenlieferungen an die Ukraine so schwer verstŠndlich.
Der schlaue Boris Johnson brachte das im Atlantic Council jŸngst auf den Punkt: Wer den Krieg will, muss ihn auch fŸhren wollen und solle sich um Moskau und dessen Reaktionen nicht mehr scheren.
Er dachte nur zu Ende, was die NATO seit dem FrŸhjahr 2022 praktiziert: Sie rei§t eine selbstgesetzte Schranke fŸr die militŠrischen UnterstŸtzung der Ukraine nach der anderen ein, und au§er bšsen Drohungen ist nie was aus Moskau zurŸckgekommen. Aber vorsichtshalber wird Moskau jedes Mal gewarnt, nur ja nicht an den Einsatz taktischer nuklearer Waffen zu denken, wobei Moskau wiederum jedes Denken daran verneint.
Solange es also gut geht und nicht im Dritten Weltkrieg mŸndet, kšnnte die Ukraine kriegen, was man hat.
Mit der EinschrŠnkung, dass auch die Ukraine nichts bekommt, was der russischen Seite in die HŠnde fallen kšnnte, wie etwa die moderne Legierung der US-Panzer, denn Krieg ist Krieg. Da ist mit allem zu rechnen. Also werden die US-Panzer vor der Lieferung umgerŸstet. (Das dauert.)
Mit der weiteren EinschrŠnkung, dass alles Gelieferte auch militŠrisch integriert werden muss und Menschen voraussetzt, die diese Waffen bedienen kšnnen. Das dauert ebenfalls Monate. Jedenfalls sagte das General a.D. Petraeus (unter anderem) im GesprŠch mit der Washington Post.
Kein Problem, meinte Boris Johnson dagegen im Atlantic Council und erinnerte an die tapfere polnische Fliegerstaffel, die in der Luftschlacht um London eingriff und einen erklecklichen Anteil daran hatte, dass die Deutschen geschlagen wurden.
Woran er nicht erinnerte, war erstens, dass diese Helden des Zweiten Weltkrieges wegen des Kalten Krieges 1946 nicht mehr an der Londoner Siegesparade teilnehmen durften, und zweitens, dass der ganze Vorfall (der auch etwas mit Befehlsverweigerung zu tun hatte) Ÿber das Jahr 2000 hinaus verleugnet wurde.
(Anm.: Es waren nicht die Polen, die dafŸr sorgten, dass London sich dieser geschichtlichen Leistung polnischer Flieger erinnern musste.)
FŸr Boris Johnson bestand allerdings zwischen den damaligen Flugzeugen und jenen von heute kein gro§er Entwicklungssprung. Die Begabtesten, muss Johnson gedacht haben, wŸrden sehr wahrscheinlich kaum mehr als nur ein paar Stunden Ausbildung brauchen, so wie die PanzerfŸhrer der Raubkatzen. Denn falls nicht, verwandelt sich alles womšglich in TodeskŠfige.
Insofern hat Petraeus sehr wahrscheinlich Recht, dass sich nichts, was demnŠchst geliefert wŸrde, unmittelbar in militŠrische Macht ummŸnzt.
Petraeus und Johnson sind allerdings Vertreter der Hoffnung, dass bis dahin der russischen Seite militŠrisch ohnehin die Luft ausgegangen sein wird, eine Hoffnung, die nun schon seit einem Jahr im Raum schwebt.
Mir dagegen bricht es das Herz, wenn ich darŸber nachdenke, dass ein verhandelter Frieden mšglich gewesen wŠre, nichts Optimales, keine Beilegung der Gegnerschaft, aber zumindest ein Anfang, und dass heute, viele Monate spŠter, lŠngst eingetreten ist, was der Kanzler bei Illner, damals mit angemessener Ernsthaftigkeit voraussagte: Sehr viel Zerstšrung von allem, sehr viel Verlšschen von jungem Leben. Damals tat es Scholz auch noch um die jungen Russen leid.
Heute will Scholz sich an nichts mehr erinnern. Heute sollen wir stolz darauf sein, dass unser Land unter allen EU-LŠnder das meiste tut fŸr die Ukraine. Aber das meiste bemisst sich nicht an Friedensstiftung, sondern an Geld und an Waffen, was das Leiden verlŠngert und potenziert.
Das ist die scheu§liche Kriegslogik, die ihren eigenen Gesetzen folgt, solange man sie nicht bricht.
Rheinmetall scheint inzwischen danach zu dŸrsten, dem Leoparden auch noch den Panther zur Seite zu stellen. In 15 bis 18 Monaten.
So lange mŸsste sich also der Krieg noch mindestens hinziehen. Dem Vorstandschef von Rheinmetall ging das erschreckend leicht von der Zunge. Oder stellte der sich eine Siegesparade in Kiew vor, die von neuster deutscher Panzertechnik nur so strotzen wŸrde?
Sind wir schon im Dritten Weltkrieg verfangen oder dicht davor, diese Schwelle zu Ÿberschreiten? (Emmanuel Todd: La Troisieme Guerre mondiale a commence")
Das ist nur noch eine Definitionsfrage.
Die aktuelle Lage erinnert an ein gro§es geopolitisches Pokerspiel: Die allermeisten Všlker stehen um den Tisch herum und schlottern vor berechtigter Angst um die Zukunft, wŠhrend die EinsŠtze am Tisch immer hšher werden. Bis einer die Karten sehen will, die Stunde der Wahrheit schlŠgt.
Wer wird als Sieger vom Platz gehen? Wer als Verlierer? Werden beide ihre jeweilige Rolle ertragen? Was, wenn sie zur letzten Pokerrunde, die je gespielt wurde, wŸrde?
Soweit muss es nicht kommen, darf es nicht kommen. Das Spiel muss unterbrochen werden. Weil es zutiefst amoralisch ist. Weil man mit dem Schicksal aller nicht pokert.
Die Frage ist nur, wer wird die Karten aus den HŠnden der Spieler fegen.
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© 2023 Petra Erler
548 Market Street PMB 72296, San Francisco, CA 94104
Nord Stream pipeline & sabotaging peace w/Jeffrey Sachs (Live)
The Duran, 10 February, 2023
Implications of US Destruction of Nordstream 2 Pipeline
Graham E. Fuller, Consortium News, February 16, 2023 (in cache)
This article can also be found here on GEF's website
With a new Great Wall between Russia and the West, Graham E. Fuller wonders what kind of role lies ahead for either the U.S. or Europe on the international scene.
... Indeed America itself seems sadly to have lost any kind of positive vision in how to deal with the rest of the world. The essence of American foreign policy now is almost entirely negative: block Russia, block China, and prevent their development and expansion of their international reach. This does not present a very inviting menu of positive policy options for most of the rest of the worldÐa world that seeks to avoid costly involvement in Western wars, and to pursue their own economic development. They show signs now of visceral negative reactions to the perpetuation of Western ex-colonial powers seeking to impose their own stale geopolitical and economic agendas on the rest of the world.
This is the reality of the outcome of the war in Ukraine. Washington seems determined to pursue its increasingly illusory goal of maintaining international hegemony, now packaged in spurious claims of supporting Òdemocracy versus authoritarianism.Ó Not many buyers there. How long will the US continue to flail in endless foreign wars to desperately prove to itself and the world that it is still # 1?
(Graham E. Fuller is a fluent Russian speaker, former C.I.A. operations officer and former vice-chair of the National Intelligence Council at C.I.A. for long term forecasting.)
The Timing of the Pipeline Attack
Joe Lauria, Consortium News, February 18, 2023, September 28, 2022
President Joe Biden, with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz by his side, promised a White House press conference in early February that the U.S. was ÒableÓ to shut down the German-Russian Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea if Russia invaded Ukraine.
A [German] reporter asked Biden, ÒBut how will you do that, exactly, sinceÉthe project is in GermanyÕs control?Ó Biden said: ÒI promise you, we will be able to do that.Ó
How America Took Out The Nord Stream Pipeline
Seymour Hersh, February 8, 2023 (in cache)
WATCH: Sy Hersh on CN Live! Ñ ÔAmerican SabotageÕ
Consortium News, February 16, 2023 (in cache)
The most accomplished investigative reporter of the past five decades was CN Live!Ôs guest on Friday, talking about his report on the covert U.S. operation to blow up the pipelines bringing gas from Russia to Germany; the war in Ukraine, and the state of journalism.
Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh says a friend has told him that all heÕs done is to Òdeconstruct the obvious.Ó It was obvious because there was logically only one possible suspect for the destruction of three of the four major Nord Stream 1 & 2 pipelines under the Baltic Sea on Sept. 26 last year.
President Joe Biden, with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz by his side at a White House press conference, said in February 2022, that if Russia invades Ukraine Òthere will no longer be a Nord Stream 2. We will bring an end to it.Ó Asked by a reporter how the U.S. could do that given that it was controlled by Germany, Biden said: ÒI promise you we will be able to do it.Ó In January 2022, U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland said: ÒIf Russia invades Ukraine, one way or another Nord Stream 2 will not move forward.Ó
On the day of the explosion Radek Sikorski, a former Polish foreign minister and husband of the arch neoconservative writer Anne Applebaum, tweeted a photo of the explosion, writing ÒThank you, USA.Ó
Four days after the explosion, which caused the largest emission of methane gas into the atmosphere in history, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said: ÒItÕs a tremendous opportunity to once and for all remove the dependence on Russian energy and thus to take away from Vladimir Putin the weaponization of energy as a means of advancing his imperial designs.Ó
Earlier this month the neoconservative Nuland told a U.S. Senate hearing that: ÒI am, and I think the administration is very gratified to know that Nord Stream 2 ... is a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea.Ó
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, 20 February 2023
(in cache)
Introduction
I. Political HegemonyÑThrowing Its Weight Around
II. Military HegemonyÑWanton Use of Force
III. Economic HegemonyÑLooting and Exploitation
IV. Technological HegemonyÑMonopoly and Suppression
V. Cultural HegemonyÑSpreading False Narratives
Conclusion
II. Military HegemonyÑWanton Use of Force
As former U.S. President Jimmy Carter put it, the United States is undoubtedly the most warlike nation in the history of the world. According to a Tufts University report, "Introducing the Military Intervention Project: A new Dataset on U.S. Military Interventions, 1776-2019," the United States undertook nearly 400 military interventions globally between those years, 34 percent of which were in Latin America and the Caribbean, 23 percent in East Asia and the Pacific, 14 percent in the Middle East and North Africa, and 13 percent in Europe. Currently, its military intervention in the Middle East and North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa is on the rise.
...
U.S. military hegemony has caused humanitarian tragedies. Since 2001, the wars and military operations launched by the United States in the name of fighting terrorism have claimed over 900,000 lives with some 335,000 of them civilians, injured millions and displaced tens of millions. The 2003 Iraq War resulted in some 200,000 to 250,000 civilian deaths, including over 16,000 directly killed by the U.S. military, and left more than a million homeless.
The United States has created 37 million refugees around the world. Since 2012, the number of Syrian refugees alone has increased tenfold. Between 2016 and 2019, 33,584 civilian deaths were documented in the Syrian fightings, including 3,833 killed by U.S.-led coalition bombings, half of them women and children. The Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) reported on 9 November 2018 that the air strikes launched by U.S. forces on Raqqa alone killed 1,600 Syrian civilians.
The two-decades-long war in Afghanistan devastated the country. A total of 47,000 Afghan civilians and 66,000 to 69,000 Afghan soldiers and police officers unrelated to the September 11 attacks were killed in U.S. military operations, and more than 10 million people were displaced. The war in Afghanistan destroyed the foundation of economic development there and plunged the Afghan people into destitution. After the "Kabul debacle" in 2021, the United States announced that it would freeze some 9.5 billion dollars in assets belonging to the Afghan central bank, a move considered as "pure looting."
In September 2022, Turkish Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu commented at a rally that the United States has waged a proxy war in Syria, turned Afghanistan into an opium field and heroin factory, thrown Pakistan into turmoil, and left Libya in incessant civil unrest. The United States does whatever it takes to rob and enslave the people of any country with underground resources.
The United States has also adopted appalling methods in war. During the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Gulf War, the Kosovo War, the War in Afghanistan and the Iraq War, the United States used massive quantities of chemical and biological weapons as well as cluster bombs, fuel-air bombs, graphite bombs and depleted uranium bombs, causing enormous damage on civilian facilities, countless civilian casualties and lasting environmental pollution.
III. Economic Hegemony -- Looting and Exploitation
After World War II, the United States led efforts to set up
formed the international monetary system centered around the U.S. dollar.
In addition, the United States has also established institutional hegemony in the international economic and financial sector by manipulating
By taking advantage of the dollar's status as the major international reserve currency, the United States is
◆ The United States exploits the world's wealth with the help of "seigniorage". It costs only about 17 cents to produce a 100 dollar bill, but other countries had to pony up 100 dollar of actual goods in order to obtain one. It was pointed out more than half a century ago, that the United States enjoyed exorbitant privilege and deficit without tears created by its dollar, and used the worthless paper note to plunder the resources and factories of other nations.
◆ The hegemony of U.S. dollar is the main source of instability and uncertainty in the world economy. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the United States abused its global financial hegemony and injected trillions of dollars into the global market, leaving other countries, especially emerging economies, to pay the price. In 2022, the Fed ended its ultra-easy monetary policy and turned to aggressive interest rate hike, causing turmoil in the international financial market and substantial depreciation of other currencies such as the Euro, many of which dropped to a 20-year low. As a result, a large number of developing countries were challenged by high inflation, currency depreciation and capital outflows. This was exactly what Nixon's secretary of the treasury John Connally once remarked, with self-satisfaction yet sharp precision, that "the dollar is our currency, but it is your problem."
◆ With its control over international economic and financial organizations, the United States imposes additional conditions to their assistance to other countries. In order to reduce obstacles to U.S. capital inflow and speculation, the recipient countries are required to advance financial liberalization and open up financial markets so that their economic policies would fall in line with America's strategy. According to the Review of International Political Economy, along with the 1,550 debt relief programs extended by the IMF to its 131 member countries from 1985 to 2014, as many as 55,465 additional political conditions had been attached.
◆ The United States willfully suppresses its opponents with economic coercion. In the 1980s, to eliminate the economic threat posed by Japan, and to control and use the latter in service of America's strategic goal of confronting the Soviet Union and dominating the world, the United States leveraged its hegemonic financial power against Japan, and concluded the Plaza Accord. As a result, Yen was pushed up, and Japan was pressed to open up its financial market and reform its financial system. The Plaza Accord dealt a heavy blow to the growth momentum of the Japanese economy, leaving Japan to what was later called "three lost decades."
◆ America's economic and financial hegemony has become a geopolitical weapon. Doubling down on unilateral sanctions and "long-arm jurisdiction," the United States has enacted such domestic laws as the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, and the Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and introduced a series of executive orders to sanction specific countries, organizations or individuals. Statistics show that U.S. sanctions against foreign entities increased by 933 percent from 2000 to 2021. The Trump administration alone has imposed more than 3,900 sanctions, which means three sanctions per day. So far, the United States had or has imposed economic sanctions on nearly 40 countries across the world, including Cuba, China, Russia, the DPRK, Iran and Venezuela, affecting nearly half of the world's population. "The United States of America" has turned itself into "the United States of Sanctions." And "long-arm jurisdiction" has been reduced to nothing but a tool for the United States to use its means of state power to suppress economic competitors and interfere in normal international business. This is a serious departure from the principles of liberal market economy that the United States has long boasted.
Conclusion
While a just cause wins its champion wide support, an unjust one condemns its pursuer to be an outcast. The hegemonic, domineering, and bullying practices of using strength to intimidate the weak, taking from others by force and subterfuge, and playing zero-sum games are exerting grave harm. The historical trends of peace, development, cooperation, and mutual benefit are unstoppable. The United States has been overriding truth with its power and trampling justice to serve self-interest. These unilateral, egoistic and regressive hegemonic practices have drawn growing, intense criticism and opposition from the international community.
Countries need to respect each other and treat each other as equals. Big countries should behave in a manner befitting their status and take the lead in pursuing a new model of state-to-state relations featuring dialogue and partnership, not confrontation or alliance. China opposes all forms of hegemonism and power politics, and rejects interference in other countries' internal affairs. The United States must conduct serious soul-searching. It must critically examine what it has done, let go of its arrogance and prejudice, and quit its hegemonic, domineering and bullying practices.
Jeffrey Sachs Ÿber die Nord Stream-Sabotage, die Ukraine & den Kalten Krieg mit China
https://youtu.be/R2qsX12fAaU?t=250
https://youtu.be/R2qsX12fAaU?t=369
The Real History of the War in Ukraine: a Chronology of Events and Case for Diplomacy
Jeffrey Sachs, July 17, 2023 (in cache)
... To help the public move beyond the simplistic narrative of Biden and the mainstream media, I offer a brief chronology of some key events leading to the ongoing war.
January 31, 1990. German Foreign Minister Hans Dietrich-Genscher pledges to Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev that in the context of German reunification and disbanding of the Soviet Warsaw Pact military alliance, NATO will rule out an Òexpansion of its territory to the East, i.e., moving it closer to the Soviet borders.Ó
February 9, 1990.Ê U.S. Secretary of State James Baker IIIÊagreesÊwith Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev that ÒNATO expansion is unacceptable.Ó
June 29 Ð July 2, 1990.Ê NATO Secretary-General Manfred WoernerÊtells a high-level Russian delegationÊthat Òthe NATO Council and he [Woerner] are against the expansion of NATO.Ó
July 1, 1990.Ê Ukrainian Rada (parliament) adopts theÊDeclaration of State Sovereignty, in which ÒThe Ukrainian SSR solemnly declares its intention of becoming a permanently neutral state that does not participate in military blocs and adheres to three nuclear free principles: to accept, to produce and to purchase no nuclear weapons.Ó
August 24, 1991.Ê UkraineÊdeclares independenceÊon the basis of the 1990 Declaration of State Sovereignty, which includes the pledge of neutrality.ÊÊ
Mid-1992.Ê Bush Administration policymakers reach a secretÊinternal consensusÊto expand NATO, contrary to commitments recently made to the Soviet Union and the Russian Federation.
July 8, 1997.Ê At theÊMadrid NATO Summit, Poland, Hungary, and Czech Republic are invited to begin NATO accession talks.
June 13, 2002.Ê The US unilaterally withdraws from the Anti-Ballistic Weapons Treaty, an action which the Vice-Chair of the Russian Duma Defense CommitteeÊcharacterizesÊas an Òextremely negative event of historical scale.Ó
November-December 2004.Ê The ÒOrange RevolutionÓ occurs in Ukraine, events that the West characterizes as a democratic revolution and the Russian government characterizes as aÊWestern-manufacturedÊgrab for power with overt and covert US support.ÊÊÊ
February 10, 2007.Ê PutinÊstrongly criticizesÊthe U.S. attempt to create a unipolar world, backed by NATO enlargement, in a speech to the Munich Security Conference, declaring: ÒI think it is obvious that NATO expansion É represents a serious provocation that reduces the level of mutual trust. And we have the right to ask: against whom is this expansion intended? And what happened to the assurances our western partners made after the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact?Ó
February 1, 2008.Ê US Ambassador to Russia William Burns sendsÊa confidential cableÊto U.S. National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice, entitled ÒNyet means Nyet: RussiaÕs NATO Enlargement Redlines,Ó emphasizing that ÒUkraine and Georgia's NATO aspirations not only touch a raw nerve in Russia, they engender serious concerns about the consequences for stability in the region.Ó
April 3, 2008.Ê NATOÊdeclaresÊthat Ukraine and Georgia Òwill become members of NATO.Ó RussiaÊdeclaresÊthat ÒGeorgiaÕs and UkraineÕs membership in the alliance is a huge strategic mistake which would have most serious consequences for pan-European security.Ó
August 20, 2008.Ê The USÊannouncesÊthat it will deploy ballistic missile defense (BMD) systems in Poland, to be followed later by Romania.Ê Russia expressesÊstrenuous oppositionÊto the BMD systems.
...
February 12, 2015.Ê Signing of Minsk II agreement.Ê The agreement is unanimously backed by theÊUN Security Council Resolution 2202Êon February 17, 2015.Ê Former Chancellor Angela Merkel laterÊacknowledgesÊthat the Minsk II agreement was designed to give time for Ukraine to strengthen its military.Ê It was not implemented by Ukraine, and President Volodymyr ZelenskyÊacknowledgedÊthat he had no intention to implement the agreement.
...
December 17, 2021.Ê Putin puts forward a draft ÒTreaty between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Security Guarantees,Ó based on non-enlargement of NATO and limitations on the deployment of intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles.
January 26, 2022.Ê The U.S. formally replies to Russia that the US and NATO will not negotiate with Russia over issues of NATO enlargement, slamming the door on a negotiated path to avoid an expansion of the war in Ukraine.Ê The U.S. invokesÊNATO policyÊthat ÒAny decision to invite a country to join the Alliance is taken by the North Atlantic Council on the basis of consensus among all Allies. No third country has a say in such deliberations.ÓÊ In short, the US asserts that NATO enlargement to Ukraine is none of RussiaÕs business.
...
March 16, 2022.Ê Russia and Ukraine announce significant progress towards a peace agreement mediated by Turkey and Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett.Ê AsÊreported in the press, the basis of the agreement includes: Òa ceasefire and Russian withdrawal if Kyiv declares neutrality and accepts limits on its armed forces.Ó
March 28, 2022.Ê President ZelenskyÊpublicly declaresÊthat Ukraine is ready for neutrality combined with security guarantees as part of a peace agreement with Russia.Ê ÒSecurity guarantees and neutrality, the non-nuclear status of our state Ñ weÕre ready to do that. ThatÕs the most important point ... they started the war because of it.Ó
April 7, 2022.Ê Russian Foreign Minister LavrovÊaccuses the WestÊof trying to derail the peace talks, claiming that Ukraine had gone back on previously agreed proposals.Ê Prime Minister Naftali Bennett later states (on February 5, 2023) that the U.S. had blocked the pending Russia-Ukraine peace agreement.Ê When asked if the Western powers blocked the agreement, Bennett answered: ÒBasically, yes. They blocked it, and I thought they were wrong.ÓÊ At some point,Êsays Bennett, the West decided Òto crush Putin rather than to negotiate.Ó
...
uly 13, 2023.Ê US Secretary of Defense Lloyd AustinÊreiteratesÊthat Ukraine will Òno doubtÓ join NATO when the war ends.
July 13, 2023.Ê PutinÊreiteratesÊthat ÒAs for UkraineÕs NATO membership, as we have said many times, this obviously creates a threat to RussiaÕs security. In fact, the threat of UkraineÕs accession to NATO is the reason, or rather one of the reasons for the special military operation. I am certain that this would not enhance UkraineÕs security in any way either. In general, it will make the world much more vulnerable and lead to more tensions in the international arena.Ê So, I donÕt see anything good in this. Our position is well known and has long been formulated.Ó
Little in Common: Prospects for U.S.-China and U.S.-Russia Security Cooperation
by Raphael S. Cohen, Elina Treyger, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Asha Clark, Kit Conn, Scott W. Harold, Michelle GrisŽ, Marta Kepe, Soo Kim, Ashley L. Rhoades, et al., RAND Corporation, 2023
A New National Security Focus
As the 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS) makes clear, the primary national security concern facing the United States now is "strategic competition" with Russia and China, rather than terrorism. Of course, that does not mean that cooperation with Russia and China is not desirable, as long as it comes "from a position of strength and based on our national interests." But is there is any room for meaningful strategic cooperation in this era of competition among great powers?
RAND researchers studied this question and found that
The Bottom Line
Cooperation will be rare and narrowly focused, often limited to making strategic competition "safer." The Department of the Air Force, the Joint Force, and the United States as a whole should expect that the era of strategic competition is not going anywhere for the foreseeable future.
Eight obstacles that hinder cooperation
VermŠchtnis einer Pazifistin: ãWas ich noch zu sagen hŠtteÒ
Antje Vollmer, 23.02.2023 | aktualisiert am 16.03.2023 - 15:07 Uhr (im Cache)
... Russlands gro§e Vorleistung des Gewaltverzichts
Ich widerspreche der heute Ÿblichen These, 1989 habe es eine etablierte europŠische Friedensordnung gegeben, die dann Schritt um Schritt einseitig von Seiten Russlands unter dem Diktat des KGB-Agenten Putin zerstšrt worden sei, bis es schlie§lich zum Ausbruch des Ukrainekrieges kam.
Das ist nicht richtig. Richtig ist: 1989 ist eine Ordnung zerbrochen, die man korrekter als ãPax atomicaÒ bezeichnet hat, ohne dass eine neue Friedensordnung an ihre Stelle trat. Diese zu schaffen, wŠre die Aufgabe der Stunde gewesen. Aber die visionŠre Phantasie Europas und des Westens in der Wendezeit reichte nicht aus, um sich das haltbare Konzept einer stabilen europŠischen Friedensordnung auszudenken, das allen LŠndern der ehemaligen Sowjetunion einen Platz verlŠsslicher Sicherheit und Zukunftshoffnungen anzubieten vermocht hŠtte.
... Die UnfŠhigkeit, nach so umfassenden UmbrŸchen andere gleichberechtigte Lšsungen zu suchen, hat in dieser fatalen †berheblichkeit ihre Hauptursache. Vor allem aber wurde so das ungeheure und einzigartige Verdienst der sowjetischen FŸhrung unter Michail Gorbatschow mit einer verblŸffenden Ignoranz als gerngesehenes Geschenk der Geschichte eingeordnet: Die gro§e Vorleistung des Gewaltverzichts in der Reaktion auf das Freiheitsbestreben der Všlker des Ostblocks galt als nahezu selbstverstŠndlich.
... Die gro§en Reformer haben Mut bewiesen, sie werden heute gerne vergessen
Wie ein stummes Mahnmal gigantischer europŠischer Undankbarkeit steht dafŸr der erschreckend private Charakter der Trauerfeier um den wohl grš§ten Staatsmann unserer Zeit auf dem Moskauer Prominenten-Friedhof. Es wŠre ein Gebot der Stunde gewesen, dass die Granden Europas Michail Gorbatschow, der lŠngst im eigenen Land isoliert war, ihre Hochachtung und ihren Respekt erwiesen hŠtten, indem sie sich vor ihm verneigten.
Zumindest aus Deutschland, das fast ihm allein das GlŸck der Wiedervereinigung verdankt, hŠtte ein BundesprŠsident Steinmeier an diesem Grab stehen mŸssen. Die Einsamkeit um diesen Toten war unertrŠglich. So nutzte ausgerechnet Viktor Orb‡n die Chance, diesen Boykott einer angemessenen WŸrdigung zu unterlaufen. Es bleibt ein beschŠmendes Zeichen, ein Menetekel historischer Ignoranz. Wenige Tage spŠter drŠngelten sich die ReprŠsentanten des europŠischen Zeitgeistes dann alle mediengerecht am Grab der englischen Queen und des deutschen Papstes Benedikt XVI.
... Die wichtigsten Fragen, die heute zwischen Ost und West verhandelt werden mŸssten, lauten:
Diese Fragen werden in aller Deutlichkeit wachgerufen am Beispiel der Ukraine und ihres Abwehrkampfes gegen die russische Aggression.
... Wer aber den Weg des Konsenses, der Kooperation, der VerstŠndigung und der Versšhnung sucht, gilt als schwach und deswegen als irrelevant, ja als verachtenswert. Von daher sind Gorbatschow und Selenskyj die eigentlichen Antitypen in der Frage, was es heute hei§t, EuropŠer zu sein und die europŠischen Tugenden zu verkšrpern.
Neben diesem Hang zum Heroischen und zur Selbsterhšhung liegt hier die Wurzel, die ich fŸr den Grundirrtum einer europŠischen IdentitŠt halte: das scheinbar unausrottbare BedŸrfnis nach nationalem Chauvinismus. Jahrhundertelang haben nationale Exzesse die Geschichte unseres Kontinents geprŠgt. Keine Nation war frei davon: nicht die Franzosen, schon gar nicht die Briten, nicht die Spanier, nicht die Polen, nicht die Ukrainer, nicht die Balten, nicht die Schweden, nicht die Russen, noch nicht einmal die Tschechen Ð und schon gar nicht die Deutschen.
Tschechien verurteilt mehrere Russland-Sympathisanten zu Geldstrafen
Von Aneta Zachov‡ | EURACTIV.cz | Ÿbersetzt von Benedikt Stšckl, 16 Mar 2023
In der Tschechischen Republik kšnnen šffentliche €u§erungen, mit denen der russische Angriff auf die Ukraine gebilligt wird, als Straftat betrachtet werden, warnte der tschechische Generalstaatsanwalt Igor Stř’ž wenige Tage nach dem russischen Einmarsch in die Ukraine im Februar letzten Jahres.
... Neben den neun Verurteilungen wurden bisher 58 Personen wegen Billigung der russischen Aggression angeklagt, und in 90 FŠllen wurden strafrechtliche Ermittlungen eingeleitet.
Wenn jemand den Angriff Russlands auf die Ukraine šffentlich guthei§t oder den russischen Staatschef bei Demonstrationen oder in sozialen Medien unterstŸtzt, kšnnte dies unter bestimmten Bedingungen als Straftat gelten, sagte Stř’ž.
Aufruf von Laura Freiin von Wimmersperg und Rechtsanwalt Hans Bauer, 16.3.2023 (im Cache)
Deutschland befindet sich in einer tiefen Krise. Sanktionen und Wirtschaftskrieg, AufrŸstung und Kriegsbeteiligung, Corona- und Klimapolitik haben zu Inflation, Preissteigerung, Energiekrise und in deren Folge zu einem massiven sozialen Abstieg fŸr die Ÿberwiegende Mehrheit der Bevšlkerung gefŸhrt. Die politisch Verantwortlichen sind unfŠhig und unwillig, ihrer verfassungsmŠ§igen Pflicht, Schaden vom deutschen Volke abzuwenden sowie dem Friedensgebot des Grundgesetzes gerecht zu werden.
... Diese Politik des wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Niedergangs geht einher mit einem weiteren Abbau demokratischer Rechte. Besonders betroffen sind die Meinungs-, Informations- und Pressefreiheit, wie sie in Artikel 5 des Grundgesetzes garantiert sind. Obwohl demokratische Mitbestimmung voraussetzt, dass sich jeder Ð so auch verfassungsrechtlich entschieden Ð ãaus allgemeinen Quellen ungehindert unterrichten kannÒ, wird dieses Recht durch die mediale Dominanz der Regierungspolitik zunehmend eingeschrŠnkt. Politiker verschweigen, negieren und verfŠlschen aktuelle und historische Tatsachen, die Russland zur Entscheidung vom 24. Februar 2022 veranlasst haben.
AbhŠngige, auch šffentlich-rechtliche Medien, verhindern eine allseitige Informiertheit und somit eine freie unabhŠngige Meinungsbildung. Desinformation und Manipulation der Bevšlkerung bestimmen weitgehend die gegenwŠrtige Medienkultur. Wer die verordnete offizielle Meinung zum Ukraine-Krieg nicht teilt, kritisiert und dies šffentlich kundtut, wird diffamiert, bedroht und sanktioniert oder ausgegrenzt.
... Vor dem Hintergrund der deutschen Geschichte fordern wir, dieser gefŠhrlichen Entwicklung Einhalt zu gebieten. Wir rufen dazu auf, die grundgesetzlich verbriefte Meinungs-, Informations- und Pressefreiheit zu verteidigen, wo und wann immer sie eingeschrŠnkt wird.
The Geopolitics Of a Changing World
by Professor Jeffrey Sachs, 2. MŠrz 2023,
Time: 5:00PM GMT (10PM PST)
Location: Simpkins Lee Theatre, Lady Margaret Hall, Norham Gardens, Oxford OX2 6QA
Jeffrey Sachs is a world-renowned economics professor, bestselling author, and global leader in sustainable development. Sachs serves as the Director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University, where he holds the rank of University Professor. Sachs was the Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University from 2002 to 2016.Prior to Columbia, Sachs spent over twenty years as a professor at Harvard University, including as the Galen L. Stone Professor of International Trade. Sachs has authored and edited numerous books, including three New York Times bestsellers: The End of Poverty (2005), Common Wealth: Economics for a Crowded Planet (2008), and The Price of Civilization (2011). He is the recipient of several international prizes and has advised several governments across the globe. Prof Sachs has also served as the Special Advisor to UN Secretaries-General Kofi Annan, Ban Ki-moon, and Ant—nio Guterres.
Event Organizer
-The Dadabhoy Foundation is a non-profit organization based in Karachi that seeks to promote the educational, cultural, and scientific development of Pakistani society. The Sir Muhammad Iqbal Lecture is supported by the Dadabhoy Foundation whose Board of Trustees includes Mr Abdul Ghani Dadabhoy, an Oxford alumnus.
-The Oxford Pakistan Programme (OPP) is an initiative led by Pakistani-origin alumni and academics that seeks to generate new opportunities for Pakistani-origin scholars at the University of Oxford, promote academic exchange between Oxford and PakistanÕs institutions of higher learning and broaden academic conversations on Pakistan at oxford. The OPP is anchored at Lady Margaret Hall. For further information visit: https://oxpakprogramme.org/.
Jeffery Sachs: Current Climate of Catastrophe
18. Mai, 2023
What Might the US Owe the World for Covid-19?
JEFFREY D. SACHS, Common Dreams, Mar 16, 2024 (in cache)
A US-funded laboratory origin of Covid-19 would certainly constitute the most significant case of governmental gross negligence in history. The people of the world deserve transparency and factual answers on vital questions.
RussiaÕs revised foreign policy doctrine: Key points
RT, 31 Mar, 2023
Russia believes that Washington and its allies are seeking to stop the erosion of a world order that allowed them to enjoy advanced economic growth at the expense of non-Western nations by exploiting their resources. The West Òrefuses to recognize the realities of a multipolar worldÓ and aims to eliminate military and economic competition, as well as crack down on dissent, the document asserts.
...
Russia does not consider itself to be an enemy of the West, is not isolating itself from the West, and has no hostile intentions with regard to it.Ó
Moscow hopes that Western nations will realize that their policies of hostility, confrontation, and hegemonic ambitions have no future and eventually resume Òpragmatic cooperationÓ with Russia on the grounds of mutual respect. Russia Òis ready for dialogue and cooperation on such a basis,Ó the updated policy document states.
...
Russia is seeking to build a system of international relations based on reliable security guarantees and equal opportunities for all nations, regardless of their size, geographical location, or military power, according to the new doctrine. Moscow insists that hegemony in international affairs should be rejected, and any interference in other nationsÕ internal matters should be avoided. States must also renounce any neo-colonial ambitions.
Moscow calls for Òbroad cooperationÓ to neutralize any attempts by nations or military blocs to seek global military dominance. The document also urges all nations to take steps to avoid global war and the risks of using nuclear weapons Ð as well as other weapons of mass destruction Ð by strengthening international strategic stability, arms control, and non-proliferation regimes through international treaties.
...
Moscow believes it can find friends and reliable partners all over the world, the updated doctrine states. Russia particularly considers Islamic civilization to be Òfriendly,Ó and believes that the Islamic world has Ògreat prospectsÓ and can become an independent and influential power in a polycentric world. It seeks to develop cooperation with all the major regional actors, including Iran, TŸrkiye, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and others.
additional reading material:
The Concept of the Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation, 31 March 2023 15:00
The Hypersonic Pentagon Budget
Michale T. Klare, Consortiumnews, April 21, 2023
[H]ow the U.S. Defense Department will seek a growing share of the countryÕs scientific and technological resources for military-oriented work.
On March 13, the Biden administration unveiled its $842 billion military budget request for 2024, the largest ask (in todayÕs dollars) since the peaks of the Afghan and Iraq wars. And mind you, thatÕs before the hawks in Congress get their hands on it.
Last year, they added $35 billion to the administrationÕs request and, this year, their add-on is likely to prove at least that big ...
Driving the PentagonÕs increased focus on future weapons development is the assumption that China and Russia will remain major adversaries for decades to come and that future wars with those, or other major powers, could largely be decided by the mastery of artificial intelligence (AI) along with other emerging technologies. Those would include robotics, hypersonics (projectiles that fly at more than five times the speed of sound), and quantum computing. As the PentagonÕs 2024 budget request put it:
ÒAn increasing array of fast-evolving technologies and innovative applications of existing technology complicates the [Defense] DepartmentÕs ability to maintain an edge in combat credibility and deterrence. Newer capabilities such as counterspace weapons, hypersonic weapons, new and emerging payload and delivery systemsÉ all create a heightened potentialÉ for shifts in perceived deterrence of U.S. military power.Ó
To ensure that the U.S. can overpower Chinese and/or Russian forces in any conceivable encounter, top officials insist, Washington must focus on investing in a major way in the advanced technologies likely to dominate future battlefields.
Accordingly, $17.8 billion of that $145 billion RDT&E budget will be directly dedicated to military-related science and technology development. Those funds, the Pentagon explains, will be used to
... Another $200 million was requested to design a large USV, essentially a crewless frigate or destroyer. Once prototype vessels of this type have been built and tested, the Navy plans to order dozens, perhaps hundreds of them, instantly creating a $100 billion-plus market for a naval force lacking the usual human crew.
... ÒHypersonic systems expand our ability to hold distant targets at risk, dramatically shorten the timeline to strike a target, and their maneuverability increases survivability and unpredictability. The Department will accelerate fielding of transformational capability enabled by air, land, and sea-based hypersonic strike weapon systems to overcome the challenges to our future battlefield domain dominance.Ó
... To ensure that the United States continues to dominate research in the emerging technologies most applicable to future weaponry, the Pentagon will seek to harness an ever-increasing share of the countryÕs scientific and technological resources for military-oriented work.
This, in turn, will mean capturing an ever-larger part of the governmentÕs net R&D budget at the expense of other national priorities. In 2022, for example, federal funding for non-military R&D (including the National Science Foundation, the National Institutes of Health, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) represented only about 33 percent of R&D spending.
... While many scientists struggle for grants to support their work, the Department of Defense (DoD) offers bundles of money to those who choose to study military-related topics. Typically enough, the 2024 request includes $347 million for what the military is now calling the University Research Initiative, most of which will be used to finance the formation of Òteams of researchers across disciplines and across geographic boundaries to focus on DoD-specific hard science problems.Ó
Another $200 million is being allocated to the Joint University Microelectronics Program by the Defense Advanced Projects Research Agency, the PentagonÕs R&D outfit, while $100 million is being provided to the University Consortium for Applied Hypersonics by the PentagonÕs Joint Hypersonics Transition Office.
With so much money flowing into such programs and the share devoted to other fields of study shrinking, itÕs hardly surprising that scientists and graduate students at major universities are being drawn into the PentagonÕs research networks.
In fact, itÕs also seeking to expand its talent pool by providing additional funding to historically Black colleges and universities (HBCUs). ...
CIA Leak by Jack Texeira
Leaks_Spelling_the_End_for_Ukraine
Joe Lauria, Consortiumnews, April 17, 2023 (in cache)
... In other words, U.S. officials have been lying about the state of the war to the public and to reporters who have faithfully reported their every word without a hint of skepticism.
... Former C.I.A. analyst Larry Johnson believes Texiera was set up, possibly by a senior officer. Johnson thinks this because among the documents Texiera allegedly leaked was one from the Central Intelligence Agency Operations Center, where Johnson used to work.
ÒCIA Operations Center produces two daily reports Ñ one in the morning and one in the afternoon. It is not a ÔCommunityÕ product, i.e., it is not distributed to the other intelligence agencies. It is an internal CIA document (of course, it is available to the Director of National Intelligence), Ó Johnson wrote on his website Son of the New American Revolution.
Texiera was not in the C.I.A. so there is no way heÕd have access to an Operations Center document, Johnson wrote. So how did he get his hands on it?
The implication is that Texiera may have been a patsy for someone within the realist wing of the U.S. military or intelligence establishment who opposes the neoconsÕ obsession with continuing the war at all costs.
Corporate Media Are the Anti-WikiLeaks
Elizabeth Vos, Consortiumnews, April 17, 2023
...The New York Times and The Washington Post have worked with so-called journalists of Bellingcat to, in their words, Òhunt downÓ the leaker of top secret documents regarding the Ukraine War.
New York Times helps arrest source of documents showing US lies
Andre Damon, World Socialist Web Site (WSWS.org), 21 April 2023 (in cache)
Leaked documents show massive US involvement in Ukraine war
Andre Damon, World Socialist Web Site (WSWS.org), 10 April 2023 (in cache)
Leaked Pentagon documents expose US war propaganda
Andre Damon, World Socialist Web Site (WSWS.org), 11 April 2023 (in cache)
Leaked Pentagon documents expose role of British imperialism in provocations and war against Russia
Robert Stevens, World Socialist Web Site (WSWS.org), 21 April 2023
Wladimir Putin, 24.6.2023
†bersetzung von Thomas Ršper (im Cache)
Ich appelliere an die BŸrger Russlands, an die Angehšrigen der StreitkrŠfte, der Strafverfolgungsbehšrden und der Geheimdienste, an die Soldaten und Kommandeure, die jetzt in ihren Stellungen kŠmpfen, die Angriffe des Feindes abwehren und dies heldenhaft tun Ð ich wei§ das, denn ich habe heute Abend wieder mit den Kommandeuren aller Abschnitte gesprochen. Ich wende mich auch an diejenigen, die durch TŠuschung oder Drohungen in dieses kriminelle Abenteuer gelockt und auf den Weg des schwersten Verbrechens, des bewaffneten Aufstandes, getrieben wurden. ...
John Stockwell - Secret Wars Of The CIA
John Stockwelll, Lecture, American University, Nov.3, 1989
Former Director of Operations in Angola, John Stockwell, gives a lecture before a crowd at American University. Topics included CIA destabilizing governments in Angola and other countries and setting up drug cartels as part of covert operations in certain countries.
An Interview with John Stockwell
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/18, CIA, May 7, 1978
In Search Of Enemies: A CIA Story
John Stockwell, 17. MŠrz 1984
By Michael Brenner, Special to Consortium News, July 10, 2023 (in cache)
... A diagrammatic depiction of the United States today must give central place to four interwoven facets of contemporary American society. They are:
This is evident
1. Plutocracy
Washington is unable, and disinclined, to pursue any policy that contravenes the narrow, self-defined interests of the financial and commercial powerhouses who control the political parties through electoral campaign donations and bribes, won a de facto tax holiday, monopolize the major media, underwrite foundations and think tanks so as to shape their product, and hatch schemes to infiltrate and reprogram educational institutions at every level as an invasive species denatures the eco-system.
The financial sector is the most prominent, active and influential of these private economic entities. Since they are institutionalized globally, the entire American outlook on multilateral organizations (the IMF, the World Bank, GATT, SWIFT) and their programs is dictated by the benefits that flow from them: earnings for private interests, clout for the government to cajole, coerce or dictate to other countries The abusive use made of SWIFT and the IMF in the confrontation with Russia is case in point.
When we imagine trade negotiations and accords, we visualize mainly the exchange of manufactured goods and natural resources. That is no longer the case. What counts, above all, are financial arrangements. Intellectual property comes second. Energy and agriculture next. Manufactures are an also-ran.
At present, it is China that dominates that sector of international commerce. Its overall manufacturing capacity is greater than that of the U.S., the EU and Japan combined. Add RussiaÕs capacity (and raw materials) to that number and you understand both WashingtonÕs dedication to leveraging those economic assets that it retains (backed by military assets) and its mounting sense of vulnerability.
2. The growing neo-Fascist movement
The rise of a potent, expanding movement that should be properly labelled ÒFascism with American characteristicsÓ to date has had only a relatively slight bearing on the countryÕs foreign policy.
The monsters its militants seek to slay, the enemies they see as poisoning the well of Americanism, are domestic.
The Russia threat, the China threat, the fading Islamo-fascist threat are not what drives its adherents Ñ although they share the unanimous conviction that all of the above are evil-doers hostile to the United States. Still, it is the turmoil at the Mexican border that really gets their blood boiling Ñ the only ÒforeignÓ issue that is as emotional, as bile-producing, as liberal elites, atheists and baby-killers.
What the future will bring in the way of adding an international dimension to this stew is unpredictable. As of now, Republicans are mainly focused on denouncing whatever President Joe Biden does rather than promoting any foreign policy agenda of their own.
3. Degrading Democracy
The degradation of American democracy is perhaps the most profound development in the troubled state of contemporary America. Its deleterious effects are multiple Ñ and likely enduring if not absolutely irreversible.
Most obviously, an American Republic in which Ògovernment of the people, for the people, by the peopleÓ is a motto that strikes only a faint, nostalgic note is not the country on which a mighty nation was built and which has been the grounding for the individual as well as collective self-esteem that always has distinguished the United States.
What it does do is to
Moreover, it breeds a cynicism that spills over from the domestic scene to dealings abroad.
Finally, it tends to bring to power in Washington persons whose skills have been honed for the rough-and-tumble of domestic wars rather than for statesmanlike vision and diplomacy.
4. Disengagement From Reality
Nihilism and narcissism are a matching pair. They go together. A fluid socio-cultural environment encourages individuals to Òdo their own thingÓ without fear of opprobrium or penalty. Limits are vague, restraints weak, models that convey the unspoken message are plentiful.
The aggregation of persons so uninhibited accentuates the nihilism of society. A disengagement from reality is the outcome.
We are close to a condition that approximates what the psychologists call Òdissociation.Ó It is marked by an inability to see and to accept actualities as they are for deep seated emotional reasons.
"They're all dead, and Ukraine has no real men left" - Scott Ritter | Redacted with Clayton Morris
July 19, 2023
Scott Ritter:... I bring this up to everybody who says we need to support the Ukrainians, we need to give them more. All you're doing is condemming hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian men to die. Ukraine cannot win this war. There is no scenario that can be written right now that has Ukraine winning this war. There are many reasons but number one is they have run out of trained manpower. War is a complicated business, ... it takes years to train people to do this .... there is no chance for these people [Ukrainian freshly recuited soldiers] to win the war ... there is no chance whatsoever for these guys to win. There is nothing we can do, no weapon system we can provide, no amount of artillery shells we can provide, no amount of money we can throw into this problem. The Ukrainians cannot win, they have crossed the threshold where they can't recover from the losses that they've sustained.
https://youtu.be/DsqIm3F02Rc?t=566
footage:
speaker 1: They've looked at exactly how long it's going to take to restock our munitions when it comes to the 155 caliber shells it's going to take between 4 and 7 years to replace it. They are estimating that the jabelins we have given to Selensky will take 8 years to replace, and the Stinger missiles that we've shipped a trillion over there - this is jaw dropping - they say it will take 18 years to replace them.
speaker 2: That's if we do [it] the current way we're doing it. We have to adjust, ... we got to get into almost a wartime footing.
https://youtu.be/DsqIm3F02Rc?t=611
Scott Ritter: We have contingency plans that we make up. ... [e.g.] if China invades Taiwan and we get involved in the fight there, [or] if North Korea comes across the border, we get in a fight there, [or] if Russia decides to push in on the Baltics or Poland and we get in a fight there, [or] if Iran does something we have to get in a fight there. Everyone of these has a contingency plan that has forces allocated to that and those forces have to have resources allocated to them capable of dealing with the problem set and these are all complicated problem sets.
https://youtu.be/DsqIm3F02Rc?t=665:
What we're also learning is that we haven't imagined the right war. We've been building our support packages based upon old thinking that placed precision over mass fires, meaning that we needed less artillery. That's ok, but as long as you can put precision fires down on the enemy we don't have a lot of artillery shells. What we're learning in Ukraine is that that's a flawed premise.
Ukraine is firing between 5000 and 7000 artilley rounds a day. We currently produce 85000 rounds a year. ... So Ukraine willl fire what we produce in a year in less than a month. What we've been doing to sustain them is stripping our stocks that are used to back up these various contingency plans. What the Pentagon is not going to tell you, and what the President is not going to tell you is that if we go to war today we can't win a single conflict. You want to know why? We have no ammunition. You want to know why? Because we gave it to the Ukrainians.
Now, we habe some ammunition, but the ammunition that we have we have generals say "Okay, we need to retain a minimal amount of stocks to meet a contingency, but those contingencies -we're learning- are based on flawed assumptions on artilley expenditure rates that are unrealistic."
In the Gulf War which is one of the conflicts ... America is always accued and there's brillian writers who talk about this: We always train based on the last war. The last big war we fought was the Gulf War 1991. We fired 60 000 artillery rounds for the entire war. ... Russia fires 60 000 rounds in 1 day in this conflict. You understand the scope and scale we're talking about? We aren't ready for this conflict. So, even if we gave Ukraine ammunition - we said, we're going to keep enough to meet our contingency requirements, now the generals are going in and recalculating saying "We made a mistake, because the ammunition we have right now that's supposed to last for a conflict that can extend 3 to 4 months, we're going to run out of ammunition in 7 days and then we got nothing. This is going to be for any conflict we get involved in, any, not just Russia. China, North Korea, Iran, anything. If we get invoved in a major fight, we're going to lose, becase we have n ammunition. This is why they're saying: "We need to go on a wartime footage". ... This is not just about Ukraine, this is a serious national defense problem.
The Russians are producing - I think- 3.2 million rounds a year. We produce 85 000. ... The Russians have built an army thaat's expanded from 900 000 to 1.5 million because of NATO expansion. They are in the process of putting a 70 000 man strong core-sized unit in the St. Peterburg area new military district to oppose Finland. What Russia is doing is they build this up they have to produce the artillery that's on hand. Because when you go to war, it's not abut what you can produce, it's abot what you have right now. We don't have anything. Russia's meanwhile stocking everything up. So, Finland needs to understand that if they ever get in a shooting match with Russia, once that core comes up, Finland's going to run down in ammunition, and in modern warfare, when you run out of artillery ammunition, you lost the war.
It's not just artillery, as they pointed out it's javelin missiles. We emptied our stock, poured everything in there. We [calculated we] got enough, but that was based upon flawed assumption. ... We now found that we going to fire more javelins in a day than we had prepared for the entire campaign. Same thing with stingers: we haven't been producing stingers because we haven't been fighting anybody that has an air force. Now that we have to fight against the Russians and they bring the drones in, the drones swarm in and we need the stingers to take them out, we don't have them. [In a conflict with Russia] they are going to seize control of the airspace over our forces andthey're going to hammer us with Kamikaze drones. .... They are going to hit us with what they call "the swarm of drones approach" [where the drones communicate with each other]. ... We're going to lose like you've never seen lost before. That's what's happening to the Ukrainians right now. These drones are a game changer if you don't have air defense, and we don't have air defense.
Afrikanische LŠnder, die mit der Russischen Fšderation MilitŠrabkommen unterzeichnet haben, sind rot markiert
Afrikanische Staaten, deren PrŠsidenten von Frankreich ermordet wurden, sind rot markiert.
AuszŸge aus Gesetzen
Verfassungsbeschwerde gegen Maulkorb fŸr Kriegsgegner eingelegt
UZ Blog | Dokumentiert, 9. August 2023 (im Cache 1, 2)
Die beiden Vorsitzenden der Deutschen Kommunistischen Partei (DKP), Wera Richter und Patrik Kšbele, haben gemeinsam mit dem Juristen Dr. Dr. Ralf Hohmann Verfassungsbeschwerde gegen die Neufassung des ¤ 130 des Strafgesetzbuches eingelegt. Sie argumentieren, dass die Neufassung des Paragrafen einen Versto§ gegen die grundgesetzlich gesicherte Meinungsfreiheit und die grundgesetzlich vorgeschriebene Bestimmtheit eines Gesetzes darstellt.
Wera Richter und Patrik Kšbele erklŠren weiter: ãWurde der Volksverhetzungsparagraf in der Vergangenheit viel zu selten gegen die Leugnung und Verharmlosung der Verbrechen des Faschismus eingesetzt, so soll er jetzt als Waffe gegen alle die genutzt werden, die die AufrŸstungs- und Kriegspolitik, die die NATO-Gefolgschaft der Bundesregierung ablehnen. Das ist Teil einer Politik des reaktionŠren Staatsumbaus, die wir auf allen Ebenen, auch auf der juristischen, bekŠmpfen. Wir gehen davon aus, dass die Neufassung des Gesetzes verfassungswidrig ist.Ò
Anmerkung JG: eingefŸgt wurde in Art. 130 StGB
5. Mit Freiheitsstrafe bis zu drei Jahren oder mit Geldstrafe wird bestraft, wer eine Handlung der in den ¤¤ 6 bis 12 (Všlkermord, Verbrechen gegen die Menschlichkeit, Kriegsverbrechen gegen Personen, Eigentum und sonstige Rechte) des Všlkerstrafgesetzbuches bezeichneten Art gegen eine der in Absatz 1 Nummer 1 bezeichneten Personenmehrheiten oder gegen einen Einzelnen wegen dessen Zugehšrigkeit zu einer dieser Personenmehrheiten šffentlich oder in einer Versammlung in einer Weise billigt, leugnet oder gršblich verharmlost, die geeignet ist, zu Hass oder Gewalt gegen eine solche Person oder Personenmehrheit aufzustacheln und den šffentlichen Frieden zu stšren.
Hans Bauer, UZ, 11. August 2023
Wer Zweifel an der Politik der deutschen Machthaber šffentlich Šu§ert, hat keine guten Karten. Schlimmer ist es, Ursachen und Anlass des Ukraine-Krieges anders zu sehen als amtlich verordnet. Die offiziellen Reaktionen reichen von Diffamierung Ÿber berufliche Nachteile bis hin zu strafrechtlichen Sanktionen.
Wir erinnern an den Fall des Berliner Friedensaktivisten Heinrich BŸcker. Er wurde wegen einer Rede am Jahrestag des †berfalls Hitlerdeutschlands auf die Sowjetunion am 22. Juni 2022 wegen ãBilligung eines AngriffskriegesÒ angeklagt.
Das Amtsgericht Kšln verurteilte Elena Kolbasnikowa wegen des gleichen Vorwurfs.
JŸngstes Opfer der Gesinnungsjustiz ist Kay Strathus aus DŸsseldorf. Er hatte Russlands Handeln als in †bereinstimmung mit dem Všlkerrecht bezeichnet und verletzte damit die verordnete Vorgabe zum Krieg. Ihm droht eine Strafe von 3.500 Euro. Noch geht es um Geldstrafen. Angedroht ist aber auch GefŠngnis.
Trotz gro§er Versprechen Ð Deutschland zšgert weiter bei Waffenlieferungen
Gregor Schwung, Stand: 06.08.2023
Im FrŸhjahr erweckte Olaf Scholz beim Besuch von Wolodymyr Selenskyj in Berlin den Eindruck, Deutschland werde zu einem der grš§ten UnterstŸtzer der Ukraine. Aber das zugesagte Paket im Wert von 2,7 Milliarden Euro kommt nicht an. WELT hat den Fortschritt der Lieferungen rekonstruiert.
Abbildung (Quelle: WELT)
Details:
|
Waffensystem |
Versprochen |
Geliefert |
|
Leopard 1 |
110 |
10 |
|
Marder |
20 |
0 |
|
Flakpanzer GEPARD |
18 |
12 |
|
Flugabwehrsystem IRIS-T |
4 |
0 |
|
StartgerŠte fŸr IRIS-T |
12 |
0 |
|
Flugkšrper fŸr IRIS-T |
Menge undefiniert |
0 |
|
AufklŠrungsdrohnen VECTOR |
357 |
27 |
|
AufklŠrungsdrohnen |
121 |
0 |
|
†berwasserdrohnen |
10 |
0 |
|
Schuss 155mm Artilleriemunition |
26350 |
850 |
|
Granatmaschinenwaffen MGW |
100 |
0 |
|
Maschinengewehre MG5 |
100 |
0 |
Caitlin Johnstone: Illusory Truth & ÔUnprovokedÕ Invasion'
Consortium News, August 10, 2023
... The western media claim to report the facts, but the way theyÕve fallen in line behind the ÒunprovokedÓ narrative reveals that their actual job is to frame world events in a way that serves the information interests of their government. Which would be bad enough if that narrative was just a biased framing of a contentious issue, and not the bald-faced lie that it actually is.
... According toÊanalyst Jeffrey Sachs, the New York Times used the word unprovoked Òno fewer than 26 times, in five editorials, 14 opinion columns by NYT writers, and seven guest op-eds.ÓÊ
During anÊinterview last yearÊwith the Useful Idiots podcast, Noam Chomsky argued that the reason we keep hearing the western press using the word ÒunprovokedÓ in reference to RussiaÕs invasion of Ukraine is because it absolutelyÊwasÊprovoked, and they know it.
ÒRight now if youÕre a respectable writer and you want to write in the main journals, you talk about the Russian invasion of Ukraine, you have to call it ÔtheÊunprovokedÊRussian invasion of Ukraine,Ó ChomskyÊsaid. ÒItÕs a very interesting phrase; it was never used before.
You look back, you look at Iraq, which was totally unprovoked, nobody ever called it Ôthe unprovoked invasion of Iraq.Õ In fact I donÕt know if the term wasÊever used. If it was it was very marginal. Now you look it up on Google, and hundreds of thousands of hits. Every article that comes out has to talk about the unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.Ó
ÒWhy? Because they know perfectly well it was provoked,Ó Chomsky said. ÒThat doesnÕt justify it, but it was massively provoked.Ó
Indeed, you can disagree with RussiaÕs invasion or believe that Putin overreacted to the situation, but what you canÕt do is legitimately claim that the invasion was unprovoked. ItÕs just aÊwellÐdocumentedÊfact that the US and its alliesÊprovoked this warÊin aÊwhole host of ways, from NATO expansion to backing regime change in Kyiv to playing along with aggressions against Donbass separatists to pouring weapons into Ukraine. ...
US Urged Ouster of Khan, Cable Shows
By Jake Johnson, Common Dreams, reprinted by Consortium News, August 10, 2023
22.8.2023
...
Harald Kujat:ÊMan hat den Ersten Weltkrieg die ãUrkatastrophe des 20. JahrhundertsÒ genannt, den Ursprung aller folgenden Katastrophen:
um nur einige zu nennen. Der Ukrainekrieg darf nicht zur Urkatastrophe des 21. Jahrhunderts werden, mit der Folge eines gro§en europŠischen Krieges und dem Risiko eines auf den europŠischen Kontinent begrenzten Nuklearkrieges.
Die Parallelen sind frappierend:
Nur wenn es gelingt, die Eskalationsschraube anzuhalten, bevor sie eine nicht mehr kontrollierbare Eigendynamik entwickelt, kann die Urkatastrophe dieses Jahrhunderts verhindert werden.
...Ê
Harald Kujat:ÊDer Ukrainekrieg hat dazu beigetragen, dass das Entstehen einer neuen multipolaren Weltordnung an Dynamik gewonnen hat. Um China und Russland entsteht mit den BRICS-Staaten ein neues politisches, wirtschaftliches und militŠrisches Machtzentrum, dessen Ziel es ist, die USA als fŸhrende Weltmacht abzulšsen und die wirtschaftliche und finanzielle Dominanz des US-Dollars als WeltleitwŠhrung zu beenden.
Auf dem nŠchsten Gipfeltreffen vom 22. bis 24. August in Johannesburg wird auch Ÿber die Aufnahme neuer Mitgliedstaaten beraten, mehr als ein Dutzend formeller BeitrittsantrŠge liegen bisher vor. Insgesamt haben zurzeit mehr als 30 Staaten Interesse an einem Beitritt bekundet, darunter
Dass zu den Interessenten auch einige sŸdamerikanische Staaten gehšren, ist fŸr die USA sicherlich ein Anlass zur Sorge und kšnnte auch zu Gegenreaktionen fŸhren.
Die Entwicklung der BRICS als Organisation wird den USA nicht ins Konzept passen. Sie hat sich zu einer wirtschaftlichen und politischen Konkurrenz entwickelt.
Harald Kujat:ÊDas erklŠrte Ziel dieser Staaten ist es, wie die Chinesen sagen, eine unipolare Welt in eine multipolare zu transformieren. Bilaterale GeschŠfte
werden bereits in den LandeswŠhrungen abgewickelt und nicht mehr in Dollar. Auch …lgeschŠfte werden nicht mehr wie bisher grundsŠtzlich mit dem sogenannten Petrodollar getŠtigt. Saudi-Arabien beispielsweise, frŸher ein enger VerbŸndeter der USA, ist jetzt ein VerbŸndeter Chinas und akzeptiert die Bezahlung in der jeweiligen LandeswŠhrung.
...Ê
Diese Formulierung ruft Artikel 10 des Nato-Vertrages in Erinnerung und
...ÊOhne das Engagement der beiden gro§en europŠischen Staaten Frankreich und Deutschland fŸr einen Verhandlungsfrieden kommen die Kriegsparteien nicht zusammen, und ihr Weg fŸhrt in eine europŠische Katastrophe.
Deshalb mšchte ich abschlie§end betonen: Es darf nicht sein, dass die Bundesregierung weiterhin
Why WeÕre Never Told Why WeÕre Attacked
Why Americans are Never Told Why
by Joe Lauria, Consortiumnews, April 9, 2016 (cache) and September 12, 2023 (cache)
Exclusive: When Western media discusses terrorism against the West, the motive is almost always left out, even when the terrorists stateÊthey are avenging longstanding Western violence in the Muslim world,
9/11 ANALYSIS:
From ReaganÕs Al Qaeda Sponsored War on Afghanistan to George W. BushÕs 9/11
In commemoration of the 22nd anniversary of 9/11, we repost this article by Michel ChossudovskyÊÊfirst published in September 2010
Michel Chosssudovsky, September 9, 2023
(Edits and Updates by the author, September 9, 2023)
Highlights
Caitlin Johnstone: Neocons Love the Ukraine War
Caitlin Johnstone, Consortiumnews.com, September 27, 2023 (in cache)
Handel als Waffe: EU erlŠsst neues Gesetz zum Schutz vor wirtschaftlicher Erpressung
Deutsche Wirtschaftsnachrichten, 3.10.2023 15:48
ãLetztes MittelÒ: EU setzt mit neuem Handelsinstrument vor allem auf eine abschreckende Wirkung und betont Dialogbereitschaft. Wie Europa seine SouverŠnitŠt besser sichern will.
Gerlinde Schulte
Mit dem neuen Handelsinstrument kann die EU gegen wirtschaftlichen Zwang vorgehen und mit Gegenma§nahmen reagieren. In erster Linie soll es jedoch der Abschreckung dienen.
Mit 578 zu 24 Stimmen bei 19 Enthaltungen nahm das Parlament am Dienstag ein neues Handelsinstrument an. Es ermšglicht der EU Ð im Einklang mit dem Všlkerrecht und als letztes Mittel Ð zu reagieren, wenn Drittstaaten eine bestimmte Strategie oder einen bestimmten Standpunkt der EU oder ihrer Mitgliedstaaten durch wirtschaftliche Erpressung beeinflussen wollen.
In einem weltpolitischen Kontext, in dem auslŠndische MŠchte Handel und Investitionen zunehmend als Waffe einsetzen, soll das Instrument gegen Zwangsma§nahmen die SouverŠnitŠt der EU und ihrer Mitgliedstaaten schŸtzen.
Was ist ãwirtschaftlicher ZwangÒ?
Nach der Verordnung besteht wirtschaftlicher Zwang dann, wenn
Êein Drittstaat Druck auf die EU oder einen EU-Staat ausŸbt, um
Êeine bestimmte Entscheidung herbeizufŸhren Ð etwa durch
ÊHandels- oder Investitionsma§nahmen oder deren Androhung
Diese Art von Zwang untergrŠbt die strategische Autonomie der EU, vom †bereinkommen der Welthandelsorganisation wird sie jedoch nicht abgedeckt. Wirtschaftlicher Zwang fŠllt nur dann unter den Streitbeilegungsmechanismus der Welthandelsorganisation, wenn dabei auch gegen ihre Regeln versto§en wird.
Die Kommission hat nach den neuen Vorschriften vier Monate Zeit, um mšgliche FŠlle zu prŸfen. Danach hat der Rat acht bis zehn Wochen, um anhand der Erkenntnisse der Kommission mit qualifizierter Mehrheit zu entscheiden, ob es sich um Zwangsma§nahmen handelt. Ziel ist in erster Linie, den Dialog mit dem Drittstaat aufzunehmen und seine Staatsorgane dazu zu bewegen, den Zwang zu beenden. Sollte das jedoch nicht gelingen, kann die EU auf verschiedene Gegenma§nahmen zurŸckgreifen. Stellt die Kommission fest, dass es sich um Zwangsma§nahmen handelt, und bestŠtigt der Rat dies, dann hat die Kommission sechs Monate Zeit, um eine angemessene Reaktion auszuarbeiten. In dieser Zeit muss sie Parlament und Rat stets auf dem Laufenden halten
Mšgliche Gegenma§nahmen
FŸr einen noch grš§eren Abschreckungseffekt haben die Abgeordneten das Instrument um eine umfassende Liste mit mšglichen EU-Reaktionen ergŠnzt. Dazu zŠhlen neben HandelsbeschrŠnkungen fŸr Waren und Dienstleistungen auch BeschrŠnkungen fŸr die Rechte des geistigen Eigentums und fŸr auslŠndische Direktinvestitionen. EingeschrŠnkt werden kann kŸnftig auch der Zugang zum EU-Beschaffungsmarkt und zum Kapitalmarkt sowie die Zulassung von Produkten, fŸr die Chemie- und Hygienevorschriften gelten.
Ersatz fŸr SchŠden
Die neuen Regeln sehen vor, dass die EU von Drittstaaten, die auf diese Weise Druck ausŸben, eine ãWiedergutmachungÒ verlangen kann. Die Kommission kann entsprechende Ma§nahmen ergreifen, um diese Wiedergutmachung einzufordern.
AssangeÕs Fate Awaits US ÔAssurancesÕ
Joe Lauria, Consortiumnewws.com, March 26, 2024 (in cache)
The High Court on Tuesday rejected six Assange grounds for a new appeal, agreeing he had only three legitimate arguments but that the U.S. could nullify them with new Òassurances,Ó reports Joe Lauria.
In a complex ruling at the Royal Courts of Justice, the court agreed with Assange that he had grounds to ask for an appeal, but invited the United States to give the court assurances by April 16 that could negate AssangeÕs arguments.
If the U.S. meets the deadline, the parties will have until April 30 to make submissions about the assurances. This is a significant departure from the previous High Court decision in 2020 that overturned the lower courtÕs decision not to extradite based solely on U.S. assurances that Assange would not be mistreated in U.S. prisons. In that case, AssangeÕs lawyers were not permitted to challenge the validity of the assurances. The U.K. Supreme Court then rejected AssangeÕs application to challenge them as well.
It [the High Court] rejected 5 grounds in all:
Can AssangeÕs Extradition Be Stopped?
Marjory Cohn, Consortiumnews, March 31, 2024
...
These are the grounds the High Court will review if the U.S. fails to provide Òsatisfactory assurancesÓ:
1. Extradition Would Violate Freedom of Expression Guaranteed by Article 10 of European Convention on Human Rights
Assange would argue at trial that his actions were protected by the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. ÒHe contends that if he is given First Amendment rights, the prosecution will be stopped. The First Amendment is therefore of central importance to his defence,Ó the panel concluded.
The First Amendment provides Òstrong protectionÓ to freedom of expression, similar to that provided by Article 10 of the European Convention on Human Rights, the panel noted. Article 10 (1) of the convention says, ÒEveryone has the right to freedom of expression. This right shall include freedom to hold opinions and to receive and impart information and ideas without interference by public authority and regardless of frontiers.Ó
The panel wrote that if Assange Òis not permitted to rely on the First Amendment, then it is arguable that his extradition would be incompatible with article 10 of the Convention.Ó
But even if the U.S. Department of Justice prosecutors give Òsatisfactory assurancesÓ that AssangeÕs First Amendment rights would be protected, that is no guarantee. Prosecutors are part of the executive branch, which cannot bind the judicial branch due to the constitutional doctrine of separation of powers.
ÒThe ruling reveals that the High Court does not understand the American system of government,Ó Stephen Rohde, who practiced First Amendment law for almost 50 years and writes extensively about the Assange case, told Truthout. ÒIt only has before it the executive branch of the U.S. government. Whatever Ôsatisfactory assurancesÕ the Department of Justice may give the High Court, they are not binding on the judicial branch.Ó
Moreover, Rohde said, ÒThe High Court is obligated to uphold AssangeÕs rights to Ôfreedom of expressionÕ under Article 10 of the European Convention on Human Rights, which protects Assange even if the U.S. courts refuse to do so. The only way to do that is to deny extradition.Ó
2. The U.K. Extradition Act Forbids Discrimination Based on Nationality
Julian Assange is an Australian citizen who would be tried in the U.S. if the Biden administrationÕs pursuit of extradition is successful.
Section 81(b) of the U.K. Extradition Act says that extradition is barred for an individual who Òmight be prejudiced at his trial or punished, detained or restricted in his personal liberty by reason of his É nationality.Ó
Due to the centrality of the First Amendment to AssangeÕs defense, the panel noted, ÒIf he is not permitted to rely on the First Amendment because of his status as a foreign national, he will thereby be prejudiced (potentially very greatly prejudiced) by reason of his nationality.Ó
3. Extradition Is Barred by Inadequate Death Penalty Protection Required by the Extradition Act
... None of the charges that Assange is currently facing carry the death penalty. But if extradited to the U.S., he could be charged with aiding and abetting treason or espionage, both of which are capital offenses.
Taurus - die Planung eines Angriffskrieges
Der Schšning Report, Vol. 5, 18.3.2024
Durch die Taurus-Veršffentlichung erfuhr die Welt von der Planung eines Angriffskrieges durch deutsche Offiziere.
Was hat es mit General Gerhartz und der amerikanischen Botschafterin Amy Gutmann auf sich? Wieso hŠngen Luftwaffe, Vanguard und Biowaffen gefŠhrlich miteinander zusammen? Und warum sollte die Friedensdemo am 10.03.24 in Berlin durch die Ingewahrsamnahme von Heiko Schšning behindert werden? Dies und mehr wird im fŸnften Schšning-Report beleuchtet.
Strafanzeige gegen Taurus-GenerŠle eingereicht:
Die Vorbereitung eines Angriffskrieges ist strafbar (Video)
Heiko Schšning hat Strafanzeige gegen die GenerŠle Gerhartz und Graefe am 25.03.24 in Hamburg in der Davidwache eingereicht.
OstermŠrsche 2024 setzen Bundesregierung unter Rechtfertigungsdruck
Sondernewsletter, Netzwerk Friedenskooperative, 1.4.2024
die gesammelten Rede- und KundgebungsbeitrŠge und die Pressesplitter zum Ostermarsch 2024.
---------------------------
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